Big Ten · 2026

UCLA Bruins

Head coach Bob Chesney · Rose Bowl
6-04-0 in conference
TDC Rank
#16
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+15.7
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+7.6
18th in FBS
Defense
+8.1
19th in FBS
Schedule so far
+3.0
23rd toughest
Projected
10.7-1.3
bowl-eligible >99%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

+15.7 now, +6.1 preseason · up 23 spots since preseason
0+5+10+15FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8#16

Final record odds

10.7-1.3 expected · most likely 11-1 (38%)
8-410%9-327%10-238%11-123%12-0

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5@86CaliforniaW 45–24 ›+19.9—ESPN
2Sep 12vs98San Diego StateW 28–10 ›+5.4—BTN
3Sep 19vs71PurdueCONFW 52–38 ›+10.0—BTN
4Sep 26@76MarylandCONFW 54–3 ›+35.5—BTN
5—Bye
6Oct 10@10OregonCONFW 17–15 ›+27.0—CBS
7Oct 17vs27WisconsinCONFW 17–7 ›+18.6—NBC
8Oct 24vs63Michigan StateCONFUCLA −17.1 · o/u 50.5—87%CBS
9Oct 31vs106NevadaUCLA −30.3 · o/u 49.2—98%BTN
10Nov 7@66MinnesotaCONFUCLA −10.0 · o/u 49.1—75%
11Nov 13vs49IllinoisCONFUCLA −13.7 · o/u 58.6—82%Fox
12Nov 21@40MichiganCONFUCLA −4.2 · o/u 45.5—61%
13Nov 28vs24USCCONFUCLA −6.4 · o/u 59.7—67%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.18357th-0.1542nd
Success rate45.6%47th34.1%9th
Explosiveness1.21588th1.19048th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate45.7%50th34.8%14th
Rushing success rate50.0%19th39.2%43rd
Passing success rate40.1%91st30.5%1st
Explosive run rate15.0%54th11.1%42nd
Explosive pass rate16.3%9th9.0%55th
Line yards / carry3.5316th2.7429th
Opportunity rate43.0%25th33.9%35th
Stuff rate12.6%20th21.1%31st
Sack rate5.6%88th4.6%94th
3rd-down conversion50.0%19th33.3%17th
Red-zone TD rate66.7%48th60.0%70th
Havoc rate14.1%90th16.2%29th
Box score · season totals
Points / game35.532nd16.220th
Yards / game445.833rd292.320th
Yards / play6.4826th4.4422nd
Pass yards / game214.886th194.746th
Yards / pass att.8.2041st6.2835th
Completion %61.4%87th50.5%3rd
Rush yards / game231.012th97.720th
Yards / carry5.6015th2.9917th
3rd-down conv. %48.2%22nd25.9%4th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.5097th3.172nd
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.5049th2.1757th
Penalty yards / game83.2133rd59.057th

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
9.5
41st of 138
YAC per catch
6.2
32nd of 138
Deep shots (20+)
18%
27th of 138
Shotgun
99%
12th of 138
No-huddle
16%
118th of 138
QB pressured
11%
86th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
11%
113th of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
6.5
11th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws148 throws charted

61% comp9.5 avg. depth6.2 YAC/catch18% 20+ air yds5–6 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 13 throws (9%), 13 caught (100%), 69 yds, 5.3 per throw13100% · 69yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 10 throws (7%), 8 caught (80%), 58 yds, 5.8 per throw1080% · 58yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 7 throws (5%), 5 caught (71%), 71 yds, 10.1 per throw771% · 71yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 6 throws (4%), 2 caught (33%), 28 yds, 4.7 per throw633% · 28yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 2 caught (67%), 50 yds, 16.7 per throw367% · 50yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0yLeft, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (2%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw30% · 0yMiddle, Behind air yards: 3 throws (2%), 2 caught (67%), 3 yds, 1.0 per throw367% · 3yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 10 throws (7%), 4 caught (40%), 23 yds, 2.3 per throw1040% · 23yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 9 throws (6%), 6 caught (67%), 70 yds, 7.8 per throw967% · 70yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 7 throws (5%), 3 caught (43%), 38 yds, 5.4 per throw743% · 38yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 8 throws (5%), 4 caught (50%), 80 yds, 10.0 per throw850% · 80yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 4 throws (3%), 2 caught (50%), 53 yds, 13.3 per throw450% · 53yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (2%), 3 caught (100%), 148 yds, 49.3 per throw3100% · 148yRight, Behind air yards: 11 throws (7%), 10 caught (91%), 57 yds, 5.2 per throw1191% · 57yRight, 0–4 air yards: 18 throws (12%), 13 caught (72%), 103 yds, 5.7 per throw1872% · 103yRight, 5–9 air yards: 6 throws (4%), 4 caught (67%), 103 yds, 17.2 per throw667% · 103yRight, 10–14 air yards: 6 throws (4%), 4 caught (67%), 61 yds, 10.2 per throw667% · 61yRight, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (5%), 3 caught (43%), 64 yds, 9.1 per throw743% · 64yRight, 20–29 air yards: 8 throws (5%), 6 caught (75%), 148 yds, 18.5 per throw875% · 148yRight, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (3%), 1 caught (25%), 33 yds, 8.3 per throw425% · 33y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on169 throws charted

49% comp9.6 avg. depth6.5 YAC/catch18% 20+ air yds6–10 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 14 throws (8%), 9 caught (64%), 54 yds, 3.9 per throw1464% · 54yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 17 throws (10%), 11 caught (65%), 75 yds, 4.4 per throw1765% · 75yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 13 throws (8%), 6 caught (46%), 93 yds, 7.2 per throw1346% · 93yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 11 throws (7%), 2 caught (18%), 37 yds, 3.4 per throw1118% · 37yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 6 throws (4%), 3 caught (50%), 91 yds, 15.2 per throw650% · 91yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 2 caught (29%), 51 yds, 7.3 per throw729% · 51yLeft, 30+ air yards: 7 throws (4%), 1 caught (14%), 49 yds, 7.0 per throw714% · 49yMiddle, Behind air yards: noneMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 4 caught (100%), 35 yds, 8.8 per throw4100% · 35yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 13 throws (8%), 6 caught (46%), 145 yds, 11.2 per throw1346% · 145yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 1 caught (20%), 14 yds, 2.8 per throw520% · 14yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw30% · 0yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 23 yds, 11.5 per throw250% · 23yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 1 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yRight, Behind air yards: 13 throws (8%), 11 caught (85%), 65 yds, 5.0 per throw1385% · 65yRight, 0–4 air yards: 22 throws (13%), 18 caught (82%), 78 yds, 3.5 per throw2282% · 78yRight, 5–9 air yards: 9 throws (5%), 3 caught (33%), 29 yds, 3.2 per throw933% · 29yRight, 10–14 air yards: 6 throws (4%), 3 caught (50%), 43 yds, 7.2 per throw650% · 43yRight, 15–19 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 4 caught (100%), 73 yds, 18.3 per throw4100% · 73yRight, 20–29 air yards: 8 throws (5%), 3 caught (38%), 83 yds, 10.4 per throw838% · 83yRight, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 1 caught (25%), 36 yds, 9.0 per throw425% · 36y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction227 carries

Left
15%
7.9 YPC · 53% succ.
Middle
57%
6.2 YPC · 47% succ.
Right
28%
5.5 YPC · 58% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced177 carries

Left
16%
5.3 YPC · 39% succ.
Middle
69%
3.3 YPC · 39% succ.
Right
15%
4.8 YPC · 33% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Bob Chesney

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
9Nico IamaleavaQBSR6' 5"215Long Beach, CA
10Madden IamaleavaQBSO6' 2"197Long Beach, CA
14Ty DieffenbachQBSR6' 6"227Calabasas, CA
17Colton GuminoQBSO6' 0"196Arlington Heights, IL
18DJ BordeauxQBFR6' 2"200Aurora, CO
3Wayne KnightRBSR5' 7"193Smyrna, DE
22Dylan LeeRBJR6' 0"216Phoenix, AZ
32Troy LeigberRBSR6' 0"211Laguna Hills, CA
33Karson CoxRBSO5' 11"213Victorville, CA
1Aidan MizellWRSR6' 1"177Orlando, FL
2Brian Rowe Jr.WRSO5' 11"168Charlotte, NC
4Semaj MorganWRSR5' 9"174Detroit, MI
7Mikey MatthewsWRSR5' 8"182Irvine, CA
11Landon EllisWRSR6' 2"217Orange, VA
12Jace BrownWRSO6' 2"203Long Beach, CA
15Marcus HarrisWRSO6' 0"192Eastvale, CA
20Shane RosenthalWRSO5' 11"192Newbury Park, CA
23Jackson MeehanWRSR5' 8"172Westlake Village, CA
25Major PrideWRFR6' 2"203Stockton, CA
26Markus KierWRFR6' 2"190Mission Viejo, CA
81Kenneth Moore IIIWRFR5' 10"172Stockton, CA
86Jalen Saint PaulWRJR5' 11"185Carlsbad, CA
19Harry LodgeTESR6' 7"247Cambridge, MA
44Peter BarioTESR6' 2"241Sherman Oaks, CA
82Noah Fox-FloresTESO6' 3"244Tacoma, WA
85Brayden LoftinTESR6' 4"231Omaha, NE
87Dylan SimsTESO6' 5"232Queen Creek, AZ
88Stevie Amar Jr.TESO6' 2"236Oxnard, CA
89Josh PhiferTESR6' 5"258Peachtree City, GA
51Riley RobellOLSR6' 2"284Harrisburg, PA
54Derek OsmanOLSR6' 3"315Mercer Island, WA
55Eugene BrooksOLJR6' 3"348Las Vegas, NV
58Jaylan JeffersOLSR6' 5"313Phoenix, AZ
61Lucas HickeyOLFR6' 3"290Prosper, TX
62Michael PriceOLFR6' 5"297Huntsville, AL
65Hall SchmidtOLSR6' 6"317Gig Harbor, WA
67Cam JensenOLFR6' 7"283Littleton, CO
68Jordan DavisOLSR6' 4"328Fairburn, GA
69Cooper JavorskyOLFR6' 3"307Ladera Ranch, CA
71Sean Na'aOLSR6' 3"308Inglewood, CA
72K.D. ArnoldOLSR6' 6"304Atmore, AL
73Quinn BuckeyOLFR6' 6"306Bakersfield, CA
74Julian ArmellaOLSR6' 6"333Miami, FL
75Nehemiah JohnsonOLSO6' 4"342Yorba Linda, CA
76Mack IndestadOLSR6' 8"311Lemont, IL
77JD DeanOLSO6' 4"289Canton, MA
78Michael McDonaldOLSO6' 4"353Los Angeles, CA
11Nico DavillierDLSR6' 2"274Maumelle, AR
24Cole CogshellDLSO6' 3"249Pasadena, CA
29Robert James IIIDLSO6' 2"302Inglewood, CA
33Dallin HaveaDLJR6' 1"247Orem, UT
44Ashton SandersDLSR6' 1"296Pasadena, CA
54Ty PartlowDLSO6' 4"254Teaneck, NJ
55A.J. FuimaonoDLSR6' 3"315Las Vegas, NV
59Gavin BlumDLSO6' 2"279San Juan Capistrano, CA
88Grant BuckeyDLSR6' 5"266Bakersfield, CA
92Darold DeNgoheDLSR6' 2"312Philadelphia, PA
94Marcus AlmadaDLFR6' 3"294Cranston, RI
95Tyson FordDLSR6' 4"321St. Louis, MO
96James MoffatDLFR6' 4"260Los Angeles, CA
97Aiden GobairaDLSR6' 4"261Fairfax, VA
99Maxwell RoyDLSO6' 3"320Delran, NJ
0Donavyn PellotLBSR6' 1"226Las Vegas, NV
10Sammy OmosighoLBSR6' 2"239Crandall, TX
17Lucien HollandLBSO6' 3"215Los Angeles, CA
19Ryan McCullochLBSR6' 2"258Arcadia, CA
25Trent HendrickLBSR6' 0"234Richmond, VA
36Wyatt MosierLBSR6' 1"226Yorba Linda, CA
39Anthony SaccaLBSO6' 3"242Delran, NJ
40Mone MalafuLBSR6' 1"252Kapaa, HI
53Jacob ReisLBJR5' 11"217Palos Verdes, CA
57Matt MuasauLBFR6' 0"240Bellflower, CA
1Scooter JacksonDBSR5' 11"191Compton, CA
2Rodrick PleasantDBSR5' 10"175Gardena, CA
4Cole MartinDBSR5' 8"185Pasadena, CA
6Tao JohnsonDBSR6' 0"194Idaho Falls, ID
12Malik HartfordDBSR6' 2"193Cincinnati, OH
18Osiris GilbertDBSO5' 9"179Duluth, GA
21Dante LovettDBSR6' 0"198Crofton, MD
22Ty LeeDBSR6' 2"204Garden Grove, CA
23Jhase McMillanDBJR5' 9"170Houston, TX
25Kuron Jabari Jr.DBSO6' 0"191Temecula, CA
26CJ LavenderDBFR5' 11"183Fontana, CA
27Ta'Shawn JamesDBSR6' 0"211Oklahoma City, OK
28Mason RiveraDBSR6' 0"190Tracy, CA
30Zeke JohnsonDBSO6' 1"202Redondo Beach, CA
31Chase ColemanDBSO6' 2"166Frisco, TX
32Derrick BarksdaleDBSR5' 8"181Rock Hill, SC
35Logan HirouDBFR6' 0"193Rancho Santa Margarita, CA
37Joshua DixonDBSR5' 11"193Van Nuys, CA
43Brett BarryDBJR5' 11"184San Diego, CA
45Jamier JohnsonDBSR5' 11"190Pasadena, CA
15Mateen BhaghaniPKSR6' 0"178San Diego, CA
31Mateo OroscoPKFR6' 0"173San Diego, CA
19Lennox MillerPSO6' 2"222Sydney, Australia
35Curtis GerrandPSO6' 0"186Melbourne, Australia
45Chase BarryPSR6' 3"205San Juan Capistrano, CA
30Halakilangi Muagututi'aLSSO5' 11"237Laie, HI
44Giancarlo CereghinoLSFR6' 0"204Moraga, CA
50Salem Abdul-WahabLSSR6' 0"259Fontana, CA

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2014 (+10.7, #18) · worst: 2018 (-3.9, #91)
-50+5+10FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#89
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far6-04-0#16+15.7+7.6+8.1
20253-93-6#89-3.8-3.3-0.4
20245-73-6#65+0.6-2.9+3.5
20238-54-5#35+4.8-1.2+6.0
20229-46-3#26+6.2+8.5-2.3
20218-46-3#30+6.4+7.8-1.4
20203-43-4#45+2.8+5.9-3.1
20194-84-5#89-3.5+1.3-4.8
20183-93-6#91-3.9+0.4-4.3
20176-74-5#72-0.8+3.9-4.7
20164-82-7#58+0.9-1.7+2.6
20158-55-4#29+7.1+3.4+3.7
201410-36-3#18+10.7+7.8+2.8

UCLA's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Oct 21, 10:45 AM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →