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MAC · 2026

Sacramento State Hornets

Head coach Alonzo Carter · Hornet Stadium
1-60-4 in conference
TDC Rank
#138
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
-28.6
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-14.9
138th in FBS
Defense
-13.7
138th in FBS
Schedule so far
-13.0
126th toughest
Projected
2.0-10.0
bowl-eligible <1%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

-28.6 now, -19.5 preseason · down 11 spots since preseason
-30-20-100FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8#138

Final record odds

2.0-10.0 expected · most likely 2-10 (43%)
32%1-1143%2-1020%3-94-8

Team Leaders

National leaderboards →

Passing
Jackson Sharman
QB · JR · 94th in FBS
1070yds
6 TD · 6 INT
Rushing
Isaiah Ene
RB · FR · 216th in FBS
246yds
48 car · 1 TD
Receiving
Matt Coleman
WR · SR · 45th in FBS
473yds
36 rec · 4 TD
Tackles
Boogsie Silvera
S · SR · 76th in FBS
50tkl
1 TFL
Sacks
Fata Puloka
LB · JR · 381st in FBS
1.5sacks
2 hurries
Interceptions
Boogsie Silvera
S · SR · 109th in FBS
1INT
2 PD

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Aug 29@124Eastern MichiganCONFL 17–28 ›-23.9—ESPN+
1Sep 5vsMississippi Valley State FCSW 52–0 ›-19.4—ESPN+
2Sep 12@77Fresno StateL 3–49 ›-30.7—CBSSN
3Sep 19vs69North Dakota StateL 10–31 ›-24.5—ESPN
4Sep 26vs129MassachusettsCONFL 6–35 ›-48.1—ESPN+
5—Bye
6Oct 10@127Bowling GreenCONFL 10–38 ›-39.9—ESPN+
7Oct 17vs88OhioCONFL 7–48 ›-38.9—ESPN+
8Oct 24@133Ball StateCONFBall State −11.3 · o/u 55.4—23%ESPN+
9Oct 30vs134Kent StateCONFKent State −2.1 · o/u 48.7—45%ESPN2
10Nov 4vs79ToledoCONFToledo −21.9 · o/u 52.6—7%
11Nov 11@120Central MichiganCONFCentral Michigan −16.8 · o/u 48.0—13%
12—Bye
13Nov 28@118Hawai'iHawai'i −17.9 · o/u 47.3—12%MW+

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play-0.113137th+0.191112th
Success rate38.4%121st40.6%60th
Explosiveness0.999138th1.391126th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate38.7%120th41.3%66th
Rushing success rate43.1%82nd37.6%35th
Passing success rate36.1%121st45.8%116th
Explosive run rate7.8%133rd15.0%101st
Explosive pass rate3.2%138th12.2%116th
Line yards / carry2.42137th3.31117th
Opportunity rate35.3%117th38.7%90th
Stuff rate27.6%137th13.9%119th
Sack rate4.6%58th3.5%119th
3rd-down conversion33.3%123rd39.7%74th
Red-zone TD rate27.3%137th77.8%127th
Havoc rate19.0%137th8.2%138th
Box score · season totals
Points / game15.0135th32.7127th
Yards / game302.7132nd365.080th
Yards / play4.52134th6.00116th
Pass yards / game195.1104th188.936th
Yards / pass att.5.60135th7.92117th
Completion %56.0%119th68.9%133rd
Rush yards / game107.6127th176.1107th
Yards / carry3.50123rd4.91117th
3rd-down conv. %33.0%121st38.0%77th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.86131st0.43137th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.8670th1.14125th
Penalty yards / game77.1128th53.080th

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
9.0
54th of 138
YAC per catch
3.6
135th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
14%
67th of 138
Shotgun
94%
87th of 138
No-huddle
12%
123rd of 138
QB pressured
14%
48th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
14%
66th of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
5.6
41st of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws216 throws charted

56% comp9.0 avg. depth3.6 YAC/catch14% 20+ air yds7–7 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 15 throws (7%), 13 caught (87%), 54 yds, 3.6 per throw1587% · 54yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 20 throws (9%), 15 caught (75%), 83 yds, 4.2 per throw2075% · 83yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 12 throws (6%), 9 caught (75%), 69 yds, 5.8 per throw1275% · 69yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 10 throws (5%), 1 caught (10%), 13 yds, 1.3 per throw1010% · 13yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 3 caught (33%), 62 yds, 6.9 per throw933% · 62yLeft, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 36 yds, 18.0 per throw250% · 36yMiddle, Behind air yards: noneMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 14 throws (6%), 9 caught (64%), 78 yds, 5.6 per throw1464% · 78yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 12 throws (6%), 8 caught (67%), 65 yds, 5.4 per throw1267% · 65yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 13 throws (6%), 8 caught (62%), 110 yds, 8.5 per throw1362% · 110yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 4 caught (57%), 76 yds, 10.9 per throw757% · 76yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 1 caught (25%), 22 yds, 5.5 per throw425% · 22yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 1 throws (0%), 1 caught (100%), 55 yds, 55.0 per throw1100% · 55yRight, Behind air yards: 7 throws (3%), 5 caught (71%), 36 yds, 5.1 per throw771% · 36yRight, 0–4 air yards: 27 throws (13%), 19 caught (70%), 99 yds, 3.7 per throw2770% · 99yRight, 5–9 air yards: 27 throws (13%), 16 caught (59%), 149 yds, 5.5 per throw2759% · 149yRight, 10–14 air yards: 11 throws (5%), 7 caught (64%), 95 yds, 8.6 per throw1164% · 95yRight, 15–19 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 3 caught (38%), 52 yds, 6.5 per throw838% · 52yRight, 20–29 air yards: 11 throws (5%), 1 caught (9%), 24 yds, 2.2 per throw119% · 24yRight, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 1 caught (25%), 46 yds, 11.5 per throw425% · 46y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on151 throws charted

69% comp8.6 avg. depth5.6 YAC/catch17% 20+ air yds8–1 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 12 throws (8%), 12 caught (100%), 57 yds, 4.8 per throw12100% · 57yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 13 throws (9%), 10 caught (77%), 89 yds, 6.8 per throw1377% · 89yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 9 throws (6%), 5 caught (56%), 51 yds, 5.7 per throw956% · 51yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 2 caught (100%), 22 yds, 11.0 per throw2100% · 22yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 1 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 7 throws (5%), 3 caught (43%), 120 yds, 17.1 per throw743% · 120yLeft, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (2%), 1 caught (33%), 33 yds, 11.0 per throw333% · 33yMiddle, Behind air yards: 1 throws (1%), 1 caught (100%), 3 yds, 3.0 per throw1100% · 3yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 8 throws (5%), 7 caught (88%), 51 yds, 6.4 per throw888% · 51yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 8 throws (5%), 6 caught (75%), 65 yds, 8.1 per throw875% · 65yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 4 caught (80%), 63 yds, 12.6 per throw580% · 63yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 4 throws (3%), 3 caught (75%), 58 yds, 14.5 per throw475% · 58yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 1 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (2%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw30% · 0yRight, Behind air yards: 24 throws (16%), 22 caught (92%), 121 yds, 5.0 per throw2492% · 121yRight, 0–4 air yards: 12 throws (8%), 10 caught (83%), 57 yds, 4.8 per throw1283% · 57yRight, 5–9 air yards: 9 throws (6%), 6 caught (67%), 66 yds, 7.3 per throw967% · 66yRight, 10–14 air yards: 9 throws (6%), 3 caught (33%), 41 yds, 4.6 per throw933% · 41yRight, 15–19 air yards: 8 throws (5%), 3 caught (38%), 55 yds, 6.9 per throw838% · 55yRight, 20–29 air yards: 8 throws (5%), 2 caught (25%), 48 yds, 6.0 per throw825% · 48yRight, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (3%), 4 caught (100%), 139 yds, 34.8 per throw4100% · 139y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction192 carries

Left
14%
5.0 YPC · 50% succ.
Middle
73%
4.4 YPC · 42% succ.
Right
14%
5.6 YPC · 42% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced234 carries

Left
19%
6.9 YPC · 51% succ.
Middle
64%
4.7 YPC · 37% succ.
Right
17%
7.1 YPC · 53% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Alonzo Carter

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
6Brian Salazar Jr.QBSO6' 3"170Monrovia, CA
8Jackson SharmanQBJR6' 1"195Torrance, CA
11Jaylen PattersonQBFR6' 2"193Los Angeles, CA
17Carson ConklinQBJR6' 1"190Yorba Linda, CA
18Liam MeekerQBFR6' 2"210Manhattan Beach, CA
0Daniel SwinneyRBJR5' 10"225Louisville, KY
1Jamar CurtisRBSR5' 8"175Waldorf, MD
3Cincere RhaneyRBSO5' 10"210Los Angeles, CA
14Curron BordersRBSO5' 7"191Sacramento, CA
20Bryant CollinsRBJR6' 0"191Watts, CA
22Isaiah EneRBFR5' 8"212Roseville, CA
23Elias BrownRBSR6' 0"226Antelope, CA
25Davion GodleyRBJR5' 8"213Richmond, TX
34Montrell RiceRBFR6' 0"230Hayward, CA
2Matt ColemanWRSR6' 0"173Carson, CA
4Kenyon ShabazzWRJR6' 4"185Sacramento, CA
5Raiden BrownWRSO5' 11"175Long Beach, CA
9Ajon BryantWRSO5' 6"162Santa Ana, CA
12Onterrio Smith Jr.WRJR6' 2"189Sacramento, CA
14Drey GarnerWRFR6' 0"193San Diego, CA
15Dezmyn HardyWRFR6' 6"188North Hills, CA
19Guy Fernandez IIIWRFR6' 0"171Sherman Oaks, CA
21Kenneth PeevyWRFR5' 9"160Los Angeles, CA
80Carlton PerrilliatWRFR6' 3"185Oakland, CA
81Matthew AuauWRFR6' 3"185Santa Maria, CA
83Jaxon FresquesWRSO5' 7"167Layton, UT
82Kyle KoontzTESO6' 4"224Minden, NV
84Jahlil LindseyTEFR6' 6"235Oakland, CA
85Elijah HuddleTESO6' 3"220Citrus Heights, CA
86Jack HodgeTEFR6' 4"210Thornton, CO
87Luke MeekerTEFR6' 2"210Manhattan Beach, CA
88Cedric AntonTEJR6' 2"248Poppenhausen, Germany
53Elijah OrtizOLSR6' 1"305Union City, CA
54Shontrail KeyOLSR6' 5"290Chicago, IL
55Garrison BlankOLFR6' 7"328Rocklin, CA
56Jeremiah PonceOLFR6' 3"305Garden Grove, CA
57Luke SlaterOLSO6' 2"275Bellevue, WA
58Daniel MataeleOLFR6' 6"360Manteca, CA
63Jamin GuilbertOLJR6' 5"311Eureka, CA
64Brandon SousaOLSR6' 4"313Pleasanton, CA
65Giovanni KovacsOLSO6' 4"309Pleasanton, CA
66Hayden FrazierOLJR6' 3"286Cypress, CA
68Davis MayOLJR6' 4"339Bakersfield, CA
70Jaxon MooreOLFR6' 6"312Roseville, CA
71Bryson SummersOLSR6' 5"329El Dorado Hills, CA
72Shaan LathanOLJR6' 4"350San Jose, CA
74Vae SoifuaOLSR6' 4"308Orem, UT
75DeAnthony SheffieldOLJR6' 3"329Los Angeles, CA
76Alex KenwardOLSO6' 4"270Mason City, IA
77Jeremiah StallworthOLSO6' 7"325Palo Alto, CA
78Richard McKayOLJR6' 6"300Vallejo, CA
79Dylan SpencerOLJR6' 7"315Boulder City, NV
5Nick DimitrisDLSR6' 4"305Watts, CA
7Kaden BriggsDLJR6' 3"285Louisville, KY
32Peyton McCutcheonDLFR6' 3"225Lakewood, CA
50Federico CobarubioDLFR6' 2"303San Jose, CA
52Isiah Chala Jr.DLJR6' 4"275San Francisco, CA
54Brodie TagaloaDLSR6' 5"294Pittsburg, CA
55Miles BaileyDLSR6' 4"297Vallejo, CA
58Jamel Howard Jr.DLJR6' 2"307Chicago, IL
90Austin ChambersDLSO6' 2"270Madison, AL
91Maliek RichardsonDLJR6' 1"358Los Angeles, CA
93Malachi KindleDLSO6' 0"308Los Angeles, CA
94Austin AtenDLFR6' 4"240Sacramento, CA
98Collin KallhoffDLJR6' 4"268Hampshire, IL
99Devyn BlakeDLFR6' 1"300Huntington Beach, CA
4Dante AntoniniLBSR6' 1"226Petaluma, CA
8Darson JeantyLBSR6' 3"215Hillside, NJ
10Derek HoustonLBJR6' 1"223Rocklin, CA
11Ivan Moore Jr.LBSO6' 4"217Chicago, IL
15KJ JeffersonLBSO6' 0"209St. Louis, MO
16Leki HolaniLBFR6' 0"226Rancho Cucamonga, CA
17Dylan GoodenLBSO6' 4"215Columbia, MD
18Fata PulokaLBJR6' 3"224Sacramento, CA
31Jackson CahoonLBFR6' 0"219Mountain View, CA
33Alex RochaLBSR6' 1"213Bakersfield, CA
40Iosefa LealofiLBFR6' 0"215Barstow, CA
44Diego DavisLBSR6' 0"235Napa, CA
51Marcus BallLBFR6' 2"235Bellflower, CA
12Malikai NicholsCBSO5' 11"167Baltimore, MD
22Elias MullicanCBSR6' 1"180Rocklin, CA
24Kyle GurganiousCBSO5' 11"180Sacramento, CA
29Caleb ReeseCBFR5' 11"187Oceanside, CA
30Nikko KlemmCBSO5' 11"169Gardena, CA
38Tim Edwards Jr.CBFR6' 0"170Pittsburg, CA
1Boogsie SilveraSSR5' 11"200Pembroke Pines, FL
6Warren Smith Jr.SJR6' 2"189Richmond, CA
13Diesel GordonSJR6' 0"168Arlington, TX
14Joshua HolaniSFR5' 10"180Irvine, CA
23Chakai ScottSFR5' 9"172Ocoee, FL
25Naytel MitchellSFR5' 10"191Pittsburgh, PA
27Noah KingSFR6' 3"209Hamilton, OH
39Keyon MillsSSO5' 11"185Pasadena, CA
9Saul MarksPKFR6' 0"160San Francisco, CA
49Grant MeadorsPKJR5' 11"174Bakersfield, CA
35Jay BrockhausPJR6' 1"198Deltona, FL
37Hamish AdamsPFR6' 2"202Melbourne, Australia
46Mike MelansonPSR5' 11"182Las Vegas, NV
47Caden SimLSFR6' 1"200Buckeye, AZ
48Kellan SuttonLSJR6' 2"201Orange, CA

Updated Oct 21, 10:45 AM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →