Sun Belt · 2026

Southern Miss Golden Eagles

Head coach Blake Anderson · M. M. Roberts Stadium
1-50-2 in conference
TDC Rank
#125
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
-17.1
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-8.0
116th in FBS
Defense
-9.0
126th in FBS
Schedule so far
-7.1
91st toughest
Projected
2.8-9.2
bowl-eligible 1%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

-17.1 now, -20.2 preseason · up 3 spots since preseason
-20-100FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8#125

Final record odds

2.8-9.2 expected · most likely 3-9 (34%)
10%1-1131%2-1034%3-919%4-85%5-76-6

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5vsAlcorn State FCSW 49–3 ›-3.9—ESPN+
2Sep 12@19AuburnL 8–43 ›-9.1—SEC Network
3Sep 19vs78UConnL 20–48 ›-32.0—ESPN+
4Sep 26@82TulaneL 21–24 ›-2.9—ESPN+
5—Bye
6Oct 6@109TroyCONFL 34–55 ›-28.4—ESPN2
7Oct 17vs103Arkansas StateCONFL 13–23 ›-24.1—ESPN+
8Oct 24vs89LouisianaCONFLouisiana −7.8 · o/u 51.1—30%ESPN+
9Oct 31@136UL MonroeCONFSouthern Miss −4.9 · o/u 54.7—63%ESPN+
10Nov 5vs47James MadisonCONFJames Madison −19.8 · o/u 57.8—9%
11Nov 14@80Louisiana TechCONFLouisiana Tech −18.0 · o/u 55.0—12%
12Nov 21vs102South AlabamaCONFSouth Alabama −3.0 · o/u 65.0—42%
13Nov 28@107Old DominionCONFOld Dominion −10.1 · o/u 45.2—25%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.032111th+0.209118th
Success rate41.8%83rd43.5%97th
Explosiveness1.24172nd1.24773rd
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate41.8%86th43.7%98th
Rushing success rate44.2%74th45.3%105th
Passing success rate39.9%96th41.3%81st
Explosive run rate10.9%115th14.4%92nd
Explosive pass rate11.8%49th11.3%99th
Line yards / carry3.4822nd3.25110th
Opportunity rate42.9%29th41.1%109th
Stuff rate12.2%15th14.8%109th
Sack rate3.1%28th8.4%10th
3rd-down conversion30.2%134th41.2%93rd
Red-zone TD rate56.2%94th61.9%80th
Havoc rate11.8%38th12.0%110th
Box score · season totals
Points / game24.296th32.7126th
Yards / game394.565th447.2132nd
Yards / play5.6575th5.82108th
Pass yards / game260.838th195.248th
Yards / pass att.7.3078th7.4686th
Completion %60.1%98th65.6%117th
Rush yards / game133.7105th252.0137th
Yards / carry4.1092nd5.21125th
3rd-down conv. %32.9%124th40.7%97th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.67113th1.1767th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.8365th2.3343rd
Penalty yards / game57.877th68.822nd

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
8.4
81st of 138
YAC per catch
5.2
85th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
15%
59th of 138
Shotgun
99%
11th of 138
No-huddle
58%
77th of 138
QB pressured
13%
75th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
15%
53rd of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
5.4
55th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws203 throws charted

60% comp8.4 avg. depth5.2 YAC/catch15% 20+ air yds10–9 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 20 throws (10%), 15 caught (75%), 94 yds, 4.7 per throw2075% · 94yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 16 throws (8%), 7 caught (44%), 32 yds, 2.0 per throw1644% · 32yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 17 throws (8%), 11 caught (65%), 104 yds, 6.1 per throw1765% · 104yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 2 caught (100%), 26 yds, 13.0 per throw2100% · 26yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 6 caught (75%), 147 yds, 18.4 per throw875% · 147yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 3 caught (43%), 84 yds, 12.0 per throw743% · 84yLeft, 30+ air yards: 9 throws (4%), 4 caught (44%), 146 yds, 16.2 per throw944% · 146yMiddle, Behind air yards: 1 throws (0%), 1 caught (100%), -5 yds, -5.0 per throw1100% · -5yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 13 throws (6%), 6 caught (46%), 27 yds, 2.1 per throw1346% · 27yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 11 throws (5%), 6 caught (55%), 90 yds, 8.2 per throw1155% · 90yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 14 throws (7%), 10 caught (71%), 137 yds, 9.8 per throw1471% · 137yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 1 throws (0%), 1 caught (100%), 20 yds, 20.0 per throw1100% · 20yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 1 throws (0%), 1 caught (100%), 25 yds, 25.0 per throw1100% · 25yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw40% · 0yRight, Behind air yards: 23 throws (11%), 19 caught (83%), 162 yds, 7.0 per throw2383% · 162yRight, 0–4 air yards: 21 throws (10%), 13 caught (62%), 45 yds, 2.1 per throw2162% · 45yRight, 5–9 air yards: 10 throws (5%), 9 caught (90%), 92 yds, 9.2 per throw1090% · 92yRight, 10–14 air yards: 10 throws (5%), 6 caught (60%), 78 yds, 7.8 per throw1060% · 78yRight, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 3 caught (43%), 61 yds, 8.7 per throw743% · 61yRight, 20–29 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 3 caught (43%), 121 yds, 17.3 per throw743% · 121yRight, 30+ air yards: 1 throws (0%), 1 caught (100%), 41 yds, 41.0 per throw1100% · 41y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on151 throws charted

66% comp8.8 avg. depth5.4 YAC/catch14% 20+ air yds8–6 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 20 throws (13%), 17 caught (85%), 120 yds, 6.0 per throw2085% · 120yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 13 throws (9%), 10 caught (77%), 88 yds, 6.8 per throw1377% · 88yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 9 throws (6%), 4 caught (44%), 39 yds, 4.3 per throw944% · 39yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 4 throws (3%), 2 caught (50%), 38 yds, 9.5 per throw450% · 38yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 24 yds, 12.0 per throw250% · 24yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw30% · 0yLeft, 30+ air yards: 7 throws (5%), 1 caught (14%), 35 yds, 5.0 per throw714% · 35yMiddle, Behind air yards: 1 throws (1%), 1 caught (100%), -1 yds, -1.0 per throw1100% · -1yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 2 caught (40%), 11 yds, 2.2 per throw540% · 11yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 3 caught (60%), 27 yds, 5.4 per throw560% · 27yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 2 caught (100%), 33 yds, 16.5 per throw2100% · 33yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 12 throws (8%), 9 caught (75%), 217 yds, 18.1 per throw1275% · 217yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 4 throws (3%), 3 caught (75%), 93 yds, 23.3 per throw475% · 93yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (2%), 2 caught (67%), 84 yds, 28.0 per throw367% · 84yRight, Behind air yards: 14 throws (9%), 12 caught (86%), 56 yds, 4.0 per throw1486% · 56yRight, 0–4 air yards: 21 throws (14%), 17 caught (81%), 84 yds, 4.0 per throw2181% · 84yRight, 5–9 air yards: 10 throws (7%), 9 caught (90%), 65 yds, 6.5 per throw1090% · 65yRight, 10–14 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 2 caught (40%), 28 yds, 5.6 per throw540% · 28yRight, 15–19 air yards: 8 throws (5%), 5 caught (63%), 125 yds, 15.6 per throw863% · 125yRight, 20–29 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0yRight, 30+ air yards: 1 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction182 carries

Left
7%
8.9 YPC · 50% succ.
Middle
81%
4.2 YPC · 45% succ.
Right
12%
6.6 YPC · 64% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced269 carries

Left
11%
6.7 YPC · 50% succ.
Middle
70%
5.6 YPC · 46% succ.
Right
19%
6.2 YPC · 52% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Blake Anderson

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
5Ethan HamptonQBSR6' 3"220Elburn, IL
15Hugh PriceQBFR6' 6"204Nashville, TN
16Maddox McCroryQBFR6' 1"185Cabot, AR
18Landry LyddyQBSR6' 0"208Stonewall, LA
2Robert BriggsRBSR5' 7"183New Orleans, LA
14Steven RobinsonRBJR5' 9"208Baltimore, MD
21Robert HendersonRBSO5' 10"195Atlanta, GA
22Jaylen FosterRBJR5' 11"190Greenwood, SC
25Josiah BastenRBJR5' 9"190Bonduel, WI
26Brandon HoodRBSO5' 10"200Conyers, GA
27John FordRBFR5' 9"180Birmingham, AL
0Eelijah SingletonWRJR5' 10"190Tampa, FL
1Mario SandersWRSR5' 10"191Minneapolis, MN
3MJ JohnsonWRJR5' 10"180Enterprise, AL
7Kaden SaundersWRJR5' 10"175Columbus, OH
8AJ LittleWRJR5' 11"200Macon, MS
9Jaylen HimesWRSO5' 9"185Statesville, NC
11Davis DaltonWRSR6' 3"207Madison, MS
13Grant PageWRSR6' 3"200Boulder, CO
19Cace ReedWRSO5' 10"160Hammond, LA
23Trey HorneWRJR6' 3"200Columbia, SC
38Nehemiah TaylorWRSO5' 11"190Hattiesburg, MS
80King David AboyaWRFR6' 3"195Milton, FL
83Dillon RowleyWRSO5' 10"174Columbia, MS
86Israel LeamonWRFR5' 11"180Greer, SC
81Preston KilgoreTEJR6' 4"240Terrell, TX
82Connor GoodingTESO6' 4"230Gilbert, SC
84Broderick PetersTEFR6' 4"245Hammond, LA
85Javery MayberryTESO6' 3"245Chandler, AZ
87Caston BrownTESO6' 2"228Hattiesburg, MS
88Jeremiah Beck Jr.TEJR6' 2"237Fontana, CA
89Drew BilderbackTEFR6' 3"235Columbia, MS
50Joe RoundsOLSR6' 0"315Suffolk, VA
53Toby MealerOLFR6' 5"335Eugene, OR
54Dante DevineOLJR6' 7"325Orlando, FL
55Zerian HudsonOLSR6' 3"334Brookhaven, MS
58Greg NunneryOLSR6' 4"320Mccomb, MS
62Aloali'i MauiOLSR6' 1"310Pago Pago, American Samoa
64Camden MyersOLSO6' 3"300Irmo, SC
68Grant KitchensOLFR6' 7"329Louisville, MS
70Braden CainOLJR6' 4"310Houston, TX
71Jahmir DavisOLSO6' 5"301Cincinnati, OH
72Will BurgessOLSO6' 6"275Birmingham, AL
73Hayden BrealOLFR6' 0"281Mobile, AL
74Luke RogersOLJR6' 3"305Brandon, MS
75Casey Jean-BaptisteOLJR6' 5"320West Palm Beach, FL
76Larry EdwardsOLJR6' 5"290Belzoni, MS
77Chase MalamalaOLSO6' 6"297Palm Beach Gardens, FL
79Liam CassidyOLJR6' 5"320Vancouver, WA
5Nasim CairoDLSR6' 2"280Edwardsville, IL
7Kameron CyprienDLJR6' 3"250Lafayette, LA
9Jameer LewisDLSR6' 2"230Mccomb, MS
15Jeffery Rush Jr.DLSO6' 1"265Pascagoula, MS
17Ramon PernasDLSO6' 3"237Tomball, TX
31Zachariah KeithDLJR6' 6"280Atlanta, GA
41Will SmithDLSO6' 2"240Choctaw, OK
52Xavier McIverDLSR6' 0"305Cheraw, SC
57Jeramie PoseyDLJR6' 2"266Hattiesburg, MS
88Darrell GrossDLJR6' 1"292Madison, MS
90JR StegallDLJR6' 2"326Fort Worth, TX
92David GriffinDLJR6' 1"299New Orleans, LA
93Travis BendolphDLJR6' 1"285Mobile, AL
94Talik ParkmanDLFR6' 3"295Sumrall, MS
95Josh JohnsonDLJR6' 0"320New Orleans, LA
97Ari SlocumDLFR6' 3"305Farmerville, LA
98Kei'shaun MashburnDLJR6' 2"300Quincy, FL
99Cam'ron HoyteDLJR6' 4"295Jacksonville, FL
2Tyler LassiterLBSO6' 3"230Raleigh, NC
6Andrew MartinLBSR6' 0"212Mcdonough, GA
13Mathis HaygoodLBJR6' 4"230Fayetteville, GA
33Avery SledgeLBSR6' 2"220Hattiesburg, MS
35Wesley EdisonLBSO6' 3"230Lawrence, KS
42Melvin SpriggsLBJR6' 2"220Landstuhl, Germany
49BJ MitchellLBJR5' 9"218Hattiesburg, MS
51Ricky HardingLBJR6' 1"220Bushnell, FL
1Champ LewisDBJR6' 0"183New Orleans, LA
3Jyaire BrownDBSR5' 11"180New Orleans, LA
12Laquan RobinsonDBSR6' 1"210Greenville, AL
14Jordan PrideDBSO6' 1"210Blountstown, FL
16Jonah MartinezDBJR6' 0"180Orange County, CA
20Kolby PeavyDBJR5' 11"193Monroeville, AL
21Sammy Anderson Jr.DBSR6' 1"190Dayton, OH
22Kobi AlbertDBJR5' 11"175Birmingham, AL
23Hiroshi CarrDBJR6' 1"186Stafford, VA
24Michael Robinson IIIDBJR6' 0"190Columbus, OH
25Landon SylvieDBJR5' 10"183Shreveport, LA
26Baron TaylorDBJR6' 0"190Sacramento, CA
28Kelby HamptonDBSO6' 1"189Philadelphia, PA
39Johnnie EvansDBJR5' 11"195Hattiesburg, MS
47Cannon McClainDBJR6' 2"184Hattiesburg, MS
8Ishmael IbraheemCBSR6' 0"178Dallas, TX
19Malakai MurphyCBSO6' 1"195High Springs, FL
29Jeremiah DillonCBSR6' 2"193Tylertown, MS
18MaLik CaswellSSO6' 0"185Midway, GA
27Chauncey Davis Jr.SFR6' 1"195Suwanee, GA
37Aidan HorneSFR6' 3"187Columbia, SC
96Reed HarradinePKJR6' 4"225Birmingham, AL
30Andrew TateLSJR5' 11"203Kosciusko, MS
46Luke BeardLSJR6' 1"218Ackerman, MS
48Colin KapilovicLSSO6' 0"212Chapel Hill, NC

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2015 (+3.1, #54) · worst: 2024 (-18.0, #133)
-20-100FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#102
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far1-50-2#125-17.1-8.0-9.0
20257-65-3#102-6.3-1.7-4.5
20241-110-8#133-18.0-10.2-7.8
20233-92-6#114-9.0-3.0-6.1
20227-64-4#88-4.2-4.6+0.4
20213-92-6#118-11.5-9.7-1.8
20203-72-4#111-9.2-3.6-5.6
20197-65-3#81-2.3-2.3+0.1
20186-55-3#85-2.7-4.1+1.5
20178-56-2#88-3.8-2.3-1.6
20167-64-4#75-2.2+0.9-3.2
20159-57-1#54+3.1+4.2-1.1
20143-91-7#118-12.7-7.9-4.8

Southern Miss's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Oct 22, 10:45 AM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →