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Sun Belt · 2026

South Alabama Jaguars

Head coach Major Applewhite · Hancock Whitney Stadium
4-32-1 in conference
TDC Rank
#102
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
-10.3
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+0.1
70th in FBS
Defense
-10.4
131st in FBS
Schedule so far
-11.0
114th toughest
Projected
6.5-5.5
bowl-eligible 81%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

-10.3 now, -13.7 preseason · up 3 spots since preseason
-15-10-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8#103

Final record odds

6.5-5.5 expected · most likely 7-5 (31%)
4-816%5-731%6-631%7-516%8-49-3

Team Leaders

National leaderboards →

Passing
Jared Hollins
QB · JR · 104th in FBS
1003yds
7 TD · 3 INT
Rushing
Keenan Phillips
RB · JR · 41st in FBS
514yds
96 car · 5 TD
Receiving
Brendan Jenkins
WR · SR · 64th in FBS
430yds
25 rec · 3 TD
Tackles
Cole Blaylock
S · SR · 114th in FBS
46tkl
3.5 TFL
Sacks
William Felton IV
LB · JR · 200th in FBS
2sacks
1 hurries
Interceptions
Damyrion Darby
CB · JR · 8th in FBS
3INT
1 PD

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5vsSE Louisiana FCSW 39–14 ›-0.9—ESPN+
2Sep 12@82TulaneL 24–28 ›-3.9—ESPN+
3Sep 19vs88OhioW 41–36 ›-4.0—ESPN+
4Sep 26@32KentuckyL 21–45 ›-9.1—SEC Network
5Oct 3vs136UL MonroeCONFW 52–35 ›-12.6—ESPN+
6Oct 8@103Arkansas StateCONFW 56–49 ›+0.5—ESPN2
7—Bye
8Oct 20@113MarshallCONFL 13–20 ›-16.3—ESPN2
9Oct 31vs80Louisiana TechCONFLouisiana Tech −3.6 · o/u 64.5—41%ESPN+
10Nov 7@89LouisianaCONFLouisiana −8.6 · o/u 60.5—28%
11Nov 14vs108TroyCONFSouth Alabama −4.6 · o/u 63.8—62%
12Nov 21@126Southern MissCONFSouth Alabama −3.0 · o/u 65.0—58%
13Nov 27vs105App StateCONFSouth Alabama −4.2 · o/u 63.7—61%ESPN+

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.19250th+0.242123rd
Success rate42.2%79th51.0%136th
Explosiveness1.35120th1.29999th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate43.3%73rd50.8%136th
Rushing success rate44.5%70th52.0%136th
Passing success rate41.1%78th49.8%131st
Explosive run rate13.0%85th18.6%133rd
Explosive pass rate11.1%58th11.5%102nd
Line yards / carry3.2452nd3.2198th
Opportunity rate40.8%55th42.9%121st
Stuff rate13.4%29th17.5%72nd
Sack rate2.3%14th4.6%94th
3rd-down conversion40.6%79th44.9%115th
Red-zone TD rate66.7%48th80.0%130th
Havoc rate10.7%27th14.1%64th
Box score · season totals
Points / game35.136th32.4124th
Yards / game421.947th414.6119th
Yards / play5.7962nd6.72135th
Pass yards / game207.693rd252.9120th
Yards / pass att.7.9050th8.19125th
Completion %58.7%106th67.1%126th
Rush yards / game214.321st161.798th
Yards / carry4.7049th5.55133rd
3rd-down conv. %40.4%73rd42.5%109th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)0.5714th1.5727th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.1428th1.7193rd
Penalty yards / game54.159th48.3105th

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
10.1
24th of 138
YAC per catch
5.2
83rd of 138
Deep shots (20+)
13%
91st of 138
Shotgun
98%
41st of 138
No-huddle
90%
19th of 138
QB pressured
15%
44th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
10%
123rd of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
6.4
12th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws180 throws charted

59% comp10.1 avg. depth5.2 YAC/catch13% 20+ air yds12–2 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 12 throws (7%), 11 caught (92%), 51 yds, 4.3 per throw1292% · 51yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 10 throws (6%), 7 caught (70%), 65 yds, 6.5 per throw1070% · 65yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 13 throws (7%), 7 caught (54%), 73 yds, 5.6 per throw1354% · 73yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 2 caught (50%), 32 yds, 8.0 per throw450% · 32yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 5 caught (71%), 93 yds, 13.3 per throw771% · 93yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw30% · 0yLeft, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (2%), 2 caught (67%), 79 yds, 26.3 per throw367% · 79yMiddle, Behind air yards: 3 throws (2%), 3 caught (100%), 11 yds, 3.7 per throw3100% · 11yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 16 yds, 8.0 per throw250% · 16yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 14 throws (8%), 6 caught (43%), 47 yds, 3.4 per throw1443% · 47yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 11 throws (6%), 4 caught (36%), 56 yds, 5.1 per throw1136% · 56yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 9 throws (5%), 6 caught (67%), 137 yds, 15.2 per throw967% · 137yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 1 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 3 caught (75%), 145 yds, 36.3 per throw475% · 145yRight, Behind air yards: 13 throws (7%), 10 caught (77%), 23 yds, 1.8 per throw1377% · 23yRight, 0–4 air yards: 14 throws (8%), 10 caught (71%), 73 yds, 5.2 per throw1471% · 73yRight, 5–9 air yards: 25 throws (14%), 18 caught (72%), 203 yds, 8.1 per throw2572% · 203yRight, 10–14 air yards: 13 throws (7%), 7 caught (54%), 92 yds, 7.1 per throw1354% · 92yRight, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 1 caught (14%), 34 yds, 4.9 per throw714% · 34yRight, 20–29 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 1 caught (20%), 72 yds, 14.4 per throw520% · 72yRight, 30+ air yards: 7 throws (4%), 3 caught (43%), 144 yds, 20.6 per throw743% · 144y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on200 throws charted

67% comp7.7 avg. depth6.4 YAC/catch14% 20+ air yds15–6 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 18 throws (9%), 13 caught (72%), 158 yds, 8.8 per throw1872% · 158yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 14 throws (7%), 11 caught (79%), 84 yds, 6.0 per throw1479% · 84yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 21 throws (11%), 14 caught (67%), 162 yds, 7.7 per throw2167% · 162yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 3 caught (50%), 41 yds, 6.8 per throw650% · 41yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 1 caught (13%), 19 yds, 2.4 per throw813% · 19yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 2 caught (33%), 56 yds, 9.3 per throw633% · 56yLeft, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 2 caught (50%), 77 yds, 19.3 per throw450% · 77yMiddle, Behind air yards: 1 throws (1%), 1 caught (100%), 13 yds, 13.0 per throw1100% · 13yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 10 throws (5%), 8 caught (80%), 55 yds, 5.5 per throw1080% · 55yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 13 throws (7%), 9 caught (69%), 101 yds, 7.8 per throw1369% · 101yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 9 throws (5%), 6 caught (67%), 91 yds, 10.1 per throw967% · 91yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 2 caught (67%), 85 yds, 28.3 per throw367% · 85yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 52 yds, 26.0 per throw250% · 52yRight, Behind air yards: 21 throws (11%), 20 caught (95%), 97 yds, 4.6 per throw2195% · 97yRight, 0–4 air yards: 25 throws (13%), 17 caught (68%), 178 yds, 7.1 per throw2568% · 178yRight, 5–9 air yards: 18 throws (9%), 14 caught (78%), 105 yds, 5.8 per throw1878% · 105yRight, 10–14 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 3 caught (75%), 50 yds, 12.5 per throw475% · 50yRight, 15–19 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 4 caught (100%), 74 yds, 18.5 per throw4100% · 74yRight, 20–29 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 4 caught (50%), 133 yds, 16.6 per throw850% · 133yRight, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (2%), 1 caught (33%), 36 yds, 12.0 per throw333% · 36y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction297 carries

Left
15%
5.1 YPC · 53% succ.
Middle
60%
5.3 YPC · 46% succ.
Right
25%
4.5 YPC · 44% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced184 carries

Left
17%
7.2 YPC · 48% succ.
Middle
61%
5.6 YPC · 47% succ.
Right
22%
9.8 YPC · 60% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Major Applewhite

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
4Bishop DavenportQBSR6' 2"210Spring, TX
7Jared HollinsQBJR6' 4"210Semmes, AL
15Taylor Jacobs Jr.QBFR5' 11"195Tallahassee, FL
16Aaden ShamburgerQBFR6' 2"180Mobile, AL
18Jerry HorneQBSO6' 0"200Denham Springs, LA
0PJ MartinRBSR5' 10"205New Orleans, LA
3Keenan PhillipsRBJR5' 10"185Bainbridge, GA
17Anthony JefferyRBSO5' 8"190Thomson, GA
20Lavonte ColeRBFR5' 11"195Thomasville, GA
21Trae'von DunbarRBJR5' 10"205Graniteville, SC
24Julyon JordanRBSO5' 9"180Guntersville, AL
26Donovan CrowRBFR5' 11"215Phenix City, AL
1Anthony EagerWRSR6' 1"185Mobile, AL
2Jeremiah Jones-ThomasWRSO5' 11"180Crawfordville, FL
8Noah TosterWRSR6' 4"200Apex, NC
10Khatori MarionWRFR5' 11"180Mobile, AL
11Trae StevensonWRSO5' 11"190Madison, MS
12Brendan JenkinsWRSR6' 0"195Hoschton, GA
19Jerrian GrahamWRJR6' 1"200Prichard, AL
27Tylen CampbellWRSR5' 10"185Jackson, AL
81Miguel CamboiaWRSR5' 9"175Mobile, AL
85Brian BarnesWRJR6' 1"215Pascagoula, MS
89Brandon NolanWRFR5' 10"170Elberta, AK
89Nick SimmonsWRFR5' 9"169Gulf Breeze, FL
9Rod GibbsTESR6' 4"250Atlanta, GA
14Maddox LynchTESO6' 5"240Vicksburg, MS
34Cam McFarlinTEJR6' 4"240Hoover, AL
82Julius MathisTEFR6' 4"230Lexington, MS
83Everett HunterTESR6' 4"250Manteca, CA
84Nate ForystekTESR6' 5"260Green Bay, WI
87Jordan MorrisTESR6' 4"230Apache Junction, AZ
88Owen CarlsonTESO6' 2"230Chelsea, AL
51Diego CamboiaOLSR6' 5"265Mobile, AL
56Naol AndargeOLJR6' 5"300Fairfax, VA
57Shalik HubbardOLSR6' 4"330Patterson, NJ
58Cam'Ron ThompsonOLFR6' 3"330Savannah, GA
61Julius KiddOLSR6' 2"260Mobile, AL
62Kyle GreakOLFR6' 2"293Orange Beach, AL
64Jamal SilerOLJR6' 4"310Elba, AL
67Artem Korchagin Jr.OLFR6' 4"300Moscow, Russia
68Reese Osei-WusuOLSR6' 4"310Cypress, TX
69Kenton JeridoOLSR6' 3"340Tuscaloosa, AL
70Elliott ChaneyOLFR6' 5"290Oxford, MS
71Jaylen BookerOLJR6' 5"305Jacksonville, FL
72Ethan HubbardOLSR6' 6"295Hoover, AL
73Jamal ScottOLFR5' 11"230Saint Francisville, LA
74Aydan NewellOLFR6' 3"315Brandon, MS
77Kearius BivensOLSO6' 5"295Chatom, AL
79Eric MahanOLFR6' 3"402Spanish Fort, AL
18Masey LewisDLSR6' 3"275Breaux Bridge, LA
39Rodney HunterDLJR6' 2"305Memphis, TN
41Tyler CarterDLJR6' 4"290Vicksburg, MS
49Tre BrownDLSR6' 3"295Natchitoches, LA
56Stephen JohnsonDLSR6' 3"310Fayetteville, GA
80Brayden HurstDLFR6' 3"310Ponchatoula, LA
90E'Mauri SmileyDLSO6' 1"265Opelika, AL
94Andrew HinesDLSO6' 3"285Kissimmee, FL
6Kaydon DegraffenreidLBSR6' 0"225Jacksonville, FL
10William Felton IVLBJR6' 1"225Pelham, AL
11Parker ShattuckLBJR6' 1"220LaGrange, GA
16Seidrion LangstonLBSR6' 1"220Lanett, AL
17Christian RossLBSR6' 2"235Teaneck, NJ
20Tirrell JohnsonLBSR6' 2"230Wynne, AR
22Caleb DozierLBJR6' 2"220Dothan, AL
25Tre'Mon HenryLBSR6' 1"235Columbus, GA
26Xavious Anderson Jr.LBFR6' 0"225Hogansville, GA
27Zechariah HallLBFR6' 1"230Sylvester, GA
30Perry HandLBFR5' 11"200Mobile, AL
33Tyray DarensburgLBFR5' 11"225Chalmette, LA
42Dylan ChiedoLBSR6' 0"230Jacksonville, FL
43Jacob PorcoLBJR6' 1"210Birmingham, AL
44Donnie ArnoldLBSO5' 11"235Deatsville, AL
45Demetress MosleyLBFR6' 2"195Pensacola, FL
46Terry Kirksey Jr.LBSR6' 2"245Theodore, AL
53Latrelle LettLBSO5' 8"235Mobile, AL
12Jaylen MosonCBSR5' 11"175Kennesaw, GA
19TJ CollierCBFR6' 0"180Mobile, AL
23Cube GurleyCBJR6' 1"195New Orleans, LA
24Damyrion DarbyCBJR5' 11"180Bassfield, MS
34Bradley ThomasCBSR5' 11"175Montgomery, AL
37Evan JonesCBFR6' 0"175Arab, AL
1D.J. MooreSSR6' 0"200Loganville, GA
2Jayvon HendersonSSR5' 10"190Auburn, GA
4Kohl BradleySSO6' 0"190Lucedale, MS
13Kam RobinsonSSR5' 11"185Winona, MS
14Cole BlaylockSSR6' 0"190Mobile, AL
21Deon CallinsSFR5' 10"190Birmingham, AL
28Tomareo Johnson Jr.SFR6' 2"200Pascagoula, MS
29Kaleb JacksonSSR5' 8"180Bessemer, AL
31Dashaun CaffeeSJR5' 7"165Prattville, AL
35Matthew LaseterSSO6' 0"180Flowood, MS
36Teryn GreenSFR6' 0"215Vicksburg, MS
38Braiden CheshireSFR5' 10"175Pace, FL
35Davis LittlePKJR6' 0"175Suwanee, GA
37Dylan FreeburyPKSO5' 10"180Rancho Palos Verdes, CA
38Peyton ArgentPKJR6' 0"195Hoover, AL
98Christopher AikmanPKFR5' 11"150Schertz, TX
40Aleksi PulkkinenPSR6' 4"215Helsinki, Finland
44Baxter TurnerLSSR5' 11"200Tibbie, AL
47Grant RountreeLSJR6' 1"215Nashville, TN

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2023 (+3.3, #46) · worst: 2018 (-13.2, #120)
-15-10-50+5FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#107
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far4-32-1#102-10.3+0.1-10.4
20254-83-5#107-7.0-1.4-5.7
20247-65-3#55+1.8+1.6+0.3
20237-64-4#46+3.3+0.7+2.6
202210-37-1#58+2.5+0.5+2.0
20215-72-6#99-5.4-4.3-1.0
20204-73-5#104-7.6-8.8+1.1
20192-101-7#119-11.8-9.1-2.7
20183-92-6#120-13.2-5.9-7.3
20174-83-5#111-9.1-10.3+1.2
20166-72-6#100-7.5-4.6-2.9
20155-73-5#107-10.8-4.7-6.1
20146-75-3#94-6.0-6.8+0.8

South Alabama's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Oct 21, 10:45 AM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →