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Big Ten · 2026

Minnesota Golden Gophers

Head coach P.J. Fleck · Huntington Bank Stadium
4-22-1 in conference
TDC Rank
#66
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+1.9
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-1.0
75th in FBS
Defense
+2.9
49th in FBS
Schedule so far
-5.0
76th toughest
Projected
5.2-6.8
bowl-eligible 36%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

+1.9 now, +6.8 preseason · down 28 spots since preseason
0+5+10FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8#66

Final record odds

5.2-6.8 expected · most likely 5-7 (38%)
26%4-838%5-725%6-69%7-58-4

Team Leaders

National leaderboards →

Passing
Drake Lindsey
QB · JR · 61st in FBS
1335yds
9 TD · 5 INT
Rushing
TJ Thomas
RB · JR · 151st in FBS
319yds
52 car · 1 TD
Receiving
Javon Tracy
WR · SR · 92nd in FBS
375yds
32 rec · 1 TD
Tackles
Maverick Baranowski
LB · SR · 125th in FBS
45tkl
3.5 TFL
Sacks
TJ Bush Jr.
DL · SR · 41st in FBS
4sacks
2 hurries
Interceptions
Zack Harden
DB · SO · 110th in FBS
1INT
2 PD

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 3vsEastern Illinois FCSW 59–7 ›-3.5—Peacock
2Sep 12vs44Mississippi StateL 13–38 ›-21.2—CBS
3Sep 19vs131AkronW 41–7 ›+3.8—BTN
4Sep 26@52WashingtonCONFW 27–24 ›+12.0—FOX
5Oct 3vs40MichiganCONFW 20–14 ›+9.9—Fox
6Oct 10@71PurdueCONFL 13–41 ›-21.8—BTN
7—Bye
8Oct 24vs20IowaCONFIowa −9.1 · o/u 44.7—27%FS1
9Oct 31@4IndianaCONFIndiana −27.8 · o/u 45.9—3%CBS
10Nov 7vs16UCLACONFUCLA −10.0 · o/u 49.1—25%
11Nov 14@28Penn StateCONFPenn State −13.8 · o/u 46.3—18%
12Nov 21vs26NorthwesternCONFNorthwestern −6.7 · o/u 50.2—33%
13Nov 27@27WisconsinCONFWisconsin −14.3 · o/u 44.3—17%NBC

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.025114th+0.05150th
Success rate41.3%90th41.4%70th
Explosiveness1.165108th1.19451st
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate41.7%90th41.5%69th
Rushing success rate39.7%107th46.3%115th
Passing success rate43.2%64th36.7%31st
Explosive run rate5.3%138th15.0%101st
Explosive pass rate8.9%96th10.4%80th
Line yards / carry2.22138th3.23107th
Opportunity rate27.5%138th43.5%126th
Stuff rate23.7%131st16.3%90th
Sack rate1.6%8th8.8%7th
3rd-down conversion38.6%89th33.9%25th
Red-zone TD rate47.4%117th81.2%132nd
Havoc rate12.1%45th17.7%11th
Box score · season totals
Points / game28.873rd21.854th
Yards / game341.3108th288.817th
Yards / play5.3898th4.8136th
Pass yards / game236.562nd159.79th
Yards / pass att.6.90100th6.4340th
Completion %65.4%48th59.1%45th
Rush yards / game104.8130th129.253rd
Yards / carry3.70114th3.9362nd
3rd-down conv. %37.4%85th30.9%20th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.1766th1.3344th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)0.679th2.3343rd
Penalty yards / game53.754th48.3103rd

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
6.8
132nd of 138
YAC per catch
5.3
82nd of 138
Deep shots (20+)
8%
135th of 138
Shotgun
69%
132nd of 138
No-huddle
15%
119th of 138
QB pressured
7%
131st of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
19%
19th of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
5.4
61st of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws198 throws charted

65% comp6.8 avg. depth5.3 YAC/catch8% 20+ air yds9–5 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 21 throws (11%), 17 caught (81%), 77 yds, 3.7 per throw2181% · 77yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 13 throws (7%), 10 caught (77%), 42 yds, 3.2 per throw1377% · 42yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 19 throws (10%), 11 caught (58%), 126 yds, 6.6 per throw1958% · 126yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 3 caught (50%), 46 yds, 7.7 per throw650% · 46yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 2 caught (33%), 39 yds, 6.5 per throw633% · 39yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 1 throws (1%), 1 caught (100%), 28 yds, 28.0 per throw1100% · 28yLeft, 30+ air yards: 1 throws (1%), 1 caught (100%), 34 yds, 34.0 per throw1100% · 34yMiddle, Behind air yards: 2 throws (1%), 2 caught (100%), 12 yds, 6.0 per throw2100% · 12yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 10 throws (5%), 6 caught (60%), 65 yds, 6.5 per throw1060% · 65yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 9 throws (5%), 6 caught (67%), 43 yds, 4.8 per throw967% · 43yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 3 caught (43%), 50 yds, 7.1 per throw743% · 50yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 3 caught (50%), 83 yds, 13.8 per throw650% · 83yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 3 caught (100%), 83 yds, 27.7 per throw3100% · 83yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0yRight, Behind air yards: 25 throws (13%), 22 caught (88%), 127 yds, 5.1 per throw2588% · 127yRight, 0–4 air yards: 22 throws (11%), 14 caught (64%), 57 yds, 2.6 per throw2264% · 57yRight, 5–9 air yards: 18 throws (9%), 15 caught (83%), 166 yds, 9.2 per throw1883% · 166yRight, 10–14 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 2 caught (33%), 29 yds, 4.8 per throw633% · 29yRight, 15–19 air yards: 12 throws (6%), 7 caught (58%), 144 yds, 12.0 per throw1258% · 144yRight, 20–29 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 4 caught (50%), 141 yds, 17.6 per throw850% · 141yRight, 30+ air yards: 1 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on144 throws charted

59% comp8.3 avg. depth5.4 YAC/catch14% 20+ air yds7–4 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 13 throws (9%), 12 caught (92%), 62 yds, 4.8 per throw1392% · 62yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 14 throws (10%), 11 caught (79%), 67 yds, 4.8 per throw1479% · 67yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 6 throws (4%), 3 caught (50%), 32 yds, 5.3 per throw650% · 32yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 2 caught (100%), 26 yds, 13.0 per throw2100% · 26yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 21 yds, 10.5 per throw250% · 21yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 7 throws (5%), 3 caught (43%), 73 yds, 10.4 per throw743% · 73yLeft, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (2%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw30% · 0yMiddle, Behind air yards: 4 throws (3%), 3 caught (75%), 18 yds, 4.5 per throw475% · 18yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 4 caught (80%), 11 yds, 2.2 per throw580% · 11yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 4 throws (3%), 2 caught (50%), 21 yds, 5.3 per throw450% · 21yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 10 throws (7%), 8 caught (80%), 156 yds, 15.6 per throw1080% · 156yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 4 caught (80%), 73 yds, 14.6 per throw580% · 73yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 2 caught (67%), 51 yds, 17.0 per throw367% · 51yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (2%), 1 caught (33%), 39 yds, 13.0 per throw333% · 39yRight, Behind air yards: 13 throws (9%), 10 caught (77%), 28 yds, 2.2 per throw1377% · 28yRight, 0–4 air yards: 17 throws (12%), 10 caught (59%), 92 yds, 5.4 per throw1759% · 92yRight, 5–9 air yards: 11 throws (8%), 4 caught (36%), 25 yds, 2.3 per throw1136% · 25yRight, 10–14 air yards: 7 throws (5%), 3 caught (43%), 57 yds, 8.1 per throw743% · 57yRight, 15–19 air yards: 10 throws (7%), 3 caught (30%), 69 yds, 6.9 per throw1030% · 69yRight, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 1 caught (33%), 32 yds, 10.7 per throw333% · 32yRight, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction165 carries

Left
21%
6.1 YPC · 43% succ.
Middle
60%
3.5 YPC · 34% succ.
Right
19%
3.5 YPC · 32% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced177 carries

Left
18%
7.8 YPC · 58% succ.
Middle
66%
4.1 YPC · 41% succ.
Right
16%
4.6 YPC · 48% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach P.J. Fleck

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
5Drake LindseyQBJR6' 5"230Fayetteville, AR
6Max ShikenjanskiQBSR6' 2"185Stillwater, MN
12Michael MerdingerQBJR6' 1"205Fort Lauderdale, FL
15Owen LansuQBFR6' 1"195Downers Grove, IL
16Brady PalmerQBFR6' 2"210San Diego, CA
1Darius TaylorRBSR6' 0"215Detroit, MI
9Xavier FordRBSO5' 10"210Leesville, LA
20Ryan EstradaRBFR5' 10"190El Paso, TX
22Jaron ThomasRBSO6' 0"225Elkhart, IN
23TJ ThomasRBJR5' 8"190Thomasville, GA
26Zeke BatesRBFR6' 0"220Haverford, PA
28Niko CastilloRBFR6' 1"235Schuylkill Haven, PA
3Perry ThompsonWRJR6' 3"220Foley, AL
7Bradley MartinoWRSO6' 3"190Naples, FL
8Jalen SmithWRJR6' 1"210Mankato, MN
11Javon TracyWRSR6' 0"205Indianapolis, IN
13Noah JenningsWRSR6' 0"190Columbia, SC
18Donielle HayesWRSR6' 0"190Pensacola, FL
24Braiden StevensWRFR5' 8"170Platte City, MO
25Zion SteptoeWRSR5' 11"190Little Elm, TX
81Josiah DozierWRFR6' 1"190Moody, AL
84Hayden MooreWRFR6' 1"205Gainesville, FL
85Rico BlassingameWRFR6' 1"185Auburn, WA
89Quayd HendryxWRFR5' 11"180Burlington Township, NJ
44George RohlTEFR6' 6"245Ellsworth, WI
82Julian JohnsonTEJR6' 6"260Aurora, IL
83Sam PetersTESR6' 4"250Maple Grove, MN
87Kaden HelmsTESR6' 4"240Bellevue, NE
88Jacob SimpsonTEJR6' 4"245Johnston, IA
50Nathan RoyOLJR6' 5"305Mukwonago, WI
51Daniel ShippOLSO6' 5"295Eastvale, CA
56Brett CarrollOLJR6' 5"320Olathe, KS
57Aaron ThomasOLFR6' 6"300Phoenix, AZ
58Jaden BallOLJR6' 5"310Carroll, OH
59Tony NelsonOLSR6' 6"325Tracy, MN
60Kaveon LeeOLSO6' 5"320Chicago, IL
65Greg JohnsonOLSR6' 6"325Prior Lake, MN
66Beckett SchreiberOLFR6' 5"295Madison, WI
69Gavin MeierOLFR6' 5"305Janesville, WI
71Lucas TielschOLFR6' 7"320Copley, OH
75Mark HandyOLSO6' 7"320Albuquerque, NM
77Nick SpenceOLSO6' 6"300Phoenix, AZ
78Ashton BeersOLSR6' 6"320Slinger, WI
0Anthony SmithDLSR6' 6"280Shippensburg, PA
1Jaxon HowardDLSR6' 4"260Crystal, MN
3TJ Bush Jr.DLSR6' 3"265Woodbridge, VA
11Karter MenzDLSR6' 5"240Horace, ND
33Rhett HlavackaDLSO6' 5"260Fond Du Lac, WI
41Anthony CharlesDLFR6' 5"210Pittsburgh, PA
45Sam MacyDLJR6' 5"250Chanhassen, MN
47Enoch AtewogbolaDLSO6' 4"255Avon, IN
48Aaden AytchDLFR6' 3"240Lafayette, IN
55Jaylin HicksDLJR6' 3"270Harlem, NY
56Jay'Quan StubbsDLSO6' 4"285Cleveland, OH
70Naquan CrowderDLSR6' 2"330Aliquippa, PA
88Josiah AnyansiDLFR6' 3"260Atlanta, GA
90Xion ChapmanDLSR6' 3"305Allentown, PA
91Howie JohnsonDLFR6' 3"300Forest Lake, MN
92Sid KabaDLSR6' 2"305Columbus, OH
93Riley SunramDLJR6' 5"305Kindred, ND
94Mo SaineDLJR6' 4"275Eden Prairie, MN
95Colin HansenDLSO6' 7"265Byron, MN
96Abu TarawallieDLSO6' 3"290New Hope, MN
97Jeremiah BensonDLFR6' 3"280Detroit, MI
98Adam KissayiDLJR6' 8"255Palm Bay, FL
99Theorin RandleDLSR6' 2"300Houston, TX
2Emmanuel KarmoLBSO6' 2"235Minneapolis, MN
6Maverick BaranowskiLBSR6' 2"230Ponce Inlet, FL
16Hudson DunnLBFR6' 0"220Peoria, AZ
19Joey GerlachLBSR6' 3"225Woodbury, MN
29Andrew MarshallLBSR6' 2"235Carroll, OH
32Angel LucianoLBFR6' 1"210Steelton, PA
35Nate ClevelandLBSO6' 2"225Hoffman Estates, IL
44Ethan StendelLBSO6' 3"240Caledonia, MN
46Mason CarrierLBJR6' 3"235Detroit Lakes, MN
49Matt KingsburyLBSR6' 3"235Chicago, IL
4Zack HardenDBSO6' 1"210Covington, GA
7Aidan GousbyDBSR6' 0"190Lehigh Acres, FL
8Mike GeraldDBJR6' 0"190Houston, TX
9Garrison MonroeDBSR6' 0"205Shakopee, MN
13Zahir RainerDBJR5' 9"190Richmond, VA
14Kerry BrownDBSR5' 10"190Naples, FL
15Samuel MaduDBJR6' 1"180Bronx, NY
17John NestorDBSR6' 1"210Chicago, IL
18Rhyland KellyDBSR6' 1"200Winnipeg, Canada
20Parker KnutsonDBSR6' 0"190Sartell, MN
21Naiim ParrishDBSO5' 11"180Freehold, NJ
22Mekhai SmithDBJR6' 2"215Lower Merion, PA
23Lamont HamiltonDBFR5' 10"170Racine, WI
24Chance PayneDBFR5' 10"185Jefferson, GA
25Justin HopkinsDBFR5' 11"190Nashville, TN
27Simon SeidlDBJR5' 10"190Hugo, MN
28Trason RichardsonDBFR6' 0"190Houston, TX
31Jordan LampkinsDBFR6' 0"190Germantown, MD
36Daniel JacksonPKSO5' 10"175Alexandria, MN
92Beckham SunderlandPKSR6' 2"215Newport, KY
Luke DrzewieckiPKSR6' 0"186Shelby Township, MI
37Zachary RobbinsPSO6' 3"220Santaquin, UT
52Alan SoukupLSJR6' 1"210Phoenix, AZ
53Jakob LutzLSSO6' 0"205Peachtree City, GA

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2019 (+8.6, #22) · worst: 2023 (-1.6, #74)
0+5+10FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#63
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far4-22-1#66+1.9-1.0+2.9
20258-55-4#63+0.9-2.6+3.5
20248-55-4#26+7.30.0+7.4
20236-73-6#74-1.6-2.2+0.6
20229-45-4#21+7.7-0.4+8.1
20219-46-3#29+6.5+0.4+6.1
20203-43-4#60+0.7+1.6-0.9
201911-27-2#22+8.6+6.2+2.4
20187-63-6#48+3.2+0.2+3.0
20175-72-7#58+1.0-3.3+4.3
20169-45-4#40+4.7+1.1+3.6
20156-72-6#68+0.2-1.4+1.5
20148-55-3#44+4.1+0.9+3.2

Minnesota's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Oct 22, 10:45 AM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →