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Big Ten · 2026

Oregon Ducks

Head coach Dan Lanning · Autzen Stadium
4-22-1 in conference
TDC Rank
#10
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+21.2
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+11.2
11th in FBS
Defense
+10.0
8th in FBS
Schedule so far
+5.4
13th toughest
Projected
8.4-3.6
bowl-eligible >99%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

+21.2 now, +21.4 preseason · down 5 spots since preseason
0+10+20FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8#10

Final record odds

8.4-3.6 expected · most likely 9-3 (41%)
6-612%7-533%8-441%9-311%10-2

Team Leaders

National leaderboards →

Passing
Dante Moore
QB · SR · 111th in FBS
926yds
9 TD · 0 INT
Rushing
Jordon Davison
RB · SO · 140th in FBS
330yds
74 car · 6 TD
Receiving
Evan Stewart
WR · SR · 109th in FBS
352yds
27 rec · 4 TD
Tackles
Koi Perich
DB · JR · 196th in FBS
40tkl
0 TFL
Sacks
Matayo Uiagalelei
LB · 17th in FBS
5sacks
4 hurries
Interceptions
Koi Perich
DB · JR · 28th in FBS
2INT
1 PD

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5vs36Boise StateW 34–27 ›+12.0—CBS
2Sep 12@39Oklahoma StateL 31–39 ›+3.5—ESPNEWS
3Sep 18vsPortland State FCSW 84–0 ›+6.1—BTN
4Sep 26@24USCCONFW 41–27 ›+30.9—NBC
5—Bye
6Oct 10vs16UCLACONFL 15–17 ›+9.9—CBS
7Oct 17vs15NebraskaCONFW 17–14 ›+16.1—Fox
8Oct 24@49IllinoisCONFOregon −11.6 · o/u 60.3—78%BTN
9Oct 31vs26NorthwesternCONFOregon −12.6 · o/u 55.3—80%
10Nov 7@2Ohio StateCONFOhio State −10.5 · o/u 53.3—24%
11Nov 14vs40MichiganCONFOregon −17.3 · o/u 47.2—87%
12Nov 20@63Michigan StateCONFOregon −15.0 · o/u 52.2—84%Fox
13Nov 28vs52WashingtonCONFOregon −19.8 · o/u 52.1—91%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.07996th-0.00628th
Success rate40.2%100th36.8%26th
Explosiveness1.29441st1.24271st
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate40.4%100th36.9%25th
Rushing success rate42.9%84th35.7%24th
Passing success rate38.5%107th38.0%43rd
Explosive run rate12.2%98th8.8%15th
Explosive pass rate12.4%40th11.0%96th
Line yards / carry2.91106th2.6013th
Opportunity rate35.9%110th31.3%15th
Stuff rate19.2%96th19.8%45th
Sack rate3.5%35th5.7%64th
3rd-down conversion33.8%121st28.4%3rd
Red-zone TD rate65.0%57th42.9%17th
Havoc rate14.6%100th17.1%14th
Box score · season totals
Points / game37.023rd20.742nd
Yards / game422.744th327.341st
Yards / play5.8855th4.7932nd
Pass yards / game283.018th215.779th
Yards / pass att.7.8056th6.7857th
Completion %64.7%55th53.9%12th
Rush yards / game139.796th111.732nd
Yards / carry4.1092nd3.2529th
3rd-down conv. %36.6%96th25.9%3rd
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.83124th1.8316th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.5049th2.1757th
Penalty yards / game58.582nd45.3119th

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
7.8
105th of 138
YAC per catch
6.2
35th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
14%
70th of 138
Shotgun
93%
88th of 138
No-huddle
35%
91st of 138
QB pressured
9%
110th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
19%
16th of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
5.3
64th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws209 throws charted

64% comp7.8 avg. depth6.2 YAC/catch14% 20+ air yds15–3 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 15 throws (7%), 11 caught (73%), 50 yds, 3.3 per throw1573% · 50yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 10 throws (5%), 7 caught (70%), 83 yds, 8.3 per throw1070% · 83yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 17 throws (8%), 13 caught (76%), 104 yds, 6.1 per throw1776% · 104yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 4 caught (67%), 46 yds, 7.7 per throw667% · 46yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 4 caught (50%), 88 yds, 11.0 per throw850% · 88yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 1 caught (17%), 29 yds, 4.8 per throw617% · 29yLeft, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 1 caught (25%), 36 yds, 9.0 per throw425% · 36yMiddle, Behind air yards: 2 throws (1%), 2 caught (100%), 47 yds, 23.5 per throw2100% · 47yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 11 throws (5%), 9 caught (82%), 69 yds, 6.3 per throw1182% · 69yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 10 throws (5%), 5 caught (50%), 55 yds, 5.5 per throw1050% · 55yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw30% · 0yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 4 caught (50%), 115 yds, 14.4 per throw850% · 115yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 4 caught (67%), 157 yds, 26.2 per throw667% · 157yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 45 yds, 22.5 per throw250% · 45yRight, Behind air yards: 24 throws (11%), 22 caught (92%), 144 yds, 6.0 per throw2492% · 144yRight, 0–4 air yards: 31 throws (15%), 25 caught (81%), 180 yds, 5.8 per throw3181% · 180yRight, 5–9 air yards: 22 throws (11%), 13 caught (59%), 101 yds, 4.6 per throw2259% · 101yRight, 10–14 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 3 caught (33%), 45 yds, 5.0 per throw933% · 45yRight, 15–19 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 1 caught (25%), 17 yds, 4.3 per throw425% · 17yRight, 20–29 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 4 caught (57%), 89 yds, 12.7 per throw757% · 89yRight, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 2 caught (50%), 89 yds, 22.3 per throw450% · 89y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on181 throws charted

53% comp8.2 avg. depth5.3 YAC/catch12% 20+ air yds9–9 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 11 throws (6%), 11 caught (100%), 62 yds, 5.6 per throw11100% · 62yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 18 throws (10%), 7 caught (39%), 26 yds, 1.4 per throw1839% · 26yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 10 throws (6%), 8 caught (80%), 103 yds, 10.3 per throw1080% · 103yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 3 caught (43%), 36 yds, 5.1 per throw743% · 36yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 9 throws (5%), 2 caught (22%), 40 yds, 4.4 per throw922% · 40yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 2 caught (100%), 60 yds, 30.0 per throw2100% · 60yLeft, 30+ air yards: 1 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yMiddle, Behind air yards: 3 throws (2%), 1 caught (33%), 4 yds, 1.3 per throw333% · 4yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 10 throws (6%), 4 caught (40%), 18 yds, 1.8 per throw1040% · 18yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 4 caught (50%), 33 yds, 4.1 per throw850% · 33yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 14 throws (8%), 9 caught (64%), 180 yds, 12.9 per throw1464% · 180yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 5 caught (83%), 107 yds, 17.8 per throw683% · 107yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 3 caught (75%), 145 yds, 36.3 per throw475% · 145yRight, Behind air yards: 14 throws (8%), 9 caught (64%), 43 yds, 3.1 per throw1464% · 43yRight, 0–4 air yards: 25 throws (14%), 14 caught (56%), 100 yds, 4.0 per throw2556% · 100yRight, 5–9 air yards: 13 throws (7%), 7 caught (54%), 53 yds, 4.1 per throw1354% · 53yRight, 10–14 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 4 caught (57%), 51 yds, 7.3 per throw757% · 51yRight, 15–19 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 4 caught (67%), 77 yds, 12.8 per throw667% · 77yRight, 20–29 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 3 caught (43%), 84 yds, 12.0 per throw743% · 84yRight, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 1 caught (25%), 39 yds, 9.8 per throw425% · 39y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction186 carries

Left
18%
5.3 YPC · 47% succ.
Middle
60%
4.4 YPC · 43% succ.
Right
22%
4.8 YPC · 46% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced186 carries

Left
15%
4.7 YPC · 41% succ.
Middle
61%
3.9 YPC · 30% succ.
Right
24%
4.7 YPC · 49% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Dan Lanning

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
5Dante MooreQBSR6' 3"220Detroit, MI
8Dylan RaiolaQBJR6' 3"232Buford, GA
11Akili Smith Jr.QBSO6' 5"245San Diego, CA
12Brock ThomasQBSR5' 11"182Eugene, OR
14Ryder HayesQBJR6' 2"202Grandview, TX
16TC ManumaleunaQBFR6' 0"188Salem, OR
0Jordon DavisonRBSO6' 0"225Santa Ana, CA
4Tradarian BallRBFR5' 10"192Texarkana, TX
6Dierre Hill Jr.RBSO5' 11"205Centralia, IL
21Da'Jaun RiggsRBJR6' 0"205Washington, DC
22Simeon PriceRBSR6' 0"225Pensacola, FL
26Brandon SmithRBFR6' 0"203Fresno, CA
27Killian SombeRBFR5' 10"208Portland, OR
40Zander QuinnRBSR5' 7"179Hilo, HI
1Dakorien MooreWRSO5' 11"195Duncanville, TX
2Iverson HooksWRSR5' 10"170Pike Road, AL
3Jeremiah McClellanWRJR6' 0"190St. Louis, MO
7Evan StewartWRSR6' 0"178Memphis, TN
10Jalen LottWRFR6' 0"180Frisco, TX
13Gatlin BairWRFR6' 2"204Burley, ID
15Messiah HamptonWRFR6' 1"190Rochester, NY
30Aaron BidwellWRSO6' 4"193Eugene, OR
80Dillon GreshamWRJR6' 0"190Hemet, CA
82Nathan McCoy IIWRSO5' 10"185Dallas, TX
83Hudson LewisWRFR5' 10"175Boise, ID
84Jovon McRae IIWRSO6' 2"223Camden, NJ
88Jack ResslerWRJR5' 10"204Irvine, CA
89Brady BidwellWRJR6' 3"214Eugene, OR
9Jamari JohnsonTESR6' 5"255Inglewood, CA
17Markus DixonTESR6' 4"255Philadelphia, PA
18Kendre HarrisonTEFR6' 7"250Reidsville, NC
19Andrew OleshTESO6' 5"235Center Valley, PA
81Dayton RaiolaTEFR6' 1"244Buford, GA
85Cole NewtonTEFR6' 4"216Tualatin, OR
87A.J. PuglianoTEJR6' 3"245Medford, OR
50Demetri ManningOLSO6' 6"345Bellevue, WA
53Devin BrooksOLJR6' 4"285Clackamas, OR
54Aiden LeweyOLFR6' 4"281Eugene, OR
56Trent FergusonOLJR6' 7"322Salem, OR
57Zac StascauskyOLSO6' 6"310Portland, OR
58Ziyare AddisonOLSO6' 5"311Tampa, FL
59Fox CraderOLJR6' 6"311Vancouver, WA
65Solomon KroekerOLFR6' 6"297Lake Oswego, OR
66Bryce BoultonOLSR6' 2"295Palm Desert, CA
67Beau CressAllenOLSR6' 4"303Portland, OR
68Auston MimsOLSR6' 2"303Akron, OH
70Koloi KeliOLFR6' 3"310Honolulu, HI
72Iapani LalouluOLSR6' 2"325Honolulu, HI
73Kawika RogersOLSR6' 5"325Kapaa, HI
74Dave IuliOLSR6' 3"335Puyallup, WA
75Michael Bennett IIIOLSR6' 5"320Atlanta, GA
79Immanuel IheanachoOLFR6' 6"365Baltimore, MD
0D'Antre RobinsonDLJR6' 4"307Orlando, FL
1Bear AlexanderDLSR6' 3"316Terrell, TX
28Anthony Jones Jr.DLFR6' 3"301Mobile, AL
32Tony CumberlandDLFR6' 4"284Columbus, OH
42Aydin BrelandDLJR6' 5"315Santa Ana, CA
47Elijah RushingDLJR6' 6"290Tucson, AZ
55Matthew JohnsonDLSO6' 5"319Concord, CA
90Anthony JonesDLFR6' 4"323Irvine, CA
91Derrick Brown Jr.DLSR6' 5"300Fort Washington, MD
99Jerome SimmonsDLSR6' 4"330Bamberg, SC
6Jerry MixonLBSR6' 2"241San Francisco, CA
9Devon JacksonLBSR6' 2"242Omaha, NE
13Gavin NixLBSO6' 0"232Bradenton, FL
19Braylon HodgeLBFR6' 3"211Englewood, CO
23Brayden PlattLBJR6' 2"230Yelm, WA
25Tristan PhillipsLBFR6' 3"220Ventura, CA
27Bleu DantzlerLBSO6' 2"248Chandler, AZ
34Cruz RushingLBSR6' 1"233Tucson, AZ
35Brody ThomasLBSO6' 2"224Eugene, OR
38Will StratonLBSR6' 0"214Honolulu, HI
39Cole ThomasLBFR6' 1"212Portland, OR
41Dutch HoriskLBFR6' 2"250Bellflower, CA
45Hudson CoeLBFR6' 3"244Portland, OR
51Prince TavizonLBFR6' 3"264San Diego, CA
2Na'eem OffordDBSO6' 1"195Birmingham, AL
3Koi PerichDBJR6' 1"202Esko, MN
4Brandon Finney Jr.DBSO6' 2"205Owings Mills, MD
5Davon BenjaminDBFR5' 11"196Westlake Village, CA
7Ify ObidegwuDBJR6' 1"201Baltimore, MD
8Trey McNuttDBSO6' 0"193Cleveland, OH
14Aaron Scott Jr.DBJR6' 0"196Springfield, OH
16Azel BanagDBFR5' 11"180Columbia, SC
18Dorian BrewDBSO6' 0"190Conroe, TX
20Xavier LherisseDBFR5' 10"191Melbourne, FL
21Aaron FlowersDBJR6' 0"208Forney, TX
22Devin JacksonDBFR6' 2"198Winter Garden, FL
29Arlo HendersonDBJR5' 10"200Yelm, WA
30Xavier BarksdaleDBSR6' 2"182San Diego, CA
33Zach GrishamDBSR5' 11"204Portland, OR
37Braxton SingletonDBFR6' 2"207Salem, OR
25Rocco GrazianoPKSO6' 2"211Eugene, OR
35Keaton EmmettPKJR6' 0"179Lake Oswego, OR
97Gage HurychPKJR6' 1"191West Linn, OR
36Michael SbuttoniPFR5' 9"192Ballston Lake, NY
39Bailey EttridgePSO5' 11"216Lara, Australia
49Jack NicoliPFR6' 2"204Salem, OR
64Thomas DonkerbrookLSFR6' 3"200Phoenix, AZ
71RJ ToddLSSR6' 1"222Rockford, MI

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2014 (+19.7, #1) · worst: 2016 (-1.0, #69)
0+10+20FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#5
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far4-22-1#10+21.2+11.2+10.0
202513-28-1#5+17.7+9.8+7.9
202413-19-0#6+15.7+9.4+6.3
202312-28-1#3+18.2+9.2+8.9
202210-37-2#14+9.1+8.1+1.0
202110-47-2#48+4.3+3.8+0.5
20204-33-2#29+5.8+3.1+2.7
201912-28-1#12+13.3+5.0+8.4
20189-45-4#42+4.2+3.7+0.5
20177-64-5#48+3.6+4.3-0.8
20164-82-7#69-1.0+8.6-9.6
20159-47-2#25+8.6+14.7-6.1
201413-28-1#1+19.7+13.5+6.2

Oregon's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Oct 21, 10:45 AM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →