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Sun Belt · 2026

Troy Trojans

Head coach Gerad Parker · Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL)
3-31-1 in conference
TDC Rank
#108
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
-11.1
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-5.7
104th in FBS
Defense
-5.4
105th in FBS
Schedule so far
-10.5
112th toughest
Projected
5.6-6.4
bowl-eligible 52%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

-11.1 now, -13.3 preseason · down 4 spots since preseason
-15-10-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8#108

Final record odds

5.6-6.4 expected · most likely 6-6 (32%)
3-914%4-832%5-732%6-616%7-58-4

Team Leaders

National leaderboards →

Passing
Goose Crowder
QB · SR · 92nd in FBS
1112yds
9 TD · 4 INT
Rushing
Gavin Griffin
RB · JR · 110th in FBS
359yds
76 car · 1 TD
Receiving
TK Keyes
WR · JR · 192nd in FBS
282yds
13 rec · 3 TD
Tackles
Justin Powe
S · SR · 232nd in FBS
38tkl
2.5 TFL
Sacks
Donnie Smith
DB · SR · 17th in FBS
5sacks
5 hurries
Interceptions
Jabari Strait
CB · SR · 109th in FBS
1INT
3 PD

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5vs125Sam HoustonW 24–21 ›-17.7—ESPN+
2Sep 12vsAlabama State FCSW 34–17 ›-10.8—ESPN+
3Sep 19@21MissouriL 17–27 ›+7.4—SECN+
4Sep 26@94Utah StateL 10–21 ›-14.5—CBSSN
5—Bye
6Oct 6vs126Southern MissCONFW 55–34 ›+0.2—ESPN2
7Oct 17@89LouisianaCONFL 6–33 ›-26.7—ESPN+
8Oct 24vs136UL MonroeCONFTroy −18.5 · o/u 53.4—89%ESPN+
9Oct 29@47James MadisonCONFJames Madison −21.4 · o/u 56.5—8%
10Nov 7vs80Louisiana TechCONFLouisiana Tech −4.4 · o/u 53.7—39%
11Nov 14@102South AlabamaCONFSouth Alabama −4.6 · o/u 63.8—38%
12Nov 21vs93Georgia SouthernCONFGeorgia Southern −0.3 · o/u 51.1—49%
13Nov 28@103Arkansas StateCONFArkansas State −4.6 · o/u 56.7—38%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.09591st+0.07465th
Success rate41.8%83rd41.2%68th
Explosiveness1.23873rd1.26884th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate42.2%83rd41.3%66th
Rushing success rate45.2%58th42.8%72nd
Passing success rate38.6%106th39.9%60th
Explosive run rate16.7%34th13.3%71st
Explosive pass rate5.7%135th8.5%41st
Line yards / carry3.2161st2.9255th
Opportunity rate43.0%25th37.6%69th
Stuff rate17.2%76th18.5%58th
Sack rate4.3%53rd3.8%113th
3rd-down conversion37.3%100th35.1%40th
Red-zone TD rate61.1%80th55.0%52nd
Havoc rate15.8%120th12.6%98th
Box score · season totals
Points / game24.394th25.583rd
Yards / game402.762nd350.264th
Yards / play5.6182nd5.4985th
Pass yards / game198.0102nd214.878th
Yards / pass att.6.60113th7.2479th
Completion %55.8%121st61.8%77th
Rush yards / game204.727th135.357th
Yards / carry5.1028th4.1983rd
3rd-down conv. %36.5%97th36.5%59th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.1766th1.1766th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.8365th1.8385th
Penalty yards / game75.3125th52.386th

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
9.0
50th of 138
YAC per catch
6.2
31st of 138
Deep shots (20+)
16%
43rd of 138
Shotgun
95%
68th of 138
No-huddle
97%
5th of 138
QB pressured
14%
49th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
16%
48th of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
4.5
115th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws175 throws charted

56% comp9.0 avg. depth6.2 YAC/catch16% 20+ air yds9–4 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 10 throws (6%), 8 caught (80%), 71 yds, 7.1 per throw1080% · 71yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 10 throws (6%), 7 caught (70%), 52 yds, 5.2 per throw1070% · 52yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 11 throws (6%), 8 caught (73%), 86 yds, 7.8 per throw1173% · 86yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 8 throws (5%), 5 caught (63%), 123 yds, 15.4 per throw863% · 123yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 17 yds, 8.5 per throw250% · 17yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 8 throws (5%), 1 caught (13%), 45 yds, 5.6 per throw813% · 45yLeft, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (3%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw50% · 0yMiddle, Behind air yards: 1 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 5 caught (83%), 54 yds, 9.0 per throw683% · 54yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 10 throws (6%), 6 caught (60%), 57 yds, 5.7 per throw1060% · 57yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 8 throws (5%), 3 caught (38%), 102 yds, 12.8 per throw838% · 102yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 1 caught (33%), 46 yds, 15.3 per throw333% · 46yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 1 throws (1%), 1 caught (100%), 28 yds, 28.0 per throw1100% · 28yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 1 throws (1%), 1 caught (100%), 37 yds, 37.0 per throw1100% · 37yRight, Behind air yards: 12 throws (7%), 12 caught (100%), 70 yds, 5.8 per throw12100% · 70yRight, 0–4 air yards: 20 throws (11%), 15 caught (75%), 72 yds, 3.6 per throw2075% · 72yRight, 5–9 air yards: 31 throws (18%), 17 caught (55%), 136 yds, 4.4 per throw3155% · 136yRight, 10–14 air yards: 11 throws (6%), 4 caught (36%), 52 yds, 4.7 per throw1136% · 52yRight, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 2 caught (40%), 34 yds, 6.8 per throw540% · 34yRight, 20–29 air yards: 11 throws (6%), 2 caught (18%), 79 yds, 7.2 per throw1118% · 79yRight, 30+ air yards: 1 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on174 throws charted

61% comp8.9 avg. depth4.5 YAC/catch14% 20+ air yds11–4 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 13 throws (7%), 10 caught (77%), 43 yds, 3.3 per throw1377% · 43yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 8 throws (5%), 4 caught (50%), 15 yds, 1.9 per throw850% · 15yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 11 throws (6%), 6 caught (55%), 61 yds, 5.5 per throw1155% · 61yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 10 throws (6%), 7 caught (70%), 102 yds, 10.2 per throw1070% · 102yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 3 caught (75%), 58 yds, 14.5 per throw475% · 58yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 2 caught (50%), 52 yds, 13.0 per throw450% · 52yLeft, 30+ air yards: 6 throws (3%), 1 caught (17%), 38 yds, 6.3 per throw617% · 38yMiddle, Behind air yards: 4 throws (2%), 4 caught (100%), 17 yds, 4.3 per throw4100% · 17yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 11 throws (6%), 7 caught (64%), 47 yds, 4.3 per throw1164% · 47yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 11 throws (6%), 9 caught (82%), 86 yds, 7.8 per throw1182% · 86yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 8 throws (5%), 6 caught (75%), 87 yds, 10.9 per throw875% · 87yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 2 caught (67%), 39 yds, 13.0 per throw367% · 39yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 37 yds, 18.5 per throw250% · 37yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0yRight, Behind air yards: 14 throws (8%), 13 caught (93%), 46 yds, 3.3 per throw1493% · 46yRight, 0–4 air yards: 19 throws (11%), 11 caught (58%), 54 yds, 2.8 per throw1958% · 54yRight, 5–9 air yards: 20 throws (11%), 12 caught (60%), 162 yds, 8.1 per throw2060% · 162yRight, 10–14 air yards: 8 throws (5%), 3 caught (38%), 46 yds, 5.8 per throw838% · 46yRight, 15–19 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 1 caught (17%), 14 yds, 2.3 per throw617% · 14yRight, 20–29 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 3 caught (60%), 130 yds, 26.0 per throw560% · 130yRight, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (3%), 3 caught (60%), 95 yds, 19.0 per throw560% · 95y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction222 carries

Left
14%
5.7 YPC · 48% succ.
Middle
72%
5.9 YPC · 48% succ.
Right
14%
6.4 YPC · 41% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced178 carries

Left
25%
7.0 YPC · 45% succ.
Middle
52%
4.4 YPC · 38% succ.
Right
24%
4.1 YPC · 48% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Gerad Parker

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
6Jack JamesQBSO6' 0"208Paducah, KY
9Goose CrowderQBSR6' 2"214Gardendale, AL
10Tucker KilcreaseQBSR6' 0"208Brantley, AL
11Rodge WaldropQBJR6' 5"216Thomasville, GA
0Gavin GriffinRBJR5' 10"198Canton, MS
1Jordan LovettRBSR5' 10"186Statesboro, GA
3Jaheim MerriweatherRBJR6' 2"210Jackson, TN
21AC WaltersRBSO5' 10"199Montgomery, AL
22Bryce BurgessRBJR5' 7"163Houston, TX
25Dennis PalmerRBJR5' 10"197Jensen Beach, FL
26DeWhitt Betterson Jr.RBSR6' 0"214Ocala, FL
2Jywon BoydWRJR6' 0"178Troy, AL
4Noreel WhiteWRJR6' 1"195Moss Point, MS
5Mojo DortchWRSR6' 0"167Lucedale, MS
7Kristian TateWRSR6' 2"171Seat Pleasant, MD
8TK KeyesWRJR6' 2"207Taylorsville, MS
12Hayden JacksonWRSR5' 11"162Douglasville, GA
13Ky McNultyWRJR6' 3"201Bay Minette, AL
15TJ LottWRSR5' 11"163Pahokee, FL
17Jace PettyWRSR5' 11"180Frisco, TX
18Howard KinchenWRSR6' 3"190Lafayette, LA
81Jah'Marren JacksonWRSO6' 5"201Mc Kenzie, AL
82Dylan DensonWRFR5' 10"183Miami Gardens, FL
84Andrew LeslieWRSO5' 11"199Conyers, GA
14Marquis HarrisTESR6' 5"264Shreveport, LA
19Nick HamptonTEFR6' 3"225Gulf Shores, AL
80JT TangTESR6' 5"260Sydney, Australia
85Fabian RogoschTESR6' 5"243Hamburg, Germany
86Jayvin BennettTESO6' 2"232Buford, GA
51Luke PetitOLSR6' 3"299Akron, OH
54Caleb AshOLJR6' 6"301Atlanta, GA
55Jordon JonesOLSR6' 3"315Ashland, KY
56Sharvon PierreOLSO6' 3"283Waycross, GA
57Noah MercerOLSR6' 3"308Marianna, FL
58Elijah PratherOLSR6' 4"291La Vergne, TN
59Chris KingOL6' 2"295Lanett, AL
65Tyler CappiOLSR6' 3"295Priceville, AL
66Jatorian BlackmonOLSO6' 5"320LaGrange, GA
67Trinton PritchettOLFR6' 6"308Auburn, AL
71Antwone BrelandOLJR6' 6"299Hattiesburg, MS
72Patrick Screws Jr.OLSR6' 5"320Eufaula, AL
73Tyler BellOLSR6' 2"319Memphis, TN
74Tra'jon TownsendOLJR6' 6"292Los Angeles, CA
75Parks GlazeOLFR6' 6"295Fairhope, AL
77Darion RiversOLSR6' 6"323Charlotte, NC
79Corey DudleyOLFR6' 5"353Marrero, LA
25Kavion HendersonDEJR6' 2"256Leeds, AL
34Dontaye BushDEFR6' 4"245Mobile, AL
41Makel GreenDESO6' 2"242Phenix City, AL
88Will NormanDESR6' 4"297Camden, NJ
98Delvin WhitakerDESR6' 3"300Saint Francisville, LA
0Kam CurryDTSR6' 2"302Midland, TX
11Ty ClemonsDTSR6' 3"296Decatur, AL
40RJ ShambergerDTSO6' 4"301Monroeville, AL
52Kendall RoseberryDTFR6' 3"287Conyers, GA
69Jermaine ParamoreDTJR6' 2"290Saraland, AL
93RaKeem DavisDTJR6' 3"313Port Gibson, MS
95Miquon MerriweatherDTSR6' 2"306Columbus, GA
99Jaxon Villegez-WilliamsDTFR6' 2"293Mobile, AL
2Bryce SteeleLBSR6' 1"227Raleigh, NC
3Doug NelsonLBJR6' 3"213Hazlehurst, MS
4TJ ThompsonLBSR6' 0"219Bolton, MS
13DayDay NelsonLBSR6' 3"203Phoenix, AZ
18Jordan PerryLBSR6' 2"219Jefferson, GA
20Keyshawn CampbellLBSR6' 0"213Vero Beach, FL
23JT AlvisLBSO6' 1"215Helena, AL
24Jeremiah RouxLBFR6' 3"217Jonesboro, GA
35KD ReynoldsLBFR6' 3"181Montgomery, AL
42Jaden MosleyLBSR6' 2"230Mobile, AL
44Luke HodgeLBSR6' 2"220Oneonta, AL
46Gavyn BakerLBJR6' 1"222Moody, AL
5Lonnie SmithDBJR6' 2"240Jackson, MS
22Donnie SmithDBSR6' 4"234Greenville, MS
45Jordan FerrellDBSR6' 4"221Lawrenceville, GA
53Ashton DiggsDBSO6' 3"220Loganville, GA
1Jabari StraitCBSR6' 2"175Birmingham, AL
7Jordan TurnerCBSR6' 2"186Goose Creek, SC
12Shemar WelchCBJR6' 1"162Mobile, AL
14Jonathan PennixCBSR6' 0"178Concord, VA
17Marlin OdomCBJR6' 2"179Lucedale, MS
21Tai TerrellCBJR6' 1"181Saint Rose, LA
28Jaxon PennCBFR5' 10"191Florence, AL
32Jermaine MccreeCBFR5' 11"166Mobile, AL
6Justin PoweSSR6' 0"210Mobile, AL
8Marcus Goree Jr.SJR6' 1"185Chattanooga, TN
9Jamarion KeyesSJR6' 1"205Laurel, MS
10Knai CookSJR6' 0"203Duncan, SC
16Antonious SteeleSSO6' 1"192Centreville, AL
19Jon BocchinoSSO6' 0"201Niceville, FL
27OJ Vaughan Jr.SJR5' 9"189Brooklyn, NY
29Joe LottSJR6' 3"192Mobile, AL
30Keivay FosterSFR6' 4"191Muscle Shoals, AL
36Hank JamesSFR6' 0"182Paducah, KY
16Jalen BallardPKSR6' 2"194Brandon, MS
20Jaden TynesPKSO6' 3"178Kansas City, MO
33Ethan HeadPKJR6' 1"186Glen Ellyn, IL
28Evan CrenshawPSR6' 4"184Ponte Vedra Beach, FL
49Austin LewisPSO5' 11"184Helena, AL
68Kinnick ManleyLSSR6' 2"201Firestone, CO
87Colton WallsLSSR6' 3"237Millbrook, AL

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2023 (+8.8, #19) · worst: 2014 (-13.2, #121)
-100+10FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#90
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far3-31-1#108-11.1-5.7-5.4
20258-66-2#90-4.0-3.7-0.3
20244-83-5#95-4.7-2.2-2.5
202311-37-1#19+8.8+0.9+7.8
202212-27-1#42+4.0-2.4+6.4
20215-73-5#101-5.8-5.1-0.8
20205-63-4#69-0.2-1.9+1.7
20195-73-5#91-3.6+3.1-6.6
201810-37-1#50+2.7-1.2+3.9
201711-27-1#43+4.3+0.7+3.6
201610-36-2#51+3.2+0.9+2.3
20154-83-5#97-5.9-4.0-1.9
20143-93-5#121-13.2-6.9-6.3

Troy's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Oct 21, 10:45 AM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →