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CUSA · 2026

Sam Houston Bearkats

Head coach Phil Longo · Elliott T. Bowers Stadium
1-50-2 in conference
TDC Rank
#125
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
-16.9
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-10.5
127th in FBS
Defense
-6.4
112th in FBS
Schedule so far
-6.9
89th toughest
Projected
3.5-8.5
bowl-eligible 5%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

-16.9 now, -21.7 preseason · up 7 spots since preseason
-20-100FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8#125

Final record odds

3.5-8.5 expected · most likely 3-9 (30%)
1-1116%2-1030%3-929%4-816%5-76-67-5

Team Leaders

National leaderboards →

Passing
Landyn Locke
QB · SO · 49th in FBS
1418yds
11 TD · 4 INT
Rushing
Alton McCaskill
RB · SR · 272nd in FBS
211yds
53 car · 1 TD
Receiving
Chris Reed
WR · SR · 176th in FBS
289yds
17 rec · 3 TD
Tackles
Dean Ford
LB · JR · 232nd in FBS
38tkl
3.5 TFL
Sacks
Elijah Groves
LB · JR · 149th in FBS
2.5sacks
4 hurries
Interceptions
Caesar Magee
CB · SR · 109th in FBS
1INT
1 PD

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5@108TroyL 21–24 ›-10.3—ESPN+
2Sep 12vs91TulsaL 17–23 ›-16.1—ESPN+
3Sep 19vsNicholls FCSW 59–0 ›-6.8—ESPN+
4Sep 26@12Texas TechL 14–49 ›-4.8—TNT
5—Bye
6Oct 8@73LibertyCONFL 3–35 ›-24.1—ESPNU
7Oct 14vs111Western KentuckyCONFL 3–16 ›-28.9—ESPN
8Oct 21vs117New Mexico StateCONFSam Houston −1.2 · o/u 47.6—53%ESPN2
9Oct 27@121Missouri StateCONFMissouri State −4.7 · o/u 53.9—38%ESPN2
10Nov 7@97Jacksonville StateCONFJacksonville State −11.9 · o/u 52.1—21%CBSSN
11Nov 14vs110Kennesaw StateCONFKennesaw State −1.7 · o/u 43.1—46%
12Nov 21vs130Middle TennesseeCONFSam Houston −6.0 · o/u 49.2—66%
13Nov 28@112Florida InternationalCONFFlorida International −8.1 · o/u 40.4—30%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play-0.028127th+0.10681st
Success rate39.1%114th39.7%51st
Explosiveness1.23476th1.22164th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate39.5%112th39.2%47th
Rushing success rate38.7%114th45.3%105th
Passing success rate40.0%92nd31.6%3rd
Explosive run rate9.7%123rd18.2%132nd
Explosive pass rate7.0%128th6.2%12th
Line yards / carry2.51134th3.29116th
Opportunity rate36.3%106th43.8%127th
Stuff rate25.0%135th18.8%54th
Sack rate6.5%98th5.3%72nd
3rd-down conversion34.2%120th33.3%17th
Red-zone TD rate55.6%95th64.3%97th
Havoc rate18.5%135th17.7%11th
Box score · season totals
Points / game19.5123rd24.576th
Yards / game342.0108th338.253rd
Yards / play5.02117th5.0356th
Pass yards / game247.050th137.84th
Yards / pass att.7.0092nd5.302nd
Completion %62.6%80th50.0%2nd
Rush yards / game95.0135th200.3129th
Yards / carry3.10134th5.12122nd
3rd-down conv. %36.4%99th32.1%26th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.0041st1.1766th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.83120th2.0073rd
Penalty yards / game67.3108th57.263rd

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
7.4
118th of 138
YAC per catch
5.6
63rd of 138
Deep shots (20+)
12%
108th of 138
Shotgun
99%
15th of 138
No-huddle
82%
41st of 138
QB pressured
16%
28th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
17%
33rd of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
4.9
93rd of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws202 throws charted

63% comp7.4 avg. depth5.6 YAC/catch12% 20+ air yds12–5 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 18 throws (9%), 13 caught (72%), 54 yds, 3.0 per throw1872% · 54yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 16 throws (8%), 12 caught (75%), 74 yds, 4.6 per throw1675% · 74yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 15 throws (7%), 9 caught (60%), 116 yds, 7.7 per throw1560% · 116yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 6 caught (86%), 85 yds, 12.1 per throw786% · 85yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 1 throws (0%), 1 caught (100%), 15 yds, 15.0 per throw1100% · 15yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 1 throws (0%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yLeft, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 1 caught (25%), 65 yds, 16.3 per throw425% · 65yMiddle, Behind air yards: 6 throws (3%), 6 caught (100%), 9 yds, 1.5 per throw6100% · 9yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 15 throws (7%), 13 caught (87%), 118 yds, 7.9 per throw1587% · 118yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 24 throws (12%), 17 caught (71%), 149 yds, 6.2 per throw2471% · 149yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 12 throws (6%), 9 caught (75%), 217 yds, 18.1 per throw1275% · 217yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 1 throws (0%), 1 caught (100%), 37 yds, 37.0 per throw1100% · 37yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (1%), 1 caught (33%), 52 yds, 17.3 per throw333% · 52yRight, Behind air yards: 20 throws (10%), 15 caught (75%), 53 yds, 2.6 per throw2075% · 53yRight, 0–4 air yards: 15 throws (7%), 9 caught (60%), 42 yds, 2.8 per throw1560% · 42yRight, 5–9 air yards: 22 throws (11%), 10 caught (45%), 83 yds, 3.8 per throw2245% · 83yRight, 10–14 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 1 caught (14%), 18 yds, 2.6 per throw714% · 18yRight, 15–19 air yards: noneRight, 20–29 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 32 yds, 16.0 per throw250% · 32yRight, 30+ air yards: 11 throws (5%), 6 caught (55%), 252 yds, 22.9 per throw1155% · 252y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on142 throws charted

50% comp9.3 avg. depth4.9 YAC/catch20% 20+ air yds7–5 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 8 throws (6%), 6 caught (75%), 25 yds, 3.1 per throw875% · 25yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 18 throws (13%), 11 caught (61%), 68 yds, 3.8 per throw1861% · 68yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 16 throws (11%), 10 caught (63%), 104 yds, 6.5 per throw1663% · 104yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 4 throws (3%), 4 caught (100%), 59 yds, 14.8 per throw4100% · 59yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 1 throws (1%), 1 caught (100%), 23 yds, 23.0 per throw1100% · 23yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 8 throws (6%), 2 caught (25%), 53 yds, 6.6 per throw825% · 53yLeft, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0yMiddle, Behind air yards: 2 throws (1%), 2 caught (100%), 9 yds, 4.5 per throw2100% · 9yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 6 throws (4%), 2 caught (33%), 20 yds, 3.3 per throw633% · 20yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 4 throws (3%), 3 caught (75%), 25 yds, 6.3 per throw475% · 25yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 6 throws (4%), 2 caught (33%), 24 yds, 4.0 per throw633% · 24yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (4%), 1 caught (20%), 18 yds, 3.6 per throw520% · 18yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 28 yds, 14.0 per throw250% · 28yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0yRight, Behind air yards: 16 throws (11%), 13 caught (81%), 88 yds, 5.5 per throw1681% · 88yRight, 0–4 air yards: 8 throws (6%), 6 caught (75%), 50 yds, 6.3 per throw875% · 50yRight, 5–9 air yards: 12 throws (8%), 5 caught (42%), 42 yds, 3.5 per throw1242% · 42yRight, 10–14 air yards: 6 throws (4%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw60% · 0yRight, 15–19 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 16 yds, 8.0 per throw250% · 16yRight, 20–29 air yards: 9 throws (6%), 3 caught (33%), 72 yds, 8.0 per throw933% · 72yRight, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (4%), 1 caught (20%), 35 yds, 7.0 per throw520% · 35y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction160 carries

Left
27%
3.6 YPC · 47% succ.
Middle
51%
3.8 YPC · 40% succ.
Right
23%
6.4 YPC · 56% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced214 carries

Left
22%
7.9 YPC · 67% succ.
Middle
50%
5.2 YPC · 47% succ.
Right
28%
5.7 YPC · 39% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Phil Longo

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
8Landyn LockeQBSO6' 4"220Rockwall, TX
9Brett HollowayQBFR5' 11"210Melissa, TX
15DJ BaileyQBJR5' 11"220Desoto, TX
16Mason HoltzclawQBFR6' 4"205Belton, SC
18Shaan PatelQBFR6' 1"200Fulshear, TX
6Jerrian Parker Jr.RBJR5' 10"210Orlando, FL
10Landan BrownRBSR5' 11"215Denton, TX
20MJ DowdyRBFR5' 11"210Winder, GA
22Alton McCaskillRBSR6' 2"220Conroe, TX
25Ah'Marion Gaines-SmithRBSR5' 11"220Fresno, CA
43Nick NormanRBSR5' 9"205Houston, TX
0Darrick Bledsoe IIIWRSR5' 8"185Arlington, TX
1Aviyon Smith-MackWRSR5' 8"170St. Petersburg, FL
2Chris ReedWRSR6' 0"195Orlando, FL
3Tim Burns Jr.WRSR5' 10"170Miami, FL
4Alijah CasonWRJR5' 10"175Midlothian, TX
5Kyan Berry-JohnsonWRJR5' 11"185Chicago, IL
7Grady O'NeillWRSR5' 9"170Prior Lake, MN
11Kaleb MitchellWRSO6' 7"195Desoto, TX
12Kamari MaxwellWRSO6' 1"195Savannah, GA
13Ty SextonWRFR5' 10"180Katy, TX
19Konner DandridgeWRFR6' 0"195Cypress, TX
84Matthew TatumWRSR5' 8"170Huntsville, TX
88Terrence Guillory IIWRJR5' 9"170Houston, TX
14London DeyonTESO6' 4"235Galveston, TX
80Matt SmithTESR6' 4"245Needham, MA
82Cooper StevensTEJR6' 2"235Cypress, TX
85Cade HaysTESO6' 1"235Lubbock, TX
86Jack MerrymanTEFR6' 4"235Montgomery, TX
87Max WhisnerTESR6' 5"255Kansas City, MO
89Brock KuhlTESO6' 4"250Lorena, TX
52Cam ToddOLSR6' 2"305Raleigh, NC
54Brock StukesOLSR6' 3"310Chesapeake, VA
56Jeremiah EdmondOLSR6' 1"300Fort Myers, FL
57Zo'Maryon BryanOLSR6' 4"315Bay City, TX
58Carter KadowOLJR6' 8"315Middleton, WI
62Carter BuchheitOLJR6' 2"290Ede Gld, Netherlands
63Joe WarrenOLJR6' 4"310Greenwood, MS
64Josiah ChenaultOLSR6' 2"305Canton, OH
66Jimmy WallsOLSR6' 7"300Pittsburg, CA
67Isaac SohnOLJR6' 5"305Aledo, TX
68Logan CahillOLSO6' 4"310Long Island, NY
71Denell Nix Jr.OLSO6' 4"310Toledo, OH
72Myles JosephOLFR6' 4"315Vinton, LA
74Graceson SpannOLSO6' 5"305Melissa, TX
75Elijah CollinsOLJR6' 4"310Fort Myers, FL
76Nathan McClellandOLJR6' 5"310Richland, WA
1Josh Alexander-FeltonDEJR6' 3"265Orlando, FL
3Brody HendersonDESO6' 4"250Jenks, OK
14Bryen SpauldingDESR6' 3"260San Diego, CA
19Jayden FryDESO6' 3"235Raleigh, NC
28Zion TaylorDEJR6' 1"225Missouri City, TX
48Chauncey ChidiDESR6' 3"255Kumasi, Ghana
91Caius CoyDESO6' 3"255Jarrell, TX
10Darien JacksonDTSR6' 0"305Los Angeles, CA
90Uzziah WarmateDTFR5' 11"250Denton, TX
92Jarra AndersonDTSR6' 3"300Katy, TX
93Errol West Jr.DTFR6' 0"290Little Rock, AR
95She'Fon BoydDTJR6' 0"300Andrews, SC
97Dylan FrazierDTSR6' 5"280Celina, TX
98Justin TerrellDTJR6' 3"310Rome, GA
99Dimitry NicolasDTJR6' 4"295Miami, FL
12Elijah GrovesLBJR6' 5"245Cross Plains, TN
18Stacy BeyLBSO6' 0"210Fontana, CA
21Dean FordLBJR6' 1"230Houston, TX
23Mike King Jr.LBJR6' 0"215Racine, WI
26Tokyo GordonLBSR6' 2"215Eatonville, FL
32Kade HoustonLBSR6' 1"225Montgomery, TX
33Brian Bates Jr.LBSR6' 1"230Centreville, VA
37Ryan MalloryLBFR6' 0"205Richmond, TX
42Ca'lub HollowayLBSR6' 1"245Fort Worth, TX
44Ray ChathamLBJR6' 1"210Houston, TX
45Eli WallaceLBSR5' 11"215Dallas, TX
2Justin CottrellCBSR6' 1"175West Columbia, TX
5Ishmel AtkinsCBSR6' 4"200Greensboro, NC
7Caesar MageeCBSR6' 2"195New Orleans, LA
17Octavius HendersonCBSR6' 3"190Nashville, TN
34Julian MayfieldCBFR5' 10"185Dallas, TX
35Jabaric SullivanCBFR6' 0"180The Woodlands, TX
38O'Kece BattleCBFR5' 11"175
38O'Kece BattleCBFRCocoa
39Joseph OparaCBFR5' 10"180Sugar Land, TX
43Evan OdomCBSO6' 0"175Golden Gate, FL
4Jalyn StanfordSSR5' 10"200Tulsa, OK
6Jaylon JonesSJR6' 1"180Fresno, CA
8Tyler BaileySSR6' 0"195Prosper, TX
9Jace ArnoldSSR5' 11"185Douglasville, GA
11CJ JuneSFR5' 9"190Prince George County, MD
13Railyn AdamsSJR6' 0"185Newton, TX
15Cameron FranklinSSR6' 2"200Sweeny, TX
16Aaron EdwardsSJR6' 3"205Oklahoma City, OK
27Robert McFarlandSFR5' 10"205Houston, TX
29Lyric SmithSJR6' 0"190Clarendon, TX
36Marcus Bourda Jr.SFR6' 1"185Humble, TX
81Nico OttomanelliPKJR6' 3"200Harrington Park, NJ
83Tate RyanPKSO6' 0"180The Woodlands, TX
94Sam CarpenterPKSR5' 11"180Foxborough, MA
31Cal JosephPSO6' 1"195Melbourne, Australia
47Victor GamboaLSFR6' 0"225Cypress, TX
49Cameron McCullochLSJR6' 4"220Houston, TX

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2023

Final rating by season

Best: 2024 (-2.7, #83) · worst: 2025 (-17.2, #134)
-20-15-10-50FBS avg202320242025#134
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far1-50-2#125-16.9-10.5-6.4
20252-101-7#134-17.2-9.0-8.2
202410-36-2#83-2.7-4.8+2.1
20233-92-6#119-10.2-7.5-2.7

Sam Houston's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Oct 21, 10:45 AM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →