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Sun Belt · 2026

Georgia State Panthers

Head coach Dell McGee · Center Parc Stadium
4-21-1 in conference
TDC Rank
#99
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
-9.0
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-0.6
73rd in FBS
Defense
-8.3
124th in FBS
Schedule so far
-10.0
109th toughest
Projected
7.1-4.9
bowl-eligible 90%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

-9.0 now, -24.2 preseason · up 37 spots since preseason
-20-100FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8#99

Final record odds

7.1-4.9 expected · most likely 7-5 (30%)
4-88%5-721%6-630%7-525%8-412%9-310-2

Team Leaders

National leaderboards →

Passing
Cameran Brown
QB · SR · 69th in FBS
1291yds
13 TD · 5 INT
Rushing
Lanear McCrary Jr.
RB · SR · 97th in FBS
385yds
78 car · 4 TD
Receiving
Rodshaun Dorsey
WR · JR · 133rd in FBS
333yds
21 rec · 7 TD
Tackles
Jaydon Hood
LB · SR · 285th in FBS
36tkl
4.5 TFL
Sacks
Xavier Esqillion
LB · SR · 3rd in FBS
7sacks
4 hurries
Interceptions
Deuce Lee
S · SR · 109th in FBS
1INT
2 PD

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 4vsNorth Carolina A&T FCSW 59–10 ›-10.1—ESPN+
2Sep 12@110Kennesaw StateW 31–17 ›+6.4—ESPN+
3Sep 19@51UCFL 30–44 ›-4.7—ESPN+
4Sep 26vs132Northern IllinoisW 35–14 ›-2.9—ESPN+
5Oct 3vs107Old DominionCONFW 42–10 ›+12.2—ESPN+
6—Bye
7Oct 17@47James MadisonCONFL 22–49 ›-14.8—ESPNU
8Oct 24@103Arkansas StateCONFArkansas State −2.5 · o/u 64.6—43%ESPN+
9Oct 31vs114Coastal CarolinaCONFGeorgia State −8.2 · o/u 62.7—71%ESPN+
10Nov 7@105App StateCONFApp State −2.1 · o/u 61.0—45%
11Nov 14vs93Georgia SouthernCONFGeorgia State −1.8 · o/u 59.1—55%
12Nov 21@113MarshallCONFGeorgia State −0.3 · o/u 63.0—51%
13Nov 28vs89LouisianaCONFGeorgia State −0.3 · o/u 57.8—51%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.23927th+0.04948th
Success rate48.2%26th38.3%43rd
Explosiveness1.29043rd1.315105th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate47.1%38th39.2%47th
Rushing success rate44.9%64th42.5%67th
Passing success rate49.7%20th36.3%27th
Explosive run rate17.3%24th21.9%137th
Explosive pass rate16.4%8th10.4%80th
Line yards / carry3.3237th3.23104th
Opportunity rate41.6%43rd38.4%83rd
Stuff rate17.8%82nd21.2%29th
Sack rate3.2%31st8.3%12th
3rd-down conversion53.1%13th34.9%38th
Red-zone TD rate73.7%22nd52.6%43rd
Havoc rate12.0%43rd14.6%56th
Box score · season totals
Points / game36.525th24.074th
Yards / game452.723rd336.750th
Yards / play6.4528th5.2168th
Pass yards / game246.751st189.238th
Yards / pass att.8.2041st6.6047th
Completion %65.0%54th57.0%31st
Rush yards / game206.026th147.582nd
Yards / carry5.2026th4.4998th
3rd-down conv. %47.5%27th29.9%12th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.67113th1.0086th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)0.8310th3.177th
Penalty yards / game57.274th53.080th

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
8.6
72nd of 138
YAC per catch
6.0
43rd of 138
Deep shots (20+)
15%
61st of 138
Shotgun
93%
89th of 138
No-huddle
64%
67th of 138
QB pressured
9%
118th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
14%
79th of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
4.7
103rd of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws172 throws charted

65% comp8.6 avg. depth6.0 YAC/catch15% 20+ air yds14–6 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 13 throws (8%), 12 caught (92%), 83 yds, 6.4 per throw1392% · 83yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 13 throws (8%), 9 caught (69%), 78 yds, 6.0 per throw1369% · 78yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 13 throws (8%), 9 caught (69%), 86 yds, 6.6 per throw1369% · 86yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 3 caught (60%), 75 yds, 15.0 per throw560% · 75yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 4 caught (80%), 94 yds, 18.8 per throw580% · 94yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 2 caught (40%), 73 yds, 14.6 per throw540% · 73yLeft, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 35 yds, 17.5 per throw250% · 35yMiddle, Behind air yards: 1 throws (1%), 1 caught (100%), 29 yds, 29.0 per throw1100% · 29yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 12 throws (7%), 8 caught (67%), 52 yds, 4.3 per throw1267% · 52yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 9 throws (5%), 7 caught (78%), 75 yds, 8.3 per throw978% · 75yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 6 caught (86%), 85 yds, 12.1 per throw786% · 85yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 2 caught (67%), 45 yds, 15.0 per throw367% · 45yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 2 caught (67%), 58 yds, 19.3 per throw367% · 58yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (2%), 1 caught (33%), 80 yds, 26.7 per throw333% · 80yRight, Behind air yards: 13 throws (8%), 13 caught (100%), 41 yds, 3.2 per throw13100% · 41yRight, 0–4 air yards: 28 throws (16%), 14 caught (50%), 100 yds, 3.6 per throw2850% · 100yRight, 5–9 air yards: 16 throws (9%), 9 caught (56%), 93 yds, 5.8 per throw1656% · 93yRight, 10–14 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 3 caught (75%), 42 yds, 10.5 per throw475% · 42yRight, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 5 caught (71%), 107 yds, 15.3 per throw771% · 107yRight, 20–29 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 2 caught (40%), 57 yds, 11.4 per throw540% · 57yRight, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (3%), 2 caught (40%), 82 yds, 16.4 per throw540% · 82y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on167 throws charted

57% comp9.7 avg. depth4.7 YAC/catch13% 20+ air yds7–2 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 2 throws (1%), 2 caught (100%), 2 yds, 1.0 per throw2100% · 2yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 20 throws (12%), 15 caught (75%), 134 yds, 6.7 per throw2075% · 134yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 18 throws (11%), 11 caught (61%), 98 yds, 5.4 per throw1861% · 98yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 8 throws (5%), 4 caught (50%), 54 yds, 6.8 per throw850% · 54yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 1 caught (33%), 25 yds, 8.3 per throw333% · 25yLeft, 20–29 air yards: noneLeft, 30+ air yards: 6 throws (4%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw60% · 0yMiddle, Behind air yards: 1 throws (1%), 1 caught (100%), 1 yds, 1.0 per throw1100% · 1yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 11 throws (7%), 8 caught (73%), 68 yds, 6.2 per throw1173% · 68yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 11 throws (7%), 3 caught (27%), 28 yds, 2.5 per throw1127% · 28yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 4 caught (57%), 73 yds, 10.4 per throw757% · 73yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 4 caught (57%), 131 yds, 18.7 per throw757% · 131yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 1 throws (1%), 1 caught (100%), 25 yds, 25.0 per throw1100% · 25yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (3%), 2 caught (40%), 88 yds, 17.6 per throw540% · 88yRight, Behind air yards: 11 throws (7%), 9 caught (82%), 6 yds, 0.5 per throw1182% · 6yRight, 0–4 air yards: 19 throws (11%), 15 caught (79%), 75 yds, 3.9 per throw1979% · 75yRight, 5–9 air yards: 17 throws (10%), 6 caught (35%), 58 yds, 3.4 per throw1735% · 58yRight, 10–14 air yards: 8 throws (5%), 5 caught (63%), 64 yds, 8.0 per throw863% · 64yRight, 15–19 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 1 caught (25%), 16 yds, 4.0 per throw425% · 16yRight, 20–29 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 3 caught (75%), 107 yds, 26.8 per throw475% · 107yRight, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 1 caught (25%), 44 yds, 11.0 per throw425% · 44y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction218 carries

Left
19%
7.4 YPC · 55% succ.
Middle
63%
4.7 YPC · 39% succ.
Right
18%
6.4 YPC · 62% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced174 carries

Left
21%
7.1 YPC · 51% succ.
Middle
62%
4.2 YPC · 34% succ.
Right
17%
8.2 YPC · 59% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Dell McGee

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
2Ayden PereiraQBSR5' 11"205Auburn, NH
8Cameran BrownQBSR6' 2"230Warner Robins, GA
12Jadon OlafssonQBFR5' 9"175Tampa, FL
14TJ StanleyQBFR6' 2"215Lyons, GA
15Gavin NuckollsQBFR5' 11"170Rocky Face, GA
0Dennis Murray Jr.RBSO5' 9"170Daytona Beach, FL
5Lanear McCrary Jr.RBSR5' 10"200Rockmart, GA
20Jamal Bing Jr.RBJR5' 8"170Hampton, GA
21Jaylen PoeRBJR5' 10"210Dallas, GA
22Xavier ButlerRBFR5' 8"180Lithonia, GA
25Tayo AshadeleRBFR5' 10"210Sugar Hill, GA
28Savion HartRBSO5' 9"190Minneapolis, MN
32Ladainnian MartinRBFR5' 10"180Greer, SC
33Jason FisherRBJR5' 8"200Lawrenceville, GA
7Owen DupreeWRJR6' 3"190Dallas, GA
9Rodshaun DorseyWRJR6' 5"210Andrews, SC
10DJ RilesWRSR5' 11"200Columbus, GA
13Derrick Avery Jr.WRSO6' 0"195Alpharetta, GA
16Jaylin MarshallWRSR5' 11"170Hamilton, GA
18D'Ontae FultonWRFR5' 11"155Sylvester, GA
19Jamari MillerWRFR5' 9"155Opelika, AL
38Khalil QuinnWRFR5' 9"180Warner Robins, GA
80Ahmed SouareWRFR6' 3"205Loganville, GA
82Zach StairWRFR6' 1"195Atlanta, GA
84Nathaniel FernanderWRFR6' 1"185Suwanee, GA
86Keron MiltonWRSO5' 11"165Warner Robins, GA
87Austin McGeeWRSO5' 8"160Athens, GA
89Amari PowellWRSO6' 4"200Cairo, GA
6Wesley Campbell VITESR6' 4"230Fairburn, GA
11Matt BuronTESR6' 5"260Bridgewater, MA
44Kyle MullenixTEFR6' 6"240Woodstock, GA
81Avion McBrideTESR6' 5"245Florence, SC
85Grant HollierTESO6' 3"225Woodstock, GA
53Malik JacksonOLSO6' 2"300Atlanta, GA
55Gage StanalandOLJR6' 3"310Tuscola, TX
56Deandre DuffusOLJR6' 4"330Hollywood, FL
57Kadorian BenjaminOLFR6' 5"320Swainsboro, GA
65Hunter BrittOLFR6' 4"315Lawrenceville, GA
68Peter DiazOLJR6' 3"320Easton, PA
70Matthew GrowOLFR6' 6"305Buford, GA
71Aidan AndrewsOLFR6' 3"295Griffin, GA
72Kelton SmithOLJR6' 5"305Columbus, GA
73Deylin HasertOLSR6' 4"305Marshall, MN
74Pherleski MartinOLFR6' 4"320Snellville, GA
75Marcus MascollOLSO6' 5"310Snellville, GA
76Jordan BrownOLSR6' 4"330Long Beach, CA
52Donovan FunschOTJR6' 6"320Perry, GA
58Maxwell RobinsonOTFR6' 3"290Derby, KS
66Braylin RobertsOTFR6' 4"310Newnan, GA
91Tyrese CatheyDLSO6' 3"275Independence, MS
1Jabriel Rhodes-NelsonDESR6' 4"270Philadelphia, PA
49Timothy DaileyDEFR6' 3"275Dallas, GA
58Kelze HowardDEJR6' 3"260Las Vegas, NV
93Aaron MooreDEFR6' 3"260Mobile, AL
95Richard KramerDEJR6' 3"250Port Saint Lucie, FL
0Jonah ReederDTSR6' 2"310Moreno Valley, CA
52Alex MullingsDTSO6' 1"285Demopolis, AL
59Gabriel ChigwereDTJR6' 1"275Milton, GA
59Abdul MohammedDTSO6' 0"280Lilburn, GA
88Kevin NorwoodDTJR6' 2"290Theodore, AL
90Zamar McGeeDTFR6' 2"305Columbus, GA
94Eli RichardsDTFR6' 2"300Hoschton, GA
98Samuel ChukwurahDTJR6' 2"330Bellflower, CA
99Mandjou BerteDTSR6' 2"310Snellville, GA
4Xavier EsqillionLBSR6' 1"250Charlotte, NC
9Eric Butler Jr.LBJR6' 1"230Olathe, KS
20Coby OwensLBJR6' 0"215Saltillo, MS
27Tyler MooreLBFR6' 0"230Opelika, AL
28Jaden KellyLBSR6' 0"215Dallas, TX
30Ryan GreenLBSR5' 10"225Athens, GA
33Zachary DavisLBFR6' 0"230Homestead, FL
34Jaydon HoodLBSR6' 0"220West Palm Beach, FL
35Khalid FelizLBFR6' 3"230Orlando, FL
41Michael FountainLBFR5' 9"195Canton, GA
43Zion LawsonLBFR6' 2"240Atlanta, GA
45Kelan ButlerLBSO6' 3"240Jefferson, GA
46Sean AdemokunLBFR6' 1"225Lawrenceville, GA
47Chandler CovingtonLBSO6' 3"210Loganville, GA
48Zach AdamsLBFR6' 2"210Atlanta, GA
11Toby BoltonCBSR5' 10"185Athens, GA
12Darius Johnson Jr.CBSR5' 10"180Watkinsville, GA
18Andre JocelynCBJR6' 0"190Fort Myers, FL
24Malique HarrellCBFR5' 11"170Saint Petersburg, FL
25Monterrius EcholsCBFR5' 11"170Phenix City, AL
31Ry'Sheed FullerCBFR5' 9"155Moultrie, GA
32Tyson McCraryCBSO6' 0"180Marietta, GA
39Cade DuttonCBJR6' 0"175Folsom, CA
42Tylan SmithCBSO5' 10"190Mableton, GA
3Demonte GastonSSR6' 2"210Pensacola, FL
8Deuce LeeSSR5' 11"195Silver Spring, MD
13Donovan FariaSSO6' 0"190Land O Lakes, FL
15Tre MittmanSJR6' 1"205Durham, NC
16Keenan NelsonSSR6' 0"200Philadelphia, PA
17Joseph HoltSFR6' 2"190Birmingham, AL
21Derrick Maxey IIISJR5' 11"170College Park, GA
22Ty SneadSFR6' 2"215East Dublin, GA
37Josh OwensSJR6' 0"180Lithonia, GA
38Christon JonesSFR5' 10"185Lawrenceville, GA
39Samer LayousPKSO5' 7"155Alpharetta, GA
36Braxton KitchensLSSO6' 0"200Cartersville, GA

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2020 (+0.4, #63) · worst: 2014 (-19.2, #127)
-20-100FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#131
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far4-21-1#99-9.0-0.6-8.3
20251-110-8#131-14.0-6.0-8.0
20243-91-7#118-9.7-3.1-6.6
20237-63-5#85-3.6-0.5-3.2
20224-83-5#79-3.0+1.1-4.1
20218-56-2#69-0.3-0.30.0
20206-44-4#63+0.4+4.4-4.0
20197-64-4#108-7.3+1.8-9.1
20182-101-7#119-13.2-5.6-7.7
20177-55-3#109-8.8-8.3-0.5
20163-92-6#105-8.8-7.9-0.9
20156-75-3#98-7.7-5.0-2.7
20141-110-8#127-19.2-6.4-12.8

Georgia State's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Oct 21, 10:45 AM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →