#11
NC State · 2026

CJ Bailey

QBJunior6' 6", 218 lbsMiami, FL
NC State Wolfpack3-3 · TDC #64
Snap share
82%
5 of 6 started · 348 of 424 snaps
Pass yards
1507
42nd of 265 in FBS
TD – INT
9–4
Yards / att.
8.0
51st of 141 in FBS
Completion
66.7%
43rd of 141 in FBS
EPA / play
+0.28
51st of 156 QBs

Efficiency & Role

EPA = expected points added per play. Compared with every FBS QB who qualifies

EPA per play by situation

233 plays · +65.8 total EPA · 51st of 156 qualifying QBs
All plays+0.28
Passing+0.35
Rushing-0.01
1st down-0.00
2nd down+0.23
3rd down+0.98
Standard downs+0.05
Passing downs+0.58
BaileyQB average

Share of team plays

How often the offense runs through this player. Pass = targets or dropbacks, rush = carries
All plays54%
Pass plays92%
Run plays18%
1st down45%
2nd down59%
3rd down66%
Standard downs44%
Passing downs76%
BaileyQB average

Advanced

Computed from every play, garbage time excluded. FBS rank among players with enough volume

PassingValueFBS rank
Dropbacks171—
Success rate51.5%16th / 170
Explosive pass rate11.5%61st / 170
Deep-throw rate13.3%81st / 170
Sack rate3.5%50th / 170
Interception rate2.4%—
3rd-down conversion54.3%12th / 170
RushingValueFBS rank
Carries33—
Success rate33.3%—
Explosive run rate9.1%—
Stuffed at the line24.2%—
First downs6—
Red-zone carries8—
Goal-line carries2—

Charting

Where Bailey's plays went: throw and catch spots, air yards and yards after the catch, read from the play-by-play

Avg. depth of throw
9.1
air yards per attempt
Deep shots
14%
throws 20+ air yards
YAC per completion
5.1
626 yds after the catch
Air yards
843
of 1469 yds on charted throws
Pressured
10%
hurried or sacked · 9 sacks

Where he throws182 throws charted

66% comp9.1 avg. depth5.1 YAC/catch14% 20+ air yds9–4 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 3 throws (2%), 3 caught (100%), 7 yds, 2.3 per throw3100% · 7yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 12 throws (7%), 10 caught (83%), 52 yds, 4.3 per throw1283% · 52yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 15 throws (8%), 12 caught (80%), 110 yds, 7.3 per throw1580% · 110yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 2 caught (67%), 27 yds, 9.0 per throw367% · 27yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 5 caught (71%), 98 yds, 14.0 per throw771% · 98yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 3 caught (60%), 77 yds, 15.4 per throw560% · 77yLeft, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (2%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw30% · 0yMiddle, Behind air yards: 5 throws (3%), 5 caught (100%), 26 yds, 5.2 per throw5100% · 26yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 6 caught (75%), 83 yds, 10.4 per throw875% · 83yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 15 throws (8%), 9 caught (60%), 69 yds, 4.6 per throw1560% · 69yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 2 caught (40%), 30 yds, 6.0 per throw540% · 30yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 1 caught (25%), 19 yds, 4.8 per throw425% · 19yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 3 caught (60%), 101 yds, 20.2 per throw560% · 101yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 1 throws (1%), 1 caught (100%), 34 yds, 34.0 per throw1100% · 34yRight, Behind air yards: 15 throws (8%), 13 caught (87%), 114 yds, 7.6 per throw1587% · 114yRight, 0–4 air yards: 18 throws (10%), 15 caught (83%), 100 yds, 5.6 per throw1883% · 100yRight, 5–9 air yards: 23 throws (13%), 17 caught (74%), 179 yds, 7.8 per throw2374% · 179yRight, 10–14 air yards: 13 throws (7%), 6 caught (46%), 86 yds, 6.6 per throw1346% · 86yRight, 15–19 air yards: 11 throws (6%), 7 caught (64%), 164 yds, 14.9 per throw1164% · 164yRight, 20–29 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 2 caught (33%), 47 yds, 7.8 per throw633% · 47yRight, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (3%), 1 caught (20%), 46 yds, 9.2 per throw520% · 46y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Run direction35 carries

Left
23%
5.5 YPC · 88% succ.
Middle
37%
5.1 YPC · 38% succ.
Right
40%
4.5 YPC · 36% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.
2025 charting · NC State

2025 season. ESPN's play-by-play only has throw and catch spots for part of 2025 (6 of Bailey’s games here), so treat the maps as a sample.

Avg. depth of throw
9.3
air yards per attempt
Deep shots
15%
throws 20+ air yards
YAC per completion
4.0
347 yds after the catch
Air yards
585
of 932 yds on charted throws
Pressured
14%
hurried or sacked · 8 sacks

Where he throws136 throws charted

68% comp9.3 avg. depth4.0 YAC/catch15% 20+ air yds25–10 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 5 throws (4%), 5 caught (100%), 10 yds, 2.0 per throw5100% · 10yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 18 throws (13%), 14 caught (78%), 74 yds, 4.1 per throw1878% · 74yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 8 throws (6%), 6 caught (75%), 55 yds, 6.9 per throw875% · 55yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 4 throws (3%), 2 caught (50%), 27 yds, 6.8 per throw450% · 27yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (4%), 3 caught (60%), 52 yds, 10.4 per throw560% · 52yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 1 caught (33%), 29 yds, 9.7 per throw333% · 29yLeft, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (4%), 2 caught (40%), 70 yds, 14.0 per throw540% · 70yMiddle, Behind air yards: 1 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 8 throws (6%), 6 caught (75%), 35 yds, 4.4 per throw875% · 35yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 7 throws (5%), 4 caught (57%), 35 yds, 5.0 per throw757% · 35yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 7 throws (5%), 5 caught (71%), 67 yds, 9.6 per throw771% · 67yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 24 yds, 12.0 per throw250% · 24yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 2 caught (67%), 49 yds, 16.3 per throw367% · 49yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 37 yds, 18.5 per throw250% · 37yRight, Behind air yards: 13 throws (10%), 9 caught (69%), 63 yds, 4.8 per throw1369% · 63yRight, 0–4 air yards: 12 throws (9%), 11 caught (92%), 60 yds, 5.0 per throw1292% · 60yRight, 5–9 air yards: 13 throws (10%), 7 caught (54%), 67 yds, 5.2 per throw1354% · 67yRight, 10–14 air yards: 9 throws (7%), 4 caught (44%), 51 yds, 5.7 per throw944% · 51yRight, 15–19 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 1 caught (33%), 27 yds, 9.0 per throw333% · 27yRight, 20–29 air yards: 4 throws (3%), 2 caught (50%), 49 yds, 12.3 per throw450% · 49yRight, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (3%), 1 caught (25%), 51 yds, 12.8 per throw425% · 51y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Run direction27 carries

Left
33%
8.9 YPC · 89% succ.
Middle
37%
7.0 YPC · 80% succ.
Right
30%
7.1 YPC · 88% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Career

3 seasons since 2014 · box-score totals, snap share estimated from play-by-play

SeasonTeamGSnapsCmp/AttPass ydsTD–INTY/ADropback SRCarRush ydsY/CRush TDRush SR
2026 so farNC State#64 · 3-3682%126/18915079–48.051.5%471182.5233.3%
2025NC State#42 · 8-51388%273/397310525–97.844.1%892152.4648.3%
2024NC State#78 · 6-71278%196/302241317–108.046.3%992792.8555.4%

Past seasons are summed from ESPN box scores; success rates and snap shares come from the play-by-play. CJ Bailey's team rank is that season's final TDC rank. A dash means the stat wasn't recorded.

Game Log

CJ Bailey's box score, game by game, from ESPN, with a 0–10 game score for each (hover it for how it works). Click a result for the full game

6.1 avg. game scoreBest: 8.5 vs Richmond (Week 2)1 of 6 games at 8.0+
PassingRushing
WkOpponentResultGame scoreCmpAttPctYdsY/ATDINTCarYdsY/CTDLong
1@VirginiaL 8–342.8122352.2843.70110333.3013
2RichmondW 73–08.5131776.528116.5106254.2118
3@VanderbiltL 31–356.2253767.62757.4319353.9028
4App StateW 41–316.6243372.72537.721263.015
5LouisvilleW 31–287.5244060.03739.3217192.709
6Wake ForestL 14–385.0283971.82416.2101300.0010
2026 · 6 games6.112618966.715078.094471182.5228

2026 Season Stats

FBS rank among qualifying players

Passing2026FBS rank
Completions126—
Attempts189—
Completion %66.7%43rd / 141
Yards150742nd / 265
Yards / att.851st / 141
Touchdowns959th / 265
Interceptions4—
Rushing2026FBS rank
Carries47—
Yards118416th / 1453
Yards / carry2.5300th / 326
Touchdowns2220th / 630
Long28—
Receiving2026FBS rank
Receptions11611th / 1994
Yards0—
Yards / catch0—
Touchdowns0—
Long0—
Fumbles2026FBS rank
Fumbles3—
Lost3—
Recovered0—

Snaps by Game

Estimated snaps: every offensive play credited to the QB running the offense. Close to a true snap count

GameStartTeam playsEst. snapsPlays involvedPenaltiesSnap share
Wk 1 · Virginia✓ QB513933·76%
Wk 2 · Richmond✓ QB703825·54%
Wk 3 · Vanderbilt✓ QB786546183%
Wk 4 · App State✓ QB787237·92%
Wk 5 · Louisville✓ QB847450·88%
Wk 6 · Wake Forest—636052·95%
Season5 GS424348243182%

Position Room

3 QBs on the NC State roster, ordered by att

#PlayerPosClassAttYdsTDINTEPA/play
11CJ BaileyQBJR189150794+0.28
Will WilsonQB123520+0.39
12Tad HudsonQBSR—————

Stats, EPA and usage come from CollegeFootballData.com and refresh daily. FBS ranks only count players with enough volume for the stat to mean something. Qualifying for EPA takes 12+ plays per team game. NC State depth chart →