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SEC · 2026

Vanderbilt Commodores

Head coach Clark Lea · FirstBank Stadium
3-40-4 in conference
TDC Rank
#59
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+3.0
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+0.7
65th in FBS
Defense
+2.3
54th in FBS
Schedule so far
+3.2
19th toughest
Projected
4.0-8.0
bowl-eligible 7%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

+3.0 now, +11.9 preseason · down 36 spots since preseason
0+5+10FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8#59

Final record odds

4.0-8.0 expected · most likely 4-8 (40%)
33%3-940%4-821%5-76%6-67-5

Team Leaders

National leaderboards →

Passing
Jared Curtis
QB · FR · 78th in FBS
1242yds
6 TD · 7 INT
Rushing
Sedrick Alexander
RB · SR · 194th in FBS
270yds
61 car · 5 TD
Receiving
Junior Sherrill
WR · SR · 11th in FBS
628yds
41 rec · 4 TD
Tackles
CJ Heard
S · JR · 42nd in FBS
53tkl
4 TFL
Sacks
CJ Heard
S · JR · 95th in FBS
3sacks
1 hurries
Interceptions
Martel Hight
CB · SR · 109th in FBS
1INT
2 PD

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5vsAustin Peay FCSW 28–9 ›+4.0—SECN+
2Sep 12vs109DelawareW 35–26 ›-6.0—SEC Network
3Sep 19vs64NC StateW 35–31 ›+2.4—SEC Network
4Sep 26@19AuburnCONFL 15–21 ›+12.7—SEC Network
5Oct 3@5GeorgiaCONFL 14–38 ›+3.8—SEC Network
6Oct 10vs11Ole MissCONFL 17–52 ›-11.1—ESPN
7Oct 17vs65ArkansasCONFL 21–31 ›-11.7—ESPN2
8Oct 24@32KentuckyCONFKentucky −11.9 · o/u 52.1—21%SEC Network
9—Bye
10Nov 7@44Mississippi StateCONFMississippi State −7.7 · o/u 58.5—30%
11Nov 14vs7AlabamaCONFAlabama −16.2 · o/u 54.9—14%
12Nov 21@17FloridaCONFFlorida −16.4 · o/u 59.0—14%
13Nov 28vs13TennesseeCONFTennessee −11.1 · o/u 51.2—23%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.07798th+0.14097th
Success rate40.2%100th43.5%97th
Explosiveness1.29538th1.21761st
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate41.5%92nd44.3%103rd
Rushing success rate40.2%104th45.1%101st
Passing success rate42.7%69th43.5%100th
Explosive run rate11.6%105th15.2%103rd
Explosive pass rate10.2%75th10.0%69th
Line yards / carry3.0489th3.0777th
Opportunity rate34.4%123rd34.3%39th
Stuff rate15.9%59th14.7%111th
Sack rate4.9%67th6.1%52nd
3rd-down conversion36.9%104th40.2%80th
Red-zone TD rate68.4%41st73.7%124th
Havoc rate13.4%77th12.2%107th
Box score · season totals
Points / game23.6100th29.7115th
Yards / game354.3100th365.681st
Yards / play5.36101st5.4683rd
Pass yards / game235.164th219.386th
Yards / pass att.7.6065th7.2880th
Completion %60.4%95th64.9%110th
Rush yards / game119.1118th146.379th
Yards / carry3.60120th4.2184th
3rd-down conv. %38.5%83rd40.4%94th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.71122nd1.0086th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.8670th2.1466th
Penalty yards / game65.0101st46.4117th

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
9.8
33rd of 138
YAC per catch
5.1
89th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
19%
19th of 138
Shotgun
92%
100th of 138
No-huddle
54%
79th of 138
QB pressured
14%
59th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
14%
78th of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
5.5
47th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws207 throws charted

60% comp9.8 avg. depth5.1 YAC/catch19% 20+ air yds7–8 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 18 throws (9%), 15 caught (83%), 60 yds, 3.3 per throw1883% · 60yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 30 throws (14%), 22 caught (73%), 186 yds, 6.2 per throw3073% · 186yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 16 throws (8%), 11 caught (69%), 124 yds, 7.8 per throw1669% · 124yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 3 caught (50%), 45 yds, 7.5 per throw650% · 45yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 2 caught (67%), 36 yds, 12.0 per throw367% · 36yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 1 caught (14%), 60 yds, 8.6 per throw714% · 60yLeft, 30+ air yards: 7 throws (3%), 4 caught (57%), 134 yds, 19.1 per throw757% · 134yMiddle, Behind air yards: 4 throws (2%), 4 caught (100%), 26 yds, 6.5 per throw4100% · 26yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 3 caught (50%), 24 yds, 4.0 per throw650% · 24yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 13 throws (6%), 8 caught (62%), 83 yds, 6.4 per throw1362% · 83yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 5 caught (63%), 63 yds, 7.9 per throw863% · 63yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 3 caught (75%), 64 yds, 16.0 per throw475% · 64yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw30% · 0yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 1 throws (0%), 1 caught (100%), 31 yds, 31.0 per throw1100% · 31yRight, Behind air yards: 4 throws (2%), 4 caught (100%), 32 yds, 8.0 per throw4100% · 32yRight, 0–4 air yards: 20 throws (10%), 17 caught (85%), 133 yds, 6.7 per throw2085% · 133yRight, 5–9 air yards: 19 throws (9%), 10 caught (53%), 79 yds, 4.2 per throw1953% · 79yRight, 10–14 air yards: 11 throws (5%), 5 caught (45%), 77 yds, 7.0 per throw1145% · 77yRight, 15–19 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 2 caught (25%), 32 yds, 4.0 per throw825% · 32yRight, 20–29 air yards: 15 throws (7%), 5 caught (33%), 134 yds, 8.9 per throw1533% · 134yRight, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 4 caught (100%), 161 yds, 40.3 per throw4100% · 161y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on202 throws charted

64% comp8.1 avg. depth5.5 YAC/catch11% 20+ air yds12–5 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 16 throws (8%), 14 caught (88%), 92 yds, 5.8 per throw1688% · 92yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 13 throws (6%), 10 caught (77%), 67 yds, 5.2 per throw1377% · 67yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 15 throws (7%), 11 caught (73%), 119 yds, 7.9 per throw1573% · 119yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 2 caught (25%), 22 yds, 2.8 per throw825% · 22yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 3 caught (75%), 54 yds, 13.5 per throw475% · 54yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 2 caught (67%), 53 yds, 17.7 per throw367% · 53yLeft, 30+ air yards: 6 throws (3%), 3 caught (50%), 96 yds, 16.0 per throw650% · 96yMiddle, Behind air yards: 7 throws (3%), 7 caught (100%), 67 yds, 9.6 per throw7100% · 67yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 3 caught (50%), 31 yds, 5.2 per throw650% · 31yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 16 throws (8%), 12 caught (75%), 182 yds, 11.4 per throw1675% · 182yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 4 caught (67%), 48 yds, 8.0 per throw667% · 48yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 11 throws (5%), 8 caught (73%), 187 yds, 17.0 per throw1173% · 187yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: noneMiddle, 30+ air yards: 1 throws (0%), 1 caught (100%), 55 yds, 55.0 per throw1100% · 55yRight, Behind air yards: 17 throws (8%), 13 caught (76%), 70 yds, 4.1 per throw1776% · 70yRight, 0–4 air yards: 21 throws (10%), 18 caught (86%), 90 yds, 4.3 per throw2186% · 90yRight, 5–9 air yards: 23 throws (11%), 14 caught (61%), 125 yds, 5.4 per throw2361% · 125yRight, 10–14 air yards: 13 throws (6%), 5 caught (38%), 63 yds, 4.8 per throw1338% · 63yRight, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 1 caught (20%), 18 yds, 3.6 per throw520% · 18yRight, 20–29 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 1 caught (17%), 20 yds, 3.3 per throw617% · 20yRight, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (2%), 1 caught (20%), 33 yds, 6.6 per throw520% · 33y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction203 carries

Left
21%
4.5 YPC · 52% succ.
Middle
55%
3.7 YPC · 38% succ.
Right
24%
5.4 YPC · 45% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced218 carries

Left
20%
5.4 YPC · 43% succ.
Middle
61%
4.9 YPC · 41% succ.
Right
19%
6.2 YPC · 55% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Clark Lea

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
1Blaze BerlowitzQBSR6' 3"200Cushing, OK
2Jared CurtisQBFR6' 3"230Nashville, TN
10Whit MuschampQBJR6' 1"195Columbia, SC
11Jack ElliottQBSO6' 0"205Orland Park, IL
14Drew CowartQBSO6' 2"208Queen Creek, AZ
3Jamezell LassiterRBJR5' 8"192Providence, RI
20Izayah LeeRBFR5' 11"215Lancaster, TX
23Evan HamptonRBFR6' 0"215Owensboro, KY
24Gabe FieldsRBSO6' 0"217Saint Joseph, MO
28Sedrick AlexanderRBSR5' 9"207Austin, TX
42Jake BalisRBJR5' 9"200Granger, IN
44Gabe FisherFBSR6' 1"245Nashville, TN
0Junior SherrillWRSR5' 11"200Nashville, TN
5Tristen BrownWRJR5' 10"185Houston, TX
7Cole AdamsWRSR5' 10"183Owasso, OK
9Brycen ColemanWRJR6' 5"215Ocean City, MD
13Kayleb BarnettWRSO5' 8"155Tulsa, OK
15Joseph McVayWRJR6' 1"200Earle, AR
80Claiborne RichardsWRSR5' 11"186Nashville, TN
81Kahden SmithWRFR6' 2"195Moundville, AL
84Owen CabellWRFR6' 2"201Nashville, TN
85Lebron HillWRSO6' 5"190Hammond, IN
87Ty BurdWRSR6' 1"165Nashville, TN
88Wils JacksonWRSO6' 5"205Franklin, TN
89Cameran DicksonWRSO6' 0"185Corpus Christi, TX
8Jayvontay ConnerTEJR6' 4"235Winston-Salem, NC
46Palmer RileyTEFR6' 5"250Atherton, CA
49Elijah RooneyTEJR6' 5"230New Smyrna Beach, FL
82Adam GehmTEFR6' 6"235Harmony, PA
86Tilden RileyTEFR6' 5"217Orangeburg, SC
50Gunner GivensOLSR6' 5"325Covington, VA
51Clinton AzubuikeOLJR6' 8"310Lagos, Nigeria
54Tripp SkewesOLFR6' 7"285Denver, CO
56Lyndon CooperOLSR6' 2"310Atlanta, GA
57Max FisherOLSR6' 2"270Nashville, TN
58Orion IrvingOLSR6' 6"310Houston, TX
60Nate FlemingOLFR6' 3"285Franklin, TN
65Micah DeBoseOLSO6' 5"335Mobile, AL
70Cade McConnellOLSR6' 5"323Choctaw, OK
71Ted GregoireOLSR6' 3"330Roselle, NJ
72Mitchell SmithOLFR6' 6"320Picayune, MS
73Pulelei'ite PrimusOLFR6' 4"355Midland, TX
75Beau JohnsonOLJR6' 6"305Spring Lake Park, MN
77Michael SmithOLJR6' 6"330Picayune, MS
5Issa OuattaraDLSR6' 7"315Cologne, Germany
49Simeon BoulwareDLJR6' 5"258Dacula, GA
53Glenn Seabrooks IIIDLJR6' 3"340Nashville, TN
55Aaron BryantDLSR6' 2"320Southaven, MS
91Noah SigdaDLSO6' 4"245Freehold, NY
93Nikhil JeffersonDLSO6' 1"330Tampa, FL
94Bradley MannDLSR6' 6"308Jacksonville, FL
97Hayden BrayDLSR6' 4"277Austin, TX
99Talan CarterDLSO6' 1"280Ocean Springs, MS
15Mike DiattaDTSR6' 5"295Antioch, TN
59Jiaming CaoDTSO6' 0"262
98Daryl CampbellDTFR6' 1"280Katy, TX
11Bryan LongwellLBSR6' 1"240Nashville, TN
13Tate HambyLBJR6' 2"208West Monroe, LA
18Josiah BroxtonLBSO5' 10"220Tallahassee, FL
20Jamison CurtisLBJR6' 1"238Mobile, AL
22Bryce CowanLBSR6' 4"235Tallahassee, FL
24Nick RinaldiLBSR6' 3"240Dover, MA
30Austin HowardLBSO6' 2"245Memphis, TN
43Luke D'AliseLBJR6' 0"204Oak Park, IL
45Ty BartholomewLBSR6' 1"235Nashville, TN
50Kene ObiLBFR6' 1"221Gates Mills, OH
0Cobey SellersCBSO5' 11"178Houston, TX
2Jaylin LackeyCBJR6' 0"195Monroe, GA
4Martel HightCBSR6' 0"188Rome, GA
6Jordan MatthewsCBSR6' 2"192Baton Rouge, LA
16Jaylin DaviesCBSR5' 11"180Rancho Cucamonga, CA
26Cayden DanielsCBSO6' 1"189Cordele, GA
31Jeremy Garner IICBFR6' 2"155Rosharon, TX
42Blaine McClureCBJR6' 1"185Greenwich, CT
46Mustafa DannettCBSR6' 0"175New London, CT
1Dontae CarterSJR6' 1"196Cibolo, TX
3Carson LawrenceSSO6' 2"212Chattanooga, TN
7Ricardo JonesSJR6' 2"200Warner Robins, GA
8CJ HeardSJR5' 11"210Atlanta, GA
9Jalen GilbertSSR6' 0"208Round Rock, TX
12Vanzale HintonSSO6' 0"196Chattanooga, TN
14Jailen RuthSJR6' 3"225Hawthorne, FL
21Davin ChandlerSSO6' 0"190Berlin, MD
25Mason LewisSFR6' 0"195Queen Creek, AZ
27Bradley BrownSFR6' 0"185Plano, TX
28Thomas JonesSSO5' 11"195Smyrna, TN
35Payne DanielSSR5' 11"185Nashville, TN
39Joe DanielPKFR6' 4"225Auburn, AL
47Justin DewersPKSO6' 2"195Plano, TX
37Tyler EbelPSR6' 4"252DeForest, WI
53Stone OwensLSSO6' 0"200Tampa, FL
54Kaden SchickelLSSR6' 2"210Fredericksburg, VA
10Brian Allen Jr.EDGESR6' 3"264Lake In The H, IL
17Edwin KolengeEDGESR6' 3"260Montreal, Canada
19CJ JacksonEDGEJR6' 4"250Tucker, GA
29Miles CapersEDGESR6' 4"249Sumter, SC
32Mason CarterEDGEJR6' 5"251Jacksonville, FL
33Myles MillerEDGESO6' 1"255Madison, MS
95Jace McCallumEDGEFR6' 2"243Concord, NC
96Khalil PoteatEDGESR6' 5"275Bronx, NY

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2025 (+12.1, #11) · worst: 2021 (-15.7, #125)
-100+10FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#11
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far3-40-4#59+3.0+0.7+2.3
202510-36-2#11+12.1+10.0+2.2
20247-63-5#50+3.2+1.4+1.8
20232-100-8#115-9.2-2.4-6.8
20225-72-6#96-5.7-3.2-2.5
20212-100-8#125-15.7-10.5-5.1
20200-90-9#124-14.7-10.9-3.8
20193-91-7#115-9.6-7.2-2.4
20186-73-5#54+2.2+0.9+1.3
20175-71-7#87-3.7-2.5-1.2
20166-73-5#60+0.4-4.3+4.7
20154-82-6#84-3.4-9.4+5.9
20143-90-8#107-8.8-7.0-1.8

Vanderbilt's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Oct 21, 10:45 AM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →