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Pac-12 · 2026

Oregon State Beavers

Head coach Jamarcus Shephard · Reser Stadium
5-23-0 in conference
TDC Rank
#57
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+3.5
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+3.5
46th in FBS
Defense
0.0
67th in FBS
Schedule so far
-7.9
97th toughest
Projected
7.3-3.7
bowl-eligible 98%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

+3.5 now, -15.0 preseason · up 59 spots since preseason
-100FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8#57

Final record odds

7.3-3.7 expected · most likely 7-4 (38%)
5-617%6-538%7-434%8-39%9-2

Team Leaders

National leaderboards →

Passing
Braden Atkinson
QB · SO · 1st in FBS
2606yds
24 TD · 2 INT
Rushing
AJ Newberry
RB · SR · 70th in FBS
431yds
65 car · 3 TD
Receiving
Jesse Legree
WR · FR · 1st in FBS
1040yds
46 rec · 14 TD
Tackles
Aiden Sullivan
LB · SR · 42nd in FBS
53tkl
3.5 TFL
Sacks
Takari Hickle
LB · SR · 11th in FBS
6sacks
6 hurries
Interceptions
Jabari Odoemenem
LB · SR · 109th in FBS
1INT
1 PD

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5@30HoustonL 20–33 ›+2.2—ESPNEWS
2Sep 12vs12Texas TechL 24–35 ›+4.5—CBS
3Sep 19vsMontana FCSW 52–17 ›+11.7—USA Net
4Sep 26@137UTEPW 33–7 ›+2.4—MW+
5Oct 3@116Colorado StateCONFW 56–26 ›+16.1—USA Net
6Oct 10vs98San Diego StateCONFW 66–14 ›+21.2—USA Net
7Oct 17vs95Washington StateCONFW 48–30 ›+6.9—USA Net
8—Bye
9Oct 31@77Fresno StateCONFOregon State −2.4 · o/u 54.7—56%USA Net
10Nov 7vs61Texas StateCONFOregon State −4.7 · o/u 67.9—62%CW
11Nov 14@36Boise StateCONFBoise State −9.1 · o/u 61.4—27%USA Net
12Nov 21vs94Utah StateCONFOregon State −14.6 · o/u 49.8—83%CBSSN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.32214th+0.09874th
Success rate49.8%14th40.7%62nd
Explosiveness1.33128th1.17237th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate51.0%10th40.5%60th
Rushing success rate55.1%1st41.9%63rd
Passing success rate48.7%31st39.2%54th
Explosive run rate15.0%54th11.7%49th
Explosive pass rate12.1%46th7.5%25th
Line yards / carry3.628th3.1080th
Opportunity rate41.5%44th36.9%60th
Stuff rate10.2%5th15.1%104th
Sack rate3.0%23rd7.0%33rd
3rd-down conversion45.1%38th39.5%71st
Red-zone TD rate84.0%3rd52.9%44th
Havoc rate10.4%24th14.8%49th
Box score · season totals
Points / game42.74th23.165th
Yards / game527.04th345.357th
Yards / play7.225th4.9552nd
Pass yards / game384.91st204.961st
Yards / pass att.9.3013th6.1325th
Completion %69.9%10th63.3%96th
Rush yards / game142.191st140.466th
Yards / carry4.7049th4.1781st
3rd-down conv. %47.7%25th37.8%75th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)0.5714th1.2957th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.2935th2.5725th
Penalty yards / game61.187th64.936th

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
9.6
40th of 138
YAC per catch
7.5
6th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
21%
8th of 138
Shotgun
96%
65th of 138
No-huddle
35%
93rd of 138
QB pressured
13%
67th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
19%
14th of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
4.4
120th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws282 throws charted

70% comp9.6 avg. depth7.5 YAC/catch21% 20+ air yds28–2 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 32 throws (11%), 29 caught (91%), 265 yds, 8.3 per throw3291% · 265yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 21 throws (7%), 20 caught (95%), 116 yds, 5.5 per throw2195% · 116yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 19 throws (7%), 14 caught (74%), 145 yds, 7.6 per throw1974% · 145yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 6 throws (2%), 2 caught (33%), 32 yds, 5.3 per throw633% · 32yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 19 yds, 9.5 per throw250% · 19yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 7 throws (2%), 4 caught (57%), 94 yds, 13.4 per throw757% · 94yLeft, 30+ air yards: 7 throws (2%), 1 caught (14%), 71 yds, 10.1 per throw714% · 71yMiddle, Behind air yards: 8 throws (3%), 8 caught (100%), 32 yds, 4.0 per throw8100% · 32yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 19 throws (7%), 15 caught (79%), 150 yds, 7.9 per throw1979% · 150yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 12 throws (4%), 8 caught (67%), 96 yds, 8.0 per throw1267% · 96yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 10 throws (4%), 8 caught (80%), 124 yds, 12.4 per throw1080% · 124yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 8 throws (3%), 4 caught (50%), 123 yds, 15.4 per throw850% · 123yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 6 throws (2%), 4 caught (67%), 123 yds, 20.5 per throw667% · 123yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 9 throws (3%), 2 caught (22%), 138 yds, 15.3 per throw922% · 138yRight, Behind air yards: 23 throws (8%), 21 caught (91%), 149 yds, 6.5 per throw2391% · 149yRight, 0–4 air yards: 22 throws (8%), 20 caught (91%), 168 yds, 7.6 per throw2291% · 168yRight, 5–9 air yards: 19 throws (7%), 14 caught (74%), 140 yds, 7.4 per throw1974% · 140yRight, 10–14 air yards: 12 throws (4%), 6 caught (50%), 85 yds, 7.1 per throw1250% · 85yRight, 15–19 air yards: 10 throws (4%), 6 caught (60%), 119 yds, 11.9 per throw1060% · 119yRight, 20–29 air yards: 21 throws (7%), 8 caught (38%), 254 yds, 12.1 per throw2138% · 254yRight, 30+ air yards: 9 throws (3%), 2 caught (22%), 146 yds, 16.2 per throw922% · 146y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on221 throws charted

63% comp7.7 avg. depth4.4 YAC/catch9% 20+ air yds10–6 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 10 throws (5%), 8 caught (80%), 22 yds, 2.2 per throw1080% · 22yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 29 throws (13%), 25 caught (86%), 141 yds, 4.9 per throw2986% · 141yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 20 throws (9%), 14 caught (70%), 103 yds, 5.2 per throw2070% · 103yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 10 throws (5%), 6 caught (60%), 120 yds, 12.0 per throw1060% · 120yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 3 caught (43%), 51 yds, 7.3 per throw743% · 51yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 1 throws (0%), 1 caught (100%), 24 yds, 24.0 per throw1100% · 24yLeft, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 2 caught (50%), 84 yds, 21.0 per throw450% · 84yMiddle, Behind air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 2 yds, 1.0 per throw250% · 2yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 6 caught (67%), 32 yds, 3.6 per throw967% · 32yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 16 throws (7%), 8 caught (50%), 83 yds, 5.2 per throw1650% · 83yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 10 throws (5%), 4 caught (40%), 39 yds, 3.9 per throw1040% · 39yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 3 caught (60%), 63 yds, 12.6 per throw560% · 63yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 1 throws (0%), 1 caught (100%), 18 yds, 18.0 per throw1100% · 18yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 2 caught (50%), 83 yds, 20.8 per throw450% · 83yRight, Behind air yards: 26 throws (12%), 20 caught (77%), 119 yds, 4.6 per throw2677% · 119yRight, 0–4 air yards: 20 throws (9%), 17 caught (85%), 115 yds, 5.8 per throw2085% · 115yRight, 5–9 air yards: 23 throws (10%), 17 caught (74%), 186 yds, 8.1 per throw2374% · 186yRight, 10–14 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 3 caught (38%), 38 yds, 4.8 per throw838% · 38yRight, 15–19 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw60% · 0yRight, 20–29 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw50% · 0yRight, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (2%), 1 caught (20%), 40 yds, 8.0 per throw520% · 40y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction196 carries

Left
19%
5.2 YPC · 42% succ.
Middle
67%
5.5 YPC · 52% succ.
Right
13%
4.3 YPC · 46% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced209 carries

Left
23%
6.0 YPC · 48% succ.
Middle
53%
4.2 YPC · 41% succ.
Right
24%
5.8 YPC · 42% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Jamarcus Shephard

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
2Braden AtkinsonQBSO6' 1"208Raleigh, NC
6Maalik MurphyQBSR6' 5"238Inglewood, CA
10Brady JonesQBSR6' 4"210Murrieta, CA
13Danny LearyQBFR6' 3"185Portland, OR
19Isaiah ArriazaQBFR5' 9"182La Verne, CA
3Cornell Hatcher Jr.RBSO6' 0"210Corona, CA
22Tre GarrisonRBFR5' 10"190New Orleans, LA
23AJ NewberryRBSR6' 1"200Grand Prairie, TX
25Kourdey GlassRBFR5' 10"210Hanford, CA
27Rocco De La RosaRBFR6' 1"202Philomath, OR
33Skyler JacksonRBFR6' 1"220Las Vegas, NV
34Jake ReichleRBSR6' 2"225Lake Oswego, OR
0Aaron ButlerWRSO6' 0"180Calabasas, CA
1Adonis McDanielWRSR5' 8"172Columbia, SC
4Xayvion NolandWRJR5' 6"170San Diego, CA
5Karson BoschmaWRSR6' 3"202Tigard, OR
7Aeryn HamptonWRSO5' 10"194Daingerfield, TX
12Jesse LegreeWRFR5' 10"172Baltimore, MD
14Eddie FreauffWRSO6' 4"220Prineville, OR
15Jameson PowellWRFR5' 10"175Folsom, CA
16Cynai ThomasWRFR6' 3"188East Palo Alto, CA
17Malachi DurantWRSO6' 2"190Seattle, WA
18Jayden PadgettWRFR6' 4"202Tampa, FL
21MJ KennybrewWRFR6' 0"185Portland, OR
41Jhae DrummerWRSR5' 10"190Long Beach, CA
88Ross NicksonWRJR6' 2"190Los Angeles, CA
8DeCorion TempleTESR6' 6"245Ypsilanti, MI
80Eric OlsenTESR6' 5"240St. George, UT
81Landon CookTEFR6' 5"220Concord, CA
82Gabe MilbournTESR6' 5"250Sonora, CA
84Cody SiegnerTEFR6' 7"255Crane, OR
87Jackson BowersTEJR6' 5"255Mesa, AZ
50Teko ShoatsOLJR6' 3"295Miami, FL
51Maddox ConwayOLFR6' 5"290Corvallis, OR
52Tanu A'aituiOLFR6' 3"285Layton, UT
56Carter GuillaumeOLSO6' 1"295Louisville, KY
59Frankie PetuyaOLJR6' 5"318Novato, CA
61Jake NormoyleOLFR6' 4"300West Linn, OR
65Peter LangiOLFR6' 4"380San Francisco, CA
69Kwan JohnsonOLSO6' 5"305Blue Island, IL
70Michael LangiOLFR6' 2"285San Bruno, CA
71Josiah TimoteoOLJR6' 5"310Waianae, HI
72Noah ThomasOLFR6' 6"305Vancouver, WA
74Jacob AndersonOLJR6' 6"300Billings, MT
75Will LarkinsOLJR6' 5"312Hollywood, FL
76Ben HartmanOLJR6' 5"315Austin, TX
78Nathan EluOLSR6' 5"320San Mateo, CA
79Tyler VoltinOLSR6' 5"335Stayton, OR
45Jesse MyersDTFR6' 3"256Ukiah, CA
59Tevita Pome'eDTJR6' 3"310Hofoa, Tonga
60Tiger BlackDTJR6' 1"310Roseburg, OR
62Jacob SchusterDTSR6' 2"330Lacey, WA
90Daniel MatagiDTSR6' 0"305Chehalis, WA
91Jaylen HillDTFR6' 5"305Portland, OR
92Nick NorrisDTSR6' 5"285Fort Morgan, CO
93Lolani FinauDTJR6' 3"285Hawthorne, CA
94Cameron HewittDTSO6' 2"320Pearl, MS
96Luke LevengoodDTSR6' 3"275Vacaville, CA
97Tyler BaileyDTJR6' 2"308Hammond, LA
1Dylan LayneLBSR6' 2"225Lake Oswego, OR
2Aiden SullivanLBSR6' 1"230Twentynine Palms, CA
3Jabari OdoemenemLBSR6' 1"234Woodbridge, VA
9Raesjon DavisLBSR6' 0"228Norco, CA
10Logan KnappLBFR6' 7"255Clayton, CA
12Gyriece GoodmanLBSR6' 2"212De Pere, WI
13Jeremiah BrownLBFR6' 2"205Menifee, CA
14Kord ShawLBSR6' 4"230Ogden, UT
17Ish FindlayterLBJR6' 4"260Toronto, CA
18Jarrel ComerLBJR6' 4"245Gainesville, FL
42Caleb MetznerLBFR6' 2"256Mobile, AL
44Takari HickleLBSR6' 3"270Tenino, WA
47Tyree BlakeLBSR6' 2"230Portland, OR
48Jessaia MoalaLBJR5' 11"232Syracuse, UT
50Will HaverlandLBSO6' 6"250Eugene, OR
54Clive PondLBJR6' 2"225Enumclaw, WA
55Jeremiah IoaneLBFR6' 1"220Las Vegas, NV
58Adrian OnyiegoLBSO6' 3"230Rogers, MN
88Adel DorrLBFR6' 4"230Issaquah, WA
99Niklas FisherLBFR6' 4"260Cypress, TX
0Harlem HowardDBJR6' 0"190Pompano Beach, FL
4TJ CrandallDBJR6' 1"190Sammamish, WA
5Xander ChisolmDBJR6' 2"190Bakersfield, CA
6Jaheim PattersonDBSR6' 4"205Fort Worth, TX
7Kahanu KalahikiDBSO6' 1"200Kaimuki, HI
8Sailasa Vadrawale IIIDBJR5' 11"185Rohnert Park, CA
19Trey GlasperDBSO6' 1"185Las Vegas, NV
20David MadisonDBFR6' 0"176Plano, TX
21Noble Thomas Jr.DBJR5' 11"190Orange, FL
22Isaiah HouiDBJR5' 10"175Rockton, IL
23Exodus AyersDBSO6' 2"200Albuquerque, NM
24Tyjai HopperDBSO6' 2"195Alpharetta, GA
26Marquis RaspberryDBSR6' 0"185Washington, DC
28Blake ThompsonDBFR6' 1"185Richmond, TX
33Sean CraigDBFR6' 3"210Las Vegas, NV
36Drake VickersDBSR6' 3"204North Hollywood, CA
38Milan ClarkDBJR6' 1"182Portland, OR
28Caleb OjedaPKSR5' 9"185Morgan Hill, CA
37Cameron SmithPKJR5' 11"175Loomis, CA
98Jadyn OhPKSR6' 0"180Chantilly, VA
47Tug SanfordLSSR6' 0"210Allen, TX

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2022 (+9.0, #15) · worst: 2017 (-13.4, #120)
-100+10FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#118
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far5-23-0#57+3.5+3.50.0
20252-101-1#118-10.6-6.3-4.3
20245-71-0#99-5.1-2.2-2.9
20238-55-4#20+8.4+4.2+4.2
202210-36-3#15+9.0+3.4+5.6
20217-65-4#57+2.5+3.1-0.6
20202-52-5#84-2.5+2.0-4.5
20195-74-5#73-1.4+3.3-4.7
20182-101-8#118-13.1-1.0-12.1
20171-110-9#120-13.4-5.0-8.4
20164-83-6#78-2.5-1.9-0.5
20152-100-9#103-9.4-6.1-3.4
20145-72-7#79-2.6-0.4-2.1

Oregon State's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Oct 21, 10:45 AM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →