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American · 2026

Navy Midshipmen

Head coach Brian Newberry · Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
2-41-3 in conference
TDC Rank
#90
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
-5.9
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-3.4
91st in FBS
Defense
-2.4
87th in FBS
Schedule so far
-10.9
113th toughest
Projected
4.6-7.4
bowl-eligible 20%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

-5.9 now, -7.9 preseason · up 1 spot since preseason
-10-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8#90

Final record odds

4.6-7.4 expected · most likely 5-7 (33%)
2-1013%3-932%4-833%5-716%6-67-5

Team Leaders

National leaderboards →

Passing
Jackson Gutierrez
QB · JR · 143rd in FBS
559yds
6 TD · 1 INT
Rushing
Jackson Gutierrez
QB · JR · 17th in FBS
644yds
123 car · 9 TD
Receiving
Jordan Collins
TE · SO · 382nd in FBS
189yds
5 rec · 3 TD
Tackles
Coleman Cauley
LB · SR · 87th in FBS
49tkl
2.5 TFL
Sacks
MarcAnthony Parker
LB · 41st in FBS
4sacks
2 hurries
Interceptions
Phillip Hamilton
CB · JR · 110th in FBS
1INT
1 PD

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5vsTowson FCSW 42–15 ›-8.3—CBSSN
2Sep 12@100Florida AtlanticCONFL 30–38 ›-13.7—ESPNU
3—Bye
4Sep 25@116UABCONFL 20–24 ›-13.8—ESPN
5Oct 3@83Air ForceL 9–14 ›-5.6—CBS
6Oct 10vs91TulsaCONFW 34–26 ›-2.2—CBSSN
7Oct 17@75UTSACONFL 34–38 ›-1.8—ESPNU
8Oct 24vs53North TexasCONFNorth Texas −6.4 · o/u 65.2—34%CBSSN
9Oct 31vs1Notre DameNEUTRALNotre Dame −33.8 · o/u 51.6—1%
10Nov 7vs101TempleCONFNavy −7.8 · o/u 55.5—70%CBSSN
11—Bye
12Nov 21vs60MemphisCONFMemphis −5.0 · o/u 56.5—37%
13Nov 28@135CharlotteCONFNavy −14.2 · o/u 55.0—83%
14—Bye
15Dec 12vs72ArmyCONFNEUTRALArmy −5.5 · o/u 54.9—36%CBS

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.22835th+0.13593rd
Success rate47.7%31st37.5%32nd
Explosiveness1.20291st1.424131st
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate48.4%28th38.6%40th
Rushing success rate53.5%3rd34.5%16th
Passing success rate30.3%134th43.2%98th
Explosive run rate17.6%21st7.7%10th
Explosive pass rate13.0%31st15.4%136th
Line yards / carry3.763rd2.6317th
Opportunity rate45.1%8th30.9%11th
Stuff rate9.5%3rd19.1%49th
Sack rate9.2%132nd7.7%19th
3rd-down conversion43.8%50th45.7%119th
Red-zone TD rate73.3%25th64.3%97th
Havoc rate10.0%22nd12.9%90th
Box score · season totals
Points / game28.277th25.891st
Yards / game414.054th346.560th
Yards / play6.2739th5.3073rd
Pass yards / game115.5134th247.7114th
Yards / pass att.9.2015th9.23136th
Completion %44.0%138th68.3%132nd
Rush yards / game298.54th98.821st
Yards / carry5.7010th2.738th
3rd-down conv. %43.5%43rd44.6%121st
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.5097th0.50133rd
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.5049th2.3343rd
Penalty yards / game45.024th37.5131st

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
14.8
1st of 138
YAC per catch
9.5
1st of 138
Deep shots (20+)
28%
2nd of 138
Shotgun
56%
136th of 138
No-huddle
19%
110th of 138
QB pressured
19%
10th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
16%
39th of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
5.1
77th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws69 throws charted

45% comp14.8 avg. depth9.5 YAC/catch28% 20+ air yds6–2 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 3 throws (4%), 3 caught (100%), 15 yds, 5.0 per throw3100% · 15yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 5 throws (7%), 3 caught (60%), 20 yds, 4.0 per throw560% · 20yLeft, 5–9 air yards: noneLeft, 10–14 air yards: 8 throws (12%), 3 caught (38%), 84 yds, 10.5 per throw838% · 84yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 2 throws (3%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 2 throws (3%), 1 caught (50%), 92 yds, 46.0 per throw250% · 92yLeft, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (4%), 1 caught (33%), 39 yds, 13.0 per throw333% · 39yMiddle, Behind air yards: noneMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 3 throws (4%), 1 caught (33%), 4 yds, 1.3 per throw333% · 4yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 4 throws (6%), 1 caught (25%), 12 yds, 3.0 per throw425% · 12yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: noneMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 1 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 2 throws (3%), 2 caught (100%), 52 yds, 26.0 per throw2100% · 52yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (6%), 1 caught (25%), 68 yds, 17.0 per throw425% · 68yRight, Behind air yards: 1 throws (1%), 1 caught (100%), 3 yds, 3.0 per throw1100% · 3yRight, 0–4 air yards: 6 throws (9%), 4 caught (67%), 50 yds, 8.3 per throw667% · 50yRight, 5–9 air yards: 7 throws (10%), 6 caught (86%), 52 yds, 7.4 per throw786% · 52yRight, 10–14 air yards: 7 throws (10%), 2 caught (29%), 33 yds, 4.7 per throw729% · 33yRight, 15–19 air yards: 3 throws (4%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw30% · 0yRight, 20–29 air yards: 2 throws (3%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0yRight, 30+ air yards: 6 throws (9%), 2 caught (33%), 97 yds, 16.2 per throw633% · 97y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on150 throws charted

69% comp9.6 avg. depth5.1 YAC/catch16% 20+ air yds14–3 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 14 throws (9%), 10 caught (71%), 49 yds, 3.5 per throw1471% · 49yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 12 throws (8%), 8 caught (67%), 50 yds, 4.2 per throw1267% · 50yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 12 throws (8%), 9 caught (75%), 68 yds, 5.7 per throw1275% · 68yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 8 throws (5%), 7 caught (88%), 130 yds, 16.3 per throw888% · 130yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 2 caught (40%), 32 yds, 6.4 per throw540% · 32yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 1 caught (33%), 22 yds, 7.3 per throw333% · 22yLeft, 30+ air yards: 6 throws (4%), 4 caught (67%), 156 yds, 26.0 per throw667% · 156yMiddle, Behind air yards: 4 throws (3%), 3 caught (75%), 14 yds, 3.5 per throw475% · 14yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 4 throws (3%), 3 caught (75%), 15 yds, 3.8 per throw475% · 15yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 12 throws (8%), 5 caught (42%), 77 yds, 6.4 per throw1242% · 77yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 8 throws (5%), 7 caught (88%), 108 yds, 13.5 per throw888% · 108yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 6 throws (4%), 3 caught (50%), 57 yds, 9.5 per throw650% · 57yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 3 caught (100%), 92 yds, 30.7 per throw3100% · 92yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 1 throws (1%), 1 caught (100%), 76 yds, 76.0 per throw1100% · 76yRight, Behind air yards: 9 throws (6%), 9 caught (100%), 38 yds, 4.2 per throw9100% · 38yRight, 0–4 air yards: 13 throws (9%), 11 caught (85%), 44 yds, 3.4 per throw1385% · 44yRight, 5–9 air yards: 12 throws (8%), 9 caught (75%), 109 yds, 9.1 per throw1275% · 109yRight, 10–14 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 2 caught (40%), 26 yds, 5.2 per throw540% · 26yRight, 15–19 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 1 caught (33%), 25 yds, 8.3 per throw333% · 25yRight, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 3 caught (100%), 66 yds, 22.0 per throw3100% · 66yRight, 30+ air yards: 7 throws (5%), 5 caught (71%), 213 yds, 30.4 per throw771% · 213y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction291 carries

Left
20%
7.9 YPC · 53% succ.
Middle
52%
5.6 YPC · 51% succ.
Right
28%
5.8 YPC · 54% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced197 carries

Left
17%
3.8 YPC · 36% succ.
Middle
68%
4.0 YPC · 41% succ.
Right
16%
2.5 YPC · 26% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Brian Newberry

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
1Brady CarmicalQBFR6' 2"215Ashburn, VA
3Maverick ChanceQBFR6' 0"215Brentwood, TN
8Jackson GutierrezQBJR6' 0"207San Antonio, TX
10Ryan BrassQBSO6' 0"210Cincinnati, OH
15Evan BlouirQBFR6' 0"205Lusby, MD
16Michael DoveQBSO6' 0"206Winter Garden, FL
24Braeden GeorgeRBSO5' 11"204Baton Rouge, LA
35Quinton EzzardRBJR6' 1"210Smyrna, GA
41Stefan EgbeRBSR6' 0"218Ellicott City, MD
42Christian CromerRBSO5' 11"250Brooksville, FL
45Chris Daley IIRBFR5' 10"215Denver, NC
0Noah BullWRSR6' 0"210Baltimore, MD
4JP DonovanWRFR6' 0"205Jacksonville, FL
6Bash BodilyWRFR6' 5"205Park City, UT
9Cayden AlulaWRFR6' 0"197Jupiter, FL
13Akeem ClarkWRSO6' 2"200District Heights, MD
14Maddax FayardWRSO5' 10"187Destin, FL
17Gus AndersonWRFR5' 11"190Newnan, GA
18Andersen CardozaWRJR5' 10"203Fayetteville, GA
20Prosper AkannaWRJR5' 11"195Sachse, TX
22Jeremiah ChalmersWRSO5' 11"187Fort Lauderdale, FL
25Isaiah BryantWRSR5' 9"165Mount Dora, FL
26Michael BarrowWRJR5' 7"190Grand Prairie, TX
28Tyler BreedloveWRFR6' 1"173Loganville, GA
32James Cusick IIWRFR6' 0"187Union, KY
36Andre Gilbert Jr.WRJR5' 7"160Tampa, FL
37Ihsaan AlozieWRFR5' 9"183Clifton Park, NY
80Arnel HeathingtonWRSR6' 1"193Waldorf, MD
83Truman BrasfieldWRFR6' 1"197Corvallis, OR
83Landon DolhancykWRSO6' 4"183Peachtree City, GA
86Joshua GuerinWRSR6' 1"180Fort Lauderdale, FL
82Drew HallTEJR6' 4"230Pembroke, MA
84Jordan CollinsTESO6' 3"236Rock Hill, SC
87Theo ElwellTEJR6' 5"241Peachtree City, GA
88Merrick BarlowTESO6' 6"239Newburyport, MA
50Joe AlnwickOTFR6' 4"280Copake, NY
58Peter BonnetOTFR6' 5"295Pittsburgh, PA
61Drew FontanaOTJR6' 4"273Pittsburgh, PA
65Connor HeaterOTJR6' 3"275Brookfield, OH
69Alex BrewerOTFR6' 4"315Canton, GA
73Sean CrowleyOTJR6' 4"293Glen Arm, MD
74James CardinaliOTSO6' 6"286Gibsonia, PA
75Hansen CollieOTJR6' 5"279San Marcos, TX
54Hunter FayCSO6' 3"265Brock, TX
59Gavin DaubyCFR6' 3"285Wildwood, MO
68Todd HammondDLFR6' 2"280Franklin, TN
94Xavyer ArringtonDLJR6' 0"279Vero Beach, FL
99Chris HerockDLJR6' 1"266Cumming, GA
72Elysha CampbellDEFR6' 3"220Tallahassee, FL
73Rhoen BreenDESO6' 5"271Cary, NC
75Romane GrantDEFR6' 2"260Biloxi, MS
78Jaden BrockDESO6' 4"260Suwanee, GA
79Bryan HallDEFR6' 4"278Wellington, FL
74Gabriel GeorgeDTFR6' 5"260Brookfield, CT
79Clinton AnyagafuDTSO6' 1"255Missouri City, TX
0Mackenzie ArdoinLBSO6' 4"230Opelousas, LA
1Seth EnglishLBSR6' 3"199Gainesville, FL
14Trent GillisLBSO6' 1"200Glen Burnie, MD
32Justin ColesLBJR6' 2"196Sunrise, FL
33Allen AndersonLBFR6' 1"230Annapolis, MD
34Maddox HaylesLBFR6' 0"212Destin, FL
37Jaden HolderLBFR6' 2"210Snellville, GA
39Job GrantLBSR6' 2"223Kansas City, MO
40Mac Barrow IILBFR5' 11"213Houston, TX
41James DeyoLBFR6' 2"225Lynchburg, VA
44Terrez BootheLBFR6' 1"200Aberdeen, MD
46Noah BeckLBJR6' 1"233Cleves, OH
47Harry Beacham IIILBJR6' 0"220Baton Rouge, LA
49Amahd ClarkLBSO6' 3"219District Heights, MD
51Jacob AsbeckLBJR6' 1"215West Chester, OH
53Marcus BleazardLBSR6' 0"224Kennesaw, GA
54Teddy AndrousLBJR6' 0"220Annapolis, MD
57Mason FreyLBSO6' 2"243Southport, CT
58Coleman CauleyLBSR6' 1"227Macon, GA
59Cody FairLBSO6' 2"230Massillon, OH
80Ian HallLBFR6' 2"210Alexandria, VA
81Anthony GiorgiLBFR6' 4"220Washington, PA
83Nash BeenenLBSO6' 2"202Atlantic Beach, FL
6Phillip HamiltonCBJR5' 10"175Fort Worth, TX
10Nick BellCBJR5' 10"182Centerton, AR
20Caiden AnkuCBFR6' 0"200Antioch, TN
26Garrison EdwardsCBFR5' 9"190Pine Mountain, GA
28Bryce AllenCBSR5' 11"181Alpharetta, GA
7Kush'i AbrahamSSR5' 9"186Cincinnati, OH
11Jonah CaliSSO5' 9"190Montverde, FL
17Trent GraySSO6' 2"186Austin, TX
24Carson de AvilaSSR6' 0"190Newport Beach, CA
15Nolan BartleyPKFR6' 0"172Austin, TX
96Archie EshPKFR5' 10"180Lenexa, KS
99Lance GossettPKSR6' 1"200Louisville, KY
11Jacob CarlsonPJR5' 10"190Plano, TX
90Jack ArmbrusterPSO6' 2"180New Orleans, LA
91Eli CronicLSSO5' 11"183Arnold, MD
92Rayne FryLSSR6' 2"196Lawrenceville, GA
94Jaxon EndresLSSO6' 2"215Brentwood, TN
52Jackson DeLoachGFR6' 3"273Suwanee, GA
53Jack HeathGFR6' 5"285Lone Tree, CO
57John HebertGSO6' 2"275Baton Rouge, LA
66Will HamptonGSO6' 5"298Petal, MS
71Isaac BunkerGSR6' 3"298Monroe, WI

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2015 (+8.7, #23) · worst: 2023 (-5.7, #100)
-50+5+10FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#49
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far2-41-3#90-5.9-3.4-2.4
202511-27-1#49+3.5+2.3+1.3
202410-36-2#36+5.1+2.1+3.1
20235-74-4#100-5.7-9.1+3.4
20224-84-4#76-2.5-4.8+2.3
20214-83-5#90-3.9-4.9+1.1
20203-73-4#97-5.6-6.7+1.0
201911-27-1#23+8.5+5.0+3.5
20183-102-6#96-5.6-2.7-2.9
20177-64-4#42+4.3+2.2+2.1
20169-57-1#46+4.0+5.8-1.7
201511-27-1#23+8.7+4.9+3.8
20148-5—#55+1.6+2.0-0.4

Navy's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Oct 22, 10:45 AM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →