Big Ten · 2026

Ohio State Buckeyes

Head coach Ryan Day · Ohio Stadium
6-14-0 in conference
TDC Rank
#2
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+27.8
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+13.2
4th in FBS
Defense
+14.6
2nd in FBS
Schedule so far
+3.2
19th toughest
Projected
10.1-1.9
bowl-eligible >99%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

+27.8 now, +25.7 preseason · rank unchanged
0+10+20+30FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8#2

Final record odds

10.1-1.9 expected · most likely 10-2 (41%)
8-419%9-341%10-235%11-1

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5vs133Ball StateW 56–3 ›+9.3—BTN
2Sep 12@9TexasL 23–24 ›+24.3—ABC
3Sep 19vs134Kent StateW 59–3 ›+8.7—FOX
4Sep 26vs49IllinoisCONFW 42–19 ›+25.0—FOX
5Oct 3@20IowaCONFW 31–14 ›+35.6—CBS
6Oct 10vs76MarylandCONFW 45–16 ›+20.2—BTN
7Oct 17@4IndianaCONFW 19–15 ›+33.7—Fox
8—Bye
9Oct 31@24USCCONFOhio State −11.0 · o/u 58.8—77%NBC
10Nov 7vs10OregonCONFOhio State −10.5 · o/u 53.3—76%
11Nov 14vs26NorthwesternCONFOhio State −19.2 · o/u 52.7—90%
12Nov 21@15NebraskaCONFOhio State −7.2 · o/u 50.1—69%
13Nov 28vs40MichiganCONFOhio State −23.9 · o/u 44.6—94%Fox

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.27121st-0.05513th
Success rate50.5%10th35.2%18th
Explosiveness1.26458th1.24977th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate50.7%11th35.0%17th
Rushing success rate47.7%38th39.0%41st
Passing success rate53.9%8th31.8%4th
Explosive run rate10.3%119th9.4%21st
Explosive pass rate14.0%26th5.6%9th
Line yards / carry3.2942nd2.8140th
Opportunity rate43.0%25th37.7%73rd
Stuff rate14.5%37th18.9%53rd
Sack rate5.4%85th2.5%129th
3rd-down conversion46.7%29th40.7%87th
Red-zone TD rate62.1%75th50.0%34th
Havoc rate12.7%56th13.9%67th
Box score · season totals
Points / game39.312th13.45th
Yards / game476.312th264.38th
Yards / play6.7413th4.126th
Pass yards / game323.16th171.421st
Yards / pass att.10.701st5.221st
Completion %68.4%19th52.6%6th
Rush yards / game153.174th92.919th
Yards / carry4.0097th3.1119th
3rd-down conv. %44.3%40th38.4%81st
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.1454th1.4337th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.1489th1.43108th
Penalty yards / game52.043rd46.6115th

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
11.0
13th of 138
YAC per catch
4.8
108th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
18%
28th of 138
Shotgun
71%
130th of 138
No-huddle
7%
129th of 138
QB pressured
9%
119th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
12%
104th of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
4.8
98th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws193 throws charted

68% comp11.0 avg. depth4.8 YAC/catch18% 20+ air yds22–7 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 11 throws (6%), 9 caught (82%), 92 yds, 8.4 per throw1182% · 92yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 14 throws (7%), 10 caught (71%), 81 yds, 5.8 per throw1471% · 81yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 25 throws (13%), 19 caught (76%), 193 yds, 7.7 per throw2576% · 193yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 16 throws (8%), 9 caught (56%), 124 yds, 7.8 per throw1656% · 124yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 2 caught (29%), 38 yds, 5.4 per throw729% · 38yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 4 caught (50%), 71 yds, 8.9 per throw850% · 71yLeft, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 3 caught (75%), 128 yds, 32.0 per throw475% · 128yMiddle, Behind air yards: noneMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 5 caught (71%), 32 yds, 4.6 per throw771% · 32yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 9 yds, 4.5 per throw250% · 9yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 6 caught (86%), 105 yds, 15.0 per throw786% · 105yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 5 caught (71%), 125 yds, 17.9 per throw771% · 125yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 1 caught (33%), 22 yds, 7.3 per throw333% · 22yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (2%), 1 caught (33%), 38 yds, 12.7 per throw333% · 38yRight, Behind air yards: 14 throws (7%), 13 caught (93%), 93 yds, 6.6 per throw1493% · 93yRight, 0–4 air yards: 13 throws (7%), 9 caught (69%), 51 yds, 3.9 per throw1369% · 51yRight, 5–9 air yards: 23 throws (12%), 19 caught (83%), 206 yds, 9.0 per throw2383% · 206yRight, 10–14 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 4 caught (50%), 51 yds, 6.4 per throw850% · 51yRight, 15–19 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 6 caught (75%), 107 yds, 13.4 per throw875% · 107yRight, 20–29 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 3 caught (43%), 73 yds, 10.4 per throw743% · 73yRight, 30+ air yards: 6 throws (3%), 4 caught (67%), 182 yds, 30.3 per throw667% · 182y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on218 throws charted

52% comp9.1 avg. depth4.8 YAC/catch15% 20+ air yds3–4 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 18 throws (8%), 15 caught (83%), 45 yds, 2.5 per throw1883% · 45yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 16 throws (7%), 12 caught (75%), 95 yds, 5.9 per throw1675% · 95yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 13 throws (6%), 4 caught (31%), 46 yds, 3.5 per throw1331% · 46yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 11 throws (5%), 7 caught (64%), 113 yds, 10.3 per throw1164% · 113yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 5 caught (63%), 95 yds, 11.9 per throw863% · 95yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw60% · 0yLeft, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw30% · 0yMiddle, Behind air yards: 3 throws (1%), 3 caught (100%), -6 yds, -2.0 per throw3100% · -6yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 6 caught (67%), 50 yds, 5.6 per throw967% · 50yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 14 throws (6%), 6 caught (43%), 63 yds, 4.5 per throw1443% · 63yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 15 throws (7%), 7 caught (47%), 105 yds, 7.0 per throw1547% · 105yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 3 caught (38%), 59 yds, 7.4 per throw838% · 59yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 1 caught (20%), 20 yds, 4.0 per throw520% · 20yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw30% · 0yRight, Behind air yards: 19 throws (9%), 19 caught (100%), 85 yds, 4.5 per throw19100% · 85yRight, 0–4 air yards: 19 throws (9%), 11 caught (58%), 74 yds, 3.9 per throw1958% · 74yRight, 5–9 air yards: 13 throws (6%), 5 caught (38%), 63 yds, 4.8 per throw1338% · 63yRight, 10–14 air yards: 14 throws (6%), 5 caught (36%), 61 yds, 4.4 per throw1436% · 61yRight, 15–19 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 1 caught (13%), 16 yds, 2.0 per throw813% · 16yRight, 20–29 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 4 caught (50%), 102 yds, 12.8 per throw850% · 102yRight, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (2%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw50% · 0y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction248 carries

Left
23%
4.1 YPC · 28% succ.
Middle
52%
4.6 YPC · 53% succ.
Right
25%
5.7 YPC · 56% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced193 carries

Left
24%
3.0 YPC · 41% succ.
Middle
56%
4.0 YPC · 37% succ.
Right
20%
4.5 YPC · 46% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Ryan Day

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
10Julian SayinQBJR6' 1"214Carlsbad, CA
13Luke FaheyQBFR5' 11"206Mission Viejo, CA
16Justyn MartinQBSR6' 4"228Inglewood, CA
19Brady GeibelQBSO6' 5"222Sugarcreek, OH
2Legend BeyRBFR5' 10"195Forney, TX
21Anthony RogersRBSO5' 8"203Montgomery, AL
24Ja'Kobi JacksonRBSR6' 0"219Pensacola, FL
25Bo JacksonRBSO6' 0"218Cleveland, OH
28Stanley Jackson Jr.RBJR5' 11"210Westerville, OH
29Favour AkihRBFR5' 11"197Delaware, OH
0Brandon InnissWRSR6' 0"197Hollywood, FL
3Devin McCuinWRSR6' 0"195Jacksonville, TX
4Jeremiah SmithWRJR6' 4"222Miami Gardens, FL
5Kyle ParkerWRSR5' 10"198Allen, TX
6Jerquaden GuilfordWRFR6' 3"195Fort Wayne, IN
7Phillip BellWRSO6' 1"195Mission Viejo, CA
8De'Zie JonesWRSO5' 10"191Wayne, NJ
11Brock BoydWRFR6' 1"196Southlake, TX
15Chris Henry Jr.WRFR6' 5"211Charlotte, NC
23Nolan BaudoWRSR5' 10"185Chicago, IL
33Ryan SeimetzWRFR5' 11"196Jackson, OH
34Brennen SchrammWRSR6' 0"194Medina, OH
80Jaeden RickettsWRFR5' 11"202Pataskala, OH
82David AdolphWRSR6' 5"210Dublin, OH
38Frankie McAllisterTEFR6' 5"235Columbus, OH
83Nate RobertsTESO6' 5"240Washington, OK
85Bennett ChristianTESR6' 6"255Acworth, GA
87Brody LennonTESO6' 4"243Cleveland, OH
88Maxence LeBlancTEJR6' 4"246St. Bruno, Canada
89Nick LautarTEFR6' 6"242Lebanon, OH
51Luke MontgomeryOLSR6' 5"313Findlay, OH
57Ian GecseOLSR6' 4"296Grandview Heights, OH
60Jaxon PowellOLFR6' 4"307Portsmouth, OH
62Joshua PadillaOLSR6' 3"301Huber Heights, OH
63Julian Goines-JacksonOLSR6' 1"303Zanesville, OH
64Simon LorentzOLJR6' 1"290Dover, OH
65Tucker SmithOLFR6' 5"299Phoenix, AZ
66Landry BredeOLFR6' 6"320Mentor, OH
67Austin SiereveldOLSR6' 5"327Liberty Township, OH
69Ian MooreOLJR6' 6"315New Palestine, IN
70Phillip DanielsOLSR6' 5"312Cincinnati, OH
72Deontae ArmstrongOLJR6' 7"310Elyria, OH
74Carter LoweOLSO6' 5"318Toledo, OH
75Carson HinzmanOLSR6' 5"301Spring Valley, WI
76Jake CookOLSO6' 4"310Westerville, OH
77Sam GreerOLFR6' 7"320Akron, OH
78Max RileyOLFR6' 4"302Avon Lake, OH
2Kenyatta Jackson Jr.DESR6' 6"263Miami Gardens, FL
4Qua RussawDESR6' 2"244Montgomery, AL
9Zion GradyDESO6' 4"262Enterprise, AL
12Beau AtkinsonDESR6' 6"260Raleigh, NC
44Epi SitanileiDESO6' 4"258Ontario, CA
56Nate RiegleDEJR6' 2"227Findlay, OH
97Dre QuinnDEFR6' 4"245Buford, GA
3James SmithDTSR6' 3"306Montgomery, AL
53Will Smith Jr.DTSR6' 3"303Dublin, OH
90Damari SimeonDTFR6' 2"292Richland, NJ
91Darryus McKinleyDTFR6' 3"272Lafayette, LA
94Jason MooreDTSR6' 6"316Fort Washington, MD
95Emanuel RuffinDTFR6' 3"297Bessemer, AL
96Eddrick HoustonDTJR6' 3"304Atlanta, GA
98Jamir PerezDTFR6' 3"349Cleveland, OH
5Riley PettijohnLBSO6' 2"235McKinney, TX
14Christian AlliegroLBSR6' 4"245Darien, CT
17Tarvos AlfordLBSO6' 1"237Port Saint Lucie, FL
20Cincere JohnsonLBFR6' 3"237Cleveland, OH
26Payton PierceLBJR6' 1"232Lucas, TX
33Eli LeeLBSO6' 3"237Akron, OH
36CJ SannaLBFR6' 2"235Lewis Center, OH
37Zach HayesLBJR6' 2"226Lagrange, IL
38Eli RiggsLBJR6' 3"230Cincinnati, OH
41Braxton RembertLBFR6' 5"215Hoschton, GA
50Alec DelSignoreLBSR6' 1"225Youngstown, OH
52Ty HowardLBSR5' 11"203Cleveland, OH
54Na'il Diggs Jr.LBFR6' 1"209Charlotte, NC
39Glorien GoughDBJR5' 10"196Palos Verdes Estates, CA
48Jackson GulaDBSO6' 1"193Streetsboro, OH
6Devin SanchezCBSO6' 2"199Houston, TX
7Jermaine Mathews Jr.CBSR5' 11"195Cincinnati, OH
13Miles LockhartCBJR5' 9"196Chandler, AZ
18Cam CalhounCBSR6' 0"176Cincinnati, OH
24Dominick KellyCBSO6' 2"193St. Petersburg, FL
43Amar'e MillerCBFR6' 0"200Pickerington, OH
1Earl Little Jr.SSR6' 0"203Fort Lauderdale, FL
8Jaylen McClainSJR6' 0"203Rahway, NJ
10Leroy Roker IIISJR6' 0"202Fort Myers, FL
11Terry MooreSSR6' 0"200Washington, NC
16Blaine BradfordSFR6' 1"212Baton Rouge, LA
21Brenten JonesSSR6' 2"216Steubenville, OH
28Simeon CaldwellSFR6' 2"210Jacksonville, FL
30Khmari BingSFR6' 0"201Baltimore, MD
32Kaden GebhardtSFR6' 1"210Lewis Center, OH
46Ryan RudzinskiSSR6' 4"218Columbus, OH
49Marcello DiomedePKSR6' 1"197Glen Ellyn, IL
92Cooper PetersonPKFR6' 0"214Charlotte, NC
96Connor HawkinsPKJR6' 1"200Liberty Hill, TX
42Joe McGuirePSR6' 2"209Melbourne, Australia
43Brody JenkinsLSFR6' 0"197Madison, GA
55Dalton RiggsLSSR6' 2"231Eagle, ID
61Landon BealLSJR6' 0"210Grove City, OH

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2019 (+26.1, #1) · worst: 2018 (+14.8, #5)
0+10+20FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#2
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far6-14-0#2+27.8+13.2+14.6
202512-29-0#2+21.2+6.2+15.0
202414-27-2#1+21.8+8.3+13.5
202311-28-1#4+17.6+4.5+13.1
202211-28-1#2+18.8+14.1+4.7
202111-28-1#3+17.0+13.5+3.6
20207-15-0#2+18.4+13.2+5.2
201913-19-0#1+26.1+14.8+11.3
201813-18-1#5+14.8+12.7+2.1
201712-28-1#3+19.0+9.3+9.7
201611-28-1#2+18.4+5.0+13.3
201512-17-1#2+17.8+6.6+11.2
201414-18-0#2+19.0+13.3+5.7

Ohio State's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Oct 21, 10:45 AM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →