Mountain West · 2025 · Final

Utah State Aggies 2025

6-74-4 in conference
Final TDC rank
#79
of 136 FBS teams
Rating
-2.3
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+2.1
47th in FBS
Defense
-4.5
111th in FBS
Schedule
-2.6
78th toughest
Preseason
-4.4
rating going in

2025 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

-2.3 now, -4.4 preseason · up 35 spots since preseason
-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Wk 16Bowls#79

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Aug 30vs128UTEPW 28–16 ›-3.7—CBSSN
2Sep 6@10Texas A&ML 22–44 ›-6.3—SEC Network
3Sep 13vs95Air ForceCONFW 49–30 ›+11.0—FS1
4Sep 20vsMcNeese FCSW 48–7 ›+5.1—MWN
5Sep 27@11VanderbiltL 35–55 ›-5.1—SEC Network
6—Bye
7Oct 11@77Hawai'iCONFL 26–44 ›-17.0—MWN App
8Oct 17vs122San José StateCONFW 30–25 ›-9.1—CBSSN
9Oct 25@74New MexicoCONFL 14–33 ›-17.3—MWN
10—Bye
11Nov 8vs121NevadaCONFW 51–14 ›+14.6—CBSSN
12Nov 15@64UNLVCONFL 26–29 ›+0.6—CBSSN
13Nov 22@73Fresno StateCONFW 28–17 ›+13.0—CBSSN
14Nov 28vs46Boise StateCONFL 24–25 ›-0.1—CBS
BowlsDec 22vs50Washington StateNEUTRALL 21–34 ›-9.7—ESPN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate41.5%92nd43.3%82nd
Rushing success rate42.9%89th45.3%92nd
Passing success rate40.3%80th41.6%72nd
Explosive run rate18.4%8th14.8%88th
Explosive pass rate10.7%54th8.8%38th
Line yards / carry2.9887th3.21104th
Opportunity rate40.9%42nd39.7%97th
Stuff rate18.4%88th15.6%97th
Sack rate9.5%130th5.1%89th
3rd-down conversion33.8%124th41.6%76th
Red-zone TD rate65.9%25th56.5%65th
Havoc rate15.0%126th13.2%32nd
Box score · season totals
Points / game30.950th37.3128th
Yards / game409.540th440.1131st
Yards / play5.9534th5.7499th
Pass yards / game247.048th244.2125th
Yards / pass att.7.9737th7.0361st
Completion %60.0%89th58.9%29th
Rush yards / game162.562nd181.2111th
Yards / carry4.7037th4.83116th
3rd-down conv. %34.5%111th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)0.8510th——
Sacks / game (allowed · made)3.23128th2.2350th
Penalty yards / game60.196th——

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Partial season. ESPN's play-by-play has throw and catch spots for 6 of this team's 13 games, so the maps and air-yard numbers cover those games only. Ranks compare teams on whatever each had charted.

Avg. depth of throw
10.2
25th of 136
YAC per catch
6.2
31st of 136
Deep shots (20+)
17%
34th of 136
Shotgun
91%
103rd of 136
No-huddle
66%
74th of 136
QB pressured
18%
34th of 136 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
12%
93rd of 136
Defense: YAC allowed
4.4
119th of 136 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws177 throws charted

58% comp10.2 avg. depth6.2 YAC/catch17% 20+ air yds26–5 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 13 throws (7%), 12 caught (92%), 133 yds, 10.2 per throw1392% · 133yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 9 throws (5%), 7 caught (78%), 57 yds, 6.3 per throw978% · 57yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 14 throws (8%), 5 caught (36%), 44 yds, 3.1 per throw1436% · 44yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw40% · 0yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 1 caught (17%), 22 yds, 3.7 per throw617% · 22yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 8 throws (5%), 4 caught (50%), 116 yds, 14.5 per throw850% · 116yLeft, 30+ air yards: 6 throws (3%), 2 caught (33%), 75 yds, 12.5 per throw633% · 75yMiddle, Behind air yards: 2 throws (1%), 2 caught (100%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw2100% · 0yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 4 yds, 2.0 per throw250% · 4yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 3 caught (60%), 28 yds, 5.6 per throw560% · 28yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 9 throws (5%), 5 caught (56%), 91 yds, 10.1 per throw956% · 91yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 11 throws (6%), 6 caught (55%), 144 yds, 13.1 per throw1155% · 144yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: noneMiddle, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0yRight, Behind air yards: 13 throws (7%), 12 caught (92%), 68 yds, 5.2 per throw1392% · 68yRight, 0–4 air yards: 20 throws (11%), 11 caught (55%), 89 yds, 4.5 per throw2055% · 89yRight, 5–9 air yards: 15 throws (8%), 8 caught (53%), 79 yds, 5.3 per throw1553% · 79yRight, 10–14 air yards: 12 throws (7%), 6 caught (50%), 83 yds, 6.9 per throw1250% · 83yRight, 15–19 air yards: 13 throws (7%), 7 caught (54%), 131 yds, 10.1 per throw1354% · 131yRight, 20–29 air yards: 9 throws (5%), 2 caught (22%), 68 yds, 7.6 per throw922% · 68yRight, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 1 caught (25%), 43 yds, 10.8 per throw425% · 43y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on211 throws charted

58% comp8.7 avg. depth4.4 YAC/catch11% 20+ air yds26–12 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 15 throws (7%), 14 caught (93%), 56 yds, 3.7 per throw1593% · 56yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 21 throws (10%), 14 caught (67%), 96 yds, 4.6 per throw2167% · 96yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 15 throws (7%), 6 caught (40%), 72 yds, 4.8 per throw1540% · 72yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 15 throws (7%), 8 caught (53%), 95 yds, 6.3 per throw1553% · 95yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 3 caught (43%), 54 yds, 7.7 per throw743% · 54yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 1 caught (20%), 41 yds, 8.2 per throw520% · 41yLeft, 30+ air yards: 1 throws (0%), 1 caught (100%), 66 yds, 66.0 per throw1100% · 66yMiddle, Behind air yards: 1 throws (0%), 1 caught (100%), 6 yds, 6.0 per throw1100% · 6yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 10 throws (5%), 8 caught (80%), 55 yds, 5.5 per throw1080% · 55yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 15 throws (7%), 10 caught (67%), 103 yds, 6.9 per throw1567% · 103yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 8 caught (89%), 131 yds, 14.6 per throw989% · 131yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 5 caught (56%), 112 yds, 12.4 per throw956% · 112yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 2 caught (50%), 80 yds, 20.0 per throw450% · 80yRight, Behind air yards: 14 throws (7%), 12 caught (86%), 75 yds, 5.4 per throw1486% · 75yRight, 0–4 air yards: 19 throws (9%), 10 caught (53%), 51 yds, 2.7 per throw1953% · 51yRight, 5–9 air yards: 21 throws (10%), 13 caught (62%), 95 yds, 4.5 per throw2162% · 95yRight, 10–14 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 2 caught (22%), 37 yds, 4.1 per throw922% · 37yRight, 15–19 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 6 caught (67%), 100 yds, 11.1 per throw967% · 100yRight, 20–29 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 2 caught (25%), 57 yds, 7.1 per throw825% · 57yRight, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 48 yds, 24.0 per throw250% · 48y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction173 carries

Left
20%
6.6 YPC · 60% succ.
Middle
58%
5.0 YPC · 47% succ.
Right
21%
5.9 YPC · 41% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced197 carries

Left
18%
6.2 YPC · 42% succ.
Middle
61%
4.4 YPC · 41% succ.
Right
21%
6.5 YPC · 54% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Players

58 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)

58 players

Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →