Sun Belt · 2026

App State Mountaineers

Head coach Dowell Loggains · Kidd Brewer Stadium
4-21-1 in conference
TDC Rank
#105
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
-10.7
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-5.5
103rd in FBS
Defense
-5.2
103rd in FBS
Schedule so far
-13.5
128th toughest
Projected
6.8-5.2
bowl-eligible 88%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

-10.7 now, -18.2 preseason · up 19 spots since preseason
-20-100FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8#105

Final record odds

6.8-5.2 expected · most likely 7-5 (33%)
4-811%5-728%6-633%7-520%8-46%9-310-2

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5vsMaine FCSW 55–3 ›-4.7—ESPN+
2Sep 12@87East CarolinaW 27–24 ›+1.6—ESPNU
3Sep 19vs135CharlotteW 26–21 ›-22.6—ESPN+
4Sep 26@64NC StateL 31–41 ›-4.0—ESPNU
5—Bye
6Oct 10vs107Old DominionCONFL 3–10 ›-21.6—ESPN+
7Oct 16@114Coastal CarolinaCONFW 35–32 ›-6.6—ESPN2
8Oct 22vs47James MadisonCONFJames Madison −13.4 · o/u 56.5—19%ESPNU
9Oct 31@93Georgia SouthernCONFGeorgia Southern −7.5 · o/u 51.1—31%ESPN+
10Nov 7vs99Georgia StateCONFApp State −2.1 · o/u 61.0—56%
11Nov 14@113MarshallCONFMarshall −1.4 · o/u 55.0—46%
12Nov 21vs136UL MonroeCONFApp State −18.9 · o/u 53.4—90%
13Nov 27@102South AlabamaCONFSouth Alabama −4.2 · o/u 63.7—39%ESPN+

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.11184th+0.06254th
Success rate41.5%88th41.9%79th
Explosiveness1.28047th1.10015th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate41.8%86th42.3%83rd
Rushing success rate39.5%110th44.1%87th
Passing success rate44.2%56th40.2%63rd
Explosive run rate14.7%58th12.3%56th
Explosive pass rate14.2%24th8.4%39th
Line yards / carry2.81118th2.8649th
Opportunity rate35.8%112th39.0%92nd
Stuff rate21.1%118th21.0%35th
Sack rate3.7%40th4.0%112th
3rd-down conversion38.2%93rd37.7%53rd
Red-zone TD rate75.0%15th70.6%117th
Havoc rate13.4%77th16.3%28th
Box score · season totals
Points / game29.569th21.854th
Yards / game421.748th352.366th
Yards / play6.0051st5.0153rd
Pass yards / game267.733rd214.576th
Yards / pass att.8.2041st6.8560th
Completion %67.3%33rd59.0%44th
Rush yards / game154.071st137.860th
Yards / carry4.2086th3.6847th
3rd-down conv. %35.0%108th38.4%80th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.1766th1.8316th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.3344th1.50102nd
Penalty yards / game55.867th54.372nd

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
8.0
101st of 138
YAC per catch
5.5
72nd of 138
Deep shots (20+)
11%
114th of 138
Shotgun
98%
46th of 138
No-huddle
62%
70th of 138
QB pressured
14%
56th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
14%
80th of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
4.6
109th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws192 throws charted

67% comp8.0 avg. depth5.5 YAC/catch11% 20+ air yds9–3 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 21 throws (11%), 17 caught (81%), 77 yds, 3.7 per throw2181% · 77yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 15 throws (8%), 8 caught (53%), 72 yds, 4.8 per throw1553% · 72yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 11 throws (6%), 7 caught (64%), 69 yds, 6.3 per throw1164% · 69yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 4 caught (67%), 87 yds, 14.5 per throw667% · 87yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 4 caught (67%), 93 yds, 15.5 per throw667% · 93yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 2 caught (40%), 58 yds, 11.6 per throw540% · 58yLeft, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (2%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw30% · 0yMiddle, Behind air yards: 3 throws (2%), 2 caught (67%), 15 yds, 5.0 per throw367% · 15yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 10 throws (5%), 5 caught (50%), 31 yds, 3.1 per throw1050% · 31yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 15 throws (8%), 10 caught (67%), 100 yds, 6.7 per throw1567% · 100yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 4 caught (57%), 77 yds, 11.0 per throw757% · 77yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 11 throws (6%), 5 caught (45%), 114 yds, 10.4 per throw1145% · 114yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 1 throws (1%), 1 caught (100%), 27 yds, 27.0 per throw1100% · 27yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (2%), 2 caught (67%), 85 yds, 28.3 per throw367% · 85yRight, Behind air yards: 15 throws (8%), 11 caught (73%), 78 yds, 5.2 per throw1573% · 78yRight, 0–4 air yards: 24 throws (13%), 22 caught (92%), 149 yds, 6.2 per throw2492% · 149yRight, 5–9 air yards: 11 throws (6%), 10 caught (91%), 93 yds, 8.5 per throw1191% · 93yRight, 10–14 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 6 caught (75%), 80 yds, 10.0 per throw875% · 80yRight, 15–19 air yards: 9 throws (5%), 8 caught (89%), 165 yds, 18.3 per throw989% · 165yRight, 20–29 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 4 caught (80%), 136 yds, 27.2 per throw580% · 136yRight, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (2%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw30% · 0y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on177 throws charted

58% comp9.9 avg. depth4.6 YAC/catch22% 20+ air yds7–9 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 10 throws (6%), 7 caught (70%), 18 yds, 1.8 per throw1070% · 18yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 12 throws (7%), 7 caught (58%), 59 yds, 4.9 per throw1258% · 59yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 18 throws (10%), 15 caught (83%), 118 yds, 6.6 per throw1883% · 118yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 2 caught (50%), 24 yds, 6.0 per throw450% · 24yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 1 throws (1%), 1 caught (100%), 15 yds, 15.0 per throw1100% · 15yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 3 caught (50%), 95 yds, 15.8 per throw650% · 95yLeft, 30+ air yards: 9 throws (5%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw90% · 0yMiddle, Behind air yards: 2 throws (1%), 2 caught (100%), 6 yds, 3.0 per throw2100% · 6yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 11 throws (6%), 6 caught (55%), 44 yds, 4.0 per throw1155% · 44yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 8 throws (5%), 3 caught (38%), 31 yds, 3.9 per throw838% · 31yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 4 caught (57%), 64 yds, 9.1 per throw757% · 64yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 1 caught (25%), 19 yds, 4.8 per throw425% · 19yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 2 caught (33%), 44 yds, 7.3 per throw633% · 44yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 2 caught (100%), 132 yds, 66.0 per throw2100% · 132yRight, Behind air yards: 10 throws (6%), 9 caught (90%), 58 yds, 5.8 per throw1090% · 58yRight, 0–4 air yards: 14 throws (8%), 12 caught (86%), 55 yds, 3.9 per throw1486% · 55yRight, 5–9 air yards: 28 throws (16%), 20 caught (71%), 193 yds, 6.9 per throw2871% · 193yRight, 10–14 air yards: 8 throws (5%), 3 caught (38%), 44 yds, 5.5 per throw838% · 44yRight, 15–19 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 4 caught (100%), 78 yds, 19.5 per throw4100% · 78yRight, 20–29 air yards: 10 throws (6%), 4 caught (40%), 118 yds, 11.8 per throw1040% · 118yRight, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (2%), 1 caught (33%), 47 yds, 15.7 per throw333% · 47y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction199 carries

Left
25%
6.1 YPC · 51% succ.
Middle
57%
4.5 YPC · 45% succ.
Right
19%
5.1 YPC · 46% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced207 carries

Left
16%
7.0 YPC · 62% succ.
Middle
71%
3.7 YPC · 39% succ.
Right
12%
4.2 YPC · 52% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Dowell Loggains

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
3Malachi SingletonQBSR6' 1"225Kennesaw, GA
8Henry HasselbeckQBJR6' 3"200Boston, MA
10Gregory FeeQBSO6' 5"215Charlotte, NC
15Bronzden ChaffinQBFR6' 4"235Baxter, TN
17Tommy UlatowskiQBSR6' 1"195Lemont, IL
2Kanye RobertsRBSR6' 0"205Wallace, NC
5Jaquari LewisRBSO5' 10"205Fort Lauderdale, FL
11Ja'Quez CrossRBSR5' 9"195Hampton, AR
26Max GuestRBSO5' 9"190Asheville, NC
31Jaysen AnguloRBSR6' 0"205Charlotte, NC
48J'Marion BurnetteRBJR6' 2"220Andalusia, AL
0Sam Pickett IIIWRSO6' 0"185Chattanooga, TN
1Nate BranchWRJR5' 9"180Hopkins, SC
6Chris LoftonWRSR6' 0"185Columbia, SC
12Sam MbakeWRSR6' 3"205Atlanta, GA
13Jackson GrierWRSR5' 11"195Fort Lauderdale, FL
16Alexander SanchezWRSO6' 2"200Loganville, GA
18Kamauri AustinWRFR6' 4"205Bryant, AR
22Semaj FlemingWRSO5' 8"175Orlando, FL
28Cash BrownWRFR5' 10"155Newberry, SC
80Doopah ColemanWRSO5' 11"195Savannah, GA
81Derick BrazilWRJR6' 0"175Kannapolis, NC
82Zalin IngramWRJR6' 3"185Clayton, NC
83Daz JamesWRSR6' 2"200Clayton, NC
84Ryan MorrisonWRJR6' 0"180Baltimore, MD
88Kabran PaulWRFR5' 10"165Tallahassee, FL
89Zach TaylorWRJR6' 4"175Yoakum, TX
7Darrin FugittTESR6' 5"240Bolivar, MO
19Jamel HowseTEFR6' 4"250Newberry, SC
45Gavin BarberTEFR6' 3"240Mooresville, NC
85Luke DouglasTEJR6' 5"240Jupiter, FL
87Dillon GallowayTESO6' 4"245Rosman, NC
50Eisa EvansOLFR6' 6"300Winston-Salem, NC
52Cayden SweattOLSR6' 4"300Bremen, GA
55Ben JonesOLFR6' 3"295Orlando, FL
56Jayden ThomasOLJR6' 4"305Thomson, GA
57Devon ManuelOLSR6' 7"325Sunset, LA
60Caden MuskusOLFR6' 5"300Chapin, SC
63Scottland DoverOLFR6' 5"305Gaffney, SC
64Jarvis PottsOLFR6' 4"290Huntersville, NC
66Danny StevensOLSR6' 4"300Charlotte, NC
67Trent RamseyOLSR6' 5"315Tampa, FL
70Al OliverOLSO6' 5"305Sarasota, FL
72Nick KashubaraOLFR6' 4"295Greensboro, NC
73Tre GloverOLFR6' 4"315Warner Robins, GA
74Kamron BurrisOLSR6' 5"305Dunwoody, GA
75Greydon GrimesOLJR6' 6"290China Spring, TX
76Jahlon HarrisOLFR6' 6"315Maumelle, AR
77Daniel DavisOLSR6' 6"300Winston-Salem, NC
78Tyriq PoindexterOLSR6' 5"310Roanoke, VA
11Jordan HarrisDLFR6' 6"235Little Rock, AR
33Aiden BentonDLSR6' 2"250Hampton, GA
41Caleb SandstromDLSR6' 3"250Andover, MN
44Manny LewisDLFR6' 2"280Waxhaw, NC
45Nick CampbellDLSR6' 4"290Clermont, FL
46Nick AveryDLSO6' 5"280Clayton, NC
50Jehchys BrownDLSR6' 2"300Centralia, IL
58Chris DoyleDLFR6' 2"300Bluffton, SC
84Sawyer ArnoldDLFR6' 4"230Charleston, SC
88Kaden EllisDLSO6' 1"300Cartersville, GA
93Keaton BraddockDLJR6' 5"230Lamar, SC
94Caleb PittsDLSO6' 2"265Auburn, AL
95Ki'Shawn HarveyDLSR6' 1"320Raleigh, NC
96Ricky LoloheaDLJR6' 3"310Euless, TX
97Xavier JosephDLFR6' 2"255Covington, GA
98Kelvin CrawfordDLSO6' 2"230Tallahassee, FL
99Aaron ClarkDLJR6' 0"305Charleston, WV
5Carson SloanLBJR6' 2"230Blackshear, GA
10Colton PharesLBSR6' 2"225Beaufort, SC
13Keshawn ThomasLBSR6' 1"230Ocean Springs, MS
15Alex MitchellLBSR6' 1"235Murfreesboro, TN
16Kevin HendersonLBJR5' 11"215Cartersville, GA
22BJ JuniusLBFR6' 0"205Carver Ranches, FL
49Randy Marion IIILBSR6' 0"210Mooresville, NC
52Michael McclentonLBFR6' 0"230Sanford, FL
0Juan BerchalDBSO5' 10"185Sanford, FL
1Ja'Den McBurrowsDBSR5' 11"195Fort Lauderdale, FL
3Ja'Cari HendersonDBSR6' 0"180Sanford, FL
4Jakob GudeDBJR5' 11"190Atlanta, GA
6Khalil ConleyDBJR5' 11"185Asheville, NC
7Devin HendersonDBJR5' 10"200Cartersville, GA
8Dre WalkerDBSR6' 2"195Charlotte, NC
9Ahmad RobinsonDBSR6' 0"180St. Louis, MO
12Cary GrantDBSR6' 2"195New Orleans, LA
18Syncere BerryDBFR6' 2"180Atlanta, GA
20Eric AdamsDBSR6' 1"205Roaring River, NC
21Joe ReddishDBSR5' 11"190Charlotte, NC
25Kaleb PurdyDBSR5' 11"185St. Louis, MO
27Cam FlemingDBSR6' 0"195Richmond, VA
30Dorrian MedleyDBFR6' 3"175Hickory, NC
36Luke LairDBSR6' 2"190Wake Forest, NC
48Matthew Castrillon-RoblesDBJR5' 10"175London, Canada
29Carter EverettPKSR5' 10"195Boone, NC
36Andrew CummingsPKFR5' 8"195Mooresville, NC
83James LondonPKSR6' 0"195Miami, FL
40Jaxson DunnPJR6' 1"190Philadelphia, PA
43Evan MulcarePFR6' 0"170Tampa, FL
34Parker StoneLSSR6' 4"220Grain Valley, MO
42Cale SchiralliLSFR6' 0"190Jupiter, FL
47Hardy ButlerLSFR5' 10"205Birmingham, AL

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2019 (+11.3, #17) · worst: 2025 (-8.9, #115)
-100+10FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#115
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far4-21-1#105-10.7-5.5-5.2
20255-82-6#115-8.9-4.1-4.9
20245-63-5#94-4.6-0.2-4.4
20239-56-2#54+2.5+5.6-3.1
20226-63-5#62+1.8+4.1-2.3
202110-47-1#20+7.7+3.9+3.8
20209-36-2#20+8.0+2.0+6.0
201913-17-1#17+11.3+6.2+5.0
201811-27-1#19+9.9+1.9+8.0
20179-47-1#45+3.9-0.5+4.4
201610-37-1#25+7.2-1.1+8.3
201511-27-1#42+5.3+0.9+4.4
20147-56-2#88-5.1-0.8-4.3

App State's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Oct 21, 10:45 AM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →