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ACC · 2026

Miami Hurricanes

Head coach Mario Cristobal · Hard Rock Stadium
6-04-0 in conference
TDC Rank
#3
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+26.0
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+16.9
1st in FBS
Defense
+9.1
15th in FBS
Schedule so far
-5.0
76th toughest
Projected
11.1-0.9
bowl-eligible >99%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

+26.0 now, +20.6 preseason · up 3 spots since preseason
0+10+20+30FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8#3

Final record odds

11.1-0.9 expected · most likely 11-1 (55%)
9-316%10-255%11-126%12-0

Team Leaders

National leaderboards →

Passing
Darian Mensah
QB · JR · 17th in FBS
1764yds
18 TD · 1 INT
Rushing
Javian Mallory
RB · FR · 89th in FBS
397yds
52 car · 5 TD
Receiving
Malachi Toney
WR · 5th in FBS
758yds
50 rec · 8 TD
Tackles
Mohamed Toure
LB · 438th in FBS
30tkl
0 TFL
Sacks
Marquise Lightfoot
DL · JR · 17th in FBS
5sacks
1 hurries
Interceptions
Bryce Fitzgerald
DB · SO · 109th in FBS
1INT
1 PD

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 4@104StanfordCONFW 45–6 ›+22.4—ESPN
2Sep 10vsFlorida A&M FCSW 77–7 ›+0.8—ACC Network
3Sep 18@22Wake ForestCONFW 33–20 ›+30.3—ESPN
4Sep 26vs120Central MichiganW 52–3 ›+13.4—CW
5Oct 3@58ClemsonCONFW 41–13 ›+32.5—ABC
6—Bye
7Oct 17vs35Florida StateCONFW 43–35 ›+13.3—ESPN
8Oct 24vs42PittsburghCONFMiami −22.6 · o/u 60.1—93%ESPN
9Oct 31@54North CarolinaCONFMiami −18.1 · o/u 57.9—89%
10Nov 7@1Notre DameNotre Dame −5.7 · o/u 60.5—35%NBC
11Nov 14vs50DukeCONFMiami −24.3 · o/u 60.3—95%
12Nov 21vs48Virginia TechCONFMiami −23.8 · o/u 66.1—94%
13Nov 28vs85Boston CollegeCONFMiami −34.4 · o/u 55.4—99%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.4431st-0.01921st
Success rate54.2%1st36.7%25th
Explosiveness1.29142nd1.24774th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate54.6%1st36.5%23rd
Rushing success rate49.0%24th30.5%5th
Passing success rate60.0%1st39.7%58th
Explosive run rate15.3%49th7.4%8th
Explosive pass rate16.8%6th10.3%74th
Line yards / carry3.772nd2.416th
Opportunity rate46.5%4th25.3%2nd
Stuff rate9.6%4th21.1%31st
Sack rate3.1%28th7.8%18th
3rd-down conversion51.0%16th33.9%25th
Red-zone TD rate87.5%2nd41.7%11th
Havoc rate8.2%3rd12.8%93rd
Box score · season totals
Points / game48.51st14.07th
Yards / game559.52nd281.815th
Yards / play7.951st4.4319th
Pass yards / game333.03rd223.391st
Yards / pass att.10.403rd6.2633rd
Completion %80.3%1st59.8%53rd
Rush yards / game226.513th58.52nd
Yards / carry6.103rd2.343rd
3rd-down conv. %51.6%12th33.7%42nd
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)0.5010th1.3344th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.0016th3.0014th
Penalty yards / game60.585th68.024th

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
7.4
119th of 138
YAC per catch
6.8
15th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
12%
109th of 138
Shotgun
95%
70th of 138
No-huddle
30%
100th of 138
QB pressured
8%
127th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
17%
34th of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
5.1
79th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws180 throws charted

80% comp7.4 avg. depth6.8 YAC/catch12% 20+ air yds21–2 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 17 throws (9%), 17 caught (100%), 90 yds, 5.3 per throw17100% · 90yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 18 throws (10%), 16 caught (89%), 155 yds, 8.6 per throw1889% · 155yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 6 caught (75%), 54 yds, 6.8 per throw875% · 54yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 10 throws (6%), 6 caught (60%), 116 yds, 11.6 per throw1060% · 116yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 10 throws (6%), 9 caught (90%), 229 yds, 22.9 per throw1090% · 229yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 4 caught (67%), 112 yds, 18.7 per throw667% · 112yLeft, 30+ air yards: 1 throws (1%), 1 caught (100%), 33 yds, 33.0 per throw1100% · 33yMiddle, Behind air yards: 5 throws (3%), 5 caught (100%), 28 yds, 5.6 per throw5100% · 28yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 3 caught (60%), 17 yds, 3.4 per throw560% · 17yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 10 throws (6%), 8 caught (80%), 82 yds, 8.2 per throw1080% · 82yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 3 caught (60%), 37 yds, 7.4 per throw560% · 37yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 3 caught (75%), 61 yds, 15.3 per throw475% · 61yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (2%), 3 caught (100%), 132 yds, 44.0 per throw3100% · 132yRight, Behind air yards: 19 throws (11%), 17 caught (89%), 158 yds, 8.3 per throw1989% · 158yRight, 0–4 air yards: 28 throws (16%), 21 caught (75%), 219 yds, 7.8 per throw2875% · 219yRight, 5–9 air yards: 10 throws (6%), 9 caught (90%), 70 yds, 7.0 per throw1090% · 70yRight, 10–14 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 6 caught (86%), 80 yds, 11.4 per throw786% · 80yRight, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 3 caught (60%), 54 yds, 10.8 per throw560% · 54yRight, 20–29 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 20 yds, 10.0 per throw250% · 20yRight, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (3%), 2 caught (40%), 96 yds, 19.2 per throw540% · 96y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on208 throws charted

60% comp8.0 avg. depth5.1 YAC/catch15% 20+ air yds7–4 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 24 throws (12%), 16 caught (67%), 106 yds, 4.4 per throw2467% · 106yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 20 throws (10%), 16 caught (80%), 107 yds, 5.3 per throw2080% · 107yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 10 throws (5%), 9 caught (90%), 77 yds, 7.7 per throw1090% · 77yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 3 caught (75%), 78 yds, 19.5 per throw475% · 78yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 4 caught (57%), 71 yds, 10.1 per throw757% · 71yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 2 caught (40%), 95 yds, 19.0 per throw540% · 95yLeft, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw40% · 0yMiddle, Behind air yards: 3 throws (1%), 2 caught (67%), 26 yds, 8.7 per throw367% · 26yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 4 caught (67%), 25 yds, 4.2 per throw667% · 25yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 11 throws (5%), 8 caught (73%), 71 yds, 6.5 per throw1173% · 71yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 4 caught (50%), 61 yds, 7.6 per throw850% · 61yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 15 yds, 7.5 per throw250% · 15yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 1 throws (0%), 1 caught (100%), 24 yds, 24.0 per throw1100% · 24yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 1 throws (0%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yRight, Behind air yards: 20 throws (10%), 16 caught (80%), 33 yds, 1.6 per throw2080% · 33yRight, 0–4 air yards: 23 throws (11%), 12 caught (52%), 78 yds, 3.4 per throw2352% · 78yRight, 5–9 air yards: 25 throws (12%), 15 caught (60%), 143 yds, 5.7 per throw2560% · 143yRight, 10–14 air yards: 10 throws (5%), 4 caught (40%), 57 yds, 5.7 per throw1040% · 57yRight, 15–19 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 4 caught (67%), 73 yds, 12.2 per throw667% · 73yRight, 20–29 air yards: 12 throws (6%), 3 caught (25%), 72 yds, 6.0 per throw1225% · 72yRight, 30+ air yards: 6 throws (3%), 2 caught (33%), 88 yds, 14.7 per throw633% · 88y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction210 carries

Left
21%
8.8 YPC · 64% succ.
Middle
56%
5.1 YPC · 51% succ.
Right
22%
7.6 YPC · 49% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced127 carries

Left
14%
3.8 YPC · 28% succ.
Middle
62%
3.7 YPC · 32% succ.
Right
24%
2.3 YPC · 23% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Mario Cristobal

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
5Luke NickelQBFR6' 2"220Alpharetta, GA
10Darian MensahQBJR6' 3"205San Luis Obispo, CA
11Dereon ColemanQBFR6' 1"175Lakeland, FL
15Judd AndersonQBSO6' 7"230Gray, GA
18Joe BorchersQBJR6' 3"230Sarasota, FL
18Vinny GonzalezQBFR6' 2"200Miami, FL
0Girard Pringle Jr.RBSO5' 10"190Tampa, FL
2Jordan LyleRBJR6' 0"205Fort Lauderdale, FL
4Mark Fletcher Jr.RBSR6' 2"225Fort Lauderdale, FL
6CharMar BrownRBJR5' 11"220Omaha, NE
21Javian MalloryRBFR5' 11"210Fort Lauderdale, FL
3Joshua MooreWRSO6' 4"215Miami, FL
8Vandrevius JacobsWRJR6' 0"182Fort Pierce, FL
13Vance SpaffordWRFR5' 10"175Orange County, CA
18Cooper BarkateWRSR6' 1"195Newport Beach, CA
19Milan ParrisWRFR6' 5"195Akron, OH
22Kolby LunaWRJR6' 2"215Kellogg, ID
33Nick ThomasWRSO5' 8"170Missouri City, TX
37Brenden CookWRJR6' 1"170Jacksonville, FL
38Micheleau FrederiqueWRFR6' 1"175Fort Lauderdale, FL
40Brennan BurtonWRSO6' 0"205Virginia Beach, VA
81Riply LunaWRJR6' 2"215Kellogg, ID
83Tyran EvansWRFR6' 4"205Charlotte, NC
9Elija LoftonTEJR6' 3"242Las Vegas, NV
14Israel BriggsTEFR6' 4"215Clovis, CA
44Owen RuskavichTEJR6' 7"255Great Falls, VA
80Hunter CarverTESO6' 4"245Woodbury, MN
82Dylan ReimanTESO6' 6"245Jupiter, FL
84Jack NickelTESR6' 4"250Milton, GA
85Jackson CarverTEJR6' 6"250Woodbury, MN
86Cole McConathy IITESO6' 5"250Spanish Fort, AL
87Gavin MuellerTEFR6' 5"255Wayne, IL
88Luka GilbertTESO6' 7"255West Chester, OH
53Canon PickettOLFR6' 4"325Tampa, FL
55JJ SparksOLFR6' 3"305Jacksonville, FL
56Johnathan ClineOLJR6' 4"315Cartersville, GA
58Ben CongdonOLFR6' 8"330Zoarville, OH
63Samson OkunlolaOLJR6' 6"330Brockton, MA
64Ralph ScrogginsOLFR6' 1"275Savannah, GA
65Seuseu AlofaituliOLSO6' 2"290Las Vegas, NV
66Max BuchananOLSO6' 4"310Sanford, FL
70Joel ErvinOLFR6' 6"330Fort Myers, FL
71Jamal MeriweatherOLJR6' 7"305Brunswick, GA
72Demetrius CampbellOLFR6' 6"330Orlando, FL
75Jacob HawksOLSO6' 9"330Topeka, KS
76Ryan RodriguezOLSR6' 2"300Miami, FL
77Juan MinayaOLSO6' 6"335Paramus, NJ
78Matthew McCoyOLSR6' 6"325St. Johns, FL
79Jackson CantwellOLFR6' 8"330Nixa, MO
5Justin ScottDLJR6' 4"303Chicago, IL
8Marquise LightfootDLJR6' 5"230Chicago, IL
13Asharri CharlesDLFR6' 2"230Venice, FL
18Armondo BlountDLJR6' 4"265Fort Lauderdale, FL
31Herbert Scroggins IIIDLSO6' 3"245Savannah, GA
33Booker Pickett Jr.DLSO6' 4"230Tampa, FL
40Keshawn StancilDLFR6' 4"285Clayton, NC
42Logan NagleDLFR6' 4"260Franklin Lakes, NJ
44Tyson BaconDLFR6' 4"275Hoover, AL
52Isaac ChukwurahDLFR6' 2"260Middletown, DE
55Mykah NewtonDLFR6' 3"275Gainesville, FL
88DeAnthony LafayetteDLFR6' 1"230Lake Nona, FL
91Jarquez CarterDLSO6' 1"288Newberry, FL
92Samuel CoufalDLJR6' 2"270Wales, WI
93Fred SainteusDLFR6' 3"275Port-au-prince, Haiti
97Keona DavisDLJR6' 5"280Tucson, AZ
99Ahmad Moten Sr.DLSR6' 3"300Fort Lauderdale, FL
4Cam PruittLBJR6' 2"210Theodore, AL
9Chase SmithLBSR6' 2"240Palm Bay, FL
11Kamal BonnerLBJR6' 2"215Moultrie, GA
17Ezekiel Marcelin Jr.LBSO5' 11"230Miami, FL
32Justin EdwardsLBFR6' 1"205Orlando, FL
34Jordan CampbellLBFR6' 1"225Carol City, FL
38Karsten BuschLBFR6' 3"235Louisville, KY
39Casey RizziLBSO6' 0"225Metairie, LA
45Braylon LamarLBJR6' 0"215Cary, NC
0Omar ThorntonDBJR5' 11"201Carver Ranches, FL
2Damari BrownDBJR6' 2"195Plantation, FL
3Bryce FitzgeraldDBSO6' 1"185Miami, FL
6Xavier LucasDBJR6' 2"198Pompano Beach, FL
7Zechariah PoyserDBJR6' 2"200Wildwood, FL
15Brody JenningsDBFR6' 1"185Jacksonville, FL
16Ja'Boree AntoineDBSO6' 1"180New Iberia, LA
20Chris Ewald Jr.DBFR6' 1"175Sunrise, FL
21Camdin PortisDBFR5' 11"175Charlotte, NC
23Dylan DayDBJR6' 2"185Baton Rouge, LA
24Ethan O'ConnorDBJR6' 1"180Irvine, CA
25JJ DunniganDBFR6' 3"205Manhattan, KS
27Ryan MackDBSO5' 11"175Fort Lauderdale, FL
28Isaiah TaylorDBSR5' 11"200Fort Lauderdale, FL
29Romanas Frederique Jr.DBJR6' 0"185Deerfield Beach, FL
36Takai AzzizDBJR6' 3"180Orcutt, CA
37Cortez ReddingDBFR5' 11"170Jonesboro, GA
43Tyler RoweDBSR5' 11"185Loganville, GA
47Stone StroudDBSO5' 8"160Coral Gables, FL
82Jack OlsenPKSR5' 10"195Wheaton, IL
97Will RochaPKJR5' 11"185Mandeville, LA
94Dylan JoycePSR6' 2"215Kyabram, Australia
96Tucker TevepaughPSO5' 11"200Bluffton, SC
46Adam BookerLSSR6' 4"215Holly Springs, NC
59Vance DiepenbrockLSFR5' 10"220Fort Wayne, IN

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2025 (+17.4, #6) · worst: 2022 (-3.6, #82)
0+10+20FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#6
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far6-04-0#3+26.0+16.9+9.1
202513-36-2#6+17.4+6.0+11.4
202410-36-2#10+12.4+11.6+0.8
20237-63-5#33+5.1+3.0+2.1
20225-73-5#82-3.6-3.1-0.5
20217-55-3#52+3.4+3.50.0
20208-37-2#28+6.1+2.8+3.3
20196-74-4#47+2.1-3.3+5.5
20187-64-4#29+6.5-1.4+7.9
201710-37-1#14+10.4+3.8+6.6
20169-45-3#14+11.5+3.2+8.4
20158-55-3#55+3.0-0.3+3.2
20146-73-5#33+6.5+1.7+4.8

Miami's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Oct 21, 10:45 AM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →