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MAC · 2026

Miami (OH) RedHawks

Head coach Chuck Martin · Yager Stadium
4-32-1 in conference
TDC Rank
#96
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
-8.4
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-4.8
100th in FBS
Defense
-3.6
95th in FBS
Schedule so far
-11.2
117th toughest
Projected
7.0-5.0
bowl-eligible 92%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

-8.4 now, -8.8 preseason · down 2 spots since preseason
-15-10-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8#96

Final record odds

7.0-5.0 expected · most likely 7-5 (37%)
4-87%5-724%6-637%7-525%8-46%9-3

Team Leaders

National leaderboards →

Passing
David McComb
QB · FR · 90th in FBS
1120yds
7 TD · 1 INT
Rushing
Rodney Nelson
RB · JR · 118th in FBS
348yds
68 car · 2 TD
Receiving
Maleek Huggins
WR · SR · 157th in FBS
309yds
17 rec · 1 TD
Tackles
Malcolm McCain
LB · JR · 25th in FBS
57tkl
1 TFL
Sacks
Grant Lyons
LB · SR · 41st in FBS
4sacks
7 hurries
Interceptions
Amariyun Knighten
DB · SR · 109th in FBS
1INT
7 PD

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5@42PittsburghL 14–59 ›-20.4—CW
2Sep 12vsHoly Cross FCSW 45–7 ›-6.1—ESPN+
3Sep 19@55CincinnatiL 31–35 ›+3.6—ESPN+
4Sep 26vs78UConnW 24–21 ›-3.6—ESPN+
5Oct 3vs127Bowling GreenCONFL 20–24 ›-26.0—ESPN+
6Oct 10@129MassachusettsCONFW 20–19 ›-13.8—ESPN+
7Oct 17vs131AkronCONFW 34–14 ›-3.7—ESPN+
8Oct 24@120Central MichiganCONFMiami (OH) −3.4 · o/u 48.0—59%ESPN+
9—Bye
10Nov 3vs128BuffaloCONFMiami (OH) −13.9 · o/u 48.9—82%
11Nov 10vs88OhioCONFMiami (OH) −0.6 · o/u 51.2—52%
12Nov 17@134Kent StateCONFMiami (OH) −10.5 · o/u 48.8—76%
13Nov 24@81Western MichiganCONFWestern Michigan −8.9 · o/u 47.3—28%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.18456th+0.10681st
Success rate40.9%94th41.4%70th
Explosiveness1.4463rd1.327109th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate40.6%99th42.7%86th
Rushing success rate40.5%102nd43.2%79th
Passing success rate40.8%85th42.3%92nd
Explosive run rate17.3%24th9.9%25th
Explosive pass rate17.5%5th9.6%61st
Line yards / carry3.1475th2.7530th
Opportunity rate37.0%99th34.6%42nd
Stuff rate15.6%54th19.8%45th
Sack rate8.0%116th4.6%94th
3rd-down conversion33.3%123rd43.0%106th
Red-zone TD rate52.4%104th78.6%129th
Havoc rate13.3%73rd12.9%90th
Box score · season totals
Points / game26.984th25.685th
Yards / game357.996th376.193rd
Yards / play6.0849th5.6595th
Pass yards / game216.483rd276.9132nd
Yards / pass att.8.8021st7.6396th
Completion %59.5%101st64.2%103rd
Rush yards / game141.493rd99.322nd
Yards / carry4.4071st3.5139th
3rd-down conv. %34.2%113th40.9%99th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)0.7126th1.1478th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.2999th2.0073rd
Penalty yards / game58.178th46.6115th

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
10.7
15th of 138
YAC per catch
6.6
21st of 138
Deep shots (20+)
22%
7th of 138
Shotgun
99%
19th of 138
No-huddle
26%
106th of 138
QB pressured
17%
18th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
14%
64th of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
3.9
134th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws168 throws charted

60% comp10.7 avg. depth6.6 YAC/catch22% 20+ air yds9–3 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 13 throws (8%), 9 caught (69%), 86 yds, 6.6 per throw1369% · 86yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 10 throws (6%), 8 caught (80%), 67 yds, 6.7 per throw1080% · 67yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 19 throws (11%), 12 caught (63%), 142 yds, 7.5 per throw1963% · 142yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 10 throws (6%), 8 caught (80%), 135 yds, 13.5 per throw1080% · 135yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 2 caught (40%), 63 yds, 12.6 per throw540% · 63yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 8 throws (5%), 4 caught (50%), 137 yds, 17.1 per throw850% · 137yLeft, 30+ air yards: 9 throws (5%), 2 caught (22%), 76 yds, 8.4 per throw922% · 76yMiddle, Behind air yards: 3 throws (2%), 1 caught (33%), 5 yds, 1.7 per throw333% · 5yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 2 caught (100%), 25 yds, 12.5 per throw2100% · 25yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 3 caught (100%), 37 yds, 12.3 per throw3100% · 37yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 15 yds, 7.5 per throw250% · 15yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 1 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 3 caught (60%), 98 yds, 19.6 per throw560% · 98yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0yRight, Behind air yards: 15 throws (9%), 12 caught (80%), 31 yds, 2.1 per throw1580% · 31yRight, 0–4 air yards: 14 throws (8%), 8 caught (57%), 89 yds, 6.4 per throw1457% · 89yRight, 5–9 air yards: 20 throws (12%), 12 caught (60%), 138 yds, 6.9 per throw2060% · 138yRight, 10–14 air yards: 10 throws (6%), 9 caught (90%), 163 yds, 16.3 per throw1090% · 163yRight, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 2 caught (40%), 39 yds, 7.8 per throw540% · 39yRight, 20–29 air yards: 6 throws (4%), 2 caught (33%), 61 yds, 10.2 per throw633% · 61yRight, 30+ air yards: 6 throws (4%), 1 caught (17%), 36 yds, 6.0 per throw617% · 36y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on244 throws charted

64% comp10.2 avg. depth3.9 YAC/catch18% 20+ air yds15–5 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 13 throws (5%), 11 caught (85%), 101 yds, 7.8 per throw1385% · 101yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 22 throws (9%), 13 caught (59%), 76 yds, 3.5 per throw2259% · 76yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 18 throws (7%), 13 caught (72%), 93 yds, 5.2 per throw1872% · 93yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 10 throws (4%), 7 caught (70%), 126 yds, 12.6 per throw1070% · 126yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 3 caught (60%), 63 yds, 12.6 per throw560% · 63yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 12 throws (5%), 4 caught (33%), 94 yds, 7.8 per throw1233% · 94yLeft, 30+ air yards: 12 throws (5%), 4 caught (33%), 138 yds, 11.5 per throw1233% · 138yMiddle, Behind air yards: 2 throws (1%), 2 caught (100%), 13 yds, 6.5 per throw2100% · 13yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 12 throws (5%), 10 caught (83%), 96 yds, 8.0 per throw1283% · 96yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 7 caught (78%), 61 yds, 6.8 per throw978% · 61yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 15 throws (6%), 11 caught (73%), 199 yds, 13.3 per throw1573% · 199yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 10 throws (4%), 5 caught (50%), 96 yds, 9.6 per throw1050% · 96yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 2 caught (40%), 43 yds, 8.6 per throw540% · 43yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 2 caught (50%), 84 yds, 21.0 per throw450% · 84yRight, Behind air yards: 9 throws (4%), 7 caught (78%), 22 yds, 2.4 per throw978% · 22yRight, 0–4 air yards: 34 throws (14%), 26 caught (76%), 128 yds, 3.8 per throw3476% · 128yRight, 5–9 air yards: 30 throws (12%), 23 caught (77%), 203 yds, 6.8 per throw3077% · 203yRight, 10–14 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 4 caught (44%), 53 yds, 5.9 per throw944% · 53yRight, 15–19 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 1 caught (33%), 15 yds, 5.0 per throw333% · 15yRight, 20–29 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 3 caught (43%), 109 yds, 15.6 per throw743% · 109yRight, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw30% · 0y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction201 carries

Left
29%
9.3 YPC · 61% succ.
Middle
50%
3.7 YPC · 35% succ.
Right
20%
4.3 YPC · 32% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced176 carries

Left
20%
4.6 YPC · 43% succ.
Middle
52%
4.1 YPC · 39% succ.
Right
28%
5.1 YPC · 49% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Chuck Martin

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
6Caleb HeavnerQBSR6' 2"220Denison, TX
11Drew BellisariQBFR6' 3"190Columbus, OH
13Thomas GotkowskiQBSO6' 0"189Indianapolis, IN
16David McCombQBFR6' 4"220Edmond, OK
19Luke BerryQBFR6' 5"235Grand Haven, MI
0Rodney NelsonRBJR5' 8"195Owings, MD
9D'Shawntae JonesRBSO5' 10"225Cleveland, OH
21Lazaro RogersRBSO5' 10"200Fort Myers, FL
1Maleek HugginsWRSR5' 11"180Bradenton, FL
2Carl JenkinsWRSO6' 2"177Saint Augustine, FL
2Brady SimmonsWRSR6' 1"173Indianapolis, IN
3Quintin SimmonsWRFR6' 1"170Cincinnati, OH
4Devin HyattWRJR6' 2"192Bradenton, FL
5Keith ReynoldsWRJR5' 9"181Adelanto, CA
10Lynel Billups-WilliamsWRJR5' 9"177University Park, IL
14Will PressleyWRFR6' 1"190Oak Ridge, TN
17Justen HodgeWRFR6' 1"190Mentor, OH
18Braylon IsomWRSO6' 3"217Saginaw, MI
24Scoop SmithWRFR5' 5"150Pittsburgh, PA
27Jackson RuthWRFR5' 10"175Cincinnati, OH
80Michael ParrishWRJR6' 2"189Whitehouse, OH
82Andrew BjorsonWRFR6' 1"205Hinsdale, IL
84Tristan ReedWRFR6' 5"180Washington, PA
86Wilson RobertsWRFR6' 0"189Powell, OH
87Leo ScheidlerWRSR6' 1"195Lake Forest, IL
88CJ CastnerWRFR5' 9"175West Chester, OH
15Christian RossTEJR6' 4"225Midland City, AL
44Noam ButbulTEFR6' 0"224Calabasas, CA
48Gray MaultsbyTEFR6' 5"239Rockingham, NC
81Brendan LoftusTEFR6' 6"210Glenview, IL
83Eric KarnerTESO6' 5"226Itasca, IL
89Brayden BoeingTEFR6' 5"231Cincinnati, OH
50Zach HultgrenOLFR6' 5"290Hampshire, IL
51Eric SmithOLSR6' 6"306Fairmont, WV
54Evan MalcoreOLSR6' 6"305Sun Prairie, WI
55Ayden AnnarinoOLFR6' 3"298Pickerington, OH
56Mitchell ButlerOLJR6' 4"290Meridian, MS
58Max HauckOLFR6' 3"290Avon, OH
61Andrew LowryOLJR6' 8"310Newmarket, Canada
63Max KiefOLFR6' 5"270Cincinnati, OH
66Dominik KosznickiOLFR6' 5"260Clinton Township, MI
70Jacob SchorschOLSO6' 5"300Cincinnati, OH
71Lucas BarnesOLFR6' 8"304Canton, MI
72Kris ManuOLSO6' 1"300Dublin, OH
73Brandon Lawhorn MooreOLSR6' 6"311Vandergrift, PA
74Greg Smith Jr.OLJR6' 4"300Pittsburgh, PA
76Brian BeidatschOLSR6' 4"301Greenfield, WI
77Shaun ShahuOLSR6' 7"305Livonia, MI
78Devontae ArmstrongOLSO6' 5"314Elyria, OH
4Brach RiceDLSO6' 1"260Covington, KY
5Devin BellDLSO6' 1"236Akron, OH
9Javon HammondsDLSO6' 4"237Dayton, OH
14Mikah ColemanDLSR6' 4"265Reynoldsburg, OH
20Zhaiylen ScottDLSO6' 1"240Cedar Hill, TX
22Bai JobeDLJR6' 4"234Norman, OK
23Isaiah HarrisDLFR6' 2"210Saline, MI
27London Shackleford-VickroyDLFR6' 4"242Columbus, OH
32James SchottDLSR6' 4"246Greenwood, IN
49Anthony LudingtonDLFR6' 4"234Indianapolis, IN
52Marcus MooreDLJR6' 1"310Massillon, OH
59Mohamed BangouraDLFR6' 7"235Westerville, OH
67Carson NoonanDLFR6' 3"273Medina, OH
90Donovan DavisDLSO6' 1"307Reynoldsburg, OH
92Roosevelt Andrews IIIDLJR6' 1"255Barberton, OH
93Logan HowellDLFR6' 4"295Detroit, MI
96Carmine OrozcoDLFR6' 4"308South Bend, IN
97William Goodvine IIIDLSO6' 1"279Westfield, IN
99OJ AlexanderDLSO6' 2"291Scarborough, Canada
3Malcolm McCainLBJR6' 1"230Snellville, GA
14Luke MyersLBSR6' 1"215Miamisburg, OH
15Blayne MyrickLBSR6' 3"236Fairhope, AL
16Christian McKinneyLBJR6' 0"209Homewood, IL
26Eli CoppessLBSR6' 1"213Pickerington, OH
33Harrison BrewsterLBSO6' 1"214Delaware, OH
35Tyler DikosLBJR6' 1"226Westfield, IN
37Vito McConnellLBFR6' 3"221Massillon, OH
43Grant LyonsLBSR6' 3"242Cincinnati, OH
48Brody SinkLBFR6' 4"205Rochester, MI
53Malik RayLBJR5' 10"240Pickerington, OH
57Evan GilderLBFR6' 1"235Edina, MN
0Amariyun KnightenDBSR6' 0"174Hollywood, FL
2Jackson PonsDBSO6' 1"194North Huntingdon, PA
6Jermaine AgeeDBSO5' 11"181Cleveland, OH
12Kaleb MartinDBJR6' 0"170Chattanooga, TN
17Ben MinichDBSR6' 0"197West Chester, OH
18Isaiah RollinsDBFR6' 0"172Indianapolis, IN
19Jerome SmithDBFR6' 2"188Indianapolis, IN
21Toney Coleman Jr.DBJR6' 1"185Eufaula, AL
25Mitch BoldenDBJR6' 0"206West Chester, OH
28Leo ColombiDBSO6' 3"213Chardon, OH
29Easton JointerDBFR6' 1"205Brentwood, TN
30Josh RingerDBSO6' 1"210Lawrenceburg, IN
31Mason EllensDBFR5' 11"165Glen Ellyn, IL
34Amir MorelanDBFR6' 2"177Port Huron, MI
38Max DeckardDBFR5' 11"170Tipp City, OH
39Eli LimourisDBFR5' 10"185Glen Ellyn, IL
44Jake BrittDBFR6' 0"197Cincinnati, OH
36Carter HoldenPKSO6' 3"220Dublin, OH
38Kellan McLaughlinPKJR5' 10"174Louisville, KY
64Nick BradyLSFR6' 1"210Cincinnati, OH

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2023 (+2.0, #56) · worst: 2014 (-13.2, #120)
-15-10-50+5FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#85
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far4-32-1#96-8.4-4.8-3.6
20257-76-2#85-2.8-3.3+0.4
20249-57-1#56+1.6-3.4+5.0
202311-37-1#56+2.0-3.8+5.9
20226-74-4#102-6.6-6.50.0
20217-65-3#60+2.0-0.2+2.2
20202-12-1#66+0.1-1.2+1.3
20198-66-2#87-3.5-3.0-0.5
20186-66-2#74-0.5-0.3-0.2
20175-74-4#94-4.8-4.6-0.1
20166-76-2#93-6.4-6.8+0.4
20153-92-6#114-12.6-9.6-3.0
20142-102-6#120-13.2-7.1-6.2

Miami (OH)'s past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Oct 21, 10:45 AM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →