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Sun Belt · 2026

Marshall Thundering Herd

Head coach Tony Gibson · Joan C. Edwards Stadium
4-31-2 in conference
TDC Rank
#113
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
-13.1
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-5.7
104th in FBS
Defense
-7.4
118th in FBS
Schedule so far
-10.0
108th toughest
Projected
6.3-5.7
bowl-eligible 78%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

-13.1 now, -5.4 preseason · down 28 spots since preseason
-15-10-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8#113

Final record odds

6.3-5.7 expected · most likely 6-6 (34%)
4-819%5-734%6-629%7-512%8-49-3

Team Leaders

National leaderboards →

Passing
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson
QB · SR · 103rd in FBS
1014yds
6 TD · 5 INT
Rushing
Judah Price
RB · SO · 233rd in FBS
237yds
41 car · 2 TD
Receiving
Xayvion Turner-Bradshaw
WR · SR · 130th in FBS
335yds
25 rec · 4 TD
Tackles
Caleb Clark-Glover
DB · JR · 59th in FBS
51tkl
1.5 TFL
Sacks
Kelvon McBride
EDGE · JR · 201st in FBS
2sacks
7 hurries
Interceptions
Caleb Clark-Glover
DB · JR · 110th in FBS
1INT
2 PD

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5@28Penn StateL 0–45 ›-15.6—FS1
2Sep 12vs130Middle TennesseeW 28–26 ›-20.9—ESPN+
3Sep 19@121Missouri StateW 30–24 ›-6.3—CBSSN
4Sep 26vsGardner-Webb FCSW 36–35 ›-26.7—ESPN+
5Oct 3@47James MadisonCONFL 17–45 ›-15.1—ESPNU
6Oct 10vs114Coastal CarolinaCONFL 21–27 ›-23.2—ESPN+
7—Bye
8Oct 20vs102South AlabamaCONFW 20–13 ›-7.1—ESPN2
9Oct 31@107Old DominionCONFOld Dominion −6.1 · o/u 45.8—34%ESPN+
10Nov 7@93Georgia SouthernCONFGeorgia Southern −10.0 · o/u 53.1—25%
11Nov 14vs105App StateCONFMarshall −1.4 · o/u 55.0—54%
12Nov 21vs99Georgia StateCONFGeorgia State −0.3 · o/u 63.0—49%
13Nov 28@136UL MonroeCONFMarshall −8.9 · o/u 55.4—72%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.15268th+0.254127th
Success rate45.6%47th43.5%97th
Explosiveness1.19694th1.344116th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate45.1%53rd43.2%95th
Rushing success rate49.1%23rd43.4%80th
Passing success rate41.5%77th43.0%96th
Explosive run rate15.7%45th13.7%79th
Explosive pass rate9.6%82nd11.9%107th
Line yards / carry3.2943rd3.1692nd
Opportunity rate41.2%50th42.5%119th
Stuff rate17.1%75th16.4%88th
Sack rate5.0%71st1.9%134th
3rd-down conversion41.9%67th37.5%51st
Red-zone TD rate48.0%116th50.0%34th
Havoc rate15.1%115th12.0%110th
Box score · season totals
Points / game21.7109th30.7117th
Yards / game395.364th430.0127th
Yards / play5.5587th6.31126th
Pass yards / game238.360th238.4108th
Yards / pass att.7.0091st7.6295th
Completion %62.6%80th58.5%37th
Rush yards / game157.067th191.6121st
Yards / carry4.4071st5.32126th
3rd-down conv. %39.8%78th38.1%79th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)2.00133rd0.86105th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.8670th0.86132nd
Penalty yards / game57.475th52.982nd

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
8.7
63rd of 138
YAC per catch
5.6
60th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
12%
94th of 138
Shotgun
98%
29th of 138
No-huddle
80%
42nd of 138
QB pressured
20%
8th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
24%
1st of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
5.7
34th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws229 throws charted

62% comp8.7 avg. depth5.6 YAC/catch12% 20+ air yds8–7 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 13 throws (6%), 11 caught (85%), 29 yds, 2.2 per throw1385% · 29yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 14 throws (6%), 8 caught (57%), 71 yds, 5.1 per throw1457% · 71yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 30 throws (13%), 23 caught (77%), 214 yds, 7.1 per throw3077% · 214yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 10 throws (4%), 2 caught (20%), 22 yds, 2.2 per throw1020% · 22yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 3 caught (50%), 66 yds, 11.0 per throw650% · 66yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 32 yds, 16.0 per throw250% · 32yLeft, 30+ air yards: 9 throws (4%), 1 caught (11%), 38 yds, 4.2 per throw911% · 38yMiddle, Behind air yards: 2 throws (1%), 2 caught (100%), 8 yds, 4.0 per throw2100% · 8yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 3 caught (60%), 23 yds, 4.6 per throw560% · 23yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 19 throws (8%), 15 caught (79%), 145 yds, 7.6 per throw1979% · 145yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 11 throws (5%), 5 caught (45%), 128 yds, 11.6 per throw1145% · 128yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 4 caught (80%), 80 yds, 16.0 per throw580% · 80yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 1 throws (0%), 1 caught (100%), 31 yds, 31.0 per throw1100% · 31yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (2%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw50% · 0yRight, Behind air yards: 26 throws (11%), 23 caught (88%), 159 yds, 6.1 per throw2688% · 159yRight, 0–4 air yards: 23 throws (10%), 18 caught (78%), 162 yds, 7.0 per throw2378% · 162yRight, 5–9 air yards: 20 throws (9%), 13 caught (65%), 133 yds, 6.7 per throw2065% · 133yRight, 10–14 air yards: 12 throws (5%), 5 caught (42%), 68 yds, 5.7 per throw1242% · 68yRight, 15–19 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 4 caught (67%), 82 yds, 13.7 per throw667% · 82yRight, 20–29 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 6 caught (67%), 178 yds, 19.8 per throw967% · 178yRight, 30+ air yards: 1 throws (0%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on213 throws charted

59% comp9.9 avg. depth5.7 YAC/catch16% 20+ air yds16–4 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 13 throws (6%), 13 caught (100%), 57 yds, 4.4 per throw13100% · 57yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 13 throws (6%), 9 caught (69%), 69 yds, 5.3 per throw1369% · 69yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 20 throws (9%), 13 caught (65%), 130 yds, 6.5 per throw2065% · 130yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 3 caught (38%), 49 yds, 6.1 per throw838% · 49yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw50% · 0yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 3 caught (50%), 95 yds, 15.8 per throw650% · 95yLeft, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw30% · 0yMiddle, Behind air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 4 yds, 2.0 per throw250% · 4yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 5 caught (63%), 55 yds, 6.9 per throw863% · 55yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 15 throws (7%), 8 caught (53%), 72 yds, 4.8 per throw1553% · 72yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 12 throws (6%), 6 caught (50%), 118 yds, 9.8 per throw1250% · 118yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 8 caught (89%), 254 yds, 28.2 per throw989% · 254yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 2 caught (50%), 61 yds, 15.3 per throw450% · 61yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 1 caught (25%), 41 yds, 10.3 per throw425% · 41yRight, Behind air yards: 11 throws (5%), 10 caught (91%), 55 yds, 5.0 per throw1191% · 55yRight, 0–4 air yards: 27 throws (13%), 19 caught (70%), 151 yds, 5.6 per throw2770% · 151yRight, 5–9 air yards: 23 throws (11%), 16 caught (70%), 157 yds, 6.8 per throw2370% · 157yRight, 10–14 air yards: 12 throws (6%), 3 caught (25%), 25 yds, 2.1 per throw1225% · 25yRight, 15–19 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 16 yds, 8.0 per throw250% · 16yRight, 20–29 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 4 caught (50%), 116 yds, 14.5 per throw850% · 116yRight, 30+ air yards: 8 throws (4%), 2 caught (25%), 83 yds, 10.4 per throw825% · 83y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction217 carries

Left
22%
5.3 YPC · 50% succ.
Middle
56%
5.4 YPC · 43% succ.
Right
22%
6.0 YPC · 53% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced242 carries

Left
18%
8.3 YPC · 56% succ.
Middle
63%
4.2 YPC · 41% succ.
Right
19%
8.5 YPC · 62% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Tony Gibson

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
1Zion TurnerQBSR6' 1"212Miami, FL
7Carlos Del Rio-WilsonQBSR6' 2"225Atlanta, GA
12Koi FaganQBFR6' 0"190Martinsburg, WV
17Dylan BarberQBFR5' 11"194LaGrange, GA
6Jo'Shon BarbieRBSR5' 9"188Harvey, LA
10Judah PriceRBSO5' 9"178Sophia, WV
21TJ LesterRBSO5' 9"205Milton, GA
22Anthony Quinn Jr.RBFR6' 0"196Fayetteville, NC
0De'Andre TamarezWRSR5' 11"172Overtown, FL
2Adrian NortonWRSR6' 0"199Huber Heights, OH
3Chris CulliverWRJR6' 1"195Maiden, NC
5Xayvion Turner-BradshawWRSR5' 10"166Bluefield, VA
9Christian HamiltonWRJR5' 11"186Harrisburg, NC
13Brennan ChambersWRFR6' 3"186Kinston, NC
14Demarcus LaceyWRSR6' 0"187Birmingham, AL
15Josiah McLaurinWRSO6' 1"186Clinton, NC
16Jalyn AbercrombieWRFR5' 11"183Huntington, WV
18Justin HaggertyWRJR5' 9"169Welch, WV
19Tony MartinWRJR5' 10"174Pahokee, FL
20Owen SweeneyWRSO6' 3"204Roanoke, VA
23Chase MasseyWRSO6' 1"175Winfield, WV
24Aiden BurkeWRFR6' 0"182Matewan, WV
80Shawn RouseTEJR6' 3"244Milton, WV
81Toby PayneTESR6' 4"237Poca, WV
85Tracy StephensTEJR6' 4"242Columbia, SC
86Brandon HettwerTEFR6' 4"234Charlotte, NC
50Jae'Von WhiteOLFR6' 5"293Rockledge, FL
52Rhett McGrewOLFR6' 2"264Hurricane, WV
53Mason RamseyOLFR6' 1"261Huntington, WV
54Drake LanhamOLFR6' 3"281Hurricane, WV
55Holden GriegerOLSO6' 7"315Elk Grove, CA
56Andrew DudleyOLFR6' 3"292Tempe, AZ
57Logan GreerOLJR6' 2"287Pittsburgh, PA
59Evan FergusonOLSR6' 2"297Huntington, WV
61Da'Ron ParksOLFR6' 5"340Nitro, WV
62Marwan DiabOLFR6' 3"286Burke, VA
64Jaquez JoinerOLFR6' 1"285Cocoa, FL
65Parker BraultOLFR6' 2"286Palatine, IL
66Eli KaufmanOLFR6' 4"300Wadsworth, OH
67Jack LairdOLFR6' 6"314Columbia, SC
69William SandfossOLFR6' 5"297Newport, KY
70Jalen SlappyOLSR6' 4"312Columbus, OH
73Robby MartinOLSO6' 4"304Huntington, WV
74Justyn LylesOLFR6' 3"245Cincinnati, OH
76Tariq MontgomeryOLSR6' 6"312Akron, OH
77Isaac ClaryOLJR6' 7"337Gallipolis, OH
78Xavier BausleyOLSR6' 4"318South Charleston, WV
24Jacarius ClaytonDLSR6' 5"241Tupelo, MS
34Caden TurnerDLFR6' 3"202Ironton, OH
44Kenyatta HardgeDLSO6' 1"293Lexington, KY
49Mekhi LockhartDLFR6' 4"296Winter Park, FL
51Jaxson CunninghamDLSO5' 11"225Winfield, WV
52Mikailin WarrenDLJR6' 4"380Baltimore, MD
55Cole FunderburkDLFR6' 3"244Suwanee, GA
58Braydin WardDLJR6' 6"258Montgomery, WV
90B.J. CarterDLFR6' 2"295Middleburg, FL
92Cam ChmuraDLSO6' 3"298Wexford, PA
95Donovan GarrettDLSO6' 2"210Huntington, WV
98Terry Nwabuisi-EzealaDLFR6' 1"324Munich, Germany
99Simeon JohnDLJR6' 2"281Dacula, GA
97Nate BlancDTFR6' 2"290Quebec City, Canada
5Javae GilmoreLBSR6' 4"221Amite, LA
6Jalen MarshallLBSR6' 2"224Hiram, GA
10Chason ClarkLBJR6' 2"207Starke, FL
25Andrew HamadLBSO5' 11"209Fairfax, VA
27Cannon LewisLBSO6' 2"230Barboursville, WV
30Jaasai SimmonsLBFR6' 1"234Philadelphia, PA
31Brysen DaviesLBFR5' 11"200Newnan, GA
33Andre ParkerLBFR5' 11"202Cincinnati, OH
40Ryan AyersLBSR6' 1"203Memphis, MI
47EahJay McAdamsLBFR6' 1"216East Orange, NJ
0Caleb Clark-GloverDBJR5' 11"187Cincinnati, OH
2Charles McCartherensDBJR5' 10"183Kennesaw, GA
4Philipp DavisDBJR6' 1"194Lake Wales, FL
11Josh Pierre-LouisDBSR5' 11"182West Palm Beach, FL
12Louikenzy JulesDBJR5' 11"180Union, NJ
18Daniel HarrisDBJR6' 4"180Melbourne, FL
23Sammy EtienneDBFR5' 11"185Lakeland, FL
39Dawson HillDBFR6' 2"184Nitro, WV
1Boogie TrotterCBSR5' 10"185Nashville, TN
8Eddie Pleasant IIICBJR5' 11"185Tampa, FL
9Brayden HallCBSR5' 10"181Chicago, IL
29Jason HaggertyCBJR5' 10"173Welch, WV
37Atley CowanCBSO6' 2"192Wheeling, WV
3Terrente HintonSSR6' 2"203Mobile, AL
15Tristan LesterSFR5' 9"190Alpharetta, GA
16Kendell AndersonSJR6' 1"208Silver Spring, MD
17Daytione SmithSSR6' 0"190East Highland Park, VA
19Zah JacksonSFR5' 10"190Huntington, WV
20Zeke GunnSFR6' 0"205Orlando, FL
22Jaycee HoustonSFR6' 2"181Cincinnati, OH
28Aumad EdwardsSFR5' 10"168Villa Hills, KY
32Pete SchuhSSR5' 10"187Montvale, NJ
41Jorge Diaz NicolasPKFR6' 4"228Madrid, Spain
90Samuel Guiden KrebsPKFR6' 0"216Laois, Ireland
96Ty PowellPKFR6' 0"185Thibodaux, LA
91Cooper HeimbachPFR6' 0"188Wheelersburg, OH
43Chase OrtizLSSO6' 1"220Davie, FL
7Kelvon McBrideEDGEJR6' 2"242Mobile, AL
21Keydel PainterEDGEJR6' 3"243Norfolk, VA

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2014 (+12.6, #11) · worst: 2016 (-10.4, #112)
-100+10FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#81
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far4-31-2#113-13.1-5.7-7.4
20255-73-5#81-2.5+1.9-4.4
202410-37-1#49+3.3+1.7+1.6
20236-73-5#99-5.3-3.5-1.8
20229-45-3#57+2.5-4.2+6.7
20217-65-3#50+4.1+1.7+2.4
20207-34-1#37+4.6-3.4+8.0
20198-56-2#72-1.4-2.3+0.9
20189-46-2#64+1.0-1.5+2.4
20178-54-4#70-0.6-2.9+2.3
20163-92-6#112-10.4-6.7-3.7
201510-36-2#47+4.3-0.1+4.4
201413-17-1#11+12.6+9.5+3.1

Marshall's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Oct 22, 10:45 AM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →