American · 2026

Charlotte 49ers

Head coach Tim Albin · Jerry Richardson Stadium
1-61-2 in conference
TDC Rank
#135
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
-23.9
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-10.7
129th in FBS
Defense
-13.1
135th in FBS
Schedule so far
-4.0
71st toughest
Projected
1.7-10.3
bowl-eligible <1%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

-23.9 now, -21.5 preseason · down 4 spots since preseason
-20-100FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8#135

Final record odds

1.7-10.3 expected · most likely 1-11 (47%)
47%1-1137%2-1013%3-94-8

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5vsThe Citadel FCSL 41–43 ›-36.7—ESPN+
2Sep 12@11Ole MissL 9–41 ›-2.5—ESPN2
3Sep 19@105App StateL 21–26 ›-11.9—ESPN+
4Sep 26vs89LouisianaL 7–34 ›-34.3—ESPN+
5Oct 3vs60MemphisCONFL 8–59 ›-34.3—ESPN+
6Oct 10@53North TexasCONFL 10–50 ›-21.4—ESPN+
7Oct 17@101TempleCONFW 38–31 ›+0.9—ESPN+
8—Bye
9Oct 30vs82TulaneCONFTulane −16.4 · o/u 46.8—14%ESPN2
10Nov 7@115UABCONFUAB −14.0 · o/u 55.1—18%
11Nov 14vs87East CarolinaCONFEast Carolina −14.9 · o/u 51.9—16%
12Nov 21@91TulsaCONFTulsa −21.3 · o/u 55.0—8%
13Nov 28vs90NavyCONFNavy −14.2 · o/u 55.0—17%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play-0.023125th+0.246124th
Success rate37.8%125th48.4%132nd
Explosiveness1.20092nd1.27388th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate38.2%125th48.7%133rd
Rushing success rate35.9%133rd46.0%111th
Passing success rate40.0%92nd51.5%133rd
Explosive run rate14.7%58th15.5%111th
Explosive pass rate8.2%109th12.1%114th
Line yards / carry2.57131st3.0473rd
Opportunity rate33.3%127th40.4%104th
Stuff rate24.4%134th22.5%21st
Sack rate4.2%50th5.0%82nd
3rd-down conversion36.1%109th44.6%113th
Red-zone TD rate64.3%62nd70.4%115th
Havoc rate13.6%81st11.9%114th
Box score · season totals
Points / game19.1125th40.6136th
Yards / game310.9127th465.1135th
Yards / play5.21109th6.43128th
Pass yards / game199.999th278.0133rd
Yards / pass att.6.90101st9.01134th
Completion %64.7%55th71.8%136th
Rush yards / game111.0125th187.1119th
Yards / carry3.90101st4.70102nd
3rd-down conv. %30.2%132nd45.0%123rd
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)2.29137th0.57129th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.8670th1.5799th
Penalty yards / game42.619th52.189th

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
7.1
125th of 138
YAC per catch
5.5
69th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
12%
99th of 138
Shotgun
99%
16th of 138
No-huddle
35%
92nd of 138
QB pressured
16%
34th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
12%
91st of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
5.8
31st of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws190 throws charted

64% comp7.1 avg. depth5.5 YAC/catch12% 20+ air yds7–9 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 18 throws (9%), 12 caught (67%), 71 yds, 3.9 per throw1867% · 71yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 31 throws (16%), 22 caught (71%), 157 yds, 5.1 per throw3171% · 157yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 15 throws (8%), 11 caught (73%), 104 yds, 6.9 per throw1573% · 104yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 1 caught (20%), 13 yds, 2.6 per throw520% · 13yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 3 caught (75%), 53 yds, 13.3 per throw475% · 53yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 1 caught (17%), 24 yds, 4.0 per throw617% · 24yLeft, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (3%), 3 caught (60%), 109 yds, 21.8 per throw560% · 109yMiddle, Behind air yards: 4 throws (2%), 3 caught (75%), 10 yds, 2.5 per throw475% · 10yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 3 caught (100%), 27 yds, 9.0 per throw3100% · 27yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 4 caught (57%), 47 yds, 6.7 per throw757% · 47yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 6 caught (86%), 163 yds, 23.3 per throw786% · 163yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 2 caught (67%), 67 yds, 22.3 per throw367% · 67yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 43 yds, 21.5 per throw250% · 43yRight, Behind air yards: 18 throws (9%), 17 caught (94%), 120 yds, 6.7 per throw1894% · 120yRight, 0–4 air yards: 25 throws (13%), 18 caught (72%), 93 yds, 3.7 per throw2572% · 93yRight, 5–9 air yards: 19 throws (10%), 10 caught (53%), 65 yds, 3.4 per throw1953% · 65yRight, 10–14 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 2 caught (50%), 32 yds, 8.0 per throw450% · 32yRight, 15–19 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 5 caught (83%), 106 yds, 17.7 per throw683% · 106yRight, 20–29 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 2 caught (50%), 55 yds, 13.8 per throw450% · 55yRight, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 37 yds, 18.5 per throw250% · 37y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on212 throws charted

72% comp8.2 avg. depth5.8 YAC/catch12% 20+ air yds18–2 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 15 throws (7%), 14 caught (93%), 80 yds, 5.3 per throw1593% · 80yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 23 throws (11%), 14 caught (61%), 89 yds, 3.9 per throw2361% · 89yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 23 throws (11%), 18 caught (78%), 164 yds, 7.1 per throw2378% · 164yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 6 caught (75%), 106 yds, 13.3 per throw875% · 106yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 3 caught (60%), 75 yds, 15.0 per throw560% · 75yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 3 caught (50%), 99 yds, 16.5 per throw650% · 99yLeft, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 41 yds, 20.5 per throw250% · 41yMiddle, Behind air yards: 1 throws (0%), 1 caught (100%), -1 yds, -1.0 per throw1100% · -1yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 4 caught (80%), 22 yds, 4.4 per throw580% · 22yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 11 throws (5%), 6 caught (55%), 114 yds, 10.4 per throw1155% · 114yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 4 caught (100%), 73 yds, 18.3 per throw4100% · 73yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 3 caught (50%), 64 yds, 10.7 per throw650% · 64yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 1 caught (33%), 25 yds, 8.3 per throw333% · 25yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 2 caught (50%), 127 yds, 31.8 per throw450% · 127yRight, Behind air yards: 15 throws (7%), 12 caught (80%), 64 yds, 4.3 per throw1580% · 64yRight, 0–4 air yards: 29 throws (14%), 25 caught (86%), 161 yds, 5.6 per throw2986% · 161yRight, 5–9 air yards: 23 throws (11%), 19 caught (83%), 221 yds, 9.6 per throw2383% · 221yRight, 10–14 air yards: 11 throws (5%), 7 caught (64%), 107 yds, 9.7 per throw1164% · 107yRight, 15–19 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 7 caught (88%), 169 yds, 21.1 per throw888% · 169yRight, 20–29 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 2 caught (40%), 66 yds, 13.2 per throw540% · 66yRight, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (2%), 1 caught (20%), 36 yds, 7.2 per throw520% · 36y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction181 carries

Left
25%
4.6 YPC · 46% succ.
Middle
54%
3.7 YPC · 31% succ.
Right
21%
8.1 YPC · 47% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced256 carries

Left
19%
5.3 YPC · 48% succ.
Middle
60%
4.4 YPC · 45% succ.
Right
21%
6.9 YPC · 57% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Tim Albin

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
9Cole GonzalesQBSR6' 0"200Ocala, FL
12Grayson LoftisQBJR6' 3"215Gaffney, SC
15Conner HarrellQBSR6' 2"210Alabaster, AL
16Luke McNultyQBFR6' 2"185Pasadena, CA
5Khamani AlexanderRBSO6' 1"200Homestead, FL
6D'Mariun PerteetRBJR5' 10"215Courtland, MS
21Henry RutledgeRBSR5' 8"185Charlotte, NC
24Jariel CobbRBSO5' 10"185Reidsville, NC
27Malachi DraytonRBFR5' 10"215Fort Mill, SC
41Chris NajmRBFR6' 0"180Pinehurst, NC
0Cam PedroWRSR5' 11"180Suwanee, GA
1Jaden BarnesWRSR5' 8"170Mcdonough, GA
2Jaylen HamptonWRSO6' 2"200Atlanta, GA
4Tank BostonWRSO5' 11"190Anderson, SC
8Zyheem CollickWRSO5' 11"165Snow Hill, MD
11KD Hunter-GibsonWRSR6' 0"190Tupelo, MS
13Caleb TuckerWRFR6' 0"185Bryant, AR
14Adam Hopkins IVWRJR6' 0"180Thomasville, GA
18Seth FranklinWRJR5' 10"170Fayetteville, NC
20Donte NicholsonWRFR5' 11"170Charlotte, NC
38Sean ManuelWRFR6' 2"180Raleigh, NC
80Jeremiah HoffmanWRFR6' 1"175Severance, CO
82Shelden GollidayWRFR6' 3"180Omaha, NE
89Derrick EleyWRSO6' 0"170Huntersville, NC
3Logan MauldinTESR6' 4"230Charlotte, NC
17Gus McGeeTESR6' 5"250Newburyport, MA
19Brody DawyotTEFR6' 5"220Salem, VA
81Brady RhoadsTESO6' 4"230Sun Prairie, WI
83Grant LaskeyTESO6' 5"240Valdosta, GA
85Jason JeffaresTEJR6' 3"230Charlotte, NC
50Rod GreenOLSR6' 5"315Dayton, OH
54Isaac Sikes-RasbyOLFR6' 5"275Kennesaw, GA
55Mathias NielsenOLSR6' 3"305Bagsvaerd, Denmark
56Jake AllenOLFR6' 2"305Jackson, OH
57Luke SandyOLSR6' 2"305Elizabeth, CO
58Mason McgillOLFR6' 4"280Gainesville, GA
61Reginhard Pierre-NauOLJR6' 2"305Jonesboro, GA
63Callum CaryOLFR6' 4"285Olin, NC
64O'Shea StromanOLJR6' 1"290Lithonia, GA
65Nic CrujiOLSR6' 4"305Toronto, Canada
66Omarion DavisOLSR6' 5"305Vero Beach, FL
67Dom SilviaOLSO6' 6"320Bridgewater, MA
68Cody TaylorOLFR6' 3"310Greenwood, AR
71Amar HarperOLJR6' 5"335Magee, MS
73Daniel PhillipsOLFR6' 5"300Chicago, IL
75Kristos FernandezOLSR6' 5"300New Hyde Park, NY
76Isaiah BullerdickOLSR6' 2"300Harrisburg, NC
77Dylan Nolan-CookOLJR6' 5"305Scottsdale, AZ
79Tristen BrownOLFR6' 3"295Concord, NC
2Jaylon JohnsonDLSR6' 4"250Antioch, TN
7DJ BurgessDLSR6' 2"270Oxford, MS
8Calif SpencerDLJR6' 3"250Harrington, DE
9Curtis SimpsonDLSO6' 4"230Shelby, NC
14Kendal BrownDLSO6' 4"235Savannah, GA
15Ayo TifaseDLSR6' 4"285Baltimore, MD
33Colin BusseyDLFR6' 3"250Douglasville, GA
35Jamil DavisDLSO6' 1"280Humble, TX
44Austin HerndonDLFR6' 2"230Cary, NC
51Jamarrion SolomonDLSR6' 0"270Miami, FL
52Kaiden BowerDLFR6' 3"240Carmel, IN
55Shaku SangarieDLJR6' 2"250Jacksonville, FL
77Lewis Price-LawDLFR6' 4"295Fort Mill, SC
85Caleb IrvingDLSO6' 1"290Glenn Heights, TX
90Chris MortonDLFR6' 3"220Wilmington, NC
94Takeo MasseyDLFR6' 3"205Charlotte, NC
95Devin AncrumDLFR6' 1"300Buford, GA
98Ehigie Aliu-OtokitiDLSR6' 1"280Orlando, FL
99Jaylen DossDLFR6' 2"270Petal, MS
19Kadin SchmitzLBSR6' 1"235Ashland, OH
25Gray PattersonLBFR6' 3"215Fort Mill, SC
30Stellan BowmanLBSO6' 0"230Grand Rapids, MI
32Latrell SellersLBFR6' 2"210Hazlehurst, GA
36Parker StartzLBSO6' 3"240Mokena, IL
45Mikey DomanikLBFR6' 0"205Marietta, GA
46Will EstesLBFR6' 1"210Cary, NC
47Leo Housel-RajacichLBFR6' 1"215Winston-Salem, NC
0Collin GillDBJR6' 0"210Fort Washington, MD
1Jameel Croft Jr.DBJR6' 0"210Detroit, MI
4Tradarius SmithDBJR6' 3"190Port Gibson, MS
5Jonathan PattersonDBJR6' 0"195McKinney, TX
6Nireek SharpeDBJR6' 0"175Atlanta, GA
12CJ Clinkscales Jr.DBSR5' 8"175Buford, GA
16Shamar McIntoshDBSO5' 11"190Washington, DC
17Kameron ManleyDBSO5' 9"170Raleigh, NC
20Zayden Laing-TaylorDBSO5' 11"190Miami, FL
22Kaden CatoeDBFR6' 0"170Greensboro, NC
24Josh HinesDBFR6' 2"205Charlotte, NC
26Devon St. ClairDBFR6' 2"190Orlando, FL
27Kevin Beckham Jr.DBSO6' 0"190Mobile, AL
28Cornell AllenDBSO5' 10"190Richmond, VA
29Donald Smith IIIDBJR6' 2"190Baltimore, MD
31Tyson CraigDBFR5' 11"180Lawrenceville, GA
34Alchino BlakelyDBFR5' 10"190Snellville, GA
37Spencer MakuchDBFR6' 0"200Cleveland, TN
84Aiden BuiPKFR5' 9"160Pearland, TX
99Charlie BirtwistlePKSO5' 11"210Belmont, NC
44Ian KellyPFR6' 0"160Bluffton, SC
95Bronson LongPSR6' 4"200Gothenburg, NE
33Henry SearcyLSFR6' 3"185Tallahassee, FL
40Charlie BeckerLSFR6' 2"210Miami, FL

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2015

Final rating by season

Best: 2019 (-6.2, #100) · worst: 2015 (-18.1, #127)
-20-100FBS avg20152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#135
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far1-61-2#135-23.9-10.7-13.1
20251-110-8#135-17.9-9.7-8.2
20245-74-4#120-10.1-4.1-5.9
20233-92-6#125-12.4-8.6-3.9
20223-92-6#129-15.2-4.6-10.7
20215-73-5#114-10.4-2.3-8.1
20202-42-2#105-7.7-1.8-5.9
20197-65-3#100-6.2-0.5-5.8
20185-74-4#102-8.6-7.4-1.2
20171-111-7#127-17.6-12.2-5.4
20164-83-5#117-12.1-6.7-5.4
20152-100-8#127-18.1-10.8-7.4

Charlotte's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Oct 21, 10:45 AM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →