#23

Josiah Lucas

RBFreshman5' 9", 190 lbsArlington, TX★★★ 2026 recruit · #966 nationally
San Diego State Aztecs3-4 · TDC #98
Snap share
25%
2 of 4 started · likely 19–31%
Rush yards
169
331st of 1456 in FBS
Yards / carry
4.0
244th of 325 in FBS
Rush TD
2
221st of 631 in FBS
Receptions
7
789th of 1995 in FBS
EPA / play
-0.18
257th of 262 RBs

Efficiency & Role

EPA = expected points added per play. Compared with every FBS RB who qualifies

EPA per play by situation

50 plays · -9.1 total EPA · 257th of 262 qualifying RBs
All plays-0.18
Passing-0.39
Rushing-0.16
1st down-0.04
2nd down0.00
3rd down+0.06
Standard downs-0.29
Passing downs+0.13
LucasRB average

Share of team plays

How often the offense runs through this player. Pass = targets or dropbacks, rush = carries
All plays21%
Pass plays6%
Run plays36%
1st down25%
2nd down21%
3rd down16%
Standard downs24%
Passing downs16%
LucasRB average

Advanced

Computed from every play, garbage time excluded. FBS rank among players with enough volume

RushingValueFBS rank
Carries28—
Success rate35.7%284th / 321
Explosive run rate14.3%137th / 321
Stuffed at the line21.4%269th / 321
First downs7—
Red-zone carries2—
Goal-line carries1—
ReceivingValueFBS rank
Targets6—
Target share13.0%—
Catch rate83.3%—
Success rate per target16.7%—
Yards per target-0.3—
Explosive catches0.0%—
Deep-target rate0.0%—
3rd-down targets1—
Red-zone targets1—

Charting

Where Lucas's plays went: throw and catch spots, air yards and yards after the catch, read from the play-by-play

Targets
7
6 caught (86%)
Avg. depth of target
-4.3
air yards per target
YAC per catch
4.7
28 yds after the catch
Air yards caught
-28
of 0 yds on charted catches
Deep targets
0%
20+ air yards

Where he's targeted7 targets charted

86% comp-4.3 avg. depth4.7 YAC/catch0% 20+ air yds0–0 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 3 targets (43%), 3 caught (100%), -12 yds, -4.0 per target3100% · -12yLeft, 0–4 air yards: noneLeft, 5–9 air yards: noneLeft, 10–14 air yards: noneLeft, 15–19 air yards: noneLeft, 20–29 air yards: noneLeft, 30+ air yards: noneMiddle, Behind air yards: noneMiddle, 0–4 air yards: noneMiddle, 5–9 air yards: noneMiddle, 10–14 air yards: noneMiddle, 15–19 air yards: noneMiddle, 20–29 air yards: noneMiddle, 30+ air yards: noneRight, Behind air yards: 3 targets (43%), 2 caught (67%), 7 yds, 2.3 per target367% · 7yRight, 0–4 air yards: noneRight, 5–9 air yards: 1 targets (14%), 1 caught (100%), 5 yds, 5.0 per target1100% · 5yRight, 10–14 air yards: noneRight, 15–19 air yards: noneRight, 20–29 air yards: noneRight, 30+ air yards: none
fewer more targets
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Run direction39 carries

Left
18%
8.3 YPC · 43% succ.
Middle
69%
2.7 YPC · 22% succ.
Right
13%
5.4 YPC · 40% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Game Log

Josiah Lucas's box score, game by game, from ESPN, with a 0–10 game score for each (hover it for how it works). Click a result for the full game

4.9 avg. game scoreBest: 7.9 vs Texas State (Week 5)0 of 4 games at 8.0+
RushingReceiving
WkOpponentResultGame scoreCarYdsY/CTDLongRecYdsY/RTDLong
1Portland StateW 53–205.44307.5027·····
2@UCLAL 10–28—no stats recorded
3James MadisonL 13–26—no stats recorded
4@ToledoL 16–412.39182.0061-11-11.000
5Texas StateW 31–297.9211115.3218492.306
6@Oregon StateL 14–664.08101.304294.507
7Fresno StateW 26–23—no stats recorded
2026 · 4 games4.9421694.0227771.007

2026 Season Stats

FBS rank among qualifying players

Rushing2026FBS rank
Carries42—
Yards169331st / 1456
Yards / carry4244th / 325
Touchdowns2221st / 631
Long27—
Receiving2026FBS rank
Receptions7789th / 1995
Yards71763rd / 1981
Yards / catch1—
Touchdowns0—
Long7—

Snaps by Game

Estimated snaps from a model trained on real NFL snap counts. Ranges in brackets are where the real number lands 80% of the time: wide for a single game, tighter over the season. How it works

GameStartTeam playsEst. snapsPlays involvedSnap share
Wk 1 · Portland State—62~10 (2–19)416%
Wk 4 · Toledo—68~29 (20–38)1043%
Wk 5 · Texas State✓ RB52~46 (39–51)2688%
Wk 6 · Oregon State✓ RB48~21 (14–27)1044%
Season2 GS425106 (82–131)5025%

Position Room

5 RBs on the San Diego State roster, ordered by car

#PlayerPosClassCarYdsYPCTDRecEPA/play
21Javion KinnardRBSO814325.317+0.15
7Lucky SuttonRBSR632604.131+0.00
23Josiah LucasRBFR42169427-0.18
29Jordin ThomasRBFR14553.911+0.21
Christian WashingtonRB21260—-2.57

Stats, EPA and usage come from CollegeFootballData.com and refresh daily. FBS ranks only count players with enough volume for the stat to mean something. Qualifying for EPA takes 6+ plays per team game. San Diego State depth chart →