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CUSA · 2026

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

Head coach Derek Mason · Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
4-32-1 in conference
TDC Rank
#130
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
-19.1
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-9.7
121st in FBS
Defense
-9.4
127th in FBS
Schedule so far
-11.2
117th toughest
Projected
5.7-6.3
bowl-eligible 56%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

-19.1 now, -23.2 preseason · up 3 spots since preseason
-20-100FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8#130

Final record odds

5.7-6.3 expected · most likely 6-6 (34%)
12%4-832%5-734%6-618%7-58-4

Team Leaders

National leaderboards →

Passing
Roman Gagliano
QB · SO · 51st in FBS
1404yds
12 TD · 2 INT
Rushing
Antonio Martin
RB · SR · 50th in FBS
480yds
94 car · 1 TD
Receiving
Cam'ron Lacy
WR · JR · 58th in FBS
437yds
41 rec · 4 TD
Tackles
Korey Smith
LB · JR · 16th in FBS
61tkl
2.5 TFL
Sacks
Ashton Taylor
LB · SR · 381st in FBS
1.5sacks
2 hurries
Interceptions
James Johnson
S · SO · 109th in FBS
1INT
2 PD

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5vsMurray State FCSW 38–14 ›-21.5—ESPN+
2Sep 12@113MarshallL 26–28 ›-11.3—ESPN+
3Sep 19vs106NevadaW 27–20 ›-7.5—ESPN+
4Sep 26@97Jacksonville StateCONFL 13–23 ›-15.0—ESPN+
5Oct 3@38KansasL 0–55 ›-23.1—ESPNU
6—Bye
7Oct 13vs109DelawareCONFW 33–30 ›-12.0—CBSSN
8Oct 20@112Florida InternationalCONFW 26–23 ›-5.8—CBSSN
9Oct 28vs110Kennesaw StateCONFKennesaw State −3.9 · o/u 47.0—40%CBSSN
10Nov 7vs111Western KentuckyCONFWestern Kentucky −3.3 · o/u 52.1—41%
11Nov 14@73LibertyCONFLiberty −21.9 · o/u 50.5—7%CBSSN
12Nov 21@125Sam HoustonCONFSam Houston −6.0 · o/u 49.2—34%
13Nov 28vs117New Mexico StateCONFNew Mexico State −1.0 · o/u 51.5—47%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.15466th+0.150102nd
Success rate41.0%92nd45.9%120th
Explosiveness1.23873rd1.16233rd
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate41.0%96th46.8%124th
Rushing success rate41.6%96th51.1%133rd
Passing success rate40.6%89th41.6%86th
Explosive run rate18.5%9th16.4%122nd
Explosive pass rate7.6%121st10.7%87th
Line yards / carry3.1773rd3.63136th
Opportunity rate39.9%69th46.6%135th
Stuff rate19.1%95th13.7%124th
Sack rate3.2%31st3.8%113th
3rd-down conversion28.9%136th40.0%77th
Red-zone TD rate60.0%84th63.6%90th
Havoc rate14.2%92nd9.7%133rd
Box score · season totals
Points / game23.3103rd27.6103rd
Yards / game339.6111th405.9115th
Yards / play5.7367th6.31127th
Pass yards / game200.698th211.169th
Yards / pass att.6.50117th7.86115th
Completion %58.3%110th61.7%74th
Rush yards / game139.097th194.7124th
Yards / carry5.1028th5.37128th
3rd-down conv. %25.3%137th40.7%97th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)0.5714th1.2957th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.0016th1.14125th
Penalty yards / game53.049th55.669th

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
7.8
106th of 138
YAC per catch
5.7
55th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
13%
85th of 138
Shotgun
90%
107th of 138
No-huddle
92%
16th of 138
QB pressured
15%
40th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
11%
112th of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
6.4
13th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws201 throws charted

59% comp7.8 avg. depth5.7 YAC/catch13% 20+ air yds13–2 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 13 throws (6%), 11 caught (85%), 71 yds, 5.5 per throw1385% · 71yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 26 throws (13%), 16 caught (62%), 114 yds, 4.4 per throw2662% · 114yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 18 throws (9%), 11 caught (61%), 94 yds, 5.2 per throw1861% · 94yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 2 caught (25%), 90 yds, 11.3 per throw825% · 90yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 1 caught (20%), 17 yds, 3.4 per throw520% · 17yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 11 throws (5%), 4 caught (36%), 143 yds, 13.0 per throw1136% · 143yLeft, 30+ air yards: noneMiddle, Behind air yards: 4 throws (2%), 3 caught (75%), 28 yds, 7.0 per throw475% · 28yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 3 caught (50%), 18 yds, 3.0 per throw650% · 18yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 13 throws (6%), 11 caught (85%), 115 yds, 8.8 per throw1385% · 115yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 2 caught (33%), 30 yds, 5.0 per throw633% · 30yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 4 caught (57%), 80 yds, 11.4 per throw757% · 80yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 4 caught (67%), 105 yds, 17.5 per throw667% · 105yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 1 throws (0%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yRight, Behind air yards: 17 throws (8%), 14 caught (82%), 49 yds, 2.9 per throw1782% · 49yRight, 0–4 air yards: 18 throws (9%), 11 caught (61%), 72 yds, 4.0 per throw1861% · 72yRight, 5–9 air yards: 18 throws (9%), 12 caught (67%), 122 yds, 6.8 per throw1867% · 122yRight, 10–14 air yards: 11 throws (5%), 7 caught (64%), 89 yds, 8.1 per throw1164% · 89yRight, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 1 caught (20%), 18 yds, 3.6 per throw520% · 18yRight, 20–29 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0yRight, 30+ air yards: 6 throws (3%), 1 caught (17%), 36 yds, 6.0 per throw617% · 36y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on167 throws charted

61% comp9.0 avg. depth6.4 YAC/catch16% 20+ air yds10–5 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 8 throws (5%), 7 caught (88%), 63 yds, 7.9 per throw888% · 63yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 15 throws (9%), 13 caught (87%), 106 yds, 7.1 per throw1587% · 106yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 21 throws (13%), 15 caught (71%), 151 yds, 7.2 per throw2171% · 151yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 3 caught (43%), 38 yds, 5.4 per throw743% · 38yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 6 throws (4%), 3 caught (50%), 62 yds, 10.3 per throw650% · 62yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 6 throws (4%), 2 caught (33%), 80 yds, 13.3 per throw633% · 80yLeft, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 1 caught (25%), 34 yds, 8.5 per throw425% · 34yMiddle, Behind air yards: 5 throws (3%), 4 caught (80%), 39 yds, 7.8 per throw580% · 39yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 1 caught (20%), 10 yds, 2.0 per throw520% · 10yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 1 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 3 caught (60%), 103 yds, 20.6 per throw560% · 103yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 5 caught (71%), 109 yds, 15.6 per throw771% · 109yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 2 caught (100%), 56 yds, 28.0 per throw2100% · 56yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 1 throws (1%), 1 caught (100%), 38 yds, 38.0 per throw1100% · 38yRight, Behind air yards: 15 throws (9%), 14 caught (93%), 65 yds, 4.3 per throw1593% · 65yRight, 0–4 air yards: 24 throws (14%), 15 caught (63%), 99 yds, 4.1 per throw2463% · 99yRight, 5–9 air yards: 8 throws (5%), 2 caught (25%), 19 yds, 2.4 per throw825% · 19yRight, 10–14 air yards: 11 throws (7%), 7 caught (64%), 118 yds, 10.7 per throw1164% · 118yRight, 15–19 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 1 caught (33%), 16 yds, 5.3 per throw333% · 16yRight, 20–29 air yards: 9 throws (5%), 3 caught (33%), 77 yds, 8.6 per throw933% · 77yRight, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 1 caught (25%), 34 yds, 8.5 per throw425% · 34y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction173 carries

Left
15%
5.2 YPC · 46% succ.
Middle
69%
5.3 YPC · 41% succ.
Right
16%
8.3 YPC · 59% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced237 carries

Left
21%
6.1 YPC · 58% succ.
Middle
61%
5.8 YPC · 54% succ.
Right
18%
6.7 YPC · 48% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Derek Mason

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
10Mason MalloryQBFR6' 1"200Delray Beach, FL
11Peter CostelliQBSR6' 3"234San Pedro, CA
12Peter GrandjeanQBFR6' 1"188Waco, TX
16Roman GaglianoQBSO6' 3"235Opelika, AL
18Stanley Anderson-LoftonQBFR6' 2"221Orlando, FL
8Antonio MartinRBSR5' 10"232Atlanta, GA
9Terrence BrownRBSR5' 9"212Detroit, MI
21Ashton JonesRBSO5' 8"208Nashville, TN
29DJ TaylorRBSO6' 1"213Murfreesboro, TN
30Robert Lathon Jr.RBFR5' 10"198Columbus, OH
33Brooklen DavisRBFR5' 10"195Nashville, TN
35Duece LawrenceRBFR5' 9"197Jackson, TN
0Santana FlemingWRJR5' 9"166Miami Gardens, FL
1Markus AllenWRSR6' 2"211Dayton, OH
3Cam'ron LacyWRJR5' 8"158Toccoa, GA
4Tyree PattersonWRJR6' 1"198Eustis, FL
6AJ JonesWRSR6' 4"211Ontario, CA
13Ziyon ButlerWRFR5' 11"156Jacksonville, FL
17Bryson MaddoxWRFR6' 4"187Clinton, TN
19Kason StokesWRSO6' 2"190Tampa, FL
23Malachi SteeleWRFR5' 7"147Franklin, TN
43Christopher KaupWRSO6' 2"205Chicago, IL
80Zaidyn MooreWRSO5' 10"194La Vergne, TN
85Neo CliftonWRFR6' 2"209Nashville, TN
89Landon CollinsWRSO6' 2"183Knoxville, TN
39Evan PoticherTEJR6' 2"255Kodak, TN
47Sawyer LovvornTESO6' 0"229Shelbyville, TN
81Wilson HodgesTEFR6' 4"252Montgomery, AL
83Koraun PerdueTESR6' 6"237Cincinnati, OH
84Jadin HambrickTEJR6' 6"219Tyler, TX
86Brody BenkeTESO6' 3"247Fort Thomas, KY
88Tayvion GallowayTESO6' 4"232Chillicothe, OH
50Chris MorenoOLJR6' 1"322Newark, NJ
53Roman JonesOLFR6' 2"265Brentwood, TN
55Adrian CrespinOLJR6' 2"295Woodbridge, VA
58Trevaris EdwardsOLJR6' 2"300Pensacola, FL
61Otto Janse Van RensburgOLSO6' 4"295Sevierville, TN
62Tim JacobsOLJR6' 4"305Columbus, OH
63Alex GaleOLSO6' 3"308Tallahassee, FL
65Brennan SmithOLSR6' 3"313Pensacola, FL
71Quentin ButlerOLJR6' 3"300Culpeper, VA
76Garrett AustinOLFR6' 6"309Hampstead, NC
77Diego BlattlerOLSR6' 6"283San Diego, CA
78Kyle LarkinOLFR6' 6"319Brentwood, TN
79Jack MohlmanOLFR6' 5"266Ponte Vedra, FL
41Trashun GriffinDESO6' 3"267Centreville, AL
49Tiyyan RobinsonDESO6' 3"262Durham, NC
75Matthew BlomquistDESO6' 5"254Manchester, TN
93Aidan ButtsDEJR6' 3"256Toccoa, GA
45Jayden Arenas-MichelDTFR6' 4"273Montreal, Canada
90Justin BodfordDTSO6' 0"292Plantation, FL
95Zeion Simpson-SmithDTSO6' 2"264Nashville, TN
96Christien MoreauDTFR6' 0"308Miramar, FL
91Felix HixonNTSR6' 1"308Jackson, GA
98Emmanuel GyamfiNTJR6' 0"295Buford, GA
99Archie Roseman VNTFR6' 3"320Murfreesboro, TN
13Ashton TaylorLBSR6' 0"215Hoover, AL
16Jaiyden ThompsonLBSR6' 3"241Okolona, MS
17Jayson LoweLBJR6' 1"208Brentwood, TN
26Korey SmithLBJR5' 11"219Murfreesboro, TN
31Mathias Malaki-DonaldsonLBSR6' 5"235Baldwin Park, CA
32Jonas JimersonLBFR6' 4"223Memphis, TN
33Malik LoveLBSO6' 4"223Mcdonough, GA
34Austin ClemonsLBSO6' 0"213Pembroke, GA
40BJ AusmerLBSO6' 2"244Ocean Springs, MS
42La'Garrius SimsLBJR6' 3"233Mobile, AL
44Kaven CallLBJR6' 2"242Apopka, FL
46Reggie JohnsonLBSR6' 3"263Los Angeles, CA
48Darnell MalpressLBFR6' 3"218Jacksonville, FL
51Shane RochelleLBFR6' 0"210Miami Gardens, FL
52Micah SmithLBFR6' 2"203Hermitage, TN
53Braxton LillisLBFR6' 1"210Murfreesboro, TN
2Jackson LoweCBSO6' 1"200Brentwood, TN
12Ricky LeeCBJR5' 10"170Atlanta, GA
15Devan CarlisleCBJR6' 4"200Hoover, AL
18Troy Booker Jr.CBSO6' 0"207Evans, GA
19Aidan SingletonCBSR5' 10"191Port Saint Lucie, FL
21Jason HardyCBSR6' 1"177Detroit, MI
23KJ MiniefieldCBJR5' 11"169Chandler, AZ
25Ethan ShermanCBFR5' 11"174Jacksonville, FL
27Jalen JacksonCBSO6' 3"196Nashville, TN
36Chris RagansCBFR6' 0"171Hopkinsville, KY
39Chase DavisCBFR5' 8"159Houston, TX
5Dyson McCutcheonSSR5' 9"180Claremont, CA
7Christofer NobleSSO6' 2"207Kankakee, IL
10Jordan ChestnutSSR6' 4"205Myrtle Beach, SC
11James JohnsonSSO5' 10"195Douglasville, GA
22Gumbo GaskinsSSR6' 1"187Jonesboro, GA
24Camari HallSSO5' 9"179Hollywood, FL
29Andrew Cross-AdamsSFR6' 1"186Nashville, TN
37Justis HaggardSFR5' 10"197Tullahoma, TN
38Locke KennedySSO6' 3"205Franklin, TN
91Dominic BourgeoisPKSR5' 8"216Baltimore, MD
96Wyatt JoycePKJR5' 10"175Lewisburg, TN
92Ashton LoganPSR6' 2"215Anaheim Hills, CA
97Aden CainePJR6' 1"203Newcastle, England
54Connor DoughertyLSSR6' 3"233Franklin, TN
56Ean MatusekLSFR6' 0"220Shelbyville, TN
59Henry HamlinLSSO6' 3"231Johnson City, TN
60Charlie OltremariLSFR6' 2"208Germantown, TN

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2018 (-0.2, #70) · worst: 2024 (-16.4, #130)
-15-10-50FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#133
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far4-32-1#130-19.1-9.7-9.4
20253-92-6#133-14.7-6.2-8.5
20243-92-6#130-16.4-8.6-7.8
20234-83-5#103-5.8-3.3-2.6
20228-54-4#87-4.2-1.0-3.2
20217-64-4#81-2.4-0.9-1.5
20203-62-4#115-10.4-3.4-7.0
20194-83-5#94-4.6-0.8-3.8
20188-67-1#70-0.20.0-0.2
20177-64-4#93-4.5-3.1-1.4
20168-55-3#83-3.1+5.6-8.7
20157-66-2#73-0.5+1.2-1.7
20146-65-3#81-3.5-0.1-3.4

Middle Tennessee's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Oct 21, 10:45 AM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →