Independent · 2026

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Head coach Marcus Freeman · Notre Dame Stadium
6-1Overall record
TDC Rank
#1
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+28.0
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+13.5
2nd in FBS
Defense
+14.4
3rd in FBS
Schedule so far
+1.4
31st toughest
Projected
10.5-1.5
bowl-eligible >99%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

+28.0 now, +22.5 preseason · up 3 spots since preseason
0+10+20+30FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8#1

Final record odds

10.5-1.5 expected · most likely 11-1 (55%)
6%9-339%10-255%11-1

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 6vs27WisconsinNEUTRALW 41–13 ›+37.8—NBC
2Sep 12vs119RiceW 52–0 ›+14.9—NBC
3Sep 19vs63Michigan StateW 27–10 ›+15.6—NBC
4Sep 26@71PurdueW 49–10 ›+32.9—Peacock
5Oct 3@54North CarolinaW 37–26 ›+18.9—ESPN
6Oct 10vs104StanfordW 58–7 ›+19.1—NBC
7Oct 17@14BYUL 24–28 ›+16.8—ABC
8—Bye
9Oct 31vs90NavyNEUTRALNotre Dame −33.8 · o/u 51.6—99%
10Nov 7vs3MiamiNotre Dame −5.7 · o/u 60.5—65%NBC
11Nov 14vs85Boston CollegeNotre Dame −36.4 · o/u 46.7—99%NBC
12Nov 21vs31SMUNotre Dame −20.5 · o/u 53.2—91%NBC
13Nov 28@68SyracuseNotre Dame −23.1 · o/u 53.7—94%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.3575th-0.0829th
Success rate50.9%9th34.5%13th
Explosiveness1.18099th1.15432nd
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate51.1%9th34.6%11th
Rushing success rate51.0%13th28.3%1st
Passing success rate51.1%15th40.5%70th
Explosive run rate8.9%126th6.2%2nd
Explosive pass rate12.3%42nd5.5%8th
Line yards / carry3.3238th2.7836th
Opportunity rate39.6%72nd28.3%4th
Stuff rate12.5%18th20.0%41st
Sack rate0.6%1st5.2%78th
3rd-down conversion41.3%71st41.5%97th
Red-zone TD rate66.7%48th63.6%90th
Havoc rate11.0%33rd16.4%27th
Box score · season totals
Points / game41.16th13.45th
Yards / game445.135th235.01st
Yards / play6.4925th4.147th
Pass yards / game261.737th167.715th
Yards / pass att.8.4034th6.3538th
Completion %66.8%40th61.6%70th
Rush yards / game183.445th67.33rd
Yards / carry4.9041st2.394th
3rd-down conv. %44.0%41st39.1%88th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)0.291st2.293rd
Sacks / game (allowed · made)0.291st2.1466th
Penalty yards / game29.42nd38.0128th

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
9.6
36th of 138
YAC per catch
5.1
87th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
19%
14th of 138
Shotgun
97%
50th of 138
No-huddle
60%
73rd of 138
QB pressured
7%
130th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
16%
39th of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
4.1
128th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws215 throws charted

67% comp9.6 avg. depth5.1 YAC/catch19% 20+ air yds17–1 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 5 throws (2%), 5 caught (100%), 46 yds, 9.2 per throw5100% · 46yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 25 throws (12%), 20 caught (80%), 152 yds, 6.1 per throw2580% · 152yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 25 throws (12%), 18 caught (72%), 164 yds, 6.6 per throw2572% · 164yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 10 throws (5%), 5 caught (50%), 58 yds, 5.8 per throw1050% · 58yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 1 caught (20%), 30 yds, 6.0 per throw520% · 30yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 12 throws (6%), 5 caught (42%), 204 yds, 17.0 per throw1242% · 204yLeft, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 39 yds, 19.5 per throw250% · 39yMiddle, Behind air yards: 1 throws (0%), 1 caught (100%), 2 yds, 2.0 per throw1100% · 2yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 16 throws (7%), 11 caught (69%), 91 yds, 5.7 per throw1669% · 91yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 10 throws (5%), 6 caught (60%), 91 yds, 9.1 per throw1060% · 91yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 19 yds, 9.5 per throw250% · 19yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 1 caught (33%), 18 yds, 6.0 per throw333% · 18yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 11 throws (5%), 7 caught (64%), 188 yds, 17.1 per throw1164% · 188yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (1%), 1 caught (33%), 61 yds, 20.3 per throw333% · 61yRight, Behind air yards: 11 throws (5%), 9 caught (82%), 57 yds, 5.2 per throw1182% · 57yRight, 0–4 air yards: 23 throws (11%), 19 caught (83%), 119 yds, 5.2 per throw2383% · 119yRight, 5–9 air yards: 22 throws (10%), 18 caught (82%), 169 yds, 7.7 per throw2282% · 169yRight, 10–14 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 5 caught (83%), 66 yds, 11.0 per throw683% · 66yRight, 15–19 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 3 caught (33%), 62 yds, 6.9 per throw933% · 62yRight, 20–29 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 2 caught (29%), 44 yds, 6.3 per throw729% · 44yRight, 30+ air yards: 7 throws (3%), 4 caught (57%), 147 yds, 21.0 per throw757% · 147y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on176 throws charted

61% comp8.1 avg. depth4.1 YAC/catch8% 20+ air yds8–8 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 12 throws (7%), 9 caught (75%), 52 yds, 4.3 per throw1275% · 52yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 14 throws (8%), 9 caught (64%), 54 yds, 3.9 per throw1464% · 54yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 12 throws (7%), 10 caught (83%), 96 yds, 8.0 per throw1283% · 96yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 10 throws (6%), 1 caught (10%), 18 yds, 1.8 per throw1010% · 18yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 3 caught (60%), 55 yds, 11.0 per throw560% · 55yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0yLeft, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (2%), 2 caught (67%), 105 yds, 35.0 per throw367% · 105yMiddle, Behind air yards: 2 throws (1%), 2 caught (100%), -6 yds, -3.0 per throw2100% · -6yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 9 throws (5%), 7 caught (78%), 48 yds, 5.3 per throw978% · 48yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 17 throws (10%), 10 caught (59%), 90 yds, 5.3 per throw1759% · 90yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 8 throws (5%), 6 caught (75%), 77 yds, 9.6 per throw875% · 77yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 5 caught (83%), 136 yds, 22.7 per throw683% · 136yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: noneMiddle, 30+ air yards: 1 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yRight, Behind air yards: 15 throws (9%), 11 caught (73%), 42 yds, 2.8 per throw1573% · 42yRight, 0–4 air yards: 17 throws (10%), 11 caught (65%), 73 yds, 4.3 per throw1765% · 73yRight, 5–9 air yards: 20 throws (11%), 17 caught (85%), 141 yds, 7.0 per throw2085% · 141yRight, 10–14 air yards: 10 throws (6%), 5 caught (50%), 77 yds, 7.7 per throw1050% · 77yRight, 15–19 air yards: 8 throws (5%), 2 caught (25%), 39 yds, 4.9 per throw825% · 39yRight, 20–29 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 1 caught (25%), 28 yds, 7.0 per throw425% · 28yRight, 30+ air yards: 1 throws (1%), 1 caught (100%), 30 yds, 30.0 per throw1100% · 30y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction249 carries

Left
24%
4.9 YPC · 45% succ.
Middle
57%
4.7 YPC · 52% succ.
Right
19%
5.3 YPC · 43% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced174 carries

Left
21%
4.8 YPC · 46% succ.
Middle
63%
3.0 YPC · 26% succ.
Right
16%
2.9 YPC · 37% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Marcus Freeman

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
9Teddy JarrardQBFR6' 4"210Kennesaw, GA
10Noah GrubbsQBFR6' 4"210Lake Mary, FL
12Blake HebertQBSO6' 2"216Boxford, MA
13CJ CarrQBJR6' 2"215Saline, MI
2Nolan James Jr.RBSO5' 10"215Westwood, NJ
26Javian OsborneRBFR5' 9"200Forney, TX
37Kurt SmithRBSO5' 9"187South Beloit, IL
0Quincy PorterWRSO6' 4"215New Milford, NJ
1Jaden GreathouseWRSR6' 1"212Austin, TX
3Mylan GrahamWRJR6' 1"195Fort Wayne, IN
4Bubba FrazierWRFR5' 10"185Savannah, GA
6Jordan FaisonWRSR5' 11"185Weston, FL
8Jerome Bettis Jr.WRSO6' 2"207Atlanta, GA
11Devin FitzgeraldWRFR6' 2"208Paradise Valley, AZ
14Micah GilbertWRJR6' 2"205Charlotte, NC
15Brayden RobinsonWRFR5' 7"168Red Oak, TX
16Dylan FaisonWRFR6' 2"175Weston, FL
17Elijah BurressWRSO6' 1"190Totowa, NJ
18Kaydon FinleyWRFR6' 1"205Aledo, TX
19Logan SaldateWRJR5' 11"185Gilroy, CA
31Xavier SouthallWRJR6' 0"180Alexandria, VA
33Matt JefferyWRJR5' 11"195Cheshire, CT
24Ian PremerTEFR6' 6"245Great Bend, KS
42Henry GarrityTESR6' 4"230Bloomfield Hills, MI
84Preston FryzelTEFR6' 4"232Holland, OH
85Jack LarsenTEJR6' 3"250Charlotte, NC
87Cooper FlanaganTESR6' 6"255Pleasant Hill, CA
88James FlaniganTESO6' 6"253Green Bay, WI
89Austin RatiganTEFR6' 4"223South Bend, IN
50Sullivan GarvinOLFR6' 5"315Allegan, MI
51Ben NicholsOLFR6' 5"328Davison, MI
52Devan HoustanOLSR6' 4"310Mississauga, Canada
54Anthonie KnappOLJR6' 5"305Roswell, GA
55Chris TerekOLSR6' 5"321Glen Ellyn, IL
56Charles JagusahOLSR6' 5"330Rock Island, IL
57Cam HerronOLSO6' 2"297Indianapolis, IN
58Matty AugustineOLSO6' 7"315Greenwich, CT
60Max AndersonOLJR6' 3"303Saint Paul, MN
64Joe OttingOLSR6' 4"309Topeka, KS
65Grayson McKeoghOLFR6' 7"303Perkasie, PA
66Tyler MerrillOLFR6' 6"335Mechanicsburg, PA
67Gregory PatrickOLFR6' 6"300Portage, MI
68Charlie ThomOLFR6' 7"295Darien, CT
70Ashton CraigOLSR6' 5"315Lawrenceburg, IN
71Styles PrescodOLJR6' 6"304Fishers, IN
74Will BlackOLSO6' 7"316London, WV
75Sullivan AbsherOLSR6' 7"320Belmont, NC
76Guerby LambertOLJR6' 7"325Boston, MA
77Peter JonesOLJR6' 5"315Coatesville, PA
78Owen StrebigOLSO6' 8"318Brookfield, WI
0Tionne GrayDLJR6' 5"320St. Louis, MO
5Boubacar TraoreDLSR6' 5"253Boston, MA
6Christopher Burgess Jr.DLSO6' 4"295Chicago, IL
7Francis BrewuDLJR6' 1"285Westerville, OH
10Loghan ThomasDLJR6' 3"221Katy, TX
11Keon KeeleyDLSR6' 5"275Tampa, FL
14Ebenezer EwetadeDLFR6' 4"245Raleigh, NC
40Dominik HulakDLSO6' 3"260Glendale Heights, IL
42Cole MullinsDLJR6' 4"280Hoschton, GA
44Rodney DunhamDLFR6' 4"242Charlotte, NC
47Jason OnyeDLSR6' 5"295North Providence, RI
55Tiki HolaDLFR6' 3"305Bastrop, TX
56Elijah HughesDLSR6' 3"295Arlington, VA
59Sean Sevillano Jr.DLJR6' 2"313Winnipeg, Canada
60Davion DixonDLSO6' 2"316Homestead, FL
88Armel MukamDLSR6' 3"300La Prairie, IL
90Elijah GoldenDLFR6' 4"290Fredericksburg, VA
91Gordy SulfstedDLSO6' 5"280Cincinnati, OH
94Joe ReiffDLSO6' 5"264Elmhurst, IL
3Jaylen SneedLBSR6' 1"227Hilton Head Island, SC
4Jaiden AusberryLBSR6' 1"226Baton Rouge, LA
16Ko'o KiaLBSO6' 2"225Kahalu'u, HI
19Madden FaraimoLBSO6' 2"235Oceanside, CA
23Ja'Kobe ClapperLBFR6' 1"230Cincinnati, OH
27Kyngstonn Viliamu-AsaLBJR6' 3"234Inland Empire, CA
34Drayk BowenLBSR6' 2"234Saint John, IN
35Teddy RezacLBJR6' 3"226Omaha, NE
38Tommy PowlusLBJR6' 1"215Granger, IN
43Kahanu KiaLBSR6' 2"228Kahalu'u, HI
58Thomas Davis Jr.LBFR6' 2"228Weddington, NC
1Dallas GoldenCBSO6' 0"195Tampa, FL
2DJ McKinneyCBSR6' 1"190Colleyville, TX
12Jayden SandersCBSO6' 0"195Kilgore, TX
13Ayden PounceyCBFR6' 3"189Orlando, FL
15Leonard MooreCBJR6' 2"197Round Rock, TX
21Khary AdamsCBFR6' 1"187Baltimore, MD
26Chaz SmithCBFR6' 1"180Knoxville, TN
29Christian GrayCBSR6' 0"196St. Louis, MO
32Nick ReddishCBFR5' 10"195Charlotte, NC
8Adon ShulerSSR6' 0"205Irvington, NJ
9Brauntae JohnsonSJR6' 2"200Fort Wayne, IN
20Joey O'BrienSFR6' 5"200Roxborough, PA
22Ethan LongSSO6' 2"205Milford, CT
25Brandon LoganSSO5' 11"202Fort Wayne, IN
28Luke TalichSSR6' 4"222Cody, WY
35Spencer PorathPKJR6' 0"200Brownsburg, IN
36Micah DrescherPKFR6' 5"196Hinsdale, IL
18Erik SchmidtPSO6' 2"211Milwaukee, WI
39Jasper ScaifePFR6' 6"222West Perth, Australia
49Andrew KrosLSSR6' 4"227Louisville, KY

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2025 (+20.2, #3) · worst: 2016 (+4.5, #43)
0+10+20FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#3
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far6-1—#1+28.0+13.5+14.4
202510-2—#3+20.2+11.0+9.2
202414-2—#2+19.1+8.6+10.5
202310-3—#7+15.7+7.7+8.0
20229-4—#16+8.9+4.6+4.3
202111-2—#6+13.1+6.3+6.9
202010-29-0#9+12.1+3.1+8.9
201911-2—#8+14.5+5.2+9.3
201812-1—#6+14.0+4.7+9.3
201710-3—#10+14.4+8.1+6.3
20164-8—#43+4.5+4.1+0.4
201510-3—#11+11.5+8.5+3.0
20148-5—#34+6.0+6.0+0.1

Notre Dame's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Oct 21, 10:45 AM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →