ACC · 2026

Stanford Cardinal

Head coach Tavita Pritchard · Stanford Stadium
3-41-3 in conference
TDC Rank
#104
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
-10.6
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-6.1
109th in FBS
Defense
-4.5
100th in FBS
Schedule so far
+4.4
15th toughest
Projected
3.8-8.2
bowl-eligible 3%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

-10.6 now, -5.1 preseason · down 21 spots since preseason
-10-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8#104

Final record odds

3.8-8.2 expected · most likely 3-9 (43%)
43%3-940%4-814%5-76-6

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Aug 29vs118Hawai'iW 37–27 ›-8.2—ACC Network
1Sep 4vs3MiamiCONFL 6–45 ›-7.0—ESPN
2—Bye
3Sep 19@50DukeCONFL 7–35 ›-16.1—CW
4Sep 26vs67Georgia TechCONFW 34–27 ›+5.0—ESPN
5Oct 3@22Wake ForestCONFL 3–57 ›-17.2—ACC Network
6Oct 10@1Notre DameL 7–58 ›-1.7—NBC
7Oct 17vsElon FCSW 34–7 ›-5.4—ACCNX
8Oct 23vs64NC StateCONFNC State −9.0 · o/u 58.0—27%ESPN
9Oct 31@18LouisvilleCONFLouisville −29.8 · o/u 59.9—2%ACC Network
10—Bye
11Nov 14@48Virginia TechCONFVirginia Tech −20.5 · o/u 56.7—9%
12Nov 21@86CaliforniaCONFCalifornia −9.5 · o/u 54.9—26%
13Nov 28vs31SMUCONFSMU −18.1 · o/u 52.6—12%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.15169th+0.312137th
Success rate39.1%114th46.5%124th
Explosiveness1.22384th1.394127th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate38.3%124th46.5%121st
Rushing success rate39.7%107th49.7%130th
Passing success rate37.3%116th43.8%105th
Explosive run rate8.2%130th16.8%127th
Explosive pass rate8.1%113th9.6%61st
Line yards / carry2.72124th3.35121st
Opportunity rate32.2%132nd43.4%124th
Stuff rate22.6%127th15.0%105th
Sack rate3.6%37th2.5%129th
3rd-down conversion34.7%115th46.5%124th
Red-zone TD rate62.5%71st78.3%128th
Havoc rate11.8%38th11.2%127th
Box score · season totals
Points / game18.3127th36.6133rd
Yards / game342.9106th452.0134th
Yards / play5.15112th6.46129th
Pass yards / game239.459th255.4123rd
Yards / pass att.6.80106th7.6194th
Completion %60.4%95th64.3%105th
Rush yards / game103.4132nd196.6126th
Yards / carry3.50123rd5.48131st
3rd-down conv. %33.3%116th48.4%133rd
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)0.8634th0.86105th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.8670th0.57136th
Penalty yards / game58.380th52.485th

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
8.6
71st of 138
YAC per catch
4.3
122nd of 138
Deep shots (20+)
12%
104th of 138
Shotgun
91%
106th of 138
No-huddle
64%
65th of 138
QB pressured
16%
36th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
12%
94th of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
5.6
40th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws237 throws charted

60% comp8.6 avg. depth4.3 YAC/catch12% 20+ air yds7–3 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 7 throws (3%), 4 caught (57%), 21 yds, 3.0 per throw757% · 21yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 29 throws (12%), 25 caught (86%), 162 yds, 5.6 per throw2986% · 162yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 15 throws (6%), 10 caught (67%), 88 yds, 5.9 per throw1567% · 88yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 12 throws (5%), 5 caught (42%), 68 yds, 5.7 per throw1242% · 68yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 8 throws (3%), 5 caught (63%), 89 yds, 11.1 per throw863% · 89yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 27 yds, 13.5 per throw250% · 27yLeft, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (2%), 2 caught (40%), 85 yds, 17.0 per throw540% · 85yMiddle, Behind air yards: 1 throws (0%), 1 caught (100%), 16 yds, 16.0 per throw1100% · 16yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 11 throws (5%), 6 caught (55%), 31 yds, 2.8 per throw1155% · 31yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 15 throws (6%), 9 caught (60%), 95 yds, 6.3 per throw1560% · 95yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 19 throws (8%), 9 caught (47%), 144 yds, 7.6 per throw1947% · 144yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 3 caught (60%), 87 yds, 17.4 per throw560% · 87yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 2 caught (50%), 109 yds, 27.3 per throw450% · 109yRight, Behind air yards: 21 throws (9%), 16 caught (76%), 70 yds, 3.3 per throw2176% · 70yRight, 0–4 air yards: 31 throws (13%), 19 caught (61%), 111 yds, 3.6 per throw3161% · 111yRight, 5–9 air yards: 22 throws (9%), 17 caught (77%), 167 yds, 7.6 per throw2277% · 167yRight, 10–14 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 4 caught (44%), 61 yds, 6.8 per throw944% · 61yRight, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 2 caught (40%), 38 yds, 7.6 per throw540% · 38yRight, 20–29 air yards: 11 throws (5%), 3 caught (27%), 74 yds, 6.7 per throw1127% · 74yRight, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (1%), 1 caught (33%), 30 yds, 10.0 per throw333% · 30y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on223 throws charted

64% comp8.3 avg. depth5.6 YAC/catch13% 20+ air yds15–3 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 13 throws (6%), 11 caught (85%), 33 yds, 2.5 per throw1385% · 33yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 21 throws (9%), 15 caught (71%), 138 yds, 6.6 per throw2171% · 138yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 21 throws (9%), 17 caught (81%), 154 yds, 7.3 per throw2181% · 154yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 10 throws (4%), 4 caught (40%), 49 yds, 4.9 per throw1040% · 49yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 11 throws (5%), 8 caught (73%), 197 yds, 17.9 per throw1173% · 197yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 12 throws (5%), 5 caught (42%), 197 yds, 16.4 per throw1242% · 197yLeft, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0yMiddle, Behind air yards: 1 throws (0%), 1 caught (100%), -1 yds, -1.0 per throw1100% · -1yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 10 throws (4%), 7 caught (70%), 76 yds, 7.6 per throw1070% · 76yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 8 caught (89%), 87 yds, 9.7 per throw989% · 87yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 5 caught (63%), 66 yds, 8.3 per throw863% · 66yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 2 caught (40%), 47 yds, 9.4 per throw540% · 47yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 1 throws (0%), 1 caught (100%), 24 yds, 24.0 per throw1100% · 24yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 1 throws (0%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yRight, Behind air yards: 17 throws (8%), 14 caught (82%), 93 yds, 5.5 per throw1782% · 93yRight, 0–4 air yards: 31 throws (14%), 23 caught (74%), 161 yds, 5.2 per throw3174% · 161yRight, 5–9 air yards: 22 throws (10%), 10 caught (45%), 86 yds, 3.9 per throw2245% · 86yRight, 10–14 air yards: 11 throws (5%), 5 caught (45%), 92 yds, 8.4 per throw1145% · 92yRight, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 2 caught (40%), 32 yds, 6.4 per throw540% · 32yRight, 20–29 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 2 caught (33%), 45 yds, 7.5 per throw633% · 45yRight, 30+ air yards: 6 throws (3%), 2 caught (33%), 91 yds, 15.2 per throw633% · 91y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction189 carries

Left
13%
6.4 YPC · 50% succ.
Middle
65%
3.8 YPC · 40% succ.
Right
22%
4.5 YPC · 33% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced235 carries

Left
21%
5.4 YPC · 48% succ.
Middle
59%
4.5 YPC · 43% succ.
Right
20%
9.7 YPC · 65% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Tavita Pritchard

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
9Michael Mitchell Jr.QBFR5' 11"185San Francisco, CA
10Dylan RizkQBJR6' 2"225Delray Beach, FL
17Charlie MirerQBSR6' 6"235Rancho Santa Fe, CA
25Luke LevittQBSO6' 2"200Burlingame, CA
27Devin MigneryQBFR5' 10"215Sarasota, FL
5Chris Davis Jr.RBSO5' 10"195Picayune, MS
6Tuna AltahirRBSR6' 0"230Kennewick, WA
20Micah FordRBJR6' 0"220Toms River, NJ
26Sedrick IrvinRBSR5' 10"205Miami, FL
34Champ HamptonRBJR5' 10"220Ooltewah, TN
0Caden HighWRSR5' 10"165Atlanta, GA
2Zion RobinsonWRFR6' 2"180Mansfield, TX
3Marcus BrownWRSO5' 10"170Huntington Beach, CA
4Jordan OnovugheWRJR6' 2"210Pomona, CA
11JonAnthony HallWRFR6' 1"190Fishers, IN
14Dre PollardWRFR6' 1"180Las Vegas, NV
15Carter ShawWRJR6' 3"195Atherton, CA
18Langdon HoraceWRFR5' 11"180Stockton, CA
19David PantelisWRSR5' 11"200Pittsburgh, PA
22Daylen SharperWRFR6' 2"210Phoenix, AZ
23Nico BrownWRJR6' 0"185Huntington Beach, CA
80Jacob ButlerWRFR5' 9"170Baldwin, NY
82Tyler KuoWRJR6' 3"205Austin, TX
89Atticus JosephWRFR6' 0"170Snellville, GA
81Marcus MonroeTEFR6' 3"220Cary, NC
84Chico HoltTEJR6' 5"255Houston, TX
85Zach GiulianoTEFR6' 6"245Corona Del Mar, CA
87Aiden BlackTESO6' 4"240Dingmans Ferry, PA
88Benji BlackburnTEJR6' 6"260Miami, FL
50Cash BallardOLFR6' 1"280Westfield, IN
51Ziron BrownOLSO6' 3"310Waveland, MS
52Aidan KilstromOLSR6' 3"300Bettendorf, IA
53Nathan MejiaOLSR6' 3"305Arcadia, CA
55Simione PaleOLJR6' 4"320Elk Grove, CA
56Hayden GunterOLSO6' 7"300Denton, TX
58Kahlil HouseOLJR6' 5"305Warner Robins, GA
59Charlie HoitinkOLSO6' 4"300Slinger, WI
60Nick FattigOLJR6' 4"300League City, TX
63Carson CaplanOLSO6' 3"305Colorado Springs, CO
65Jay MillerOLFR6' 4"320Goodyear, AZ
66Niki ProngosOLSR6' 7"315Novato, CA
72Dara AdeyemiOLJR6' 8"300Luton, England
73Charlie SymondsOLJR6' 8"310South Kent, CT
74Fisher AndersonOLSR6' 7"315Franklin, TN
79Kai GreerOLSO6' 6"295Charlotte, NC
42Jacobi MurrayDLSO6' 1"315Conyers, GA
45Omar StaplesDLJR6' 3"270Oakland, CA
55Joe AsiainDLSO6' 3"275Edison, NJ
58Brendan DelaneyDLSO6' 5"275Montreal, Canada
75Braden Marceau-OlayinkaDLJR6' 3"300Melrose, MA
94Daniel OgiozeeDLFR6' 3"250Dallas, TX
96Connor BachhuberDLSO6' 5"275San Clemente, CA
97Zach RowellDLSR6' 3"285San Diego, CA
98Max MeierDLFR6' 4"255Pacific Palisades, CA
95Adam ShovlinDEFR6' 4"270Wilkes-barre, PA
57Kole BriehlerDTFR6' 2"280Pennington, NJ
0Jahsiah GalvanLBSR6' 2"230West Liberty, IA
2Dylan StephensonLBSO6' 4"235Miami, FL
10Sam MattinglyLBJR6' 2"235Magnolia, TX
11Tevarua TafitiLBSR6' 2"240Waipahu, HI
23Wassie LugolobiLBFR6' 1"225Seattle, WA
32Chase CahoonLBFR6' 0"215Los Gatos, CA
35Matt RoseLBSR6' 2"230Brecksville, OH
38Zach JohnsonLBJR6' 3"230Coeur d'Alene, ID
41Lucas ShanafeltLBFR6' 3"235Mcmurray, PA
43Landon McComberLBFR6' 2"235Las Vegas, NV
44Ernest CooperLBSR6' 4"250Arlington, TX
46Carter DavisLBFR6' 4"225Eagle, ID
48Drew CunninghamLBSO6' 3"245Orinda, CA
49Gabe KaminskiLBFR6' 3"235Riverside, IL
52Sarrel HowardLBFR6' 1"230Los Angeles, CA
54Preston JerneganLBSO6' 2"230Altadena, CA
88Keysaun EleazerLBFR6' 6"205Raleigh, NC
90Gavin GewenigerLBJR6' 4"240Scottsdale, AZ
22Zaiden McDonaldDBFR6' 2"195Newark, NJ
24Lonnie McAllister IIIDBSO5' 11"180Upper Marlboro, MD
29Caleb CarsonDBFR5' 11"190Atlanta, GA
33Lasiah JacksonDBFR6' 3"175Leesburg, GA
4Leroy BryantCBJR6' 0"185Fairfield, CA
8Cam RichardsonCBJR6' 2"190Irvington, NJ
9Brandon NicholsonCBJR6' 0"190Memphis, TN
18Jason Hill Jr.CBFR5' 11"160Folsom, CA
20Xavier HarmonCBFR6' 0"185Humble, TX
26Chris GarlandCBFR6' 0"180Buford, GA
28Sam Neely IIICBSO5' 11"185Charlotte, NC
30Jack DuckworthCBFR5' 10"170Rockwall, TX
31Aaron MorrisCBJR5' 11"195Lowell, MA
34Javion RandallCBSO5' 11"190Richmond, VA
3Jaylen'Dai SumlinSSO6' 2"200Castaic, CA
5Jay GreenSSR6' 3"215Houston, TX
6Darrius DavisSJR6' 0"200Metairie, LA
17Omari GainesSFR6' 2"200Newark, NJ
21Scotty EdwardsSSR6' 1"205Holladay, UT
39Charlie EckhardtSSO6' 2"205Centennial, CO
13Emmet KenneyPKSR6' 3"220Fargo, ND
19London BironasPKFR5' 10"205Nashville, TN
92AJ SeidlerPKSO6' 1"225Appleton, WI
37Aidan FlintoftPSR6' 2"210Pacific Palisades, CA
46Hamilton SharpeLSFR6' 0"215The Woodlands, TX
47Alejandro ChavezLSSR6' 2"225West Covina, CA

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2015 (+14.8, #5) · worst: 2023 (-8.7, #113)
-100+10FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#93
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far3-41-3#104-10.6-6.1-4.5
20254-83-5#93-4.7-3.9-0.9
20243-92-6#105-6.3-3.0-3.3
20233-92-7#113-8.7-4.7-3.9
20223-91-8#100-6.3-4.6-1.7
20213-92-7#106-6.6-3.8-2.8
20204-24-2#76-1.0+0.6-1.7
20194-83-6#88-3.5-3.2-0.3
20189-46-3#33+5.7+1.9+3.8
20179-57-2#17+9.4+3.5+5.9
201610-36-3#17+9.4-0.3+9.7
201512-28-1#5+14.8+8.3+6.6
20148-55-4#16+11.3-1.8+13.1

Stanford's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Oct 21, 10:45 AM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →