Big Ten · 2026

Wisconsin Badgers

Head coach Luke Fickell · Camp Randall Stadium
4-22-1 in conference
TDC Rank
#27
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+12.4
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+3.5
46th in FBS
Defense
+8.8
17th in FBS
Schedule so far
+1.9
27th toughest
Projected
8.2-3.8
bowl-eligible 99%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

+12.4 now, +11.7 preseason · down 2 spots since preseason
0+5+10+15FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8#27

Final record odds

8.2-3.8 expected · most likely 8-4 (35%)
5-76%6-619%7-535%8-430%9-39%10-2

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 6vs1Notre DameNEUTRALL 13–41 ›+2.6—NBC
2Sep 12vsWestern Illinois FCSW 36–9 ›-3.3—BTN
3Sep 19vs124Eastern MichiganW 54–10 ›+10.5—Peacock
4Sep 26@28Penn StateCONFW 24–20 ›+19.7—Peacock
5Oct 3vs63Michigan StateCONFW 31–3 ›+24.0—BTN
6—Bye
7Oct 17@16UCLACONFL 7–17 ›+9.5—NBC
8Oct 24vs24USCCONFWisconsin −3.1 · o/u 54.9—58%NBC
9Oct 31@20IowaCONFIowa −6.2 · o/u 43.3—34%Fox
10Nov 7vs92RutgersCONFWisconsin −22.7 · o/u 56.8—93%
11Nov 14@76MarylandCONFWisconsin −10.3 · o/u 50.4—75%
12Nov 21@71PurdueCONFWisconsin −8.8 · o/u 54.1—72%
13Nov 27vs66MinnesotaCONFWisconsin −14.3 · o/u 44.4—83%NBC

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.12979th-0.04514th
Success rate38.4%121st36.0%22nd
Explosiveness1.4375th1.0302nd
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate38.4%123rd36.7%24th
Rushing success rate37.5%125th37.1%32nd
Passing success rate39.5%100th36.3%27th
Explosive run rate11.3%111th6.7%5th
Explosive pass rate11.8%49th7.8%30th
Line yards / carry3.1869th2.9356th
Opportunity rate37.5%92nd27.5%3rd
Stuff rate13.1%26th10.7%135th
Sack rate2.0%10th2.3%131st
3rd-down conversion42.0%64th40.7%87th
Red-zone TD rate46.7%119th46.7%23rd
Havoc rate13.0%63rd13.5%72nd
Box score · season totals
Points / game27.581st16.724th
Yards / game351.8102nd286.716th
Yards / play5.8657th4.2410th
Pass yards / game199.7100th171.220th
Yards / pass att.7.5070th5.719th
Completion %54.7%128th56.7%27th
Rush yards / game152.278th115.536th
Yards / carry4.7049th3.1823rd
3rd-down conv. %42.3%50th37.6%72nd
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.0041st1.0086th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.0016th1.33112th
Penalty yards / game60.786th37.8129th

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
8.0
100th of 138
YAC per catch
7.0
9th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
11%
113th of 138
Shotgun
92%
99th of 138
No-huddle
6%
131st of 138
QB pressured
12%
77th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
11%
105th of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
5.2
68th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws151 throws charted

54% comp8.0 avg. depth7.0 YAC/catch11% 20+ air yds10–5 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 14 throws (9%), 12 caught (86%), 83 yds, 5.9 per throw1486% · 83yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 16 throws (11%), 8 caught (50%), 43 yds, 2.7 per throw1650% · 43yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 14 throws (9%), 7 caught (50%), 94 yds, 6.7 per throw1450% · 94yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 10 throws (7%), 4 caught (40%), 49 yds, 4.9 per throw1040% · 49yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 4 throws (3%), 2 caught (50%), 34 yds, 8.5 per throw450% · 34yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 4 throws (3%), 3 caught (75%), 93 yds, 23.3 per throw475% · 93yLeft, 30+ air yards: 1 throws (1%), 1 caught (100%), 32 yds, 32.0 per throw1100% · 32yMiddle, Behind air yards: 1 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 2 caught (40%), 9 yds, 1.8 per throw540% · 9yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 3 caught (100%), 25 yds, 8.3 per throw3100% · 25yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 3 caught (60%), 47 yds, 9.4 per throw560% · 47yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 1 caught (33%), 72 yds, 24.0 per throw333% · 72yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 23 yds, 11.5 per throw250% · 23yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (3%), 2 caught (50%), 121 yds, 30.3 per throw450% · 121yRight, Behind air yards: 17 throws (11%), 10 caught (59%), 106 yds, 6.2 per throw1759% · 106yRight, 0–4 air yards: 13 throws (9%), 8 caught (62%), 83 yds, 6.4 per throw1362% · 83yRight, 5–9 air yards: 16 throws (11%), 8 caught (50%), 82 yds, 5.1 per throw1650% · 82yRight, 10–14 air yards: 7 throws (5%), 5 caught (71%), 77 yds, 11.0 per throw771% · 77yRight, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (5%), 2 caught (29%), 43 yds, 6.1 per throw729% · 43yRight, 20–29 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 2 caught (40%), 55 yds, 11.0 per throw540% · 55yRight, 30+ air yards: none
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on173 throws charted

56% comp7.8 avg. depth5.2 YAC/catch12% 20+ air yds3–5 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 8 throws (5%), 7 caught (88%), 44 yds, 5.5 per throw888% · 44yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 21 throws (12%), 15 caught (71%), 91 yds, 4.3 per throw2171% · 91yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 18 throws (10%), 13 caught (72%), 107 yds, 5.9 per throw1872% · 107yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 9 throws (5%), 5 caught (56%), 65 yds, 7.2 per throw956% · 65yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 5 caught (83%), 118 yds, 19.7 per throw683% · 118yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw50% · 0yLeft, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (2%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw30% · 0yMiddle, Behind air yards: 2 throws (1%), 2 caught (100%), 13 yds, 6.5 per throw2100% · 13yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 12 throws (7%), 7 caught (58%), 76 yds, 6.3 per throw1258% · 76yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 9 throws (5%), 6 caught (67%), 54 yds, 6.0 per throw967% · 54yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 2 caught (33%), 24 yds, 4.0 per throw633% · 24yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 2 caught (67%), 36 yds, 12.0 per throw367% · 36yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 2 caught (100%), 55 yds, 27.5 per throw2100% · 55yMiddle, 30+ air yards: noneRight, Behind air yards: 14 throws (8%), 11 caught (79%), 45 yds, 3.2 per throw1479% · 45yRight, 0–4 air yards: 25 throws (14%), 14 caught (56%), 115 yds, 4.6 per throw2556% · 115yRight, 5–9 air yards: 12 throws (7%), 4 caught (33%), 33 yds, 2.8 per throw1233% · 33yRight, 10–14 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 1 caught (25%), 17 yds, 4.3 per throw425% · 17yRight, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 2 caught (40%), 58 yds, 11.6 per throw540% · 58yRight, 20–29 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 2 caught (40%), 67 yds, 13.4 per throw540% · 67yRight, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw40% · 0y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction183 carries

Left
17%
3.7 YPC · 26% succ.
Middle
67%
5.1 YPC · 41% succ.
Right
16%
6.3 YPC · 52% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced206 carries

Left
18%
2.2 YPC · 24% succ.
Middle
62%
3.6 YPC · 33% succ.
Right
20%
4.6 YPC · 45% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Luke Fickell

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
1Colton JosephQBSR6' 2"215Newport Beach, CA
5Carter SmithQBSO6' 4"208Fort Myers, FL
8Deuce AdamsQBJR6' 2"207Austin, TX
10Ryan HopkinsQBFR6' 3"205Newport Beach, CA
18Danny O'NeilQBJR6' 0"202Indianapolis, IN
3Abu Sama IIIRBSR5' 11"214Des Moines, IA
6Darrion DupreeRBJR5' 11"218Chicago, IL
15Nate PalmerRBJR5' 10"205Decatur, TX
20JuJu PopeRBJR5' 11"195Pope, MS
21Bryan Jackson IIRBJR6' 2"238McKinney, TX
32Harrison BortolottiRBSO5' 9"202Whitefish Bay, WI
38Mason LaneRBJR6' 1"220Lodi, WI
41McCoy SmithFBFR5' 11"231Waunakee, WI
42Tyler JanseyFBSR6' 1"236Batavia, IL
0Tyrell HenryWRSR6' 0"184Roseville, MI
2Chris Brooks Jr.WRSR6' 2"224St. Louis, MO
4Malachi ColemanWRSR6' 5"205Lincoln, NE
7Shamar RigbyWRJR6' 4"198St. Petersburg, FL
9Jaylon DomingeauxWRSR6' 3"211Lafayette, LA
11Kash BrockWRFR6' 3"190Chandler, AZ
12Zion KearneyWRJR6' 3"210Fresno, TX
13Eugene Hilton Jr.WRSO6' 2"204Zionsville, IN
14Keeyshawn TabuteauWRFR5' 11"188Montreal, Canada
19Langdon NordgaardWRJR6' 3"214West De Pere, WI
22Dorsett SteckerWRFR5' 9"195Newport Beach, CA
24Zion LegreeWRFR5' 11"202Pensacola, FL
26Eli AdamsWRJR6' 0"188Austin, TX
81Mason KelleyWRSO6' 1"199Mukwonago, WI
87Jackson McGohanWRSR6' 4"220Miamisburg, OH
17Nizyi DavisTESO6' 5"237Indianapolis, IN
49Aydon FickellTEFR6' 4"242Madison, WI
82Emmett BorkTESO6' 6"257Oconomowoc, WI
84Ryan SchwendemanTESR6' 4"252O' Fallon, MO
85Grant StecTEJR6' 6"258Sleepy Hollow, IL
86Jack SieversTEFR6' 4"245Everett, WA
89Jacob HarrisTESR6' 6"265Columbus, OH
50Ryan CoryOLJR6' 4"310Gibsonia, PA
51Austin KaweckiOLSR6' 4"310Frisco, TX
53Cam ClarkOLSO6' 7"300Dexter, MI
54Brady BekkenhuisOLFR6' 7"323Arlington, MA
55Kevin HeywoodOLJR6' 9"320Limerick, PA
58Michael RoeskeOLSO6' 8"324Wautoma, WI
60Nolan DavenportOLSO6' 6"308Massillon, OH
64Evan BrownOLSR6' 4"315Tallahassee, FL
65Aiden DirksenOLFR6' 6"338Green Bay, WI
70Barrett NelsonOLSR6' 6"308Stoughton, WI
72Lucas Simmons-JohanssonOLSR6' 7"323Stockholm, Sweden
73Blake CherryOLSO6' 5"310Claremore, OK
75Emerson MandellOLJR6' 5"325Mounds View, MN
76Stylz BlackmonOLJR6' 4"316Grain Valley, MO
77Peyton LangeOLSR6' 9"345Minneapolis, MN
78Colin CubberlyOLJR6' 6"325Lagrangeville, NY
79Logan PowellOLSO6' 5"308Phoenix, AZ
30Charles PerkinsDLSR6' 2"333Memphis, TN
76Dillan JohnsonDLJR6' 2"315Plainfield, IL
90Djidjou BahDLFR6' 3"278Memphis, TN
91Hammond Russell IVDLSR6' 4"320Columbus, OH
93DeNigel CooperDLJR6' 3"277Kingsland, GA
95Jacob AndersonDLSR6' 4"305Davis, IL
96Arthur Scott IIIDLFR6' 3"307Streetsboro, OH
97Junior PoyserDLSR6' 2"331Brampton, Canada
0Justus BooneLBSR6' 5"278Sumter, SC
7Tyreese FearbryLBSR6' 4"255Pittsburgh, PA
8Mason PosaLBSO6' 3"235Albuquerque, NM
12Nicolas ClaytonLBSO6' 5"247Gainesville, FL
14Liam DanitzLBSR6' 4"243West Branch, MI
15Sebastian CheeksLBSR6' 3"243Skokie, IL
19Thomas HeibergerLBJR6' 4"230Sioux Falls, SD
23Landon GauthierLBJR6' 3"237Green Bay, WI
28Jon Jon KamaraLBJR6' 4"243Goodyear, AZ
34Ashton FickellLBFR6' 4"248Madison, WI
37Treve StoffelLBFR6' 4"214Mosinee, WI
39Jayden LoftinLBSO6' 4"250Somerville, NJ
43Taylor SchaeferLBJR6' 3"242Sturgeon Bay, WI
44Cooper CatalanoLBSO6' 1"232Richfield, WI
45Yahya GaadLBFR6' 4"258Medina, TN
50Sam LatejuLBSO6' 5"240Lagos, Nigeria
51Micheal GarnerLBSR6' 7"315Chicago Heights, IL
55Drew BraamLBJR6' 1"230Oak Creek, WI
98Will McDonaldLBSR6' 4"270Houlton, WI
1Eric Fletcher Jr.CBJR6' 1"193Fort Myers, FL
2Javan RobinsonCBSR5' 11"184Orlando, FL
3Cai BatesCBJR6' 3"200West Orlando, FL
6Jai'mier ScottCBSO6' 1"192Mount Healthy, OH
17Carsen ElomsCBFR6' 0"194Fishers, IN
18Donovan DunmoreCBFR6' 1"202Clovis, CA
31Dashaun MossCBFR6' 0"180St. Louis, MO
4Marvin Burks Jr.SSR6' 2"210St. Louis, MO
16Grant DeanSSO6' 1"200Neenah, WI
20Luke EmmerichSSO6' 2"195Monticello, MN
21Cairo SkanesSSO6' 2"195Asheville, NC
25Will MikonowiczSFR6' 0"212Reedsburg, WI
27Raphael DunnSJR6' 4"220Lawrenceville, NJ
29Matthew JungSSR6' 3"213Neenah, WI
94Brady MelumPKFR6' 0"221Sun Prairie, WI
97Gavin LahmPKSR6' 1"218Kaukauna, WI
90Will KellyPFR5' 11"165Madison, WI
98Ethan TranelPSR6' 1"225Blue Mounds, WI
53Andrew GoodmanLSSR5' 11"223Montreal, Canada
56James RoeLSJR6' 0"219Kennesaw, GA

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2017 (+18.5, #4) · worst: 2025 (-0.6, #72)
0+10+20FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#72
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far4-22-1#27+12.4+3.5+8.8
20254-82-7#72-0.6-6.8+6.3
20245-73-6#58+1.3-2.6+3.9
20237-65-4#44+3.4-1.4+4.7
20227-64-5#38+4.2-0.8+5.0
20219-46-3#13+9.7+0.4+9.3
20204-33-3#18+8.7-1.2+9.9
201910-47-2#6+15.6+5.2+10.4
20188-55-4#28+7.5+2.9+4.5
201713-19-0#4+18.5+6.3+12.2
201611-37-2#9+12.7+1.0+11.6
201510-36-2#24+8.6-2.1+10.6
201411-37-1#19+10.6+3.0+7.6

Wisconsin's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Oct 21, 10:45 AM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →