MAC · 2025 · Final

Ball State Cardinals 2025

4-83-5 in conference
Final TDC rank
#132
of 136 FBS teams
Rating
-14.5
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-8.8
128th in FBS
Defense
-5.7
121st in FBS
Schedule
-5.5
107th toughest
Preseason
-6.1
rating going in

2025 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

-14.5 now, -6.1 preseason · down 9 spots since preseason
-15-10-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Wk 16Bowls#132

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Aug 30@100PurdueL 0–31 ›-29.6—BTN
2Sep 6@40AuburnL 3–42 ›-21.5—ESPNU
3Sep 13vsNew Hampshire FCSW 34–29 ›-19.8—ESPN+
4Sep 20@75UConnL 25–31 ›-4.4—CBSSN
5—Bye
6Oct 4vs68OhioCONFW 20–14 ›+3.2—CBSSN
7Oct 11@67Western MichiganCONFL 0–42 ›-27.2—ESPN+
8Oct 18vs120AkronCONFW 42–28 ›+0.1—ESPN+
9Oct 25@119Northern IllinoisCONFL 7–21 ›-22.1—ESPN+
10—Bye
11Nov 5vs129Kent StateCONFW 17–13 ›-11.8—ESPNU
12Nov 15vs117Eastern MichiganCONFL 9–24 ›-28.1—ESPN+
13Nov 22@33ToledoCONFL 9–38 ›-17.1—ESPN+
14Nov 29@85Miami (OH)CONFL 24–45 ›-21.0—CBSSN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate34.1%134th45.4%108th
Rushing success rate36.3%131st48.2%120th
Passing success rate31.1%134th42.5%83rd
Explosive run rate12.3%105th15.2%96th
Explosive pass rate6.9%127th10.7%90th
Line yards / carry2.82117th3.1491st
Opportunity rate36.8%93rd41.9%121st
Stuff rate20.3%116th17.8%59th
Sack rate14.2%136th6.0%54th
3rd-down conversion34.2%122nd42.6%90th
Red-zone TD rate41.7%127th53.5%47th
Havoc rate16.4%133rd11.2%84th
Box score · season totals
Points / game27.776th29.891st
Yards / game271.7134th405.7104th
Yards / play4.18135th5.87112th
Pass yards / game139.9130th215.291st
Yards / pass att.6.04126th7.69109th
Completion %56.5%122nd61.9%69th
Rush yards / game131.898th178.8108th
Yards / carry3.50124th4.74108th
3rd-down conv. %33.5%119th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.3378th——
Sacks / game (allowed · made)4.08135th1.9282nd
Penalty yards / game38.813th——

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Partial season. ESPN's play-by-play has throw and catch spots for 6 of this team's 12 games, so the maps and air-yard numbers cover those games only. Ranks compare teams on whatever each had charted.

Avg. depth of throw
8.7
70th of 136
YAC per catch
6.0
38th of 136
Deep shots (20+)
14%
62nd of 136
Shotgun
87%
120th of 136
No-huddle
35%
106th of 136
QB pressured
18%
37th of 136 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
12%
89th of 136
Defense: YAC allowed
4.8
105th of 136 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws135 throws charted

56% comp8.7 avg. depth6.0 YAC/catch14% 20+ air yds14–10 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 9 throws (7%), 8 caught (89%), 37 yds, 4.1 per throw989% · 37yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 9 throws (7%), 5 caught (56%), 60 yds, 6.7 per throw956% · 60yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 13 throws (10%), 8 caught (62%), 78 yds, 6.0 per throw1362% · 78yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 5 throws (4%), 1 caught (20%), 11 yds, 2.2 per throw520% · 11yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 6 throws (4%), 1 caught (17%), 15 yds, 2.5 per throw617% · 15yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 5 throws (4%), 1 caught (20%), 22 yds, 4.4 per throw520% · 22yLeft, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (2%), 1 caught (33%), 47 yds, 15.7 per throw333% · 47yMiddle, Behind air yards: 5 throws (4%), 5 caught (100%), 32 yds, 6.4 per throw5100% · 32yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 4 throws (3%), 4 caught (100%), 25 yds, 6.3 per throw4100% · 25yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 5 throws (4%), 2 caught (40%), 61 yds, 12.2 per throw540% · 61yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 4 throws (3%), 2 caught (50%), 29 yds, 7.3 per throw450% · 29yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 1 throws (1%), 1 caught (100%), 35 yds, 35.0 per throw1100% · 35yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 1 throws (1%), 1 caught (100%), 32 yds, 32.0 per throw1100% · 32yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 1 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yRight, Behind air yards: 13 throws (10%), 10 caught (77%), 15 yds, 1.2 per throw1377% · 15yRight, 0–4 air yards: 16 throws (12%), 8 caught (50%), 66 yds, 4.1 per throw1650% · 66yRight, 5–9 air yards: 11 throws (8%), 7 caught (64%), 52 yds, 4.7 per throw1164% · 52yRight, 10–14 air yards: 10 throws (7%), 3 caught (30%), 56 yds, 5.6 per throw1030% · 56yRight, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (5%), 4 caught (57%), 77 yds, 11.0 per throw757% · 77yRight, 20–29 air yards: 5 throws (4%), 2 caught (40%), 68 yds, 13.6 per throw540% · 68yRight, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on152 throws charted

61% comp10.4 avg. depth4.8 YAC/catch16% 20+ air yds23–9 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 6 throws (4%), 6 caught (100%), 3 yds, 0.5 per throw6100% · 3yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 13 throws (9%), 6 caught (46%), 58 yds, 4.5 per throw1346% · 58yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 19 throws (13%), 9 caught (47%), 86 yds, 4.5 per throw1947% · 86yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 7 throws (5%), 4 caught (57%), 57 yds, 8.1 per throw757% · 57yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 2 caught (40%), 33 yds, 6.6 per throw540% · 33yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 4 caught (80%), 117 yds, 23.4 per throw580% · 117yLeft, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (2%), 2 caught (67%), 118 yds, 39.3 per throw367% · 118yMiddle, Behind air yards: noneMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 8 throws (5%), 6 caught (75%), 60 yds, 7.5 per throw875% · 60yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 17 throws (11%), 13 caught (76%), 134 yds, 7.9 per throw1776% · 134yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 9 throws (6%), 3 caught (33%), 41 yds, 4.6 per throw933% · 41yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 2 caught (67%), 54 yds, 18.0 per throw367% · 54yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 42 yds, 21.0 per throw250% · 42yRight, Behind air yards: 6 throws (4%), 6 caught (100%), 18 yds, 3.0 per throw6100% · 18yRight, 0–4 air yards: 12 throws (8%), 8 caught (67%), 93 yds, 7.8 per throw1267% · 93yRight, 5–9 air yards: 13 throws (9%), 6 caught (46%), 38 yds, 2.9 per throw1346% · 38yRight, 10–14 air yards: 7 throws (5%), 5 caught (71%), 61 yds, 8.7 per throw771% · 61yRight, 15–19 air yards: 6 throws (4%), 1 caught (17%), 17 yds, 2.8 per throw617% · 17yRight, 20–29 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 2 caught (100%), 77 yds, 38.5 per throw2100% · 77yRight, 30+ air yards: 7 throws (5%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw70% · 0y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction195 carries

Left
22%
3.9 YPC · 52% succ.
Middle
55%
6.1 YPC · 37% succ.
Right
24%
4.7 YPC · 39% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced206 carries

Left
20%
7.3 YPC · 59% succ.
Middle
54%
4.6 YPC · 47% succ.
Right
26%
5.2 YPC · 44% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Players

60 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)

60 players

Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →