ACC · 2026

SMU Mustangs

Head coach Rhett Lashlee · Gerald J. Ford Stadium
5-13-1 in conference
TDC Rank
#31
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+11.2
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+5.9
34th in FBS
Defense
+5.3
32nd in FBS
Schedule so far
-2.8
62nd toughest
Projected
8.8-3.2
bowl-eligible >99%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

+11.2 now, +12.9 preseason · down 10 spots since preseason
0+5+10+15+20FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8#31

Final record odds

8.8-3.2 expected · most likely 9-3 (39%)
6-68%7-526%8-439%9-324%10-211-1

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 7@35Florida StateCONFW 27–24 ›+15.9—ESPN
2Sep 12vsUC Davis FCSW 56–10 ›+4.3—ACCNX
3Sep 19@18LouisvilleCONFL 31–41 ›+9.2—ESPN2
4Sep 26vs121Missouri StateW 34–24 ›-9.8—ACC Network
5Oct 3vs85Boston CollegeCONFW 25–16 ›+0.6—CW
6—Bye
7Oct 17vs34VirginiaCONFW 23–13 ›+15.4—CW
8Oct 24vs86CaliforniaCONFSMU −19.9 · o/u 57.0—91%CW
9Oct 31@68SyracuseCONFSMU −6.4 · o/u 55.2—66%ESPN2
10Nov 6vs48Virginia TechCONFSMU −9.0 · o/u 58.8—73%ESPN
11Nov 14vs22Wake ForestCONFSMU −1.5 · o/u 53.1—54%
12Nov 21@1Notre DameNotre Dame −20.5 · o/u 53.2—9%NBC
13Nov 28@104StanfordCONFSMU −18.1 · o/u 52.6—89%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.21143rd+0.07058th
Success rate49.0%19th37.9%36th
Explosiveness1.26159th1.341113th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate49.9%17th37.7%33rd
Rushing success rate46.2%50th44.1%87th
Passing success rate53.3%9th31.1%2nd
Explosive run rate12.1%100th14.1%86th
Explosive pass rate14.7%20th7.2%20th
Line yards / carry2.76122nd2.8141st
Opportunity rate36.3%106th37.6%69th
Stuff rate20.9%115th20.0%41st
Sack rate3.6%37th9.0%6th
3rd-down conversion47.9%26th29.3%6th
Red-zone TD rate69.6%36th63.6%90th
Havoc rate10.8%29th15.7%31st
Box score · season totals
Points / game32.747th21.347th
Yards / game466.715th303.026th
Yards / play6.6715th4.7029th
Pass yards / game326.05th164.811th
Yards / pass att.9.4011th5.8213th
Completion %73.6%2nd58.8%41st
Rush yards / game140.794th138.261st
Yards / carry4.1092nd4.1782nd
3rd-down conv. %48.0%23rd26.5%5th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.5097th1.0086th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.1732nd3.0014th
Penalty yards / game69.0113th62.043rd

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Partial season. ESPN's play-by-play has throw and catch spots for 5 of this team's 6 games, so the maps and air-yard numbers cover those games only. Ranks compare teams on whatever each had charted.

Avg. depth of throw
8.2
94th of 138
YAC per catch
6.2
34th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
14%
81st of 138
Shotgun
92%
95th of 138
No-huddle
57%
78th of 138
QB pressured
14%
53rd of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
18%
23rd of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
4.6
107th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws153 throws charted

73% comp8.2 avg. depth6.2 YAC/catch14% 20+ air yds18–5 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 17 throws (11%), 17 caught (100%), 112 yds, 6.6 per throw17100% · 112yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 5 caught (100%), 36 yds, 7.2 per throw5100% · 36yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 6 throws (4%), 4 caught (67%), 37 yds, 6.2 per throw667% · 37yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 2 caught (67%), 31 yds, 10.3 per throw367% · 31yLeft, 15–19 air yards: noneLeft, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 1 caught (33%), 29 yds, 9.7 per throw333% · 29yLeft, 30+ air yards: 1 throws (1%), 1 caught (100%), 35 yds, 35.0 per throw1100% · 35yMiddle, Behind air yards: 6 throws (4%), 6 caught (100%), 56 yds, 9.3 per throw6100% · 56yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 3 caught (60%), 13 yds, 2.6 per throw560% · 13yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 13 throws (8%), 8 caught (62%), 85 yds, 6.5 per throw1362% · 85yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 6 throws (4%), 5 caught (83%), 94 yds, 15.7 per throw683% · 94yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 2 caught (100%), 96 yds, 48.0 per throw2100% · 96yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 1 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (2%), 1 caught (33%), 51 yds, 17.0 per throw333% · 51yRight, Behind air yards: 18 throws (12%), 16 caught (89%), 38 yds, 2.1 per throw1889% · 38yRight, 0–4 air yards: 13 throws (8%), 7 caught (54%), 38 yds, 2.9 per throw1354% · 38yRight, 5–9 air yards: 21 throws (14%), 18 caught (86%), 163 yds, 7.8 per throw2186% · 163yRight, 10–14 air yards: 13 throws (8%), 9 caught (69%), 163 yds, 12.5 per throw1369% · 163yRight, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (5%), 2 caught (29%), 47 yds, 6.7 per throw729% · 47yRight, 20–29 air yards: 6 throws (4%), 6 caught (100%), 220 yds, 36.7 per throw6100% · 220yRight, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (3%), 1 caught (25%), 42 yds, 10.5 per throw425% · 42y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on122 throws charted

58% comp8.3 avg. depth4.6 YAC/catch15% 20+ air yds7–3 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 10 throws (8%), 7 caught (70%), 5 yds, 0.5 per throw1070% · 5yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 10 throws (8%), 9 caught (90%), 64 yds, 6.4 per throw1090% · 64yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 9 throws (7%), 4 caught (44%), 49 yds, 5.4 per throw944% · 49yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 4 throws (3%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw40% · 0yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 1 throws (1%), 1 caught (100%), 18 yds, 18.0 per throw1100% · 18yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 4 throws (3%), 2 caught (50%), 75 yds, 18.8 per throw450% · 75yLeft, 30+ air yards: 1 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yMiddle, Behind air yards: 1 throws (1%), 1 caught (100%), 3 yds, 3.0 per throw1100% · 3yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 11 throws (9%), 7 caught (64%), 74 yds, 6.7 per throw1164% · 74yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 6 throws (5%), 5 caught (83%), 39 yds, 6.5 per throw683% · 39yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 5 throws (4%), 3 caught (60%), 42 yds, 8.4 per throw560% · 42yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 4 throws (3%), 2 caught (50%), 35 yds, 8.8 per throw450% · 35yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 2 throws (2%), 1 caught (50%), 30 yds, 15.0 per throw250% · 30yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 1 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yRight, Behind air yards: 13 throws (11%), 10 caught (77%), 30 yds, 2.3 per throw1377% · 30yRight, 0–4 air yards: 17 throws (14%), 11 caught (65%), 55 yds, 3.2 per throw1765% · 55yRight, 5–9 air yards: 5 throws (4%), 5 caught (100%), 46 yds, 9.2 per throw5100% · 46yRight, 10–14 air yards: 7 throws (6%), 1 caught (14%), 17 yds, 2.4 per throw714% · 17yRight, 15–19 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 2 caught (67%), 35 yds, 11.7 per throw367% · 35yRight, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 1 caught (33%), 33 yds, 11.0 per throw333% · 33yRight, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (4%), 1 caught (20%), 44 yds, 8.8 per throw520% · 44y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction157 carries

Left
23%
5.8 YPC · 44% succ.
Middle
54%
4.9 YPC · 45% succ.
Right
24%
3.4 YPC · 30% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced132 carries

Left
25%
3.8 YPC · 42% succ.
Middle
49%
5.3 YPC · 42% succ.
Right
26%
6.8 YPC · 62% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Rhett Lashlee

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
1Ty HawkinsQBSO6' 0"205San Antonio, TX
7Kevin JenningsQBSR6' 0"195Oak Cliff, TX
12Cole LeinartQBFR6' 3"204Los Angeles, CA
14Charlie FiserQBSR6' 1"184Little Rock, AR
28Mabrey MettauerQBJR6' 5"225The Woodlands, TX
4Dramekco GreenRBSO6' 0"210Conroe, TX
6Kendrick RaphaelRBSR5' 11"201Naples, FL
20EJ KellyRBFR5' 10"190Houston, TX
21Christian RhodesRBFR6' 1"210Dallas, TX
24Link RhodesRBSR6' 1"210Stockton, CA
25William FierroRBSR5' 10"184La Jolla, CA
0Derrick McFallWRJR5' 11"182Tyler, TX
2Jalen HaleWRSR6' 1"192Longview, TX
3Yannick SmithWRJR6' 2"208Summerville, SC
8Yamir KnightWRSR5' 8"185Smyrna, DE
10Jalen CooperWRSO6' 2"182Cibolo, TX
11Carterrious BrownWRSO6' 2"195Monroe, LA
13Daylon SingletonWRSO5' 11"181Desoto, TX
15Aljour Miles IIWRFR6' 3"205Sacramento, CA
16Jakai AndersonWRFR6' 0"179New Orleans, LA
22Jordyn AdamsWRFR6' 1"196Gulfport, MS
26David Kniffen Jr.WRFR5' 11"165Plano, TX
27Siler CookeWRFR5' 10"165Dallas, TX
81Tyrone CrethersWRFR5' 11"200Richardson, TX
83X'Zavier BarnettWRFR6' 3"195Yoakum, TX
5Randy Pittman Jr.TESR6' 2"240Panama City, FL
9Zack TurnerTEFR6' 3"230Dallas, TX
18Theo Melin OhrstromTESR6' 6"250Stockholm, Sweden
42Will LockeTEJR6' 4"243Helotes, TX
84Tripp RiordanTESR6' 5"250Frisco, TX
85Andre Nickerson Jr.TEFR6' 3"221Inglewood, CA
88Trey JacksonTEJR6' 5"240Dallas, TX
89Miles UterTESO6' 5"245Daphne, AL
50Graham UterOLJR6' 5"305Daphne, AL
52Toa KatoaOLFR6' 4"335Euless, TX
55Sam UtuOLFR6' 5"325Orange, CA
57Henry DouglassOLSR6' 3"307Atlanta, GA
58Abel HoopiiOLSO6' 5"345Anianiku, HI
59PJ WilliamsOLSR6' 5"306Dickinson, TX
60Evan GoodwinOLFR6' 7"315Bauxite, AR
63Addison NicholsOLSR6' 5"320Norcross, GA
64Joshua BatesOLSR6' 3"310Durango, CO
65Bennett Johnson VOLFR6' 7"280San Antonio, TX
66Hunter RyanOLSR6' 2"272Dallas, TX
70Paxton BriggleOLSR6' 5"300Austin, TX
74Andrew ChambleeOLSR6' 6"311Maumelle, AR
75Dramodd OdomsOLSO6' 6"310Houston, TX
76Drew HillOLSO6' 3"292Corona, CA
78Drew EversOLFR6' 4"306Flower Mound, TX
79Sione Ma'uOLJR6' 6"350Auckland, New Zealand
5Malcolm Alcorn-CrowderDLSR6' 6"300Brockton, MA
55Woo SpencerDLSR6' 4"315New Albany, IN
90Jalen ShiversDLSO6' 4"280Atlanta, GA
93Kevin AllenDLSR6' 2"298Fort Worth, TX
94Jonathan JeffersonDLSR6' 4"330Douglasville, GA
96Christian de MoorDLJR6' 1"245Frisco, TX
97Christian DavisDLSR6' 3"315Ruston, LA
99Dakota DicksonDLFR6' 4"319Oakland, CA
6Tavion AtkinsonDEJR6' 4"272Houston, TX
9Ira Singleton IVDEJR6' 4"245Lilburn, GA
14Trey WilsonDESR6' 3"245Garland, TX
16Marques WhiteDESR6' 2"250Glendale, AZ
33Amontre HarrisDEFR6' 4"235Humble, TX
52Jahkai LangDESR6' 4"255Troy, MO
58Aakil WashingtonDESR6' 2"250Atlanta, GA
95Wyatt SmithDEFR6' 4"222Austin, TX
12Caden MarshallLBJR6' 2"225Paris, TN
23Alexander KilgoreLBSR6' 2"231Katy, TX
28Brandon BookerLBJR6' 1"231Desoto, TX
29Brandon MiyazonoLBSR6' 2"235Frisco, TX
30Kenneth Goodwin IIILBFR6' 2"225Miami, FL
32Jamal AndersonLBSR6' 3"231Buford, GA
50Marcus BrouseLBFR5' 11"218Southlake, TX
53Zachary HibnerLBFR6' 1"223Burke, VA
0William NettlesCBJR6' 0"200Mesquite, TX
2Zadian GentryCBSO6' 1"178Denison, TX
3Javion HolidayCBSO6' 1"193Duncanville, TX
4Jayvon ThomasCBSR5' 11"200Dallas, TX
8Marcellus Barnes Jr.CBJR6' 1"175Chattanooga, TN
13Jaelyn Davis-RobinsonCBSR6' 1"188Waxahachie, TX
20Deuce GilbertCBFR5' 11"190Forney, TX
35Dante Wesley IICBJR6' 0"196Cedar Hill, TX
44Michael De HoyosCBSR5' 10"193San Antonio, TX
1Jarvis LeeSSR5' 10"190Jacksonville, FL
7Ahmaad MosesSSR5' 10"205Arlington, TX
10Tyren Polley Jr.SSO6' 0"200Duncanville, TX
11Jaden Milliner-JonesSSR6' 0"202Desoto, TX
15La'Modrick SpencerSSR6' 0"192Dallas, TX
22Sael ReyesSSO6' 1"195East Saint Louis, IL
26Jaylen MosesSJR5' 10"191Carrollton, TX
27Abdul MuhammadSSR5' 8"184Dallas, TX
36Connor CarreraSSR6' 0"195Allen, TX
38Jake BallardSJR5' 10"184Flower Mound, TX
95Michael SlabaPKSR5' 11"195Rogers, AR
96Wiley OlsonPKFR5' 11"171Austin, TX
97Brendan BairdPKSR6' 1"200Albuquerque, NM
99Nick ReedPKSR5' 8"178Harrison, NY
43Wade McSparronPJR6' 4"225Geelong, Australia
47Cody WillifordLSFR5' 10"202Southlake, TX
48Morgan TribbettLSJR5' 11"217Eaton, CO

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2024 (+11.7, #11) · worst: 2014 (-18.0, #126)
-20-100+10FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#20
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far5-13-1#31+11.2+5.9+5.3
20259-46-2#20+9.7+5.5+4.1
202411-38-0#11+11.7+7.9+3.8
202311-38-0#18+8.9+4.0+4.9
20227-65-3#52+3.2+7.9-4.7
20218-44-4#34+5.6+7.5-2.0
20207-34-3#39+3.6+7.2-3.6
201910-36-2#32+5.5+11.1-5.5
20185-74-4#94-5.0+1.7-6.7
20177-64-4#74-1.0+6.4-7.4
20165-73-5#94-6.6-1.7-4.8
20152-101-7#119-14.2-2.6-11.5
20141-111-7#126-18.0-13.6-4.4

SMU's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Oct 21, 10:45 AM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →