Big 12 · 2026

Arizona Wildcats

Head coach Brent Brennan · Casino Del Sol Stadium
5-12-1 in conference
TDC Rank
#25
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+12.5
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+6.4
29th in FBS
Defense
+6.1
28th in FBS
Schedule so far
-6.1
87th toughest
Projected
8.4-3.6
bowl-eligible 100%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

+12.5 now, +10.2 preseason · up 3 spots since preseason
0+5+10+15FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8#25

Final record odds

8.4-3.6 expected · most likely 8-4 (32%)
5-76-617%7-532%8-430%9-314%10-211-1

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5vsNorthern Arizona FCSW 35–7 ›+3.6—ESPN+
2Sep 12@14BYUCONFL 17–28 ›+9.8—FOX
3Sep 19vs132Northern IllinoisW 42–17 ›+0.5—TNT
4Sep 26@95Washington StateW 34–24 ›+6.5—CBS
5Oct 3vs55CincinnatiCONFW 34–7 ›+25.1—Fox
6Oct 10@70West VirginiaCONFW 52–31 ›+24.7—TNT
7—Bye
8Oct 24vs45Iowa StateCONFArizona −9.4 · o/u 53.3—74%ESPN2
9Oct 31@12Texas TechCONFTexas Tech −10.5 · o/u 57.1—24%
10Nov 6vs41TCUCONFArizona −8.9 · o/u 43.8—72%ESPN
11Nov 14vs8UtahCONFUtah −6.1 · o/u 57.0—34%
12Nov 21@37Kansas StateCONFArizona −0.2 · o/u 57.7—50%
13Nov 28vs62Arizona StateCONFArizona −13.8 · o/u 59.1—82%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.27220th-0.04016th
Success rate50.3%11th35.5%21st
Explosiveness1.25761st1.382124th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate50.3%13th35.2%18th
Rushing success rate48.3%33rd36.6%26th
Passing success rate51.9%12th34.0%13th
Explosive run rate17.4%23rd13.1%67th
Explosive pass rate15.2%17th8.4%39th
Line yards / carry3.1965th2.7735th
Opportunity rate42.3%37th33.1%29th
Stuff rate18.8%91st21.7%26th
Sack rate7.6%111th6.8%40th
3rd-down conversion59.0%4th40.0%77th
Red-zone TD rate73.7%22nd46.7%23rd
Havoc rate14.4%95th13.9%68th
Box score · season totals
Points / game35.728th19.032nd
Yards / game456.521st330.545th
Yards / play6.5720th4.6525th
Pass yards / game306.710th214.275th
Yards / pass att.9.1016th6.4942nd
Completion %72.4%4th58.1%36th
Rush yards / game149.882nd116.337th
Yards / carry4.5063rd3.3434th
3rd-down conv. %54.8%4th39.6%91st
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.3380th0.83116th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.67114th3.177th
Penalty yards / game56.872nd48.0108th

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
8.6
73rd of 138
YAC per catch
5.5
73rd of 138
Deep shots (20+)
16%
42nd of 138
Shotgun
95%
69th of 138
No-huddle
36%
90th of 138
QB pressured
11%
100th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
14%
71st of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
4.3
125th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws191 throws charted

72% comp8.6 avg. depth5.5 YAC/catch16% 20+ air yds16–6 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 12 throws (6%), 9 caught (75%), 56 yds, 4.7 per throw1275% · 56yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 18 throws (9%), 17 caught (94%), 109 yds, 6.1 per throw1894% · 109yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 19 throws (10%), 18 caught (95%), 185 yds, 9.7 per throw1995% · 185yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 1 caught (33%), 15 yds, 5.0 per throw333% · 15yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw30% · 0yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 3 caught (43%), 65 yds, 9.3 per throw743% · 65yLeft, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (3%), 3 caught (60%), 113 yds, 22.6 per throw560% · 113yMiddle, Behind air yards: 1 throws (1%), 1 caught (100%), 3 yds, 3.0 per throw1100% · 3yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 11 throws (6%), 10 caught (91%), 179 yds, 16.3 per throw1191% · 179yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 7 caught (100%), 90 yds, 12.9 per throw7100% · 90yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 4 caught (50%), 79 yds, 9.9 per throw850% · 79yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 2 caught (100%), 33 yds, 16.5 per throw2100% · 33yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: noneMiddle, 30+ air yards: 1 throws (1%), 1 caught (100%), 34 yds, 34.0 per throw1100% · 34yRight, Behind air yards: 10 throws (5%), 9 caught (90%), 46 yds, 4.6 per throw1090% · 46yRight, 0–4 air yards: 27 throws (14%), 21 caught (78%), 148 yds, 5.5 per throw2778% · 148yRight, 5–9 air yards: 23 throws (12%), 17 caught (74%), 144 yds, 6.3 per throw2374% · 144yRight, 10–14 air yards: 12 throws (6%), 8 caught (67%), 113 yds, 9.4 per throw1267% · 113yRight, 15–19 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 3 caught (75%), 60 yds, 15.0 per throw475% · 60yRight, 20–29 air yards: 10 throws (5%), 5 caught (50%), 166 yds, 16.6 per throw1050% · 166yRight, 30+ air yards: 8 throws (4%), 2 caught (25%), 89 yds, 11.1 per throw825% · 89y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on192 throws charted

58% comp9.5 avg. depth4.3 YAC/catch18% 20+ air yds6–3 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 11 throws (6%), 7 caught (64%), -3 yds, -0.3 per throw1164% · -3yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 16 throws (8%), 9 caught (56%), 60 yds, 3.8 per throw1656% · 60yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 21 throws (11%), 13 caught (62%), 85 yds, 4.0 per throw2162% · 85yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 1 caught (14%), 12 yds, 1.7 per throw714% · 12yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 2 caught (33%), 47 yds, 7.8 per throw633% · 47yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 11 throws (6%), 3 caught (27%), 78 yds, 7.1 per throw1127% · 78yLeft, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (3%), 2 caught (40%), 36 yds, 7.2 per throw540% · 36yMiddle, Behind air yards: noneMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 7 caught (88%), 61 yds, 7.6 per throw888% · 61yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 4 caught (57%), 35 yds, 5.0 per throw757% · 35yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 9 throws (5%), 7 caught (78%), 118 yds, 13.1 per throw978% · 118yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 1 caught (33%), 17 yds, 5.7 per throw333% · 17yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 37 yds, 18.5 per throw250% · 37yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0yRight, Behind air yards: 13 throws (7%), 13 caught (100%), 82 yds, 6.3 per throw13100% · 82yRight, 0–4 air yards: 29 throws (15%), 24 caught (83%), 158 yds, 5.4 per throw2983% · 158yRight, 5–9 air yards: 18 throws (9%), 11 caught (61%), 110 yds, 6.1 per throw1861% · 110yRight, 10–14 air yards: 9 throws (5%), 4 caught (44%), 56 yds, 6.2 per throw944% · 56yRight, 15–19 air yards: 1 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yRight, 20–29 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 1 caught (13%), 20 yds, 2.5 per throw813% · 20yRight, 30+ air yards: 6 throws (3%), 2 caught (33%), 107 yds, 17.8 per throw633% · 107y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction173 carries

Left
23%
5.8 YPC · 53% succ.
Middle
62%
4.8 YPC · 38% succ.
Right
15%
6.3 YPC · 65% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced186 carries

Left
20%
5.9 YPC · 50% succ.
Middle
63%
3.6 YPC · 35% succ.
Right
17%
4.5 YPC · 35% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Brent Brennan

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
1Noah FifitaQBSR5' 10"190Huntington Beach, CA
7Sawyer AndersonQBSO5' 11"180Dallas, TX
9Oscar RiosQBFR6' 3"170Norwalk, CA
15Mason BrayQBJR6' 1"195Phoenix, AZ
16Luke HaugoQBSO6' 5"205Scottsdale, AZ
3Kedrick ReescanoRBSR6' 0"215New Caney, TX
21Ismail MahdiRBSR5' 9"185Murphy, TX
24Quincy CraigRBSR5' 10"200Garden Grove, CA
27Lohgan BottjerRBJR6' 1"210Limon, CO
44Antwan Roberts Jr.RBSR6' 0"200Nashville, TN
2R.J. MosleyWRFR6' 3"197Brentwood, CA
4DJ JordanWRJR6' 0"190Watts, CA
5Giovanni RichardsonWRSO5' 10"180Rockford, IL
10Jordan RossWRJR5' 10"185Compton, CA
11Chris Hunter IIIWRSR6' 1"195New Orleans, LA
12Tre SpiveyWRSR6' 4"215Chandler, AZ
17Isaiah MizellWRSO6' 1"170Orlando, FL
18Brandon PhelpsWRJR6' 3"207Gilbert, AZ
20Caleb SmithWRFR5' 8"170Allen, TX
81Scotty BrennanWRSO6' 4"185Los Gatos, CA
82Landon KelseyWRSO6' 4"215Portland, OR
84Rodney Gallagher IIIWRSR5' 10"180Uniontown, PA
89Jordan McCord IIIWRJR5' 11"175Soquel, CA
8Shane KingTESO6' 3"240Gainesville, GA
14Cole RuskTESR6' 5"245Rock Island, IL
83Tyler MustainTESR6' 2"237Tucson, AZ
85Kellan FordTESO6' 5"245Danville, CA
86Arthur BanTEJR6' 4"247Portland, OR
87Tyler PowellTESR6' 7"245Phoenix, AZ
88Henry GabalisTEFR6' 6"240Duvall, WA
54Keona PeatOLSR6' 1"290Chandler, AZ
55Nathan HaleOLSR6' 4"315Orange, CA
58Zach HenningOLSR6' 4"310Centennial, CO
62Javian GooOLSO6' 4"305Kapolei, HI
63Alexander DoostOLSR6' 7"335Phoenix, AZ
66Jaxon GriffinOLSO6' 6"295Mesa, AZ
68Malachi JoynerOLFR6' 3"300Gilbert, AZ
71Tristan BoundsOLSR6' 8"320Bethesda, MD
72Louis AkpaOLSO6' 6"310South San Francisco, CA
73Matthew LadoOLJR6' 6"320Glendale, AZ
76Khalil SanogoOLFR6' 4"340Dallas, TX
77Jake GriffinOLSR6' 5"310Mesa, AZ
78Grayson StovallOLSR6' 3"325Chandler, AZ
79Isaac PerezOLSR6' 3"335Corona, CA
3Tre SmithDLSR6' 5"265Mesa, AZ
27Keytrin HarrisDLFR6' 6"305Las Vegas, NV
38Kevin Moorer Jr.DLJR6' 3"280Mobile, AL
41Julian SavaiinaeaDLSR6' 3"290Tafuna, American Samoa
42Dominic LolesioDLSR6' 4"265Long Beach, CA
45Victory JohnsonDLSR6' 3"255San Diego, CA
51Kaisi LafitagaDLFR6' 2"300Pago Pago, American Samoa
52Dustin PetrasDLFR6' 1"225Hilo, HI
53Christian MadoskiDLSR6' 3"263Glendale, AZ
78Manoah FaupusaDLFR6' 0"377Long Beach, CA
91Porter PattonDLSO6' 7"270Austin, TX
92Ezra FunaDLSR6' 2"295Anaheim, CA
95Leroy PaluDLSR6' 3"295Corona, CA
96Zac SiulepaDLSR6' 6"367Gold Coast, Australia
99Mays PeseDLSO6' 3"290Santa Barbara, CA
0Dash FifitaLBFR5' 7"190Huntington Beach, CA
6Taye BrownLBSR6' 2"230Chandler, AZ
7Chase KennedyLBSR6' 3"235Dallas, TX
10Myron RobinsonLBSO6' 1"225San Antonio, TX
11Jabari MannLBJR6' 0"220San Mateo, CA
16Everett Roussaw Jr.LBSR6' 2"235Atlanta, GA
18Carter JonesLBSO6' 0"230Coto De Caza, CA
19Max HarrisLBSR6' 0"230Mansfield, TX
26Coleman PatmonLBSO6' 2"225Del Valle, TX
29Jaden ParkerLBFR6' 1"255Anna, TX
36Dominic HangerLBSR6' 1"223Chandler, AZ
39Jacob BuggieLBJR6' 2"215Phoenix, AZ
40Brandon CraddockLBSR5' 10"223Phoenix, AZ
48Cooper BlomstromLBSR6' 2"245Dover, NH
55Leviticus Su'aLBSR6' 2"235Moreno Valley, CA
8Jay'Vion ColeCBSR5' 10"190Oakland, CA
9Tyrese BossCBJR5' 11"185Rialto, CA
12Dwight Bootle IICBSR5' 9"175Miami, FL
24Kingston SpiveyCBFR5' 8"185Chandler, AZ
28Swayde GriffinCBSO6' 2"200Lago Vista, TX
30Xaier HilerCBFR6' 3"190Denton, TX
31Aiden MillerCBJR5' 11"193Phoenix, AZ
2Daylen AustinSSR6' 0"193Long Beach, CA
4Matai Tagoa'iSSO6' 4"205Las Vegas, NV
13Cam ChapaSJR5' 11"195Aurora, CO
14Hannibal Navies IISFR6' 2"207Buford, GA
15Malcolm Hartzog Jr.SSR5' 8"190Silver Creek, MS
17Lee Molette IIISSR6' 1"195Nashville, TN
20Dajon HintonSSO5' 10"185San Diego, CA
21Johno PriceSSR6' 2"183East Palo Alto, CA
23Gavin HunterSSR6' 2"208Ewa Beach, HI
33Kason BrownSSO6' 4"203Big Lake, TX
34James PikeSFR5' 11"195Phoenix, AZ
35Quinn OlsonSJR6' 3"205Sioux City, IA
47Harold Lusk IISSO6' 2"212Seaside, CA
19Michael Salgado-MedinaPKJR6' 3"203Mission Viejo, CA
34Carter SchwartzPJR6' 3"227Louisville, KY
37Chase RidleyPSO6' 3"240Perth, Australia
98Ian FrenchPFR5' 11"205Dripping Springs, TX
43Drew NicolsonLSSR5' 11"235Tempe, AZ
47Braxton HartLSFR5' 9"207Tulsa, OK

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2023 (+9.1, #17) · worst: 2021 (-11.7, #119)
-100+10FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#29
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far5-12-1#25+12.5+6.4+6.1
20259-46-3#29+7.2+2.3+4.8
20244-82-7#102-5.4-3.5-1.8
202310-37-2#17+9.1+5.8+3.3
20225-73-6#94-5.5+2.3-7.7
20211-111-8#119-11.7-7.8-4.0
20200-50-5#116-10.4-6.2-4.2
20194-82-7#101-6.2+0.4-6.6
20185-74-5#80-1.3+2.6-3.9
20177-65-4#57+1.7+9.4-7.7
20163-91-8#98-7.1-0.2-6.9
20157-63-6#63+1.4+7.0-5.6
201410-47-2#27+8.7+4.9+3.8

Arizona's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Oct 22, 3:47 AM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →