American · 2026

UTSA Roadrunners

Head coach Jeff Traylor · Alamodome
6-13-0 in conference
TDC Rank
#75
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
-1.6
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+1.9
58th in FBS
Defense
-3.4
93rd in FBS
Schedule so far
-6.0
85th toughest
Projected
8.9-3.1
bowl-eligible >99%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

-1.6 now, -4.0 preseason · up 5 spots since preseason
-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8#75

Final record odds

8.9-3.1 expected · most likely 9-3 (34%)
6-69%7-524%8-434%9-325%10-27%11-1

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5vsUT Rio Grande Valley FCSW 45–16 ›+0.2—ESPN+
2Sep 12@61Texas StateW 31–26 ›+11.4—CW
3Sep 19@9TexasL 6–30 ›+1.3—SECN+
4Sep 26vs116Colorado StateW 59–45 ›-3.5—ESPNU
5Oct 3@119RiceCONFW 16–14 ›-9.3—ESPN+
6Oct 8vs74South FloridaCONFW 31–24 ›+1.9—ESPN
7Oct 17vs90NavyCONFW 38–34 ›-5.6—ESPNU
8Oct 24@82TulaneCONFTulane −1.7 · o/u 49.6—46%ESPNU
9—Bye
10Nov 5@100Florida AtlanticCONFUTSA −4.2 · o/u 66.1—61%
11Nov 14vs53North TexasCONFNorth Texas −2.1 · o/u 71.5—44%
12Nov 21@115UABCONFUTSA −8.3 · o/u 57.9—71%
13Nov 28vs91TulsaCONFUTSA −8.6 · o/u 57.8—72%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.22438th+0.09976th
Success rate46.4%43rd41.7%77th
Explosiveness1.158111th1.20853rd
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate46.4%43rd42.4%85th
Rushing success rate51.8%7th45.1%101st
Passing success rate41.1%78th39.1%51st
Explosive run rate13.2%83rd10.7%37th
Explosive pass rate7.9%118th8.0%35th
Line yards / carry3.0883rd3.1793rd
Opportunity rate42.7%32nd41.5%115th
Stuff rate18.2%87th15.0%105th
Sack rate4.0%42nd2.9%123rd
3rd-down conversion38.0%94th38.7%64th
Red-zone TD rate52.4%104th60.9%74th
Havoc rate12.6%54th9.6%134th
Box score · season totals
Points / game32.349th27.099th
Yards / game411.155th400.0112th
Yards / play6.0350th5.5492nd
Pass yards / game231.770th199.756th
Yards / pass att.7.2084th6.6953rd
Completion %68.8%14th55.0%15th
Rush yards / game179.449th200.3128th
Yards / carry5.1028th4.83114th
3rd-down conv. %36.8%91st36.9%62nd
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)0.435th1.0086th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.2935th0.86132nd
Penalty yards / game83.9134th70.717th

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
6.7
134th of 138
YAC per catch
5.6
60th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
11%
120th of 138
Shotgun
96%
62nd of 138
No-huddle
77%
49th of 138
QB pressured
16%
35th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
18%
24th of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
6.6
10th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws218 throws charted

69% comp6.7 avg. depth5.6 YAC/catch11% 20+ air yds12–2 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 23 throws (11%), 17 caught (74%), 94 yds, 4.1 per throw2374% · 94yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 31 throws (14%), 25 caught (81%), 216 yds, 7.0 per throw3181% · 216yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 17 throws (8%), 9 caught (53%), 78 yds, 4.6 per throw1753% · 78yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 4 caught (80%), 54 yds, 10.8 per throw580% · 54yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 2 caught (50%), 36 yds, 9.0 per throw450% · 36yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 3 caught (43%), 74 yds, 10.6 per throw743% · 74yLeft, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (2%), 1 caught (20%), 36 yds, 7.2 per throw520% · 36yMiddle, Behind air yards: 5 throws (2%), 5 caught (100%), 50 yds, 10.0 per throw5100% · 50yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 10 throws (5%), 6 caught (60%), 30 yds, 3.0 per throw1060% · 30yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 19 throws (9%), 12 caught (63%), 126 yds, 6.6 per throw1963% · 126yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 2 caught (33%), 30 yds, 5.0 per throw633% · 30yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 6 caught (75%), 131 yds, 16.4 per throw875% · 131yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 1 throws (0%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yMiddle, 30+ air yards: noneRight, Behind air yards: 19 throws (9%), 19 caught (100%), 95 yds, 5.0 per throw19100% · 95yRight, 0–4 air yards: 25 throws (11%), 20 caught (80%), 98 yds, 3.9 per throw2580% · 98yRight, 5–9 air yards: 13 throws (6%), 10 caught (77%), 135 yds, 10.4 per throw1377% · 135yRight, 10–14 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 3 caught (43%), 44 yds, 6.3 per throw743% · 44yRight, 15–19 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 1 caught (33%), 27 yds, 9.0 per throw333% · 27yRight, 20–29 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 2 caught (33%), 43 yds, 7.2 per throw633% · 43yRight, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 3 caught (75%), 130 yds, 32.5 per throw475% · 130y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on204 throws charted

55% comp8.3 avg. depth6.6 YAC/catch14% 20+ air yds9–4 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 17 throws (8%), 14 caught (82%), 82 yds, 4.8 per throw1782% · 82yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 18 throws (9%), 13 caught (72%), 64 yds, 3.6 per throw1872% · 64yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 21 throws (10%), 18 caught (86%), 195 yds, 9.3 per throw2186% · 195yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 12 throws (6%), 4 caught (33%), 97 yds, 8.1 per throw1233% · 97yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw40% · 0yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 2 caught (33%), 130 yds, 21.7 per throw633% · 130yLeft, 30+ air yards: 7 throws (3%), 2 caught (29%), 77 yds, 11.0 per throw729% · 77yMiddle, Behind air yards: 2 throws (1%), 2 caught (100%), 11 yds, 5.5 per throw2100% · 11yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 5 caught (71%), 48 yds, 6.9 per throw771% · 48yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 17 throws (8%), 6 caught (35%), 38 yds, 2.2 per throw1735% · 38yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 11 throws (5%), 7 caught (64%), 117 yds, 10.6 per throw1164% · 117yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 17 yds, 8.5 per throw250% · 17yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 1 caught (33%), 25 yds, 8.3 per throw333% · 25yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (1%), 1 caught (33%), 74 yds, 24.7 per throw333% · 74yRight, Behind air yards: 14 throws (7%), 8 caught (57%), 42 yds, 3.0 per throw1457% · 42yRight, 0–4 air yards: 25 throws (12%), 15 caught (60%), 103 yds, 4.1 per throw2560% · 103yRight, 5–9 air yards: 17 throws (8%), 9 caught (53%), 79 yds, 4.6 per throw1753% · 79yRight, 10–14 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 2 caught (33%), 78 yds, 13.0 per throw633% · 78yRight, 15–19 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 2 caught (50%), 35 yds, 8.8 per throw450% · 35yRight, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 1 caught (33%), 37 yds, 12.3 per throw333% · 37yRight, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (2%), 1 caught (20%), 42 yds, 8.4 per throw520% · 42y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction224 carries

Left
20%
6.2 YPC · 58% succ.
Middle
62%
4.9 YPC · 45% succ.
Right
18%
8.3 YPC · 60% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced271 carries

Left
20%
6.6 YPC · 55% succ.
Middle
57%
4.5 YPC · 40% succ.
Right
23%
5.8 YPC · 58% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Jeff Traylor

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
2Owen McCownQBSR6' 1"190Rusk, TX
11Brandon TennisonQBJR5' 10"190Gilmer, TX
12Max GerlichQBFR6' 3"215Austin, TX
16Maguire GaspersonQBFR6' 0"200Argyle, TX
1Will Henderson IIIRBSO5' 10"185Gilmer, TX
10Brandon High Jr.RBJR5' 11"215Spring, TX
21JC SolitaireRBSR5' 9"195San Antonio, TX
22Bryson DonnellRBSR5' 11"210Tyler, TX
23Mykha GreenRBFR5' 11"195Sinton, TX
25Frankie Arthur Jr.RBSO5' 10"210Conroe, TX
28A'Marion PetersonRBJR6' 0"215Wichita Falls, TX
37Londen BickhamRBFR6' 0"200Waco, TX
38TJ AndrewsRBSO6' 2"210San Antonio, TX
42Mason CultonRBJR5' 7"190Houston, TX
0David Amador IIWRJR6' 0"195Houston, TX
13Jamel Hardy Jr.WRJR6' 3"190Dallas, TX
14Mekhi AndersonWRSO5' 10"170Tampa, FL
15DJ Allen Jr.WRSR6' 0"190Gladewater, TX
17James Madison IIWRSO6' 3"200Kansas City, MO
24Mekhi RiceWRSR5' 8"160Waco, TX
26Tangoh NjohWRSO6' 1"195Cypress, TX
31Caleb GarciaWRSR5' 9"180Maricopa, AZ
33Cael MeismanWRJR6' 4"215Rapid City, SD
80Wyatt SmileyWRFR6' 4"180West Linn, OR
82Prince HallWRFR6' 2"195Killeen, TX
87Chris DupreeWRFR6' 4"180San Antonio, TX
81Miles CampbellTESR6' 4"250Douglasville, GA
83Cole RamseurTESR6' 5"245San Antonio, TX
85Ty RupeTEFR6' 7"245Spring, TX
86Isaiah Butler-TannerTEFR6' 6"265Killeen, TX
88Trysten LaughlinTEFR6' 5"230Houston, TX
52Preston HuneycuttOLSO6' 3"290Hutto, TX
55MJ SenegalOLJR6' 5"305Fresno, CA
57Ben RiosOLSR6' 5"315San Antonio, TX
65Jarrett HenryOLJR6' 6"315Palestine, TX
66Davion HurthOLSO6' 4"275Dallas, TX
68Josiah EvansOLFR6' 4"315Galveston, TX
69Eucebio RamosOLSR6' 4"315San Antonio, TX
70Deandre MarshallOLSR6' 7"325San Antonio, TX
71Jaylen GarthOLSR6' 5"310Port Neches, TX
72Ibrahim KebeOLFR6' 7"325Cincinnati, OH
73A'marion BrelandOLFR6' 9"320Hattiesburg, MS
74Darrell JonesOLSR6' 4"340Baltimore, MD
75Jonah MillerOLSR6' 8"290Tucson, AZ
76Luke LapezeOLSR6' 5"320Humble, TX
79Daniel SimpsonOLFR6' 4"295Liberty Hill, TX
0Jeremiah BaileyDLSR6' 3"285Smyrna, TN
19Johnny Bowens IIIDLSO6' 3"300Converse, TX
44Collins AcheampongDLSO6' 7"270Cape Coast, Ghana
47Tim Huff Jr.DLSR6' 1"240San Antonio, TX
48Jacob Lopez-VeaseyDLFR6' 5"265Helotes, TX
49Hudson PickettDLFR6' 1"255Phoenix, AZ
88Byron PorterDLSO6' 0"250Austin, TX
90Donald Quaite Jr.DLJR6' 6"340Cedar Hill, TX
91Jusiah SampletonDLSR6' 0"315Giddings, TX
92Jaylan JonesDLSO6' 0"300Cibolo, TX
94Eddy SmithDLSO6' 7"270Pearland, TX
95Drenon Fite IIIDLSR6' 5"260Tatum, TX
97King JusticeDLFR6' 1"300Port Charlotte, FL
98Jameian BuxtonDLSR6' 2"325New Orleans, LA
99Tai LeonardDLSR6' 4"260Houston, TX
1Camron CooperLBJR6' 2"245Dayton, TX
2Owen PeweeLBSR6' 3"220Cypress, TX
16Chris Bryson IILBJR6' 2"195San Antonio, TX
24Willie Nelson IIILBSO5' 10"175Longview, TX
26Bryce GraysLBSR6' 1"205Houston, TX
30Bobby BrownLBFR6' 0"195Bryan, TX
31Dylan SpencerLBSO6' 5"250Houston, TX
32Elijah BaldwinLBSO6' 7"250San Antonio, TX
36TJ LaurentLBJR6' 4"255Fort Lauderdale, FL
41Nathaniel OrtegaLBSO5' 11"185San Antonio, TX
46Caleb BarrowLBFR6' 3"220Bulverde, TX
46Lane RogersLBFR6' 1"235Corpus Christi, TX
50Michael OwoeyeLBSR5' 11"215Houston, TX
51Aden HallLBFR6' 0"210Leesburg, FL
53Eze OsonduLBSO6' 1"230Fort Worth, TX
55Amare JohnsonLBJR6' 2"220Killeen, TX
57Tysan BreauxLBFR6' 1"225Pflugerville, TX
58Braeden LottLBFR6' 1"220Austin, TX
10Lawrence Brown Jr.CBJR6' 1"200Madison Heights, VA
13RJ Lester Jr.CBSO6' 3"190Fort Smith, AR
17Asaad ChapmanCBJR6' 3"200San Bernardino, CA
18Ahamad ChapmanCBSO6' 2"190San Bernardino, CA
20Zach MorrisCBSR6' 0"185Highland Village, TX
27Jakevian RodgersCBJR6' 1"165Daingerfield, TX
28Louie HoganCBSR6' 1"170La Porte, TX
40Baylor SmithCBFR5' 10"170Richmond, TX
14Joel RogersSSO6' 0"205St. Francisville, LA
21Jarvse DickersonSFR6' 1"190Wallis, TX
22Elijah NewellSSO5' 11"190Maumelle, AR
25Nate Robinson Jr.SJR6' 0"195San Antonio, TX
35Ben BrewerSSO5' 11"195Mobile, AL
37Tristan EscobarSFR6' 0"190San Antonio, TX
32Jason CardenasPKFR5' 10"190San Antonio, TX
46Braydon DoanePKFR6' 2"200Austin, TX
92Michael PetroPKJR5' 10"180Flower Mound, TX
98Jesse PerezPKFR5' 7"135San Antonio, TX
30Caile HoganPJR6' 1"210Melbourne, Australia
60William HodgesLSJR6' 2"210Sumrall, MS
67Jon Stephens IIILSFR6' 3"230Katy, TX

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2022 (+5.2, #33) · worst: 2018 (-14.6, #126)
-100FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#56
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far6-13-0#75-1.6+1.9-3.4
20257-64-4#56+2.2+5.1-2.9
20247-64-4#72-0.2+3.0-3.2
20239-47-1#42+3.9+3.2+0.8
202211-38-0#33+5.2+5.9-0.7
202112-27-1#42+4.8+4.4+0.4
20207-55-2#91-3.5-2.5-0.9
20194-83-5#123-14.3-7.5-6.7
20183-92-6#126-14.6-12.0-2.6
20176-53-5#83-3.0-7.1+4.1
20166-75-3#86-4.2-3.8-0.4
20153-93-5#112-12.2-8.1-4.1
20144-83-5#103-8.2-10.1+1.9

UTSA's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Oct 21, 10:45 AM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →