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SEC · 2026

Auburn Tigers

Head coach Alex Golesh · Jordan-Hare Stadium
4-22-2 in conference
TDC Rank
#19
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+14.9
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+7.1
21st in FBS
Defense
+7.8
22nd in FBS
Schedule so far
+8.3
3rd toughest
Projected
7.3-4.7
bowl-eligible 98%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

+14.9 now, +19.0 preseason · down 8 spots since preseason
0+10+20FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8#19

Final record odds

7.3-4.7 expected · most likely 7-5 (37%)
5-718%6-637%7-530%8-411%9-310-2

Team Leaders

National leaderboards →

Passing
Byrum Brown
QB · SR · 82nd in FBS
1205yds
8 TD · 7 INT
Rushing
Byrum Brown
QB · SR · 56th in FBS
459yds
107 car · 5 TD
Receiving
Keshaun Singleton
WR · JR · 98th in FBS
367yds
32 rec · 2 TD
Tackles
Elijah Melendez
LB · SO · 51st in FBS
52tkl
9 TFL
Sacks
Elijah Melendez
LB · SO · 41st in FBS
4sacks
3 hurries
Interceptions
Andre Jordan Jr.
CB · SR · 28th in FBS
2INT
2 PD

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5vs46BaylorNEUTRALW 17–16 ›+7.6—ABC
2Sep 12vs126Southern MissW 43–8 ›+7.0—SEC Network
3Sep 19vs17FloridaCONFL 39–44 ›+6.8—ESPN
4Sep 26vs59VanderbiltCONFW 21–15 ›+5.2—SEC Network
5Oct 3@13TennesseeCONFL 14–24 ›+11.7—ESPN
6—Bye
7Oct 17@5GeorgiaCONFW 27–24 ›+30.8—ESPN
8Oct 24vs6LSUCONFLSU −4.3 · o/u 54.5—39%ABC
9Oct 31@11Ole MissCONFOle Miss −9.4 · o/u 58.1—27%SEC Network
10Nov 7vs65ArkansasCONFAuburn −16.7 · o/u 51.9—87%
11Nov 14@44Mississippi StateCONFAuburn −4.3 · o/u 59.4—61%
12Nov 21vsSamford FCSAuburn −50.9 · o/u 47.4—>99%SECN+
13Nov 28@7AlabamaCONFAlabama −11.8 · o/u 55.8—22%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.09591st+0.03343rd
Success rate40.8%95th40.7%62nd
Explosiveness1.27252nd1.18947th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate41.5%92nd41.6%71st
Rushing success rate44.3%72nd41.4%60th
Passing success rate39.0%105th41.7%88th
Explosive run rate17.7%20th10.0%27th
Explosive pass rate8.0%115th10.4%80th
Line yards / carry3.3533rd2.9457th
Opportunity rate40.6%58th34.8%43rd
Stuff rate14.1%34th16.7%84th
Sack rate11.0%136th6.3%47th
3rd-down conversion45.3%33rd36.0%45th
Red-zone TD rate72.2%27th62.5%84th
Havoc rate14.9%109th14.2%61st
Box score · season totals
Points / game26.885th21.854th
Yards / game394.266th371.087th
Yards / play5.29104th4.8845th
Pass yards / game212.289th228.096th
Yards / pass att.6.60113th6.8763rd
Completion %64.1%62nd61.8%78th
Rush yards / game182.046th143.074th
Yards / carry4.7049th3.5644th
3rd-down conv. %45.0%34th34.0%43rd
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.5097th1.8316th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)3.83135th2.6723rd
Penalty yards / game68.0110th66.031st

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
8.5
76th of 138
YAC per catch
4.6
115th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
11%
112th of 138
Shotgun
97%
48th of 138
No-huddle
93%
14th of 138
QB pressured
15%
37th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
13%
90th of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
4.6
110th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws183 throws charted

64% comp8.5 avg. depth4.6 YAC/catch11% 20+ air yds10–7 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 12 throws (7%), 12 caught (100%), 79 yds, 6.6 per throw12100% · 79yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 16 throws (9%), 13 caught (81%), 113 yds, 7.1 per throw1681% · 113yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 12 throws (7%), 7 caught (58%), 94 yds, 7.8 per throw1258% · 94yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 3 caught (60%), 38 yds, 7.6 per throw560% · 38yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 21 yds, 10.5 per throw250% · 21yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 1 caught (25%), 21 yds, 5.3 per throw425% · 21yLeft, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (2%), 3 caught (100%), 116 yds, 38.7 per throw3100% · 116yMiddle, Behind air yards: 4 throws (2%), 4 caught (100%), 8 yds, 2.0 per throw4100% · 8yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 3 caught (60%), 19 yds, 3.8 per throw560% · 19yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 16 throws (9%), 12 caught (75%), 83 yds, 5.2 per throw1675% · 83yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 5 caught (83%), 61 yds, 10.2 per throw683% · 61yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 7 caught (88%), 154 yds, 19.3 per throw888% · 154yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 2 caught (100%), 49 yds, 24.5 per throw2100% · 49yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 1 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yRight, Behind air yards: 23 throws (13%), 17 caught (74%), 87 yds, 3.8 per throw2374% · 87yRight, 0–4 air yards: 16 throws (9%), 11 caught (69%), 63 yds, 3.9 per throw1669% · 63yRight, 5–9 air yards: 20 throws (11%), 12 caught (60%), 121 yds, 6.0 per throw2060% · 121yRight, 10–14 air yards: 11 throws (6%), 5 caught (45%), 72 yds, 6.5 per throw1145% · 72yRight, 15–19 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 3 caught (38%), 58 yds, 7.3 per throw838% · 58yRight, 20–29 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw50% · 0yRight, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw40% · 0y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on191 throws charted

62% comp8.5 avg. depth4.6 YAC/catch17% 20+ air yds6–8 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 19 throws (10%), 13 caught (68%), 71 yds, 3.7 per throw1968% · 71yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 18 throws (9%), 15 caught (83%), 85 yds, 4.7 per throw1883% · 85yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 18 throws (9%), 11 caught (61%), 105 yds, 5.8 per throw1861% · 105yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 4 caught (80%), 59 yds, 11.8 per throw580% · 59yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 16 yds, 8.0 per throw250% · 16yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 3 caught (50%), 68 yds, 11.3 per throw650% · 68yLeft, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (3%), 2 caught (40%), 79 yds, 15.8 per throw540% · 79yMiddle, Behind air yards: 1 throws (1%), 1 caught (100%), 8 yds, 8.0 per throw1100% · 8yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 12 throws (6%), 7 caught (58%), 35 yds, 2.9 per throw1258% · 35yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 16 throws (8%), 11 caught (69%), 108 yds, 6.8 per throw1669% · 108yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 6 caught (100%), 111 yds, 18.5 per throw6100% · 111yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw40% · 0yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 9 throws (5%), 7 caught (78%), 185 yds, 20.6 per throw978% · 185yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 41 yds, 20.5 per throw250% · 41yRight, Behind air yards: 19 throws (10%), 14 caught (74%), 113 yds, 5.9 per throw1974% · 113yRight, 0–4 air yards: 16 throws (8%), 13 caught (81%), 73 yds, 4.6 per throw1681% · 73yRight, 5–9 air yards: 12 throws (6%), 7 caught (58%), 59 yds, 4.9 per throw1258% · 59yRight, 10–14 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 3 caught (38%), 50 yds, 6.3 per throw838% · 50yRight, 15–19 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 2 caught (50%), 36 yds, 9.0 per throw450% · 36yRight, 20–29 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 1 caught (14%), 27 yds, 3.9 per throw714% · 27yRight, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 39 yds, 19.5 per throw250% · 39y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction200 carries

Left
13%
5.4 YPC · 52% succ.
Middle
66%
5.8 YPC · 44% succ.
Right
22%
6.7 YPC · 56% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced216 carries

Left
17%
4.7 YPC · 44% succ.
Middle
64%
4.1 YPC · 36% succ.
Right
19%
5.5 YPC · 55% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Alex Golesh

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
3Locklan HewlettQBSO6' 1"200Saint Augustine, FL
10Tristan Ti'aQBSO6' 2"217Livermore, CA
11Will MyersQBSO5' 8"190Homewood, AL
16John ColvinQBJR6' 3"200Birmingham, AL
17Byrum BrownQBSR6' 3"235Raleigh, NC
19Rhys BrushQBFR6' 2"195Tampa, FL
21Tae MeadowsRBSR5' 10"200Roanoke, AL
22Alvin HendersonRBSO5' 9"202Elba, AL
23Jeremiah CobbRBSR5' 11"205Montgomery, AL
24Nykahi DavenportRBSO6' 0"212Roswell, GA
25Cole GambleRBSO6' 1"203Birmingham, AL
26Christian BurnetteRBJR5' 11"200Mobile, AL
29Omar Mabson IIRBSO5' 9"215Auburn, AL
36Stuart AndrewsRBFR5' 9"185Mountain Brook, AL
4Jeremiah KogerWRSO6' 3"213Baltimore, MD
5Chas NimrodWRSR6' 2"200Bentonville, AR
6Bryce CainWRSO5' 10"165Mobile, AL
8Christian NeptuneWRSO5' 11"190Cantonment, FL
9DeShawn SpencerWRFR5' 11"175Mobile, AL
11Keshaun SingletonWRJR6' 3"220Norcross, GA
12Brady MarcheseWRFR6' 1"190Acworth, GA
13Kory PettigrewWRSO6' 1"195Kathleen, GA
18Sam TurnerWRSO6' 1"210Lithonia, GA
80Will UptonWRJR5' 9"185Jackson, MS
86Jack EllenburgWRFR6' 4"205Atlanta, GA
1Jonathan EcholsTESO6' 6"235Franklin, GA
19Jake JohnsonTESR6' 6"245Athens, GA
40Hunter OusleyTESO6' 2"245Clanton, AL
82Arlis BoardinghamTESR6' 3"250Van Nuys, CA
83Xavier NewsomTESO6' 6"265Detroit, MI
84Ryan GheaTESO6' 5"250Milton, GA
85Hunter HerringTESR6' 5"235West Monroe, LA
87DJ Broughton Jr.TEFR6' 5"240Mobile, AL
50TJ HedrickOLSO6' 4"315Columbia, MO
51Kail EllisOLSO6' 4"315Canton, GA
52Deryc PlazzOLSO6' 4"320Jacksonville, FL
55Kenneth McManus IVOLSO6' 2"315Washington, DC
56Cole SkinnerOLSR6' 5"322Point Pleasant, NJ
57Harrison ClemmerOLJR6' 0"279Birmingham, AL
58John Henry FlattOLSO6' 6"310Dallas, TX
60Cade BarnettOLJR6' 5"300Monroeville, AL
65Stanton RamilOLJR6' 7"313Binghamton, NY
69Jacob StrandOLSR6' 5"310Canby, OR
70Parker PritchettOLFR6' 5"315Fort Mitchell, AL
71Tai BusterOLSO6' 3"319Kannapolis, NC
72Cole BestOLSR6' 4"322Winter Park, FL
73Mykall Lundy-FosterOLFR6' 4"315Tallahassee, FL
75Bear McWhorterOLFR6' 4"315Kingston, GA
76Jack LeyrerOLSR6' 5"314Dallas, TX
78Mason MathisOLFR6' 6"320Pace, FL
79Jo SimmonsOLSR6' 5"330Dover, DE
10Walter Mathis Jr.DLSO6' 2"290Savannah, GA
11Darrion SmithDLSO6' 2"263Annapolis, MD
13Chris MurrayDLSR6' 3"256Wichita Falls, TX
91Tavian BranchDLFR6' 4"320Taylor, PA
94Cody SiglerDLSR6' 2"308New Hope, AL
95Jourdin CrawfordDLSO6' 0"330Birmingham, AL
96Malik AutryDLSO6' 5"320Opelika, AL
99Saint FarriorDLJR6' 3"340Durham, NC
6De'Marcus RiddickLBJR6' 2"225Clanton, AL
9Elijah MelendezLBSO6' 0"240Kissimmee, FL
16Bryce DeasLBSO6' 1"225Prince George County, MD
17Xavier AtkinsLBJR6' 0"210Houston, TX
24Shadarius ToodleLBFR6' 3"235Mobile, AL
42Coleman GranberryLBJR5' 11"210Auburn, AL
44Adam Balogoun-AliLBFR6' 2"230Palm Beach, FL
45Antonio MelendezLBJR5' 11"241Kissimmee, FL
51Michael Matthews-CantyLBJR6' 3"235Fredericksburg, VA
52William Grier McDuffieLBSO6' 1"217Birmingham, AL
4Rayshawn PleasantCBSR5' 11"200West Monroe, LA
14Shamar ArnouxCBSO6' 2"195Fort Lauderdale, FL
19Scrap RichardsonCBSO6' 0"195Greenville, GA
21Gavin JenkinsCBSO6' 2"190Lake Butler, FL
22Andre Jordan Jr.CBSR6' 1"185Federal Way, WA
33Kamari ToddCBSO6' 1"175Gardendale, AL
46Grey ReebalsCBSO5' 11"188Birmingham, AL
0Sylvester Smith-ReedSSR6' 0"195Munford, AL
1Champ AnthonySSR5' 11"195Fort Worth, TX
3AnQuon FegansSSO6' 0"200Alabaster, AL
8Kaleb HarrisSJR6' 1"204Bessemer, AL
20Jacoby MathewsSSR6' 1"205Ponchatoula, LA
23Fred Gaskin IIISJR5' 10"202Ocala, FL
25Damonte TabbSFR6' 2"192Alabaster, AL
26Wayne HenrySFR5' 10"175Baltimore, MD
28Shadrick Toodle Jr.SJR6' 4"210Mobile, AL
32Cade CarlsonSSO6' 1"210Eads, TN
48Peyton FloydSJR5' 11"185Trussville, AL
38Alex McPhersonPKSR5' 9"165Fort Payne, AL
41Connor GibbsPKSR5' 10"185New Orleans, LA
93Charley SchwingerPKJR6' 2"175Houston, TX
14Hudson KaakPSR6' 1"222Seymour, Australia
37John McGuirePSO6' 1"202Alabaster, AL
39Max BourkePFR6' 4"215Melbourne, Australia
47Travis WakefieldLSFR6' 2"215Nashville, TN
49Hudson PowellLSSR6' 3"225Nashville, TN
64Benton CanteyLSSO5' 8"217Fort Worth, TX
18J.J. FaulkEDGESO6' 3"260Highland Home, AL
31Joe PhillipsEDGESO6' 2"250Shorter, AL
41Jared SmithEDGESO6' 6"260Birmingham, AL
90Nate JohnsonEDGESR6' 5"263Gaffney, SC

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2017 (+15.4, #8) · worst: 2022 (+1.1, #66)
0+5+10+15FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#40
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far4-22-2#19+14.9+7.1+7.8
20255-71-7#40+5.0-0.1+5.1
20245-72-6#48+3.3-0.7+4.0
20236-73-5#53+2.5-1.6+4.1
20225-72-6#66+1.1+0.9+0.2
20216-73-5#36+5.5+0.8+4.8
20206-56-4#34+5.20.0+5.3
20199-45-3#10+13.6+4.6+9.0
20188-53-5#17+10.1+1.3+8.9
201710-47-1#8+15.4+4.8+10.6
20168-55-3#16+10.4+0.1+10.2
20157-62-6#43+5.1+2.1+3.0
20148-54-4#10+12.8+9.7+3.1

Auburn's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Oct 21, 10:45 AM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →