#40

Connor Lair

RBSenior6' 1", 225 lbsWest Plains, MO
Missouri State Bears2-5 · TDC #121
Snap share
32%
2 of 7 started · likely 26–40%
Rush yards
183
310th of 1456 in FBS
Yards / carry
4.0
244th of 325 in FBS
Rush TD
3
150th of 631 in FBS
Receptions
9
631st of 1995 in FBS
EPA / play
+0.06
169th of 262 RBs

Efficiency & Role

EPA = expected points added per play. Compared with every FBS RB who qualifies

EPA per play by situation

58 plays · +3.5 total EPA · 169th of 262 qualifying RBs
All plays+0.06
Passing+0.45
Rushing-0.04
1st down+0.07
2nd down+0.14
3rd down+0.60
Standard downs+0.03
Passing downs+0.16
LairRB average

Share of team plays

How often the offense runs through this player. Pass = targets or dropbacks, rush = carries
All plays13%
Pass plays5%
Run plays22%
1st down13%
2nd down14%
3rd down11%
Standard downs15%
Passing downs9%
LairRB average

Advanced

Computed from every play, garbage time excluded. FBS rank among players with enough volume

RushingValueFBS rank
Carries34—
Success rate58.8%—
Explosive run rate14.7%—
Stuffed at the line17.6%—
First downs12—
Red-zone carries14—
Goal-line carries5—
ReceivingValueFBS rank
Targets8—
Target share5.8%—
Catch rate75.0%—
Success rate per target50.0%—
Yards per target8.1—
Explosive catches12.5%—
Deep-target rate0.0%—
3rd-down targets2—
Red-zone targets0—

Charting

Where Lair's plays went: throw and catch spots, air yards and yards after the catch, read from the play-by-play

Targets
11
9 caught (82%)
Avg. depth of target
-1.7
air yards per target
YAC per catch
10.3
93 yds after the catch
Air yards caught
-17
of 76 yds on charted catches
Deep targets
0%
20+ air yards

Where he's targeted11 targets charted

82% comp-1.7 avg. depth10.3 YAC/catch0% 20+ air yds0–0 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 3 targets (27%), 3 caught (100%), 16 yds, 5.3 per target3100% · 16yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 1 targets (9%), 1 caught (100%), 5 yds, 5.0 per target1100% · 5yLeft, 5–9 air yards: noneLeft, 10–14 air yards: noneLeft, 15–19 air yards: noneLeft, 20–29 air yards: noneLeft, 30+ air yards: noneMiddle, Behind air yards: noneMiddle, 0–4 air yards: noneMiddle, 5–9 air yards: noneMiddle, 10–14 air yards: noneMiddle, 15–19 air yards: noneMiddle, 20–29 air yards: noneMiddle, 30+ air yards: noneRight, Behind air yards: 3 targets (27%), 2 caught (67%), 18 yds, 6.0 per target367% · 18yRight, 0–4 air yards: 4 targets (36%), 3 caught (75%), 37 yds, 9.3 per target475% · 37yRight, 5–9 air yards: noneRight, 10–14 air yards: noneRight, 15–19 air yards: noneRight, 20–29 air yards: noneRight, 30+ air yards: none
fewer more targets
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Run direction46 carries

Left
20%
3.7 YPC · 33% succ.
Middle
63%
4.2 YPC · 48% succ.
Right
17%
3.5 YPC · 38% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.
2025 charting · Missouri State

2025 season. ESPN's play-by-play only has throw and catch spots for part of 2025 (2 of Lair’s games here), so treat the maps as a sample.

Charted targets
3
3 caught (100%)
Avg. depth of target
-0.7
air yards per target
YAC per catch
16.7
50 yds after the catch
Air yards caught
-2
of 48 yds on charted catches
Deep targets
0%
20+ air yards

Where he's targeted3 targets charted

86% comp-0.7 avg. depth16.7 YAC/catch0% 20+ air yds1–0 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 1 targets (33%), 1 caught (100%), -4 yds, -4.0 per target1100% · -4yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 1 targets (33%), 1 caught (100%), 19 yds, 19.0 per target1100% · 19yLeft, 5–9 air yards: noneLeft, 10–14 air yards: noneLeft, 15–19 air yards: noneLeft, 20–29 air yards: noneLeft, 30+ air yards: noneMiddle, Behind air yards: noneMiddle, 0–4 air yards: noneMiddle, 5–9 air yards: noneMiddle, 10–14 air yards: noneMiddle, 15–19 air yards: noneMiddle, 20–29 air yards: noneMiddle, 30+ air yards: noneRight, Behind air yards: noneRight, 0–4 air yards: 1 targets (33%), 1 caught (100%), 33 yds, 33.0 per target1100% · 33yRight, 5–9 air yards: noneRight, 10–14 air yards: noneRight, 15–19 air yards: noneRight, 20–29 air yards: noneRight, 30+ air yards: none
fewer more targets
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Career

2 seasons since 2014 · box-score totals, snap share estimated from play-by-play

SeasonTeamGSnapsCarRush ydsY/CRush TDRush SRRecRec ydsRec TDTgt share
2026 so farMissouri State#121 · 2-5732%461834.0358.8%97605.8%
2025Missouri State#108 · 7-678%691.5025.0%66213.8%

Past seasons are summed from ESPN box scores; success rates and snap shares come from the play-by-play. Connor Lair's team rank is that season's final TDC rank. A dash means the stat wasn't recorded.

Game Log

Connor Lair's box score, game by game, from ESPN, with a 0–10 game score for each (hover it for how it works). Click a result for the full game

5.6 avg. game scoreBest: 7.7 at Delaware (Week 8)0 of 5 games at 8.0+
RushingReceiving
WkOpponentResultGame scoreCarYdsY/CTDLongRecYdsY/RTDLong
1@Texas A&ML 0–502.5500.002·····
2LindenwoodW 48–145.4492.315·····
3MarshallL 24–30—221.00112121.0021
4@SMUL 24–34—133.003·····
6@Western KentuckyL 13–346.05193.80622512.5014
7Kennesaw StateW 24–216.514654.60293196.309
8@DelawareL 38–617.715855.72153113.706
2026 · 7 games5.6461834.03299768.4021

2026 Season Stats

FBS rank among qualifying players

Rushing2026FBS rank
Carries46—
Yards183310th / 1456
Yards / carry4244th / 325
Touchdowns3150th / 631
Long29—
Receiving2026FBS rank
Receptions9631st / 1995
Yards76811th / 1981
Yards / catch8.4—
Touchdowns0—
Long21—

Snaps by Game

Estimated snaps from a model trained on real NFL snap counts. Ranges in brackets are where the real number lands 80% of the time: wide for a single game, tighter over the season. How it works

GameStartTeam playsEst. snapsPlays involvedSnap share
Wk 1 · Texas A&M—40~11 (3–21)528%
Wk 2 · Lindenwood—78~13 (3–25)417%
Wk 3 · Marshall✓ RB65~8 (2–16)312%
Wk 4 · SMU—61~6 (2–12)110%
Wk 6 · Western Kentucky—67~23 (16–30)734%
Wk 7 · Kennesaw State—73~38 (26–49)1852%
Wk 8 · Delaware✓ RB58~43 (36–48)2074%
Season2 GS442142 (113–175)5832%

Position Room

6 RBs on the Missouri State roster, ordered by car

#PlayerPosClassCarYdsYPCTDRecEPA/play
22Ramone Green Jr.RBSR572464.328-0.01
40Connor LairRBSR46183439+0.06
1Breezy DubarRBSR422335.524+0.05
10King DavisRBSO14463.301-0.13
43Amar'e JohnsonRBFR7375.30—+0.21
13Josh JoynerRBJR——————

Stats, EPA and usage come from CollegeFootballData.com and refresh daily. FBS ranks only count players with enough volume for the stat to mean something. Qualifying for EPA takes 6+ plays per team game. Missouri State depth chart →