Big Ten · 2026

Illinois Fighting Illini

Head coach Bret Bielema · Gies Memorial Stadium
3-31-2 in conference
TDC Rank
#49
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+5.8
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+5.7
35th in FBS
Defense
+0.1
65th in FBS
Schedule so far
-1.3
54th toughest
Projected
4.9-7.1
bowl-eligible 30%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

+5.8 now, +10.5 preseason · down 22 spots since preseason
0+5+10FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8#49

Final record odds

4.9-7.1 expected · most likely 5-7 (33%)
10%3-928%4-833%5-721%6-67%7-58-4

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 3vs115UABW 42–23 ›+1.6—BTN
2Sep 12vs50DukeL 27–31 ›-2.3—FS1
3Sep 19vsSouthern Illinois FCSW 48–10 ›+6.0—Peacock
4Sep 26@2Ohio StateCONFL 19–42 ›+8.6—FOX
5Oct 3vs71PurdueCONFL 17–24 ›-11.0—BTN
6Oct 10@63Michigan StateCONFW 38–37 ›+7.2—FS1
7—Bye
8Oct 24vs10OregonCONFOregon −11.6 · o/u 60.3—22%BTN
9Oct 31@76MarylandCONFIllinois −3.8 · o/u 61.2—60%FS1
10Nov 6vs15NebraskaCONFNebraska −7.2 · o/u 57.1—32%Fox
11Nov 13@16UCLACONFUCLA −13.7 · o/u 58.6—18%Fox
12Nov 21vs20IowaCONFIowa −5.1 · o/u 54.2—37%
13Nov 28@26NorthwesternCONFNorthwestern −10.4 · o/u 59.7—25%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.23629th+0.299136th
Success rate49.5%16th46.2%122nd
Explosiveness1.27351st1.28593rd
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate48.7%23rd46.7%123rd
Rushing success rate45.6%54th42.1%66th
Passing success rate51.3%14th51.5%133rd
Explosive run rate10.6%117th11.2%44th
Explosive pass rate11.2%56th10.2%73rd
Line yards / carry3.2746th2.9659th
Opportunity rate42.5%35th35.4%48th
Stuff rate11.9%10th16.3%90th
Sack rate2.6%18th2.3%131st
3rd-down conversion45.3%33rd44.9%115th
Red-zone TD rate58.8%87th63.6%90th
Havoc rate10.5%25th11.5%120th
Box score · season totals
Points / game31.851st27.8106th
Yards / game405.558th375.292nd
Yards / play6.4231st5.74103rd
Pass yards / game254.743rd248.3115th
Yards / pass att.7.9050th8.05121st
Completion %66.0%45th66.5%121st
Rush yards / game150.879th126.850th
Yards / carry5.1028th3.7752nd
3rd-down conv. %43.3%46th44.7%122nd
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)0.6722nd0.50133rd
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.0016th0.83134th
Penalty yards / game38.79th67.825th

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
10.0
28th of 138
YAC per catch
4.0
128th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
14%
68th of 138
Shotgun
90%
108th of 138
No-huddle
17%
115th of 138
QB pressured
8%
124th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
9%
132nd of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
5.1
75th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws186 throws charted

65% comp10.0 avg. depth4.0 YAC/catch14% 20+ air yds13–4 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 16 throws (9%), 14 caught (88%), 60 yds, 3.8 per throw1688% · 60yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 4 caught (80%), 54 yds, 10.8 per throw580% · 54yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 21 throws (11%), 17 caught (81%), 185 yds, 8.8 per throw2181% · 185yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 10 throws (5%), 5 caught (50%), 88 yds, 8.8 per throw1050% · 88yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 13 throws (7%), 8 caught (62%), 146 yds, 11.2 per throw1362% · 146yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 10 throws (5%), 4 caught (40%), 131 yds, 13.1 per throw1040% · 131yLeft, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (2%), 2 caught (67%), 75 yds, 25.0 per throw367% · 75yMiddle, Behind air yards: noneMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 1 throws (1%), 1 caught (100%), 2 yds, 2.0 per throw1100% · 2yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 6 caught (75%), 47 yds, 5.9 per throw875% · 47yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 10 throws (5%), 7 caught (70%), 89 yds, 8.9 per throw1070% · 89yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 1 caught (20%), 19 yds, 3.8 per throw520% · 19yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 2 caught (67%), 50 yds, 16.7 per throw367% · 50yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0yRight, Behind air yards: 14 throws (8%), 11 caught (79%), 51 yds, 3.6 per throw1479% · 51yRight, 0–4 air yards: 22 throws (12%), 16 caught (73%), 86 yds, 3.9 per throw2273% · 86yRight, 5–9 air yards: 17 throws (9%), 15 caught (88%), 130 yds, 7.6 per throw1788% · 130yRight, 10–14 air yards: 11 throws (6%), 5 caught (45%), 63 yds, 5.7 per throw1145% · 63yRight, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 6 caught (86%), 118 yds, 16.9 per throw786% · 118yRight, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 1 caught (33%), 27 yds, 9.0 per throw333% · 27yRight, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (3%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw50% · 0y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on176 throws charted

66% comp9.4 avg. depth5.1 YAC/catch17% 20+ air yds13–2 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 11 throws (6%), 9 caught (82%), 67 yds, 6.1 per throw1182% · 67yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 13 throws (7%), 10 caught (77%), 52 yds, 4.0 per throw1377% · 52yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 16 throws (9%), 9 caught (56%), 99 yds, 6.2 per throw1656% · 99yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 8 throws (5%), 6 caught (75%), 77 yds, 9.6 per throw875% · 77yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 2 caught (67%), 41 yds, 13.7 per throw367% · 41yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 4 caught (57%), 92 yds, 13.1 per throw757% · 92yLeft, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0yMiddle, Behind air yards: 1 throws (1%), 1 caught (100%), 4 yds, 4.0 per throw1100% · 4yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 5 caught (71%), 38 yds, 5.4 per throw771% · 38yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 8 throws (5%), 7 caught (88%), 64 yds, 8.0 per throw888% · 64yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 4 caught (80%), 58 yds, 11.6 per throw580% · 58yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 1 caught (33%), 41 yds, 13.7 per throw333% · 41yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 1 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (2%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw30% · 0yRight, Behind air yards: 17 throws (10%), 13 caught (76%), 84 yds, 4.9 per throw1776% · 84yRight, 0–4 air yards: 20 throws (11%), 18 caught (90%), 139 yds, 7.0 per throw2090% · 139yRight, 5–9 air yards: 18 throws (10%), 14 caught (78%), 142 yds, 7.9 per throw1878% · 142yRight, 10–14 air yards: 11 throws (6%), 5 caught (45%), 67 yds, 6.1 per throw1145% · 67yRight, 15–19 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 3 caught (50%), 74 yds, 12.3 per throw650% · 74yRight, 20–29 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 1 caught (17%), 31 yds, 5.2 per throw617% · 31yRight, 30+ air yards: 10 throws (6%), 5 caught (50%), 207 yds, 20.7 per throw1050% · 207y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction170 carries

Left
21%
8.1 YPC · 63% succ.
Middle
64%
4.5 YPC · 40% succ.
Right
16%
6.2 YPC · 59% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced187 carries

Left
21%
5.4 YPC · 45% succ.
Middle
56%
4.2 YPC · 41% succ.
Right
22%
3.7 YPC · 40% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Bret Bielema

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
2Carson BoydQBSO6' 0"190St. Louis, MO
4Katin HouserQBSR6' 3"225Anaheim, CA
7Michael Clayton IIQBFR6' 4"205Orlando, FL
12Dane EisenmengerQBFR6' 4"215Philo, IL
20John ForsterRBSO5' 10"195Saddle Brook, NJ
21Aidan LaugheryRBSR5' 11"200Gibson City, IL
23Jordan AndersonRBSR6' 4"240Naperville, IL
24Javari BarnettRBFR6' 1"235Tampa, FL
27Corey RashadRBSR5' 8"185Chicago, IL
31Murphy ClementRBJR6' 0"215Martinsburg, WV
0Nas RankinWRFR6' 0"170Chicago, IL
1Jayshon PlattWRSR6' 1"195North Port, FL
3Kenyon AlstonWRFR6' 2"195Orlando, FL
6Jershaun NewtonWRSO6' 0"215St. Petersburg, FL
8Jacob EberhartWRFR6' 4"220St. Louis, MO
8Davon GrantWRFR6' 4"220Dekalb, IL
9Alex PerryWRSR6' 5"220Port Charlotte, FL
10Ty RobinsonWRSR6' 4"205Denver, CO
13Hudson ClementWRSR6' 1"215Martinsburg, WV
17Collin DixonWRSR6' 1"215Tallmadge, OH
19Nate CichyWRFR6' 1"195Mount Prospect, IL
28Karson KaiserWRJR6' 1"175Weston, FL
80Eddie KasperWRSR5' 10"170Burlington, WI
81Leslie Mosley Jr.WRFR5' 10"175Belle Glade, FL
82Jacob HarveyWRFR6' 0"200Mount Zion, IL
14Maurice Smith Jr.TESR6' 4"255Fort Pierce, FL
16Logan FarrellTESO6' 3"255Arlington Heights, IL
83Kaden FeaginTESR6' 3"260Atwood, IL
84Grant SmithTESO6' 5"225Forsyth, IL
86Christian AbneyTESR6' 6"260Zionsville, IN
88Davin StoffelTESR6' 6"265Mosinee, WI
89Tanner HollingerTEJR6' 5"245Stromsburg, NE
52Champ SmithOLFR6' 6"330Fort Pierce, FL
53Kai PritchardOLFR6' 5"290Little Egg Harbor Township, NJ
54Griffin RousseauOLSO6' 7"315Stoughton, WI
55TJ McMillenOLSR6' 3"300Naperville, IL
56JJ HirdesOLSO6' 6"290Coopersville, MI
57Zach BarrettOLJR6' 3"295Orland Park, IL
59Jake RenfroOLSR6' 4"320Mokena, IL
62Casey ThomannOLFR6' 8"330Olney, IL
65Dezmond SchusterOLSR6' 5"330Gonzales, LA
66Brandon HansenOLJR6' 6"320Mundelein, IL
68Michael McDonoughOLSO6' 3"315Tinley Park, IL
70Maika MatelauOLSO6' 3"305Ontario, CA
71Nathan KnapikOLJR6' 7"300Kennewick, WA
72Christian MartinOLSR6' 7"310Saint Rose, LA
74Zafir StewartOLJR6' 6"325Philadelphia, PA
75Brandon HendersonOLSR6' 5"320East St. Louis, IL
76Dylan FrechetteOLSO6' 6"325Central Falls, RI
79TJ TaylorOLJR6' 5"330Santa Clarita, CA
15Kingston ShawDLFR6' 3"260Apopka, FL
24Will HolmesDLJR6' 4"260Detroit, MI
43Joe BarnaDLJR6' 4"280Wheaton, IL
48Carter SmithDLJR6' 3"250Rolling Meadows, IL
51Parker CrimDLFR6' 3"270Lima, OH
52Pat FarrellDLSR6' 5"285Oak Lawn, IL
54Demetrius JohnDLJR6' 3"295Columbus, OH
55Tony BalanganayiDLFR6' 4"290Palatine, IL
56Guillermo GallardoDLSR6' 3"315Bloomington, IL
90Carter JankiDLSR6' 5"295Redding, CT
91Cameron BrooksDLSO6' 3"305Chicago, IL
94Connor SullivanDLSO6' 4"290Glenview, IL
96Darrell PraterDLSR6' 3"310Fort Payne, AL
98Joshua DavisDLSO6' 3"285Pinola, MS
99King LigginsDLFR6' 3"300Crete, IL
4Daniel BrownLBSR6' 1"255Kansas City, KS
10James KreutzLBSR6' 2"240Bannockburn, IL
11Jacob AlexanderLBFR6' 4"245Chicago, IL
18Mason MuraginLBSR6' 4"250Macomb, MI
23Jaylen StewartLBFR6' 2"240Houston, TX
26Ismael KanteLBSR6' 2"240Brooklyn Park, MN
28Kayden BennettLBFR6' 1"235Windsor, CT
33Grant BeermanLBSO6' 5"240West Chester, OH
34Erik GayleLBSO6' 3"240Cincinnati, OH
38Jack ParisLBSO6' 2"225River Forest, IL
40Ean RheaLBSR6' 2"240Glade Spring, VA
45Robert EdmonsonLBSR6' 2"240Houston, TX
0Mac ResetichDBSR6' 0"210Spring Valley, IL
1Xavier ScottDBSR5' 11"195Riviera Beach, FL
3Nick Hankins Jr.DBFR6' 0"205Belleville, IL
5Jakwon MorrisDBJR6' 0"185Tupelo, MS
6Juice ClarkeDBSR6' 1"185Fort Myers, FL
7Matthew BaileyDBSR6' 2"225Moline, IL
9RJ Jones IIIDBSO6' 0"175Fort Pierce, FL
13Xanai ScottDBSO5' 11"210Riviera Beach, FL
14Andre Lovett Jr.DBSO6' 1"190Blue Island, IL
16Tanner HeckelDBJR5' 11"195Lyndon, KS
21Ben ClawsonDBSR6' 0"210Arlington Heights, IL
22Deuce FillmoreDBSR5' 11"190Biloxi, MS
25Des StraughtonDBSO6' 0"210Detroit, MI
29James Finley IVDBSO6' 2"195Portage, IN
32Tywan CoxDBSO5' 10"190Miami, FL
35Kaedyn CobbsDBFR6' 1"220Denton, TX
37Caden ConsidineDBFR6' 0"215Byron, IL
27Lucas OsadaPKJR6' 1"195Charlottesville, VA
37Ethan MoczulskiPKSR5' 11"195Spokane, WA
18Jack GrayPFR6' 2"210Adelaide, Australia
81Lars RauPJR6' 3"195Novato, CA
44Patrick Mahoney IIILSSR6' 2"210Northbrook, IL
49Zach HaberLSSR5' 10"220Durango, CO

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2022 (+7.6, #22) · worst: 2017 (-10.5, #113)
-100+10FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#27
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far3-31-2#49+5.8+5.7+0.1
20259-45-4#27+7.5+3.6+4.0
202410-36-3#37+5.1+2.8+2.4
20235-73-6#75-1.8+0.4-2.2
20228-55-4#22+7.6-2.1+9.7
20215-74-5#73-1.3-4.3+3.0
20202-62-6#100-6.6-3.1-3.5
20196-74-5#80-2.3+0.2-2.6
20184-82-7#104-9.0-1.8-7.1
20172-100-9#113-10.5-8.1-2.5
20163-92-7#102-8.3-6.4-1.9
20155-72-6#77-1.6-4.6+3.0
20146-73-5#84-5.0-0.5-4.5

Illinois's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Oct 21, 10:45 AM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →