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Big 12 · 2026

Arizona State Sun Devils

Head coach Kenny Dillingham · Mountain America Stadium
3-31-2 in conference
TDC Rank
#62
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+2.5
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+3.9
45th in FBS
Defense
-1.4
78th in FBS
Schedule so far
+0.2
41st toughest
Projected
5.1-6.9
bowl-eligible 35%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

+2.5 now, +5.0 preseason · down 19 spots since preseason
0+5+10FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8#62

Final record odds

5.1-6.9 expected · most likely 5-7 (33%)
7%3-924%4-833%5-724%6-69%7-58-4

Team Leaders

National leaderboards →

Passing
Cutter Boley
QB · JR · 56th in FBS
1353yds
13 TD · 5 INT
Rushing
Kyson Brown
RB · SR · 142nd in FBS
329yds
60 car · 1 TD
Receiving
Reed Harris
WR · SR · 10th in FBS
653yds
41 rec · 8 TD
Tackles
Owen Long
LB · JR · 36th in FBS
54tkl
1.5 TFL
Sacks
Julian Hugo
DL · FR · 95th in FBS
3sacks
3 hurries
Interceptions
Lyrik Rawls
DB · SR · 109th in FBS
1INT
2 PD

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5vsMorgan State FCSW 70–7 ›+4.0—ESPN+
2Sep 12@29Texas A&ML 20–48 ›-9.7—ABC
3Sep 19vs38KansasCONFNEUTRALW 24–17 ›+14.9—FS1
4—Bye
5Oct 3vs46BaylorCONFL 19–55 ›-25.4—ESPN
6Oct 10vs118Hawai'iW 30–12 ›-0.2—FS1
7Oct 17@12Texas TechCONFL 25–53 ›-2.4—Fox
8Oct 24vs37Kansas StateCONFKansas State −2.2 · o/u 62.5—44%ESPN2
9Oct 31@14BYUCONFBYU −18.3 · o/u 55.9—11%Fox
10Nov 7vs56ColoradoCONFArizona State −2.8 · o/u 52.9—57%
11Nov 14@51UCFCONFUCF −6.8 · o/u 54.9—33%
12Nov 21vs39Oklahoma StateCONFOklahoma State −1.4 · o/u 66.2—46%
13Nov 28@25ArizonaCONFArizona −13.8 · o/u 59.1—18%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.053105th+0.13492nd
Success rate43.6%60th42.2%85th
Explosiveness1.21987th1.29396th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate43.7%69th41.6%71st
Rushing success rate42.3%91st42.8%72nd
Passing success rate45.1%49th40.8%73rd
Explosive run rate16.1%42nd15.2%103rd
Explosive pass rate13.0%31st8.6%44th
Line yards / carry3.0686th3.28114th
Opportunity rate38.9%76th39.1%93rd
Stuff rate18.8%91st14.5%112th
Sack rate4.9%67th5.1%81st
3rd-down conversion30.5%133rd37.5%51st
Red-zone TD rate41.7%128th58.8%68th
Havoc rate15.4%118th14.7%54th
Box score · season totals
Points / game31.356th32.0120th
Yards / game420.350th373.290th
Yards / play5.9852nd5.4684th
Pass yards / game276.723rd216.380th
Yards / pass att.7.8056th6.3939th
Completion %63.7%68th56.6%26th
Rush yards / game143.788th156.893rd
Yards / carry4.4071st4.80108th
3rd-down conv. %30.8%128th37.6%74th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.67113th1.0086th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.50107th1.8385th
Penalty yards / game42.017th32.5136th

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
7.8
104th of 138
YAC per catch
6.7
16th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
10%
126th of 138
Shotgun
94%
83rd of 138
No-huddle
89%
22nd of 138
QB pressured
13%
62nd of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
17%
30th of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
3.6
138th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws205 throws charted

63% comp7.8 avg. depth6.7 YAC/catch10% 20+ air yds15–6 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 22 throws (11%), 17 caught (77%), 141 yds, 6.4 per throw2277% · 141yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 14 throws (7%), 11 caught (79%), 97 yds, 6.9 per throw1479% · 97yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 24 throws (12%), 17 caught (71%), 145 yds, 6.0 per throw2471% · 145yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 3 caught (43%), 92 yds, 13.1 per throw743% · 92yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 4 caught (57%), 83 yds, 11.9 per throw757% · 83yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 2 caught (29%), 65 yds, 9.3 per throw729% · 65yLeft, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 41 yds, 20.5 per throw250% · 41yMiddle, Behind air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 2 yds, 1.0 per throw250% · 2yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 4 caught (67%), 26 yds, 4.3 per throw667% · 26yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 6 caught (75%), 60 yds, 7.5 per throw875% · 60yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 7 caught (78%), 115 yds, 12.8 per throw978% · 115yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 2 caught (50%), 79 yds, 19.8 per throw450% · 79yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 1 throws (0%), 1 caught (100%), 25 yds, 25.0 per throw1100% · 25yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (1%), 1 caught (33%), 30 yds, 10.0 per throw333% · 30yRight, Behind air yards: 19 throws (9%), 18 caught (95%), 133 yds, 7.0 per throw1995% · 133yRight, 0–4 air yards: 21 throws (10%), 15 caught (71%), 97 yds, 4.6 per throw2171% · 97yRight, 5–9 air yards: 17 throws (8%), 10 caught (59%), 71 yds, 4.2 per throw1759% · 71yRight, 10–14 air yards: 13 throws (6%), 6 caught (46%), 86 yds, 6.6 per throw1346% · 86yRight, 15–19 air yards: 11 throws (5%), 4 caught (36%), 98 yds, 8.9 per throw1136% · 98yRight, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 1 caught (33%), 58 yds, 19.3 per throw333% · 58yRight, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (2%), 2 caught (40%), 109 yds, 21.8 per throw540% · 109y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on198 throws charted

57% comp9.6 avg. depth3.6 YAC/catch14% 20+ air yds10–3 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 10 throws (5%), 9 caught (90%), 21 yds, 2.1 per throw1090% · 21yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 17 throws (9%), 12 caught (71%), 69 yds, 4.1 per throw1771% · 69yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 23 throws (12%), 16 caught (70%), 146 yds, 6.3 per throw2370% · 146yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 15 throws (8%), 6 caught (40%), 89 yds, 5.9 per throw1540% · 89yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 9 throws (5%), 6 caught (67%), 134 yds, 14.9 per throw967% · 134yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 5 caught (63%), 149 yds, 18.6 per throw863% · 149yLeft, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (3%), 1 caught (20%), 32 yds, 6.4 per throw520% · 32yMiddle, Behind air yards: 1 throws (1%), 1 caught (100%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw1100% · 0yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 13 throws (7%), 5 caught (38%), 21 yds, 1.6 per throw1338% · 21yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 5 caught (63%), 53 yds, 6.6 per throw863% · 53yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 9 throws (5%), 5 caught (56%), 72 yds, 8.0 per throw956% · 72yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 4 caught (80%), 91 yds, 18.2 per throw580% · 91yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 1 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 1 throws (1%), 1 caught (100%), 47 yds, 47.0 per throw1100% · 47yRight, Behind air yards: 10 throws (5%), 6 caught (60%), 12 yds, 1.2 per throw1060% · 12yRight, 0–4 air yards: 17 throws (9%), 13 caught (76%), 70 yds, 4.1 per throw1776% · 70yRight, 5–9 air yards: 18 throws (9%), 10 caught (56%), 76 yds, 4.2 per throw1856% · 76yRight, 10–14 air yards: 12 throws (6%), 6 caught (50%), 105 yds, 8.8 per throw1250% · 105yRight, 15–19 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 1 caught (25%), 15 yds, 3.8 per throw425% · 15yRight, 20–29 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 2 caught (25%), 54 yds, 6.8 per throw825% · 54yRight, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 1 caught (25%), 42 yds, 10.5 per throw425% · 42y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction173 carries

Left
22%
4.5 YPC · 42% succ.
Middle
65%
6.1 YPC · 46% succ.
Right
13%
5.6 YPC · 55% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced176 carries

Left
20%
7.0 YPC · 49% succ.
Middle
58%
4.8 YPC · 39% succ.
Right
22%
7.1 YPC · 62% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Kenny Dillingham

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
2Jake FetteQBFR6' 1"190El Paso, TX
8Cutter BoleyQBJR6' 5"220Hodgenville, KY
12Mikey KeeneQBSR5' 11"200Chandler, AZ
13Cameron DyerQBSO6' 3"230Albuquerque, NM
1Kyson BrownRBSR6' 1"210Lancaster, TX
6Marquis GillisRBSR6' 0"220Milford, DE
21Grayson RigdonRBSO5' 11"200Columbus, TX
22Jason Brown Jr.RBJR5' 9"185Seattle, WA
23Demarius RobinsonRBSO5' 9"180Oklahoma City, OK
24David AvitRBJR5' 11"235Frederick, MD
25Cardae MackRBFR5' 10"215Houston, TX
3Reed HarrisWRSR6' 5"220Great Falls, MT
4Omarion MillerWRSR6' 2"215Vivian, LA
5Derek EusebioWRSR5' 9"190Plano, TX
7Raiden Vines-BrightWRSO6' 0"200Tempe, AZ
9Cory Butler Jr.WRSO5' 9"180Corona, CA
16Jaren HamiltonWRSR6' 0"200Gainesville, FL
17Michael TollefsonWRSO6' 1"205Las Vegas, NV
18Jalen MossWRSR6' 1"180Menlo Park, CA
80Plas JohnsonWRJR6' 0"165Scottsdale, AZ
81Uriah NelomsWRSO6' 4"215Gilbert, AZ
82Chance AblesWRSO6' 2"185Dallas, TX
84Jeremiah JohnsonWRFR6' 1"205Rancho Mirage, CA
89Harry HassmannWRSO6' 1"185Dallas, TX
0AJ IaTESO6' 6"265Santa Ana, CA
15Khamari AndersonTESR6' 5"255Detroit, MI
19Landen MireeTEFR6' 3"255Cincinnati, OH
44Kristian IngmanTEJR6' 5"255Reno, NV
85Anthony MillerTESR6' 5"265Duluth, GA
87James GiggeyTEJR6' 4"265Prescott Valley, AZ
88Hayden VercherTEFR6' 4"245Thousand Oaks, CA
50Marques UiniOLFR6' 4"310Copperas Cove, TX
52Manamo'ui MutiOLSO6' 7"305Wahiawa, HI
53Rob LapuahoOLSO6' 6"350West Valley City, UT
54Desean Bryant Jr.OLSO6' 5"265Duncanville, TX
55Niniva NicholsonOLFR6' 3"305Oceanside, CA
56Cortavius TisabyOLFR6' 6"285Dallas, TX
57Filiva'a LokotuiOLFR6' 5"275Kahuku, HI
58Tana Alo-TupuolaOLJR6' 1"335Brownsburg, IN
59Maki StewartOLSO6' 5"340Long Beach, CA
64Wade HeltonOLJR6' 4"310Corona, CA
69Brent HeltonOLJR6' 4"315Corona, CA
70Jalen KlemmOLSR6' 6"300Mars, PA
71Makua PuleOLSR6' 3"320Gilbert, AZ
72Doughless TelomaOLSR6' 5"380Corona, CA
73Terrell KimOLJR6' 3"335Medford, OR
74Siosaia LapuahoOLJR6' 6"325Sandy, UT
75Jarmaine MitchellOLJR6' 8"320St. James, LA
76Champ WestbrooksOLJR6' 5"300Los Angeles, CA
77Matai JeffersonOLSO6' 4"360Lynwood, CA
78Luke BaklenkoOLSR6' 7"305Thousand Oaks, CA
79Xander RuggeroliOLJR6' 6"310Las Vegas, NV
5Roman PitreDLSR6' 5"265Baton Rouge, LA
9Jalen ThompsonDLSR6' 3"265Detroit, MI
10Clayton SmithDLSR6' 4"260Queen City, TX
17Joshua ShanklinDLSR6' 3"250Oakland, CA
36Salesi ManuDLJR6' 3"240Reno, NV
44Kirt VakalahiDLJR6' 6"275Queensland
84Landen AndersonDLFR6' 3"315Edmond, OK
88Daeshon MorganDLSO6' 3"295Austin, TX
90Hyrum VaeonoDLSO6' 2"305Lawrence, KS
91Rashad McKenzieDLSR6' 5"315Mission Hills, CA
92Zac SwansonDLSR6' 5"295Phoenix, AZ
93MyKeil GardnerDLSR6' 2"300El Mirage, AZ
95Jeffrey MannsDLJR6' 2"310Lancaster, TX
96Sinei TengeiDLFR6' 3"250Mesa, AZ
97Blazen Lono-WongDLSR6' 4"305Waimanalo, HI
98Julian HugoDLFR6' 4"275Cibolo, TX
99C.J. FiteDLSR6' 2"310Tatum, TX
3Albert Smith IIIDEJR6' 1"232Terrytown, LA
8Martell HughesLBJR6' 2"230San Diego, CA
18Ramere DavisLBJR6' 1"220Norco, CA
22Owen LongLBJR6' 1"225Whittier, CA
30Zyrus FiaseuLBSR6' 0"235Henderson, NV
34Oscar Aguilar Jr.LBFR6' 1"225Downey, CA
43Mason MardenLBFR6' 3"230St. Louis, MO
45Tristan BaconLBSO6' 1"235Glendale, AZ
48Lee FuimaonoLBSO6' 1"230Las Vegas, NV
54Isaiah IosefaLBSO6' 0"230Waipahu, HI
0Rodney Bimage Jr.DBJR6' 0"185Houston, TX
1Ashton StampsDBSR6' 0"190Harvey, LA
2Lyrik RawlsDBSR6' 1"215Marshall, TX
7Montana WarrenDBSR6' 0"205Marshall, TX
16Nigel PringleDBSO6' 1"175Houston, TX
19Daquwan DunnDBFR6' 0"180Richardson, TX
21Kyan McDonaldDBJR5' 11"185Seattle, WA
23Jessiah McGrewDBSO6' 2"200Tallahassee, FL
25Caleb ChesterDBSO6' 1"180Missouri City, TX
28Davis KinneyDBFR5' 11"185Richmond, TX
31Zeth ThuesDBFR5' 11"200Phoenix, AZ
35Antoine Belgrave-ShorterDBJR6' 0"200Jacksonville, FL
15Joseph SmithCBSO6' 1"180Houston, TX
29Nasir StephensCBJR5' 11"185Long Beach, CA
12Ben Alefaio-LiliiSSO6' 0"205Sacramento, CA
14Xavier SkowronSSO6' 0"195Texas City, TX
26Carston KiefferPKSR5' 9"185Tempe, AZ
32Carson SmithPKSR5' 11"180Belmont, NC
31Kanyon FloydPJR6' 0"185Scottsdale, AZ
35Nick McLartyPSR6' 7"245Melbourne, Australia
43Grayson CurtisLSSR6' 0"220East Lansing, MI

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2014 (+10.1, #21) · worst: 2023 (-7.6, #108)
-10-50+5+10FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#45
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far3-31-2#62+2.5+3.9-1.4
20258-56-3#45+3.9+0.6+3.3
202411-37-2#23+7.9+4.1+3.8
20233-92-7#108-7.6-6.8-0.7
20223-92-7#90-4.6-2.0-2.6
20218-56-3#40+5.0+1.0+4.0
20202-22-2#26+6.5+1.7+4.8
20198-54-5#48+1.8-1.9+3.7
20187-65-4#49+3.2+3.20.0
20177-66-3#59+0.9+4.2-3.3
20165-72-7#85-3.9+4.0-7.9
20156-74-5#50+3.8+7.1-3.3
201410-36-3#21+10.1+8.4+1.7

Arizona State's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Oct 21, 10:45 AM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →