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American · 2026

Florida Atlantic Owls

Head coach Zach Kittley · Flagler Credit Union Stadium
4-21-1 in conference
TDC Rank
#100
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
-9.5
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-1.1
77th in FBS
Defense
-8.4
125th in FBS
Schedule so far
-9.8
107th toughest
Projected
6.2-5.8
bowl-eligible 73%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

-9.5 now, -11.9 preseason · up 2 spots since preseason
-15-10-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8#100

Final record odds

6.2-5.8 expected · most likely 6-6 (33%)
5%4-822%5-733%6-626%7-511%8-49-3

Team Leaders

National leaderboards →

Passing
Caden Veltkamp
QB · 20th in FBS
1743yds
15 TD · 3 INT
Rushing
Ethan Ervin
RB · SO · 108th in FBS
361yds
81 car · 2 TD
Receiving
Kelby Valsin
WR · 15th in FBS
601yds
47 rec · 6 TD
Tackles
Joseph Sipp Jr.
LB · SR · 179th in FBS
41tkl
1 TFL
Sacks
Josh Roberts
DB · SO · 200th in FBS
2sacks
1 hurries
Interceptions
Bo Simpson-Nealy
DB · SR · 28th in FBS
2INT
1 PD

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5@17FloridaL 21–66 ›-11.9—SEC Network
2Sep 12vs90NavyCONFW 38–30 ›-1.6—ESPNU
3Sep 19vs112Florida InternationalW 16–10 ›-10.4—ESPN+
4Sep 26@136UL MonroeW 45–17 ›+3.4—ESPN+
5Oct 3vsTexas Southern FCSW 66–10 ›-12.1—ESPN+
6—Bye
7Oct 17@72ArmyCONFL 24–56 ›-23.3—CBSSN
8Oct 24vs119RiceCONFFlorida Atlantic −9.4 · o/u 56.2—73%ESPNU
9Oct 29@53North TexasCONFNorth Texas −17.6 · o/u 73.6—12%
10Nov 5vs75UTSACONFUTSA −4.2 · o/u 66.1—39%
11Nov 14@91TulsaCONFTulsa −7.0 · o/u 59.9—32%
12Nov 21vs74South FloridaCONFSouth Florida −4.4 · o/u 57.9—38%
13Nov 27@87East CarolinaCONFEast Carolina −8.1 · o/u 56.8—30%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.23530th+0.249125th
Success rate47.1%35th42.5%88th
Explosiveness1.25960th1.510137th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate47.0%40th41.5%69th
Rushing success rate43.9%78th45.1%101st
Passing success rate49.2%24th36.7%31st
Explosive run rate7.2%135th15.2%103rd
Explosive pass rate9.9%77th10.4%80th
Line yards / carry3.1867th3.0065th
Opportunity rate36.0%109th36.0%54th
Stuff rate12.2%15th17.7%69th
Sack rate4.2%50th4.2%106th
3rd-down conversion56.5%6th40.3%81st
Red-zone TD rate64.7%60th64.3%97th
Havoc rate11.6%37th14.1%64th
Box score · season totals
Points / game35.037th31.5118th
Yards / game422.744th416.5121st
Yards / play5.4591st6.25123rd
Pass yards / game307.79th198.350th
Yards / pass att.7.6065th7.83111th
Completion %69.7%11th60.5%58th
Rush yards / game115.0121st218.2134th
Yards / carry3.30128th5.43130th
3rd-down conv. %53.1%8th39.5%90th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.0041st1.3344th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.8365th1.17121st
Penalty yards / game61.890th52.883rd

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
8.4
85th of 138
YAC per catch
4.6
113th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
14%
78th of 138
Shotgun
98%
23rd of 138
No-huddle
98%
3rd of 138
QB pressured
11%
90th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
12%
98th of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
5.7
36th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws231 throws charted

69% comp8.4 avg. depth4.6 YAC/catch14% 20+ air yds16–3 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 20 throws (9%), 20 caught (100%), 158 yds, 7.9 per throw20100% · 158yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 25 throws (11%), 21 caught (84%), 130 yds, 5.2 per throw2584% · 130yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 23 throws (10%), 14 caught (61%), 125 yds, 5.4 per throw2361% · 125yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 11 throws (5%), 5 caught (45%), 106 yds, 9.6 per throw1145% · 106yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 3 caught (75%), 52 yds, 13.0 per throw475% · 52yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 1 caught (20%), 26 yds, 5.2 per throw520% · 26yLeft, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (2%), 1 caught (20%), 38 yds, 7.6 per throw520% · 38yMiddle, Behind air yards: 4 throws (2%), 4 caught (100%), 8 yds, 2.0 per throw4100% · 8yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 5 caught (71%), 22 yds, 3.1 per throw771% · 22yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 2 caught (40%), 14 yds, 2.8 per throw540% · 14yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 11 throws (5%), 6 caught (55%), 99 yds, 9.0 per throw1155% · 99yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 5 caught (71%), 99 yds, 14.1 per throw771% · 99yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 8 throws (3%), 5 caught (63%), 136 yds, 17.0 per throw863% · 136yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 7 throws (3%), 3 caught (43%), 146 yds, 20.9 per throw743% · 146yRight, Behind air yards: 18 throws (8%), 15 caught (83%), 52 yds, 2.9 per throw1883% · 52yRight, 0–4 air yards: 24 throws (10%), 16 caught (67%), 100 yds, 4.2 per throw2467% · 100yRight, 5–9 air yards: 24 throws (10%), 20 caught (83%), 198 yds, 8.3 per throw2483% · 198yRight, 10–14 air yards: 11 throws (5%), 7 caught (64%), 83 yds, 7.5 per throw1164% · 83yRight, 15–19 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 3 caught (50%), 65 yds, 10.8 per throw650% · 65yRight, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 2 caught (67%), 45 yds, 15.0 per throw367% · 45yRight, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (1%), 2 caught (67%), 66 yds, 22.0 per throw367% · 66y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on142 throws charted

61% comp8.5 avg. depth5.7 YAC/catch10% 20+ air yds8–6 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 6 throws (4%), 6 caught (100%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw6100% · 0yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 16 throws (11%), 13 caught (81%), 106 yds, 6.6 per throw1681% · 106yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 6 throws (4%), 5 caught (83%), 38 yds, 6.3 per throw683% · 38yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 6 throws (4%), 2 caught (33%), 25 yds, 4.2 per throw633% · 25yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (4%), 2 caught (40%), 35 yds, 7.0 per throw540% · 35yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 4 throws (3%), 3 caught (75%), 71 yds, 17.8 per throw475% · 71yLeft, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 2 caught (100%), 89 yds, 44.5 per throw2100% · 89yMiddle, Behind air yards: 4 throws (3%), 3 caught (75%), 21 yds, 5.3 per throw475% · 21yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 11 throws (8%), 7 caught (64%), 36 yds, 3.3 per throw1164% · 36yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 7 throws (5%), 5 caught (71%), 42 yds, 6.0 per throw771% · 42yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: noneMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (5%), 5 caught (71%), 115 yds, 16.4 per throw771% · 115yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 2 caught (100%), 102 yds, 51.0 per throw2100% · 102yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0yRight, Behind air yards: 8 throws (6%), 7 caught (88%), 101 yds, 12.6 per throw888% · 101yRight, 0–4 air yards: 17 throws (12%), 13 caught (76%), 77 yds, 4.5 per throw1776% · 77yRight, 5–9 air yards: 15 throws (11%), 8 caught (53%), 74 yds, 4.9 per throw1553% · 74yRight, 10–14 air yards: 11 throws (8%), 3 caught (27%), 47 yds, 4.3 per throw1127% · 47yRight, 15–19 air yards: 8 throws (6%), 1 caught (13%), 19 yds, 2.4 per throw813% · 19yRight, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 2 caught (67%), 57 yds, 19.0 per throw367% · 57yRight, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 63 yds, 31.5 per throw250% · 63y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction190 carries

Left
15%
4.3 YPC · 34% succ.
Middle
68%
4.4 YPC · 48% succ.
Right
17%
4.3 YPC · 34% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced229 carries

Left
19%
9.2 YPC · 52% succ.
Middle
61%
4.5 YPC · 36% succ.
Right
20%
5.7 YPC · 41% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Zach Kittley

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
7Jordan MagwoodQBSO6' 0"205Tampa, FL
12Jeremiah DaoudQBFR6' 3"210Allen, TX
18Drew DevillierQBJR6' 5"230Plano, TX
5Leonard FarrowRBSR5' 10"195Mount Hope, WV
20Joshua HarriottRBSR5' 10"185Fort Lauderdale, FL
21Ethan ErvinRBSO6' 1"195Buford, GA
28Kaden Shields-DuttonRBJR5' 11"215Orlando, FL
33Almari BrownRBJR5' 7"171Lutz, FL
34Germanuel TanelusRBSR5' 10"210Fort Lauderdale, FL
0Branden HochWRSO6' 3"200Boca Raton, FL
3Tucker HollowayWRSR6' 2"190Andrews, NC
6RJ Garcia IIWRSR6' 0"180Tampa, FL
8Easton MesserWRSR5' 9"190Louisville, KY
9Dominique HenryWRSR5' 11"190Saint Augustine, FL
13Jahmari Powell-WonsonWRJR5' 11"195Baltimore, MD
17Nicsaint Joseph Jr.WRFR6' 2"165Miami, FL
26Chase HanningWRSR6' 3"200Boynton Beach, FL
80Grayson GibsonWRFR6' 3"195Orlando, FL
81Dyson SimsWRSO5' 8"160Ann Arbor, MI
82Dveyoun Bonwell-WitteWRFR6' 2"200Brandon, SD
83Spencer MartinWRFR6' 3"185Hinsdale, IL
1AJ JohnsonTESR6' 4"255Fort Lauderdale, FL
11Brooks JohnsonTESR6' 5"235Weddington, NC
86Owen PollockTEFR6' 4"245Sunbury, OH
87Peter CannonTEFR6' 4"235Orlando, FL
93Maika KurkowskiTESO6' 5"235Rockledge, FL
50Owen CheathamOLFR6' 6"265Durango, CO
51Aedyn BuchananOLFR6' 6"265Greensboro, NC
52Logan HusbandOLSO6' 4"295Fort Lauderdale, FL
55Rain BanickOLSO6' 5"300Lilburn, GA
57Ja'Kavion NonarOLSR6' 8"315Belle Glade, FL
58Aiden JonesOLJR6' 4"315Chester, VA
60Aqil Meredith-SmithOLSO6' 3"310Elizabeth, NJ
62Vincent FiacableOLSR6' 4"320Fort Wayne, IN
63JJ RochfordOLFR6' 3"315Lauderdale Lakes, FL
64Vincent ForneyOLJR6' 5"275Buford, GA
65Braden CunninghamOLJR6' 6"315Orange Park, FL
67Alejandro SchmittOLFR6' 6"305Pembroke Pines, FL
70Jaylen GambleOLSO6' 4"290Montgomery, AL
71Landon RapkiewiczOLSO6' 4"315Hobe Sound, FL
72Ovie DubreOLSR6' 4"325Powder Springs, GA
74Ben GallowayOLSR6' 4"310Powder Springs, GA
75Mauricio HindsOLJR6' 5"305Porters Lake, Canada
76Aiden FordOLSO6' 0"290Daytona Beach, FL
77Keon RoheOLJR6' 7"310Frankfurt, Germany
78Carson OsmusOLJR6' 6"303Camas, WA
1CJ Doggette Jr.DLSR6' 2"277Pickerington, OH
2Wilky DenaudDLSR6' 3"285Stuart, FL
14Tycoolhill LumanDLJR6' 3"264Montreal, Canada
56Gabriel BirnbaumDLJR6' 3"290Boca Raton, FL
62Enyce SledgeDLSR6' 3"320Monroe, LA
91Lebron EdmondDLJR6' 4"305Canton, MS
94Corey ClarkDLSR6' 4"310Birmingham, AL
95Nimari BrantleyDLSO6' 2"280Pompano Beach, FL
97Samuel BenoitDLSO6' 3"288Lake Worth, FL
98Blake BurrisDLSR6' 5"320Irving, TX
99Nate LovelaceDLFR6' 0"280Tampa, FL
13Earl Miller Jr.DTSR6' 4"310Riviera Beach, FL
6Leon Hart Jr.LBSR6' 0"215Miami Gardens, FL
7Khmari JohnsonLBSR6' 1"220Memphis, TN
17Char'Quez LeeLBJR6' 2"215Miami, FL
18Joseph Sipp Jr.LBSR6' 0"220Tampa, FL
21Nate FischerLBJR6' 2"230Sammamish, WA
28Zyere HortonLBSR6' 3"225Alpharetta, GA
35Tito NunezLBJR6' 1"220Homestead, FL
40Josiah FarmerLBSO5' 11"195Ocala, FL
42Larry SpringLBFR6' 1"190Miami, FL
43Hector ChavezLBSO5' 10"215Miami, FL
0Damon AllenDBSO6' 1"200Belle Glade, FL
3Derrick RogersDBSR6' 1"175Orlando, FL
4Damarius McGheeDBSR6' 0"183Pensacola, FL
5Deshaun BatisteDBSR6' 3"258New Orleans, LA
9Jonathan BaxDBSR6' 3"245New Orleans, LA
10Josh RobertsDBSO6' 4"220Melbourne, FL
11Gavench MarcelinDBJR6' 3"260Homestead, FL
12Jay CrableDBSR6' 3"240Massillon, OH
15Tyclean LumanDBJR6' 4"280Montreal, Canada
16Wallace Foster IVDBJR5' 10"175New Orleans, LA
18Jackson ForteDBSR6' 2"260Los Angeles, CA
19Tyson RooksDBSR6' 4"215Saint Simons Island, GA
20Bo Simpson-NealyDBSR5' 10"190Altamonte Springs, FL
23JK JohnsonDBSR6' 0"185St. Peters, MO
25Kam HerringDBJR6' 1"180Memphis, TN
26Amar ReynoldsDBJR6' 0"190Fort Pierce, FL
27Travis JacksonDBFR5' 11"180Wellington, FL
31Kenyon GarnerDBJR6' 3"238Okeechobee, FL
33Ja'Cari JacksonDBFR5' 11"190Orlando, FL
34Brenden GuidrozDBFR6' 2"175New Orleans, LA
36Darius SmithDBSO5' 10"180Riverview, FL
38Christopher Tank Jr.DBFR6' 2"180St. Petersburg, FL
39RJ LampkinDBSR6' 1"190Sunrise, FL
44Roman Garcia IVDBSR6' 2"260Wagoner, OK
45Thomas JacksonDBJR5' 10"170Jacksonville, FL
55Alexander KocherDBSR6' 5"250Pembroke Pines, FL
22Jayden SweeneySSR5' 11"190Birmingham, AL
41Collin RogersPKSR6' 4"215Prattville, AL
96Lliam PetersonPKSO6' 1"180Naples, FL
49Alex GracePJR6' 4"200Cincinnati, OH
91Reed ChandleyPJR6' 1"205Canton, GA
45Walker AdkinsonLSSR6' 2"210Orlando, FL

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2019 (+7.3, #29) · worst: 2016 (-13.2, #124)
-100+10FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#110
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far4-21-1#100-9.5-1.1-8.4
20254-83-5#110-8.2+0.4-8.5
20243-91-7#117-9.6-4.8-4.8
20234-83-5#97-5.3-4.2-1.1
20225-74-4#83-3.6-2.0-1.6
20215-73-5#91-4.3-5.0+0.7
20205-44-2#81-2.2-7.2+5.0
201911-37-1#29+7.3+4.6+2.8
20185-73-5#76-0.6+1.8-2.4
201711-38-0#31+6.9+6.3+0.6
20163-92-6#124-13.2-4.4-8.8
20153-93-5#101-9.3-6.5-2.8
20143-92-6#98-7.6-5.3-2.3

Florida Atlantic's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Oct 21, 10:45 AM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →