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Big 12 · 2026

Iowa State Cyclones

Head coach Jimmy Rogers · Jack Trice Stadium
3-31-2 in conference
TDC Rank
#45
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+6.8
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+3.1
50th in FBS
Defense
+3.7
43rd in FBS
Schedule so far
+1.0
35th toughest
Projected
5.9-6.1
bowl-eligible 63%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

+6.8 now, +5.7 preseason · down 5 spots since preseason
0+5+10FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8#45

Final record odds

5.9-6.1 expected · most likely 6-6 (31%)
3-911%4-825%5-731%6-622%7-59%8-49-3

Team Leaders

National leaderboards →

Passing
Jaylen Raynor
QB · SR · 105th in FBS
1001yds
7 TD · 4 INT
Rushing
Aiden Flora
RB · SO · 12th in FBS
680yds
90 car · 6 TD
Receiving
Dominic Overby
WR · SO · 312th in FBS
212yds
10 rec · 1 TD
Tackles
Sullivan Schlimgen
LB · 27th in FBS
56tkl
3 TFL
Sacks
Isaac Terrell
DE · 95th in FBS
3sacks
1 hurries
Interceptions
Beni Ngoyi
CB · JR · 109th in FBS
1INT
1 PD

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5vsSoutheast Missouri State FCSW 38–10 ›-1.9—ESPN+
2Sep 12@20IowaL 13–16 ›+15.6—NBC
3Sep 19vs127Bowling GreenW 55–7 ›+10.4—ESPNU
4Sep 26vs8UtahCONFL 17–31 ›+4.5—FOX
5Oct 3vs70West VirginiaCONFW 45–42 ›-0.9—TNT
6Oct 9@14BYUCONFL 10–24 ›+6.8—ESPN
7—Bye
8Oct 24@25ArizonaCONFArizona −9.4 · o/u 53.3—27%ESPN2
9Oct 31vs39Oklahoma StateCONFIowa State −2.9 · o/u 60.3—58%FS1
10Nov 7@46BaylorCONFBaylor −3.6 · o/u 49.5—41%
11Nov 14vs55CincinnatiCONFIowa State −6.8 · o/u 55.5—68%
12Nov 20@51UCFCONFUCF −2.5 · o/u 49.1—44%FS1
13Nov 28vs37Kansas StateCONFIowa State −2.1 · o/u 56.7—56%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.12880th+0.10783rd
Success rate39.3%112th41.6%74th
Explosiveness1.31331st1.27287th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate39.8%109th41.7%74th
Rushing success rate39.6%109th42.6%69th
Passing success rate40.0%92nd40.7%71st
Explosive run rate16.6%36th10.7%37th
Explosive pass rate12.2%44th11.9%107th
Line yards / carry2.9895th3.0978th
Opportunity rate38.0%85th37.9%76th
Stuff rate21.9%122nd17.2%77th
Sack rate5.2%75th4.7%91st
3rd-down conversion31.2%130th34.4%30th
Red-zone TD rate73.3%25th62.5%84th
Havoc rate18.1%133rd11.9%114th
Box score · season totals
Points / game29.768th21.750th
Yards / game359.795th352.366th
Yards / play5.6970th5.70100th
Pass yards / game178.2118th198.553rd
Yards / pass att.7.0092nd7.73104th
Completion %58.6%107th63.6%100th
Rush yards / game181.547th153.891st
Yards / carry5.0036th4.4496th
3rd-down conv. %31.0%127th31.6%22nd
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)0.8330th1.3344th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.5049th1.50102nd
Penalty yards / game47.029th57.362nd

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
8.4
77th of 138
YAC per catch
5.7
53rd of 138
Deep shots (20+)
15%
56th of 138
Shotgun
76%
128th of 138
No-huddle
32%
96th of 138
QB pressured
9%
114th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
11%
106th of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
6.8
6th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws146 throws charted

59% comp8.4 avg. depth5.7 YAC/catch15% 20+ air yds10–3 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 9 throws (6%), 7 caught (78%), 66 yds, 7.3 per throw978% · 66yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 10 throws (7%), 6 caught (60%), 32 yds, 3.2 per throw1060% · 32yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 10 throws (7%), 6 caught (60%), 48 yds, 4.8 per throw1060% · 48yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 6 throws (4%), 2 caught (33%), 23 yds, 3.8 per throw633% · 23yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 6 throws (4%), 2 caught (33%), 36 yds, 6.0 per throw633% · 36yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 2 caught (67%), 71 yds, 23.7 per throw367% · 71yLeft, 30+ air yards: 1 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yMiddle, Behind air yards: 1 throws (1%), 1 caught (100%), -1 yds, -1.0 per throw1100% · -1yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 4 caught (80%), 44 yds, 8.8 per throw580% · 44yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 10 throws (7%), 4 caught (40%), 32 yds, 3.2 per throw1040% · 32yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 2 caught (40%), 55 yds, 11.0 per throw540% · 55yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 2 caught (100%), 54 yds, 27.0 per throw2100% · 54yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 2 caught (67%), 48 yds, 16.0 per throw367% · 48yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0yRight, Behind air yards: 12 throws (8%), 10 caught (83%), 54 yds, 4.5 per throw1283% · 54yRight, 0–4 air yards: 28 throws (19%), 20 caught (71%), 127 yds, 4.5 per throw2871% · 127yRight, 5–9 air yards: 13 throws (9%), 7 caught (54%), 73 yds, 5.6 per throw1354% · 73yRight, 10–14 air yards: 1 throws (1%), 1 caught (100%), 11 yds, 11.0 per throw1100% · 11yRight, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (5%), 5 caught (71%), 133 yds, 19.0 per throw771% · 133yRight, 20–29 air yards: 8 throws (5%), 3 caught (38%), 68 yds, 8.5 per throw838% · 68yRight, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (3%), 2 caught (50%), 75 yds, 18.8 per throw450% · 75y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on149 throws charted

63% comp9.0 avg. depth6.8 YAC/catch19% 20+ air yds7–2 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 11 throws (7%), 10 caught (91%), 33 yds, 3.0 per throw1191% · 33yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 16 throws (11%), 9 caught (56%), 121 yds, 7.6 per throw1656% · 121yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 12 throws (8%), 8 caught (67%), 95 yds, 7.9 per throw1267% · 95yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 2 caught (67%), 27 yds, 9.0 per throw367% · 27yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 1 caught (33%), 63 yds, 21.0 per throw333% · 63yLeft, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (3%), 1 caught (20%), 34 yds, 6.8 per throw520% · 34yMiddle, Behind air yards: 5 throws (3%), 5 caught (100%), 32 yds, 6.4 per throw5100% · 32yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 9 throws (6%), 7 caught (78%), 59 yds, 6.6 per throw978% · 59yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 5 caught (100%), 65 yds, 13.0 per throw5100% · 65yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 1 throws (1%), 1 caught (100%), 10 yds, 10.0 per throw1100% · 10yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw30% · 0yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 2 caught (67%), 99 yds, 33.0 per throw367% · 99yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 8 throws (5%), 3 caught (38%), 128 yds, 16.0 per throw838% · 128yRight, Behind air yards: 16 throws (11%), 16 caught (100%), 70 yds, 4.4 per throw16100% · 70yRight, 0–4 air yards: 17 throws (11%), 11 caught (65%), 63 yds, 3.7 per throw1765% · 63yRight, 5–9 air yards: 9 throws (6%), 5 caught (56%), 32 yds, 3.6 per throw956% · 32yRight, 10–14 air yards: 7 throws (5%), 4 caught (57%), 53 yds, 7.6 per throw757% · 53yRight, 15–19 air yards: 6 throws (4%), 3 caught (50%), 77 yds, 12.8 per throw650% · 77yRight, 20–29 air yards: 6 throws (4%), 1 caught (17%), 47 yds, 7.8 per throw617% · 47yRight, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 40 yds, 20.0 per throw250% · 40y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction207 carries

Left
23%
7.9 YPC · 62% succ.
Middle
58%
3.8 YPC · 34% succ.
Right
19%
7.3 YPC · 36% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced189 carries

Left
26%
6.0 YPC · 51% succ.
Middle
53%
5.0 YPC · 43% succ.
Right
21%
4.5 YPC · 33% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Jimmy Rogers

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
1Jaylen RaynorQBSR6' 1"208Winston-Salem, NC
5Connor MoberlyQBSO6' 4"214Altoona, IA
6Zane FloresQBSO6' 3"215Gretna, NE
16Wyatt BohmQBJR6' 4"220Mahomet, IL
18Hudson KurlandQBFR6' 4"193Portland, OR
0Cameron PettawayRBSO5' 10"190Farmington Hills, MI
3Arnold Barnes IIIRBSR5' 10"220New Orleans, LA
7Salahadin AllahRBJR6' 0"225La Marque, TX
20Caleb FrancoisRBFR6' 2"210Minnetonka, MN
21Aiden FloraRBSO6' 0"195Adel, IA
22Ryver PeppersRBFR5' 11"190Independence, MO
25Easton MillerRBJR6' 1"230Ankeny, IA
44Wyatt ArcherRBJR5' 10"195Omaha, NE
2Cody JacksonWRSR6' 0"190Richmond, TX
4Carter PabstWRSO6' 1"200Wichita, KS
8Evan BoydWRJR6' 3"212East Lansing, MI
9Omari HayesWRSR5' 9"175Sarasota, FL
11Dominic OverbyWRSO6' 5"200West Jordan, UT
12Braden GoellnerWRSR6' 5"200St. Charles, MO
13Jamal Polite Jr.WRFR5' 11"185Beaufort, SC
17Jordyn BaileyWRJR5' 10"180Denton, TX
23Carson RobbinsWRSO6' 0"187Altoona, IA
33Zach EskildsenWRFR6' 2"185Frisco, TX
34Jeffrey RobertsWRFR6' 0"193Ames, IA
82Trevor FortenberryWRJR6' 3"205Brookhaven, MS
86Ray CoffeyWRSR5' 10"195Chicago, IL
89Ty ClaiborneWRSR6' 2"215Lenexa, KS
10Cash HaydenTESO6' 6"245Cincinnati, OH
14Drake DeBaunTEFR6' 6"255Overland Park, KS
19Tyler FortenberryTESR6' 5"245Brookhaven, MS
37Vince BenettiTEJR6' 4"245Adel, IA
39AJ PetersenTEJR6' 1"225Long Grove, IA
40Carson EdneyTEFR6' 6"235Logan, IA
41Rylan BarnesTEJR6' 3"230Britt, IA
48Jack BjornTESR6' 7"260Parkville, MO
81Luke GalerTEFR6' 6"240Loomis, CA
84Drew ByrdTEFR6' 4"228Meridian, ID
85Keaton RoskopTESO6' 3"240Cedar Rapids, IA
88Christian GreenlawTEJR6' 5"245Newport News, VA
51Maasai KingOLSR6' 4"310Camden, NJ
52Kingston FotualiiOLFR6' 3"295Seattle, WA
54Cade MyerOLSR6' 2"295Frisco, TX
55Trevor BindelOLFR6' 4"310Liberty, MO
56Colin AmickOLSO6' 6"305Sammamish, WA
61Benji MakelelaOLFR6' 7"300Kinshasa, Congo
64Brady HarrOLFR6' 8"275Hampton, IA
65Garret RutledgeOLSO6' 7"310Council Bluffs, IA
69Dontrell HoltOLSO6' 5"305Joplin, MO
70Gavin ProudfootOLSR6' 7"305Dresbach, MN
71Gabriel GreenleeOLSR6' 7"300Ames, IA
72Austin BarrettOLJR6' 6"315St. Charles, IL
74Gavin BrosciousOLJR6' 5"303Surprise, AZ
77Caden MaasOLJR6' 5"315Watertown, WI
78DeAndre CarterOLSO6' 5"345Temecula, CA
47Tyler BurnsteinDEFR6' 4"243Phoenix, AZ
50Jack LimbaughDEFR6' 3"235Algona, IA
55Jace GilbertDESO6' 5"270Waukesha, WI
57Ajibola AfuyeDEFR6' 5"250Stillwater, MN
91Blake HawkinsDESO6' 4"235Gretna, NE
92Caden CrawfordDESR6' 4"251Lansing, KS
93Jack JanikowskiDEJR6' 2"255Fallbrook, CA
96Chet AndrewsDESR6' 3"245Huntley, IL
0Zaimir HawkDTJR6' 4"303Hillside, NJ
13Kaleb Bilal-JonesDTFR6' 1"294Phoenix, AZ
59Daniel HowardDTFR6' 3"270Chicago, IL
89Donovan FitzmauriceDTSO6' 3"284St. Louis, MO
90Jareb RamosDTSR6' 4"284Centennial, CO
94Jake JonesDTFR6' 2"292Gilbert, AZ
95Ka'Mori MooreDTFR6' 1"304Lee's Summit, MO
97Max BalounDTSR6' 6"293Redfield, SD
99Bryson LambDTSR6' 2"295Bellingham, WA
8Tristan ExlineLBSR6' 1"220China Spring, TX
11Willie Breland IIILBJR6' 2"218Wiggins, MS
16Malcolm JonesLBSR6' 1"219Camilla, GA
34Beau GoodwinLBJR6' 3"221Kingsley, IA
36Bradley EsserLBFR6' 2"205Sioux Falls, SD
40Landon KalsbeckLBFR6' 2"217Littleton, CO
3Seth JohnsonCBSO5' 10"180Frisco, TX
5Beni NgoyiCBJR6' 4"193Lincoln, NE
18David CoffeyCBSO6' 1"190Chicago, IL
26Tyrone Cotton IIICBFR6' 1"178Chicago, IL
32Angelo JacksonCBSO6' 1"196Davenport, IA
38Amiri BarnesCBFR5' 11"185Katy, TX
2Braden AwlsSSR6' 1"190Sylvania, OH
4Micah HarperSSR5' 10"189Chandler, AZ
14Damarius RussellSFR5' 11"186Waseca, MN
19Eddie LemosSSR5' 10"187Loveland, CO
21Duhron GoodmanSSR6' 0"193Pacoima, CA
22Xavier MartinezSJR6' 1"202Chicago, IL
24Brody MillerSFR6' 1"186Shakopee, MN
33Brady HummelSFR6' 0"185Jamestown, ND
35Tayten DuncanSFR5' 11"180Mustang, OK
42Matthew McClainSFR6' 1"205Frisco, TX
43Caden MatsonSSR6' 0"200Humboldt, IA
93Greg HubbardPKFR6' 2"215Louisville, CO
97Kyle KonrardyPKJR6' 1"204Dubuque, IA
98Adlai LounsburyPKFR6' 4"200Van Meter, IA
95Ethan GurneyPFR6' 3"201Adelaide, Australia
99Jonah DuPontPSO5' 11"200Cedar Rapids, IA
60Jacob LyftogtLSJR5' 11"235Waunakee, WI

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2020 (+11.4, #11) · worst: 2014 (-9.5, #112)
-100+10FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#35
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far3-31-2#45+6.8+3.1+3.7
20258-45-4#35+5.6+1.3+4.3
202411-37-2#30+6.9+3.3+3.6
20237-66-3#34+5.1+0.2+5.0
20224-81-8#50+3.3-5.1+8.4
20217-65-4#17+8.2+2.6+5.6
20209-38-1#11+11.4+4.2+7.2
20197-65-4#30+6.2+3.9+2.3
20188-56-3#36+5.2-0.5+5.7
20178-55-4#29+7.2+0.5+6.7
20163-92-7#88-4.4-3.1-1.3
20153-92-7#89-4.5-2.6-1.9
20142-100-9#112-9.5-3.5-6.1

Iowa State's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Oct 21, 10:45 AM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →