Basketball ↗
Power RankingsThis WeekTeamsDepth ChartsPlayersPlaysRecruitingBettingAwardsPast SeasonsPortalSOON
American · 2026

South Florida Bulls

Head coach Brian Hartline · Raymond James Stadium
5-21-2 in conference
TDC Rank
#74
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
-1.3
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-2.1
83rd in FBS
Defense
+0.8
60th in FBS
Schedule so far
-13.6
129th toughest
Projected
8.1-3.9
bowl-eligible 99%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

-1.3 now, +3.1 preseason · down 27 spots since preseason
0+5FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8#74

Final record odds

8.1-3.9 expected · most likely 8-4 (34%)
5-76%6-621%7-534%8-428%9-310%10-2

Team Leaders

National leaderboards →

Passing
Michael Van Buren Jr.
QB · 73rd in FBS
1266yds
6 TD · 0 INT
Rushing
D.J. Crowther
RB · SR · 39th in FBS
518yds
105 car · 7 TD
Receiving
Bryson Rodgers
WR · JR · 131st in FBS
334yds
30 rec · 2 TD
Tackles
Ayden Jackson
DB · SR · 232nd in FBS
38tkl
3 TFL
Sacks
Michael Williams II
DE · 41st in FBS
4sacks
5 hurries
Interceptions
Tayvion Beasley
DB · SR · 109th in FBS
1INT
1 PD

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5vs112Florida InternationalW 19–9 ›-6.4—ESPN+
2Sep 12@72ArmyCONFW 28–24 ›+7.5—CBSSN
3Sep 19vsDelaware State FCSW 59–17 ›-3.7—ESPN+
4Sep 26@127Bowling GreenW 14–6 ›-6.5—ESPN+
5Oct 3vs101TempleCONFL 13–17 ›-17.6—ESPNU
6Oct 8@75UTSACONFL 24–31 ›-4.8—ESPN
7Oct 17vs134Kent StateW 29–2 ›-1.4—ESPN+
8—Bye
9Oct 31vs115UABCONFSouth Florida −16.1 · o/u 49.7—86%ESPNU
10Nov 6@87East CarolinaCONFSouth Florida −0.1 · o/u 46.5—50%ESPN2
11Nov 12vs60MemphisCONFMemphis −0.4 · o/u 54.6—49%
12Nov 21@100Florida AtlanticCONFSouth Florida −4.4 · o/u 57.9—62%
13Nov 27vs82TulaneCONFSouth Florida −6.2 · o/u 41.4—66%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.13077th+0.01337th
Success rate47.0%36th42.3%86th
Explosiveness1.084132nd0.9961st
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate47.3%34th42.1%79th
Rushing success rate49.0%24th42.7%71st
Passing success rate45.4%45th41.4%84th
Explosive run rate12.9%88th12.3%56th
Explosive pass rate8.0%115th7.8%30th
Line yards / carry3.0587th2.8141st
Opportunity rate41.1%51st35.7%51st
Stuff rate19.8%100th22.9%17th
Sack rate5.4%85th5.4%69th
3rd-down conversion41.1%74th40.7%87th
Red-zone TD rate68.4%41st26.7%3rd
Havoc rate11.4%35th12.3%104th
Box score · season totals
Points / game26.687th15.112th
Yards / game325.7120th325.136th
Yards / play5.31102nd4.9248th
Pass yards / game183.9113th181.029th
Yards / pass att.7.0092nd6.5043rd
Completion %63.9%66th62.6%87th
Rush yards / game141.992nd144.176th
Yards / carry4.3077th3.9766th
3rd-down conv. %40.3%76th36.7%61st
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)0.5714th1.0086th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.8670th2.0073rd
Penalty yards / game38.910th50.694th

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
8.4
78th of 138
YAC per catch
6.0
40th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
14%
72nd of 138
Shotgun
90%
115th of 138
No-huddle
10%
126th of 138
QB pressured
12%
79th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
16%
42nd of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
5.0
85th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws179 throws charted

63% comp8.4 avg. depth6.0 YAC/catch14% 20+ air yds6–0 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 15 throws (8%), 13 caught (87%), 126 yds, 8.4 per throw1587% · 126yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 12 throws (7%), 10 caught (83%), 89 yds, 7.4 per throw1283% · 89yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 15 throws (8%), 12 caught (80%), 154 yds, 10.3 per throw1580% · 154yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 2 caught (25%), 27 yds, 3.4 per throw825% · 27yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 1 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 2 caught (40%), 46 yds, 9.2 per throw540% · 46yLeft, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw40% · 0yMiddle, Behind air yards: 3 throws (2%), 3 caught (100%), 19 yds, 6.3 per throw3100% · 19yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 10 throws (6%), 8 caught (80%), 83 yds, 8.3 per throw1080% · 83yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 5 caught (63%), 43 yds, 5.4 per throw863% · 43yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 3 caught (50%), 44 yds, 7.3 per throw650% · 44yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 3 caught (50%), 55 yds, 9.2 per throw650% · 55yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 1 caught (20%), 22 yds, 4.4 per throw520% · 22yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (3%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw50% · 0yRight, Behind air yards: 20 throws (11%), 16 caught (80%), 114 yds, 5.7 per throw2080% · 114yRight, 0–4 air yards: 18 throws (10%), 11 caught (61%), 61 yds, 3.4 per throw1861% · 61yRight, 5–9 air yards: 16 throws (9%), 11 caught (69%), 110 yds, 6.9 per throw1669% · 110yRight, 10–14 air yards: 12 throws (7%), 9 caught (75%), 114 yds, 9.5 per throw1275% · 114yRight, 15–19 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 2 caught (50%), 40 yds, 10.0 per throw450% · 40yRight, 20–29 air yards: 1 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yRight, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (3%), 2 caught (40%), 78 yds, 15.6 per throw540% · 78y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on188 throws charted

62% comp8.1 avg. depth5.0 YAC/catch13% 20+ air yds6–2 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 13 throws (7%), 11 caught (85%), 38 yds, 2.9 per throw1385% · 38yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 16 throws (9%), 11 caught (69%), 70 yds, 4.4 per throw1669% · 70yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 15 throws (8%), 7 caught (47%), 49 yds, 3.3 per throw1547% · 49yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 3 caught (43%), 33 yds, 4.7 per throw743% · 33yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 3 caught (50%), 59 yds, 9.8 per throw650% · 59yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 2 caught (29%), 50 yds, 7.1 per throw729% · 50yLeft, 30+ air yards: 1 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yMiddle, Behind air yards: 2 throws (1%), 2 caught (100%), 31 yds, 15.5 per throw2100% · 31yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 13 throws (7%), 11 caught (85%), 83 yds, 6.4 per throw1385% · 83yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 9 throws (5%), 6 caught (67%), 63 yds, 7.0 per throw967% · 63yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 3 caught (60%), 117 yds, 23.4 per throw560% · 117yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 2 caught (100%), 43 yds, 21.5 per throw2100% · 43yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 1 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (3%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw50% · 0yRight, Behind air yards: 17 throws (9%), 13 caught (76%), 48 yds, 2.8 per throw1776% · 48yRight, 0–4 air yards: 21 throws (11%), 13 caught (62%), 84 yds, 4.0 per throw2162% · 84yRight, 5–9 air yards: 21 throws (11%), 17 caught (81%), 153 yds, 7.3 per throw2181% · 153yRight, 10–14 air yards: 13 throws (7%), 8 caught (62%), 121 yds, 9.3 per throw1362% · 121yRight, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 2 caught (40%), 57 yds, 11.4 per throw540% · 57yRight, 20–29 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 2 caught (50%), 46 yds, 11.5 per throw450% · 46yRight, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (3%), 1 caught (20%), 37 yds, 7.4 per throw520% · 37y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction207 carries

Left
23%
5.3 YPC · 57% succ.
Middle
55%
5.1 YPC · 49% succ.
Right
22%
5.0 YPC · 43% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced234 carries

Left
21%
5.6 YPC · 38% succ.
Middle
55%
4.3 YPC · 41% succ.
Right
24%
4.3 YPC · 39% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Brian Hartline

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
10KJ CooperQBSR6' 5"230El Paso, TX
16Jayden BradfordQBSO6' 0"200Columbia, SC
17Luke KromenhoekQBSO6' 4"220Savannah, GA
2Jason Collins Jr.RBJR5' 9"190Washington, DC
5D.J. CrowtherRBSR5' 11"215Sacramento, CA
15Alvon IsaacRBSO5' 9"195Gainesville, FL
22Chase GarnettRBFR5' 9"205Fort Worth, TX
24Tray KinkleRBSO5' 11"200Holly Springs, MS
25Jayson FranklinRBFR5' 11"205Fayetteville, NC
32Connor MathewsRBFR5' 8"212Niceville, FL
0Cameron SeldonWRSR6' 1"220Browns Store, VA
1Bryson RodgersWRJR6' 2"187Tampa, FL
4Arhmad BranchWRJR6' 0"185Festus, MO
6Mudia ReubenWRSR6' 2"215Kansas City, MO
7Jaron GloverWRSR6' 1"208Sarasota, FL
11Dmari RobertsWRFR6' 3"180St. Petersburg, FL
12Jaden AlexisWRSR6' 0"200Pompano Beach, FL
14Arkese ParksWRSO6' 2"185Tampa, FL
18Kenny OdomWRSR5' 10"185Savannah, GA
19JeyQuan SmithWRJR5' 10"190San Bernardino, CA
27Jayden DavisWRJR5' 10"185Baltimore, MD
80Joshua PorterWRJR6' 0"193Sebring, FL
82Gabe LegrandWRFR6' 3"210Lake Wales, FL
8Wyatt SullivanTESR6' 4"245Atlanta, GA
47Evan DanglerTESR6' 3"250Bradenton, FL
81Tayte CrableTEFR6' 5"235Massillon, OH
85Kade CatonTESO6' 5"260Manvel, TX
87Luke ClyburnTESR6' 7"260Camden, SC
88Brandon KubayTEFR6' 3"245Winnipeg, Canada
54Braden CarterOLSO6' 6"305Cumming, GA
55James JenkinsOLJR6' 5"300Tampa, FL
58TJ LawrenceOLSO6' 5"305Orange Park, FL
59Devin DavisOLSR6' 3"310Atlanta, GA
60Khalil CollinsOLFR6' 1"305Moultrie, GA
61Julius TateOLSO6' 3"310Greenville, SC
65Jaylin AcevedoOLSO6' 4"325Orlando, FL
66Teriyan MormanOLSO6' 5"355Ocala, FL
67Thomas ShraderOLSR6' 5"312Venice, FL
70Gerrick Gordon Jr.OLFR6' 4"300Reddick, FL
71Kahari FinleyOLSR6' 5"310Clinton, MD
72Cash HudsonOLSR6' 3"305Tulsa, OK
73Caleb HarrisOLFR6' 4"300Miami, FL
74Jordan HarrisonOLFR6' 2"300Clinton, MD
76Colin BellomyOLFR6' 7"295Powder Springs, GA
78Caleb CookOLSR6' 3"315Brunswick, GA
79Ethan GreenOLSR6' 7"325Fremont, OH
56Terry Simmons Jr.DLJR6' 2"320Savannah, GA
95Iverson Garcia-PonceDLFR6' 2"310Knoxville, TN
99Jahari GrantDLJR6' 2"310Port Saint Lucie, FL
1C.J. HicksDESR6' 3"240Dayton, OH
14Eli JonesDEFR6' 3"250Venice, FL
18Levi SmileyDESO6' 4"260Cincinnati, OH
19Peter RamilDEFR6' 5"250Binghamton, NY
49Harrysson NgassaDESO6' 4"232Chicago, IL
90Terrell JonesDESR6' 5"270Hoover, AL
11Asani RedwoodDTSR6' 3"300Suwanee, GA
28Ryan JenkinsDTJR6' 4"290Albany, GA
77Major DillardDTSR6' 2"330Upper Marlboro, MD
93Richard Scott IIIDTSO6' 4"285Fort Lauderdale, FL
96Sager QuinnDTFR6' 1"295Cohutta, GA
0Grayson HowardLBJR6' 4"240Jacksonville, FL
6Rodney HillLBJR5' 10"225Bunnell, FL
7Sam RobinsonLBSO6' 3"220Tallahassee, FL
10Shamar MeikleLBJR6' 3"235Miramar, FL
25Zavier HamiltonLBSO6' 2"230Gulf Breeze, FL
30Lorenzo BarnesLBFR6' 3"225Marianna, FL
32Demetrius Geathers Jr.LBFR6' 3"235Deerfield Beach, FL
33Ashton MosleyLBSO6' 3"245Blountstown, FL
36DeAngelo BowdenLBFR6' 0"220Washington, DC
40Gavin LeachLBSO6' 2"225Newburgh, IN
44Dennis King IIILBFR6' 2"225Daytona Beach, FL
45Marshon OxleyLBSR6' 1"232South Central, CA
51Michael HarrisLBJR6' 0"223Apopka, FL
52Christian SmithLBFR6' 3"235Kennesaw, GA
55Greg OttenLBJR6' 1"220Fort Lauderdale, FL
5Ayden JacksonDBSR5' 11"195Atlanta, GA
12Jabari SmithDBSO5' 11"185Orlando, FL
15Tayvion BeasleyDBSR5' 10"185Inglewood, CA
41George Brown IVDBSO5' 10"183Orlando, FL
3Za'Quan BryanCBJR5' 10"195Savannah, GA
8Amarion FortenberryCBJR5' 10"188Columbia, MS
16Teddy FosterCBSO6' 0"190Sarasota, FL
17Masiyah LimehouseCBFR6' 1"190Plant City, FL
29Deylen PlattCBSO6' 3"190Venice, FL
31Jair MurphyCBJR6' 0"200Ocoee, FL
34Keyshaun BirksCBFR6' 1"190St. Petersburg, FL
35Herlin Perry Jr.CBFR5' 11"180East Providence, RI
39Daron JeanCBSO5' 10"185Bradenton, FL
9Israel BoyceSJR6' 0"195Douglasville, GA
20A'Mon Lane-GanusSSO5' 10"185Columbiana, AL
23Cedrick Hawkins Jr.SJR6' 0"192Titusville, FL
24Amari JonesSFR6' 0"180Dunnellon, FL
26CJ Cresser Jr.SFR6' 0"205Brooksville, FL
27Jermichael GillisSFR6' 1"180Lakeland, FL
38Derrick Nichols IIISFR5' 11"170Miami, FL
7Nico GramaticaPKJR5' 8"170Tampa, FL
10Gaston GramaticaPKFR5' 10"195Tampa, FL
39Luke GoaterPFR6' 2"210Melbourne, Australia
48Turner McLaughlinLSSO6' 1"225Pensacola, FL
49Easton BonnettLSSO5' 11"195Orlando, FL

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2025 (+9.3, #22) · worst: 2014 (-11.5, #115)
-100+10FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#22
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far5-21-2#74-1.3-2.1+0.8
20259-46-2#22+9.3+7.7+1.6
20247-64-4#80-2.6+1.3-3.9
20237-64-4#96-5.3+2.2-7.4
20221-110-8#120-10.0+0.4-10.5
20212-101-7#109-8.5-3.1-5.4
20201-80-7#114-10.0-4.1-5.9
20194-82-6#99-5.9-6.5+0.6
20187-63-5#97-6.0-1.6-4.4
201710-26-2#33+6.2+6.4-0.2
201611-27-1#28+6.6+11.1-4.5
20158-56-2#49+3.8+0.7+3.1
20144-83-5#115-11.5-10.5-1.0

South Florida's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Oct 21, 10:17 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →