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SEC · 2026

Texas Longhorns

Head coach Steve Sarkisian · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
4-21-2 in conference
TDC Rank
#9
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+21.5
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+8.4
17th in FBS
Defense
+13.1
4th in FBS
Schedule so far
+12.6
1st toughest
Projected
8.1-3.9
bowl-eligible 99%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

+21.5 now, +20.2 preseason · down 1 spot since preseason
0+10+20FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8#9

Final record odds

8.1-3.9 expected · most likely 8-4 (35%)
5-77%6-621%7-535%8-428%9-39%10-2

Team Leaders

National leaderboards →

Passing
Arch Manning
QB · SR · 66th in FBS
1298yds
11 TD · 5 INT
Rushing
Hollywood Smothers
RB · SR · 180th in FBS
289yds
65 car · 2 TD
Receiving
Ryan Wingo
WR · 116th in FBS
345yds
26 rec · 3 TD
Tackles
Rasheem Biles
LB · SR · 87th in FBS
49tkl
4.5 TFL
Sacks
Colin Simmons
EDGE · JR · 1st in FBS
10sacks
4 hurries
Interceptions
Rasheem Biles
LB · SR · 28th in FBS
2INT
1 PD

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5vs61Texas StateW 59–7 ›+32.6—ESPN
2Sep 12vs2Ohio StateW 24–23 ›+25.1—ABC
3Sep 19vs75UTSAW 30–6 ›+18.7—SECN+
4Sep 26@13TennesseeCONFW 20–17 ›+24.7—ABC
5—Bye
6Oct 10vs23OklahomaCONFNEUTRALL 24–27 ›+10.4—ABC
7Oct 17vs17FloridaCONFL 24–27 ›+8.8—ABC
8Oct 24vs11Ole MissCONFTexas −4.8 · o/u 54.1—63%ABC
9Oct 31vs44Mississippi StateCONFTexas −18.4 · o/u 55.4—89%
10Nov 7@21MissouriCONFTexas −4.1 · o/u 44.4—61%
11Nov 14@6LSUCONFLSU −5.3 · o/u 50.6—36%
12Nov 21vs65ArkansasCONFTexas −23.2 · o/u 47.9—94%
13Nov 27@29Texas A&MCONFTexas −5.8 · o/u 45.0—65%ABC

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.026113th-0.01025th
Success rate42.7%76th34.2%10th
Explosiveness1.159110th1.0769th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate43.4%72nd34.7%13th
Rushing success rate44.9%64th35.3%21st
Passing success rate41.8%75th34.1%14th
Explosive run rate14.1%70th10.0%27th
Explosive pass rate8.3%106th5.4%7th
Line yards / carry2.90108th2.7226th
Opportunity rate42.7%32nd32.9%24th
Stuff rate18.9%94th21.8%25th
Sack rate8.7%129th7.7%19th
3rd-down conversion39.7%83rd32.1%11th
Red-zone TD rate63.6%64th46.7%23rd
Havoc rate16.5%127th17.6%13th
Box score · season totals
Points / game30.264th17.829th
Yards / game362.392nd272.511th
Yards / play5.23107th3.962nd
Pass yards / game226.375th166.212th
Yards / pass att.7.8056th5.636th
Completion %64.6%59th61.6%67th
Rush yards / game136.0101st106.327th
Yards / carry3.60120th2.9415th
3rd-down conv. %41.7%60th33.0%31st
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.3380th0.83116th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.83120th3.177th
Penalty yards / game54.361st58.759th

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
8.5
74th of 138
YAC per catch
5.9
45th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
13%
84th of 138
Shotgun
89%
118th of 138
No-huddle
86%
32nd of 138
QB pressured
17%
17th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
20%
9th of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
4.7
100th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws168 throws charted

64% comp8.5 avg. depth5.9 YAC/catch13% 20+ air yds11–5 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 18 throws (11%), 11 caught (61%), 48 yds, 2.7 per throw1861% · 48yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 12 throws (7%), 10 caught (83%), 64 yds, 5.3 per throw1283% · 64yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 15 throws (9%), 10 caught (67%), 102 yds, 6.8 per throw1567% · 102yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 10 throws (6%), 6 caught (60%), 104 yds, 10.4 per throw1060% · 104yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 1 caught (25%), 17 yds, 4.3 per throw425% · 17yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 2 caught (50%), 50 yds, 12.5 per throw450% · 50yLeft, 30+ air yards: 6 throws (4%), 4 caught (67%), 179 yds, 29.8 per throw667% · 179yMiddle, Behind air yards: 3 throws (2%), 3 caught (100%), 33 yds, 11.0 per throw3100% · 33yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 6 throws (4%), 4 caught (67%), 37 yds, 6.2 per throw667% · 37yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 9 throws (5%), 4 caught (44%), 37 yds, 4.1 per throw944% · 37yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 6 throws (4%), 5 caught (83%), 87 yds, 14.5 per throw683% · 87yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 6 throws (4%), 5 caught (83%), 97 yds, 16.2 per throw683% · 97yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 20 yds, 10.0 per throw250% · 20yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 2 caught (50%), 84 yds, 21.0 per throw450% · 84yRight, Behind air yards: 26 throws (15%), 24 caught (92%), 170 yds, 6.5 per throw2692% · 170yRight, 0–4 air yards: 11 throws (7%), 8 caught (73%), 72 yds, 6.5 per throw1173% · 72yRight, 5–9 air yards: 12 throws (7%), 7 caught (58%), 62 yds, 5.2 per throw1258% · 62yRight, 10–14 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw30% · 0yRight, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 2 caught (29%), 31 yds, 4.4 per throw729% · 31yRight, 20–29 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0yRight, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 44 yds, 22.0 per throw250% · 44y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on174 throws charted

62% comp7.4 avg. depth4.7 YAC/catch10% 20+ air yds4–3 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 16 throws (9%), 13 caught (81%), 58 yds, 3.6 per throw1681% · 58yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 21 throws (12%), 15 caught (71%), 86 yds, 4.1 per throw2171% · 86yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 19 throws (11%), 13 caught (68%), 103 yds, 5.4 per throw1968% · 103yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 2 caught (40%), 25 yds, 5.0 per throw540% · 25yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw40% · 0yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 24 yds, 12.0 per throw250% · 24yLeft, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 1 caught (25%), 43 yds, 10.8 per throw425% · 43yMiddle, Behind air yards: 2 throws (1%), 2 caught (100%), 26 yds, 13.0 per throw2100% · 26yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 13 throws (7%), 8 caught (62%), 55 yds, 4.2 per throw1362% · 55yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 10 throws (6%), 8 caught (80%), 79 yds, 7.9 per throw1080% · 79yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 2 caught (50%), 27 yds, 6.8 per throw450% · 27yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 3 caught (100%), 79 yds, 26.3 per throw3100% · 79yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 1 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0yRight, Behind air yards: 12 throws (7%), 12 caught (100%), 64 yds, 5.3 per throw12100% · 64yRight, 0–4 air yards: 19 throws (11%), 16 caught (84%), 110 yds, 5.8 per throw1984% · 110yRight, 5–9 air yards: 16 throws (9%), 6 caught (38%), 66 yds, 4.1 per throw1638% · 66yRight, 10–14 air yards: 8 throws (5%), 2 caught (25%), 26 yds, 3.3 per throw825% · 26yRight, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 2 caught (40%), 36 yds, 7.2 per throw540% · 36yRight, 20–29 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 1 caught (20%), 20 yds, 4.0 per throw520% · 20yRight, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (2%), 2 caught (67%), 73 yds, 24.3 per throw367% · 73y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction203 carries

Left
24%
4.8 YPC · 49% succ.
Middle
51%
4.2 YPC · 44% succ.
Right
25%
4.9 YPC · 58% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced191 carries

Left
20%
3.5 YPC · 36% succ.
Middle
60%
3.8 YPC · 35% succ.
Right
19%
5.2 YPC · 43% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Steve Sarkisian

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
6Dia BellQBFR6' 3"206Fort Lauderdale, FL
9KJ LaceyQBSO6' 0"188Saraland, AL
16Arch ManningQBSR6' 4"222New Orleans, LA
19MJ MorrisQBSR6' 1"201Carrollton, GA
25Luke DunhamQBSO6' 3"182Austin, TX
0Raleek BrownRBSR5' 9"193Stockton, CA
2Hollywood SmothersRBSR5' 11"193Charlotte, NC
5Derrek CooperRBFR6' 1"212Lauderhill, FL
11Michael Terry IIIRBSO6' 3"229San Antonio, TX
21Ryan NiblettRBSR5' 10"189Houston, TX
31James SimonRBSO5' 11"208Shreveport, LA
33Carson BergerRBJR5' 11"200Houston, TX
3Emmett Mosley VWRJR6' 2"199Chicago, IL
4Jermaine Bishop Jr.WRFR6' 0"166Willis, TX
7Kaliq LockettWRSO6' 2"181Dallas, TX
8Cam ColemanWRJR6' 3"204Phenix City, AL
13Kohen BrownWRFR6' 0"202Dallas, TX
14Chris StewartWRFR6' 0"184Missouri City, TX
17Daylan McCutcheonWRSO5' 11"183Lucas, TX
18Sterling BerkhalterWRSR6' 3"196Cincinnati, OH
35Rett AndersenWRSR5' 11"193San Antonio, TX
39Evan EnderlinWRFR6' 2"185Carrollton, TX
86Hudson PowellWRJR6' 6"198Austin, TX
89Ty BoatrightWRSR6' 0"180Kingwood, TX
15Michael MasunasTESR6' 5"259Tucson, AZ
48Bryce ChambersTESR6' 1"219Austin, TX
81Nick TownsendTESO6' 3"250Houston, TX
82Ridge BarkerTEJR6' 4"239Lucas, TX
83Spencer ShannonTESR6' 7"260San Clemente, CA
87Will RandleTESR6' 4"249New Orleans, LA
88Charlie JilekTEFR6' 5"238Portage, MI
50Laurence Seymore IIIOLSR6' 2"316Miami Gardens, FL
51John Turntine IIIOLFR6' 4"295Fort Worth, TX
54Cole HutsonOLSR6' 5"308Frisco, TX
56Dylan SikorskiOLJR6' 4"335Sumner, WA
58Devin ColemanOLSO6' 5"340Cedar Hill, TX
62Connor RobertsonOLSR6' 4"316Austin, TX
64Robert SweeneyOLSR6' 5"297Dallas, TX
68Paris PattersonOLSR6' 5"354East St. Louis, IL
69Brooks Kieschnick Jr.OLSR6' 3"268San Antonio, TX
70Kaden SchererOLFR6' 6"291Georgetown, TX
71Melvin SianiOLSR6' 6"317Hamilton, Canada
72Nicolas RobertsonOLFR6' 3"349Spring, TX
73Brandon BakerOLJR6' 4"315Ontario, CA
74Trevor GoosbyOLSR6' 7"325Melissa, TX
75Jaydon ChatmanOLSR6' 4"330Harker Heights, TX
76Jackson ChristianOLSO6' 5"308Port Neches, TX
77Andre CojoeOLSR6' 6"339Grand Prairie, TX
78Jordan ColemanOLSO6' 5"356Cedar Hill, TX
79Jonte NewmanOLSO6' 4"310Cypress, TX
15Justus TerryDLSO6' 5"289Manchester, GA
33Myron CharlesDLSO6' 4"312Port Charlotte, FL
52James JohnsonDLFR6' 3"279Fort Myers, FL
53Isaiah ColemanDLSO6' 1"299Cedar Hill, TX
55Elijah AliDLFR6' 4"306Downey, CA
90Josiah SharmaDLSO6' 4"341Folsom, CA
93Hero KanuDLSR6' 5"309Geltendorf, Germany
95Ian GeffrardDLSR6' 5"375Mableton, GA
97Alex JanuaryDLJR6' 5"308Duncanville, TX
3Rasheem BilesLBSR6' 1"222Columbus, OH
14Brad SpenceLBSR6' 2"249Houston, TX
16Tyler AtkinsonLBFR6' 1"219Lawrenceville, GA
18Kosi OkpalaLBFR6' 3"235Houston, TX
28Justin CryerLBSR6' 1"241Katy, TX
30Rocky CummingsLBFR6' 4"227Carlsbad, CA
32Brady SarkisianLBSR6' 1"225Newport Beach, CA
37Jonathan CunninghamLBSO6' 2"198Fort Worth, TX
43Eric GarzaLBJR5' 11"212Southlake, TX
44Markus BoswellLBSO6' 1"228Austin, TX
45Darius SnowLBSR6' 1"219Frisco, TX
0John Meredith IIIDBFR6' 2"185Fort Worth, TX
4Jelani McDonaldDBSR6' 2"201Waco, TX
5Bo MascoeDBSR5' 11"199Kissimmee, FL
6Kobe BlackDBJR6' 2"202Waco, TX
8Kade PhillipsDBSO6' 0"191Missouri City, TX
11Samari MatthewsDBFR6' 1"197Charlotte, NC
13Zelus HicksDBSO6' 2"183Atlanta, GA
17Xavier FilsaimeDBJR6' 1"193McKinney, TX
21Hayward Howard Jr.DBFR6' 2"182New Orleans, LA
23Jordon Johnson-RubellDBJR5' 10"212Fort Worth, TX
24Warren RobersonDBSR6' 0"189Red Oak, TX
25Toray DavisDBFR6' 1"197Thornton, CO
27Wardell MackDBJR6' 0"183New Orleans, LA
29Graceson LittletonDBSO6' 0"182Tampa, FL
31Yaheim RileyDBFR5' 11"187Miami, FL
35McCoy BruceDBJR5' 10"184Boerne, TX
36Nick HudsonDBSR5' 10"179Houston, TX
48Jackson DuffeyDBJR5' 11"180Spring Branch, TX
44Gianni SpeticPKSR6' 3"221Chardon, OH
46Spencer BarnettPKJR6' 0"215Austin, TX
49Jake CollettPKFR6' 0"182Ringgold, GA
43Mac ChiumentoPSR6' 4"228Daytona Beach, FL
45Mikey BukauskasPFR6' 2"210Prosper, TX
42Trott O'NealLSFR6' 1"224The Colony, TX
47Trey DubucLSSR6' 1"213Fort Lauderdale, FL
1Colin SimmonsEDGEJR6' 3"246Dallas, TX
40Lance JacksonEDGESO6' 5"274Texarkana, TX
46Smith OrogboEDGESO6' 4"238Houston, TX
80Brinley TitaEDGEFR6' 2"252Humble, TX
94Jamarion CarltonEDGEFR6' 5"280Temple, TX

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2024 (+17.2, #3) · worst: 2015 (0.0, #70)
0+5+10+15+20FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#16
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far4-21-2#9+21.5+8.4+13.1
202510-36-2#16+10.8+4.3+6.5
202413-37-1#3+17.2+5.8+11.3
202312-28-1#5+16.9+7.8+9.0
20228-56-3#8+12.1+5.5+6.6
20215-73-6#45+4.5+7.5-3.0
20207-35-3#12+10.9+11.1-0.2
20198-55-4#21+9.3+7.9+1.5
201810-47-2#25+8.1+3.3+4.8
20177-65-4#32+6.6-0.3+6.9
20165-73-6#59+0.7+1.1-0.5
20155-74-5#700.0-3.1+3.0
20146-75-4#53+2.1-4.7+6.9

Texas's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Oct 21, 10:45 AM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →