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Big Ten · 2026

Northwestern Wildcats

Head coach David Braun · Northwestern Medicine Field at Martin Stadium
5-12-1 in conference
TDC Rank
#26
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+12.4
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+6.5
27th in FBS
Defense
+5.9
29th in FBS
Schedule so far
-1.2
52nd toughest
Projected
8.2-3.8
bowl-eligible >99%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

+12.4 now, +3.0 preseason · up 22 spots since preseason
0+5+10+15FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8#26

Final record odds

8.2-3.8 expected · most likely 8-4 (37%)
6-619%7-537%8-430%9-38%10-211-1

Team Leaders

National leaderboards →

Passing
Aidan Chiles
QB · SR · 52nd in FBS
1398yds
9 TD · 0 INT
Rushing
Caleb Komolafe
RB · JR · 87th in FBS
401yds
75 car · 4 TD
Receiving
Griffin Wilde
WR · 40th in FBS
482yds
30 rec · 3 TD
Tackles
Braydon Brus
LB · SR · 51st in FBS
52tkl
9.5 TFL
Sacks
Braydon Brus
LB · SR · 95th in FBS
3sacks
2 hurries
Interceptions
Robert Fitzgerald
DB · SR · 28th in FBS
2INT
2 PD

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5vsSouth Dakota State FCSW 34–18 ›+9.0—BTN
2—Bye
3Sep 19vs56ColoradoW 41–7 ›+27.2—FOX
4Sep 25@4IndianaCONFL 23–29 ›+23.7—FOX
5Oct 2vs28Penn StateCONFW 34–13 ›+29.1—Fox
6Oct 10vs133Ball StateW 45–14 ›+1.6—BTN
7Oct 17@63Michigan StateCONFW 24–21 ›+9.2—Peacock
8Oct 24vs92RutgersCONFNorthwestern −22.7 · o/u 62.7—93%Peacock
9Oct 31@10OregonCONFOregon −12.6 · o/u 55.3—20%
10Nov 7vs20IowaCONFNorthwestern −1.4 · o/u 49.2—54%
11Nov 14@2Ohio StateCONFOhio State −19.2 · o/u 52.7—10%
12Nov 21@66MinnesotaCONFNorthwestern −6.7 · o/u 50.2—67%
13Nov 28vs49IllinoisCONFNorthwestern −10.4 · o/u 59.7—75%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.3329th+0.07766th
Success rate50.0%12th43.7%101st
Explosiveness1.33527th1.12823rd
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate49.9%17th43.4%96th
Rushing success rate47.6%39th46.1%114th
Passing success rate52.7%10th41.2%80th
Explosive run rate18.3%11th12.6%62nd
Explosive pass rate16.1%10th7.3%22nd
Line yards / carry3.1674th3.22102nd
Opportunity rate43.5%21st35.3%46th
Stuff rate18.8%91st16.8%81st
Sack rate8.7%129th3.5%119th
3rd-down conversion45.2%37th41.2%92nd
Red-zone TD rate75.0%15th44.4%19th
Havoc rate14.4%95th14.2%61st
Box score · season totals
Points / game33.540th17.026th
Yards / game424.543rd368.084th
Yards / play6.4627th5.1866th
Pass yards / game233.068th230.5100th
Yards / pass att.9.807th6.1727th
Completion %68.5%18th61.6%69th
Rush yards / game191.539th137.559th
Yards / carry4.8047th4.2888th
3rd-down conv. %42.3%52nd37.8%76th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)0.332nd1.5035th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.33102nd1.50102nd
Penalty yards / game54.863rd63.241st

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
9.4
43rd of 138
YAC per catch
5.7
52nd of 138
Deep shots (20+)
12%
107th of 138
Shotgun
67%
134th of 138
No-huddle
20%
109th of 138
QB pressured
16%
32nd of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
14%
81st of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
3.9
133rd of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws139 throws charted

68% comp9.4 avg. depth5.7 YAC/catch12% 20+ air yds8–0 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 6 throws (4%), 5 caught (83%), 41 yds, 6.8 per throw683% · 41yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 11 throws (8%), 9 caught (82%), 79 yds, 7.2 per throw1182% · 79yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 10 throws (7%), 7 caught (70%), 70 yds, 7.0 per throw1070% · 70yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 7 throws (5%), 4 caught (57%), 68 yds, 9.7 per throw757% · 68yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 6 throws (4%), 5 caught (83%), 97 yds, 16.2 per throw683% · 97yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 2 caught (67%), 40 yds, 13.3 per throw367% · 40yLeft, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (2%), 2 caught (67%), 71 yds, 23.7 per throw367% · 71yMiddle, Behind air yards: noneMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 5 throws (4%), 4 caught (80%), 49 yds, 9.8 per throw580% · 49yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 9 throws (6%), 6 caught (67%), 87 yds, 9.7 per throw967% · 87yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 7 throws (5%), 4 caught (57%), 44 yds, 6.3 per throw757% · 44yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 9 throws (6%), 7 caught (78%), 154 yds, 17.1 per throw978% · 154yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 1 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (2%), 3 caught (100%), 143 yds, 47.7 per throw3100% · 143yRight, Behind air yards: 7 throws (5%), 6 caught (86%), 81 yds, 11.6 per throw786% · 81yRight, 0–4 air yards: 22 throws (16%), 16 caught (73%), 113 yds, 5.1 per throw2273% · 113yRight, 5–9 air yards: 10 throws (7%), 5 caught (50%), 45 yds, 4.5 per throw1050% · 45yRight, 10–14 air yards: 6 throws (4%), 4 caught (67%), 55 yds, 9.2 per throw667% · 55yRight, 15–19 air yards: 8 throws (6%), 5 caught (63%), 87 yds, 10.9 per throw863% · 87yRight, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 2 caught (67%), 55 yds, 18.3 per throw367% · 55yRight, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (2%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw30% · 0y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on217 throws charted

62% comp9.1 avg. depth3.9 YAC/catch13% 20+ air yds6–6 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 10 throws (5%), 9 caught (90%), 43 yds, 4.3 per throw1090% · 43yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 16 throws (7%), 11 caught (69%), 69 yds, 4.3 per throw1669% · 69yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 23 throws (11%), 16 caught (70%), 133 yds, 5.8 per throw2370% · 133yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 2 caught (50%), 25 yds, 6.3 per throw450% · 25yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 3 caught (38%), 53 yds, 6.6 per throw838% · 53yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw40% · 0yLeft, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (1%), 1 caught (33%), 32 yds, 10.7 per throw333% · 32yMiddle, Behind air yards: 2 throws (1%), 2 caught (100%), 12 yds, 6.0 per throw2100% · 12yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 12 throws (6%), 12 caught (100%), 92 yds, 7.7 per throw12100% · 92yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 15 throws (7%), 9 caught (60%), 74 yds, 4.9 per throw1560% · 74yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 11 throws (5%), 6 caught (55%), 86 yds, 7.8 per throw1155% · 86yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 1 caught (33%), 19 yds, 6.3 per throw333% · 19yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 2 caught (67%), 50 yds, 16.7 per throw367% · 50yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 2 caught (50%), 87 yds, 21.8 per throw450% · 87yRight, Behind air yards: 13 throws (6%), 13 caught (100%), 76 yds, 5.8 per throw13100% · 76yRight, 0–4 air yards: 21 throws (10%), 15 caught (71%), 56 yds, 2.7 per throw2171% · 56yRight, 5–9 air yards: 28 throws (13%), 19 caught (68%), 168 yds, 6.0 per throw2868% · 168yRight, 10–14 air yards: 12 throws (6%), 6 caught (50%), 93 yds, 7.8 per throw1250% · 93yRight, 15–19 air yards: 12 throws (6%), 4 caught (33%), 79 yds, 6.6 per throw1233% · 79yRight, 20–29 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 3 caught (38%), 74 yds, 9.3 per throw838% · 74yRight, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (2%), 1 caught (20%), 46 yds, 9.2 per throw520% · 46y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction207 carries

Left
21%
7.9 YPC · 57% succ.
Middle
64%
5.3 YPC · 42% succ.
Right
15%
5.0 YPC · 55% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced180 carries

Left
19%
7.5 YPC · 53% succ.
Middle
59%
4.5 YPC · 42% succ.
Right
22%
4.1 YPC · 43% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach David Braun

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
0Aidan ChilesQBSR6' 4"225Long Beach, CA
2Ryan BoeQBSO6' 3"215Batavia, IL
4Nicco MarchiolQBJR6' 2"220Chandler, AZ
9Johnny O'BrienQBFR6' 3"200Palatine, IL
11Aidan GrayQBJR6' 3"215Naperville, IL
13Gavin FrakesQBSR6' 4"235Norman, OK
5Caleb KomolafeRBJR5' 11"210Katy, TX
6Joseph Himon IIRBSR5' 9"195Little Rock, AR
7Mar'Kel PorterRBSO5' 11"215Lancaster, TX
12Marcus RomainRBFR6' 0"215Marietta, GA
22Daniel AndersonRBFR5' 11"210Alexander, AR
36Sean Morris IIRBFR5' 10"210Compton, CA
41Robby PreckelRBSO6' 3"230Wildwood, MO
3Frank Covey IVWRJR6' 1"200Arlington Heights, IL
8Hayden Eligon IIWRJR6' 4"210Lakewood, CA
10Ricky AhumaraezeWRJR6' 4"210Kansas City, MO
11Keaton ReinkeWRFR6' 3"210St. Charles, IL
14Dube EnongeneWRFR6' 1"200Atlanta, GA
18Camp MageeWRJR6' 5"210Orlando, FL
20Chase FarrellWRSO5' 10"180Thousand Oaks, CA
80Braden BlueittWRFR6' 0"205Colleyville, TX
82Jaden McDuffieWRFR6' 3"190Edgewater, MD
87Carson GroveWRSO5' 11"195Arlington Heights, IL
89Cam RussellWRSO6' 3"215Milwaukee, WI
43Noah LaPorteTEFR6' 6"235Princeton, IL
48Tyler KielmeyerTEFR6' 6"240Westerville, OH
81Chris PetrucciTESR6' 4"245Park Ridge, IL
84Luke DehnickeTESO6' 6"240Andover, MN
85Tom McGlincheyTEFR6' 6"240Warrington, PA
86Alex HonigTESR6' 6"275Bavaria, Germany
50Owen ForsOLFR6' 4"305Barrington, IL
52Angelo De SensiOLFR6' 5"290Lombard, IL
60Hayden FlavinOLFR6' 7"300Clarkston, MI
61David AnchondoOLJR6' 7"315Sterling Heights, MI
62Ezomo OratokhaiOLSO6' 4"310Austin, TX
64Anthony BirsaOLJR6' 5"305Plainfield, IL
65Jackson CarselloOLSR6' 4"300Northbrook, IL
66Owen JakubczakOLFR6' 4"285Palatine, IL
67Jace BorcherdingOLSO6' 4"300Cedar Rapids, IA
70Leighton BurbachOLFR6' 8"280Norfolk, NE
71Dennis RahouskiOLSO6' 5"300Eden Prairie, MN
72Jack FuchsOLFR6' 8"300Hendersonville, TN
73Deuce McGuireOLSR6' 5"310Chicago, IL
75Arkel AnugwomOLJR6' 7"330Antioch, TN
76Michael O'ConnellOLFR6' 7"315Glen Ellyn, IL
77Idrys CottonOLSO6' 4"305Canton, MI
78Trey BoydOLFR6' 5"300Shakopee, MN
79Jacob MillerOLFR6' 7"270Hamilton, MO
5Dominic KirksDLSO6' 5"275Cleveland, OH
15Brendan FlakesDLSR6' 4"295Orlando, FL
24Jamaal JohnsonDLSR6' 2"250Miami, FL
44Callen CampbellDLSO6' 4"260Sault Sainte Marie, MI
47Michael KilbaneDLSR6' 5"280Lakewood, OH
52Calvin LorekDLFR6' 4"280Loveland, OH
53Tanner JumppDLFR6' 3"280Lake Mary, FL
54Tyler GantDLJR6' 3"300St. Louis, MO
55Dylan RobertsDLJR6' 3"300Phoenix, AZ
56Tre HoskinsDLFR6' 5"310Warsaw, IL
57Nick CostaDLFR6' 4"250Mullica Hill, NJ
58Ronald Derrick IIIDLFR6' 5"260Waco, TX
88Migo JacksonDLSR6' 0"305Pittsburgh, PA
91Caden O'RourkeDLFR6' 5"250Mokena, IL
92Mason GreenDLJR6' 2"250Brentwood, TN
94Gage LaDereDLFR6' 2"270Frankfort, IL
95Mason MayneDLFR6' 3"290Lawton, MI
96Jonah HayesDLFR6' 6"260Loveland, OH
98Landon LauterDLSO6' 5"290Northbrook, IL
99Troy RegovichDLSO6' 5"290Chesterland, OH
2Kobie McKinzieLBSR6' 2"235Lubbock, TX
33Braydon BrusLBSR6' 1"230Glendora, CA
34Payton RothLBJR6' 4"230Portland, OR
37Max MohringLBFR6' 3"220Downingtown, PA
39Parker MaiersLBFR6' 1"230Indianapolis, IN
40Jason Reynolds IILBSR6' 2"230Mcdonough, GA
42Nigel GloverLBJR6' 3"225Clayton, OH
46Lincoln CreagerLBFR6' 3"220Hamler, OH
49Amare JordanLBFR6' 1"210Cedar Park, TX
50Qayvier JohnsonLBSO6' 3"225New Haven, CT
51Miles CrutchleyLBSR6' 0"220Scottsdale, AZ
0Alijah JonesDBSO6' 0"195Baltimore, MD
3Brenden DeasfernandesDBSR6' 2"200Detroit, MI
4Montae PateDBSR6' 2"175Las Vegas, NV
6Robert FitzgeraldDBSR6' 0"210Dallas, TX
7Ore AdeyiDBSR5' 11"200Mansfield, TX
12Gabe Davis-RayDBFR6' 3"200Columbus, OH
13Josh FussellDBJR6' 0"190Cincinnati, OH
16J.J. LewisDBJR6' 0"205Inglewood, CA
22Terrion Curry-HicksDBSO5' 11"185Lexington, KY
23Nate DawsonDBFR6' 2"200Cincinnati, OH
25Marquet Dorsey Jr.DBSO6' 2"195Wayne, NJ
26Jalen LewisDBJR5' 9"200Westlake Village, CA
27Jack OyolaDBSR5' 11"200Alpharetta, GA
28Timi OkeDBSO6' 1"190London, England
35Sean MartinDBSO6' 1"190Cleveland, OH
90Jackson KleatherPKSR5' 10"190Tipp City, OH
94Henry HelmsPKJR6' 1"180Chicago, IL
92Nikola DugandzicPFR6' 5"215Winnetka, IL
95Marko DubakPSR6' 2"200Chicago, IL
59Jack FlorentineLSSO6' 0"210Frankfort, IL
60Evan BoutorwickLSSO6' 3"240Macomb, MI

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2017 (+7.6, #27) · worst: 2022 (-8.9, #113)
-10-50+5+10FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#59
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far5-12-1#26+12.4+6.5+5.9
20257-64-5#59+1.7-2.2+3.9
20244-82-7#91-4.2-4.6+0.4
20238-55-4#70-1.4-2.3+0.9
20221-111-8#113-8.9-8.2-0.8
20213-91-8#107-7.2-6.8-0.4
20207-26-1#23+7.2-2.8+10.0
20193-91-8#86-3.5-8.7+5.2
20189-58-1#40+4.6+0.1+4.6
201710-37-2#27+7.6+1.3+6.2
20167-65-4#47+4.0-1.4+5.4
201510-36-2#59+2.1-6.3+8.5
20145-73-5#74-1.5-3.8+2.3

Northwestern's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Oct 21, 10:45 AM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →