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American · 2026

North Texas Mean Green

Head coach Neal Brown · DATCU Stadium
4-22-0 in conference
TDC Rank
#53
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+4.4
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+8.5
16th in FBS
Defense
-4.2
99th in FBS
Schedule so far
-6.0
85th toughest
Projected
8.6-3.4
bowl-eligible >99%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

+4.4 now, -1.5 preseason · up 16 spots since preseason
0+5FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8#53

Final record odds

8.6-3.4 expected · most likely 9-3 (37%)
6-612%7-530%8-437%9-319%10-2

Team Leaders

National leaderboards →

Passing
Tayven Jackson
QB · SR · 8th in FBS
1859yds
15 TD · 4 INT
Rushing
Jahiem White
RB · SR · 13th in FBS
676yds
97 car · 9 TD
Receiving
Justin Stevenson
WR · SR · 50th in FBS
453yds
33 rec · 5 TD
Tackles
Zakye Barker
LB · SR · 146th in FBS
43tkl
2.5 TFL
Sacks
Davion Rhodes
DL · SR · 41st in FBS
4sacks
2 hurries
Interceptions
Keshawn Davila
CB · SR · 109th in FBS
1INT
1 PD

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5@4IndianaL 16–52 ›+1.5—FOX
2Sep 12vs84UNLVW 44–6 ›+20.7—ESPNU
3Sep 19@61Texas StateL 35–49 ›-7.6—USA Net
4Sep 26vsHouston Christian FCSW 63–14 ›+3.3—ESPN+
5Oct 1@91TulsaCONFW 45–44 ›-1.5—ESPN
6Oct 10vs135CharlotteCONFW 50–10 ›+2.0—ESPN+
7—Bye
8Oct 24@90NavyCONFNorth Texas −6.4 · o/u 65.2—67%CBSSN
9Oct 29vs100Florida AtlanticCONFNorth Texas −17.6 · o/u 73.6—88%
10Nov 7vs119RiceCONFNorth Texas −23.2 · o/u 61.6—94%
11Nov 14@75UTSACONFNorth Texas −2.1 · o/u 71.5—56%
12Nov 21@82TulaneCONFNorth Texas −4.2 · o/u 57.0—61%
13Nov 28vs115UABCONFNorth Texas −21.8 · o/u 65.4—93%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.3594th+0.149100th
Success rate48.1%27th44.3%105th
Explosiveness1.4218th1.21056th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate49.2%20th44.1%100th
Rushing success rate40.8%100th41.3%59th
Passing success rate55.8%4th47.4%126th
Explosive run rate16.6%36th11.7%49th
Explosive pass rate15.5%15th10.9%94th
Line yards / carry3.2258th2.8244th
Opportunity rate41.4%47th32.4%20th
Stuff rate15.3%48th17.3%73rd
Sack rate1.5%6th4.5%99th
3rd-down conversion53.0%14th38.2%58th
Red-zone TD rate75.9%14th70.0%114th
Havoc rate8.5%4th11.4%122nd
Box score · season totals
Points / game42.25th29.2113th
Yards / game533.83rd355.870th
Yards / play7.216th5.3175th
Pass yards / game347.02nd213.272nd
Yards / pass att.9.509th7.85113th
Completion %72.3%5th63.2%93rd
Rush yards / game186.841st142.773rd
Yards / carry5.1028th3.8257th
3rd-down conv. %48.8%21st33.3%35th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.1766th1.5035th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)0.8310th2.5033rd
Penalty yards / game70.2115th49.299th

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
9.1
47th of 138
YAC per catch
6.1
38th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
15%
53rd of 138
Shotgun
94%
79th of 138
No-huddle
61%
72nd of 138
QB pressured
5%
137th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
14%
57th of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
5.8
30th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws214 throws charted

72% comp9.1 avg. depth6.1 YAC/catch15% 20+ air yds17–4 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 17 throws (8%), 12 caught (71%), 84 yds, 4.9 per throw1771% · 84yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 17 throws (8%), 15 caught (88%), 99 yds, 5.8 per throw1788% · 99yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 23 throws (11%), 18 caught (78%), 160 yds, 7.0 per throw2378% · 160yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 12 throws (6%), 10 caught (83%), 140 yds, 11.7 per throw1283% · 140yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 4 caught (80%), 105 yds, 21.0 per throw580% · 105yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 3 caught (50%), 87 yds, 14.5 per throw650% · 87yLeft, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (1%), 1 caught (33%), 36 yds, 12.0 per throw333% · 36yMiddle, Behind air yards: noneMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 10 throws (5%), 7 caught (70%), 61 yds, 6.1 per throw1070% · 61yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 12 throws (6%), 8 caught (67%), 140 yds, 11.7 per throw1267% · 140yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 10 throws (5%), 8 caught (80%), 173 yds, 17.3 per throw1080% · 173yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 11 throws (5%), 9 caught (82%), 210 yds, 19.1 per throw1182% · 210yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 4 caught (80%), 129 yds, 25.8 per throw580% · 129yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 6 throws (3%), 3 caught (50%), 118 yds, 19.7 per throw650% · 118yRight, Behind air yards: 23 throws (11%), 23 caught (100%), 132 yds, 5.7 per throw23100% · 132yRight, 0–4 air yards: 15 throws (7%), 11 caught (73%), 83 yds, 5.5 per throw1573% · 83yRight, 5–9 air yards: 14 throws (7%), 11 caught (79%), 122 yds, 8.7 per throw1479% · 122yRight, 10–14 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 3 caught (50%), 48 yds, 8.0 per throw650% · 48yRight, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 4 caught (57%), 73 yds, 10.4 per throw757% · 73yRight, 20–29 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 3 caught (38%), 69 yds, 8.6 per throw838% · 69yRight, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw40% · 0y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on155 throws charted

63% comp9.0 avg. depth5.8 YAC/catch14% 20+ air yds13–5 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 12 throws (8%), 7 caught (58%), 65 yds, 5.4 per throw1258% · 65yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 17 throws (11%), 12 caught (71%), 120 yds, 7.1 per throw1771% · 120yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 11 throws (7%), 6 caught (55%), 53 yds, 4.8 per throw1155% · 53yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 6 throws (4%), 2 caught (33%), 26 yds, 4.3 per throw633% · 26yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 4 throws (3%), 3 caught (75%), 48 yds, 12.0 per throw475% · 48yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0yLeft, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (2%), 1 caught (33%), 43 yds, 14.3 per throw333% · 43yMiddle, Behind air yards: 5 throws (3%), 5 caught (100%), 5 yds, 1.0 per throw5100% · 5yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 11 throws (7%), 8 caught (73%), 76 yds, 6.9 per throw1173% · 76yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 13 throws (8%), 8 caught (62%), 112 yds, 8.6 per throw1362% · 112yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 8 throws (5%), 7 caught (88%), 183 yds, 22.9 per throw888% · 183yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 41 yds, 20.5 per throw250% · 41yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 3 caught (60%), 77 yds, 15.4 per throw560% · 77yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (2%), 1 caught (33%), 42 yds, 14.0 per throw333% · 42yRight, Behind air yards: 9 throws (6%), 9 caught (100%), 29 yds, 3.2 per throw9100% · 29yRight, 0–4 air yards: 15 throws (10%), 11 caught (73%), 57 yds, 3.8 per throw1573% · 57yRight, 5–9 air yards: 12 throws (8%), 8 caught (67%), 68 yds, 5.7 per throw1267% · 68yRight, 10–14 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 2 caught (67%), 23 yds, 7.7 per throw367% · 23yRight, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (5%), 5 caught (71%), 95 yds, 13.6 per throw771% · 95yRight, 20–29 air yards: 1 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yRight, 30+ air yards: 6 throws (4%), 3 caught (50%), 109 yds, 18.2 per throw650% · 109y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction205 carries

Left
21%
5.0 YPC · 43% succ.
Middle
57%
5.4 YPC · 43% succ.
Right
21%
5.5 YPC · 57% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced205 carries

Left
22%
5.6 YPC · 39% succ.
Middle
54%
4.1 YPC · 33% succ.
Right
24%
5.5 YPC · 43% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Neal Brown

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
2Tayven JacksonQBSR6' 4"209Greenwood, IN
9Chaston DittaQBSO6' 0"195Austin, TX
12Chris Jimerson Jr.QBSO5' 10"176Fort Worth, TX
1Jahiem WhiteRBSR5' 7"190York, PA
4Nick OshoRBSR6' 1"217Burnaby, Canada
20Adarion NettlesRBFR5' 8"186Arlington, TX
22Colin PageRBSR5' 11"207Austin, TX
29Brendon HaygoodRBSO5' 10"190Wylie, TX
36Keenan Jackson Jr.RBSO5' 10"173Haltom City, TX
0Corri MillinerWRSR6' 2"164Alexander City, AL
3TJ ChukwurahWRSR5' 11"200Arlington, TX
6Josiah MartinWRJR5' 11"167Corinth, TX
8Shandon KingWRSR6' 2"185Houston, TX
11Dalton CarnesWRSR5' 9"173College Station, TX
13Justin StevensonWRSR6' 2"195Philadelphia, PA
14Kyle KochWRJR6' 2"198Dripping Springs, TX
16James TyreWRSR5' 8"171Suwanee, GA
18Lathon LatiolaisWRFR5' 10"179Prosper, TX
19Grayson O'BaraWRSR6' 1"191Denton, TX
80Baron TiptonWRJR6' 5"207Coppell, TX
84Jackson MuckelroyWRSR6' 4"208Houston, TX
87Eli NikolasWRFR6' 2"194Boerne, TX
7Max ReeseTESR6' 2"249Chicago, IL
17Brec LongTESR6' 4"231Copan, OK
82Connor VaughnTESR6' 4"253Flower Mound, TX
85Drew ClemensTESO6' 4"221Kansas City, MO
88Victor AderungboyeTEJR6' 3"244Missouri City, TX
89Jerious SingletaryTEFR6' 4"237Huntsville, TX
50Jahzari PriesterOLSR6' 6"322Chesapeake, VA
53Dylan ShawOLSR6' 4"330Corpus Christi, TX
54Henry FenukuOLSO6' 3"296Fort Worth, TX
56Austin OdetteOLFR6' 5"259Grapevine, TX
57Chandler StrongOLSR6' 1"289Warner Robins, GA
61Drew CunninghamOLJR6' 4"302Southlake, TX
62Amarion BerryOLJR6' 2"301Tupelo, MS
64Roberto RodriguezOLSO6' 5"303Pasadena, TX
66Willie GoodacreOLJR6' 5"326Denton, TX
68Keon JohnsonOLSR6' 4"376Akron, OH
70Brody HamiltonOLSO6' 4"297Denton, TX
72Neto UmeozuluOLSR6' 4"315Allen, TX
73Julio Madero IVOLJR6' 4"327Odessa, TX
74Francisco AdamsOLFR6' 6"290Flower Mound, TX
77Caden VoltaireOLFR6' 7"314Cape Coral, FL
78KC EkwuOLFR6' 4"324Sunnyvale, TX
6Udoka EzeaniDLSR6' 1"224Richmond, TX
10David OnuohaDLSR6' 1"236Cliffwood, NJ
11Steven CurtisDLSR6' 5"260Palm Beach, FL
15Justin BentonDLSR6' 0"296Atlanta, GA
18Mo DiawaraDLSR6' 4"270Brooklyn Park, MN
23Christian LorenzoDLSR6' 3"304Dekalb, IL
41Cason ApplewhiteDLFR6' 4"241Palestine, TX
42Brayden KnoxDLSO6' 3"257Oklahoma City, OK
44Dylan WilliamsDLFR6' 1"299Duncanville, TX
51Keelene BradleyDLSR6' 3"240Fort Worth, TX
52Courage Osawe Jr.DLJR6' 4"305Sparks, NV
53Rohan SturgeonDLFR6' 3"202Austin, TX
58Nolan ClarkDLSR6' 2"309Glen Rock, NJ
88Wesley HudsonDLSR6' 3"297Lancaster, TX
91Davion RhodesDLSR6' 2"251Camilla, GA
92Grady HolmesDLFR6' 2"292Rowlett, TX
93Terrell WashingtonDLJR6' 1"314Lynchburg, VA
94Caleb LathanDLJR6' 4"282Plano, TX
96AJ BrownDLSO6' 3"309Dallas, TX
97Demetrie MorganDLSR6' 5"242Fort Myers, FL
98Curlee Thomas IVDLSR6' 4"264Fort Worth, TX
99Avion CarterDLSR6' 4"278Amarillo, TX
3Zakye BarkerLBSR5' 11"229Norcross, GA
7Aaron AlexanderLBSR6' 1"232Belleville, MI
17Cedric RobertsLBJR6' 1"225Fort Valley, GA
30Chantz JohnsonLBSR6' 1"235Fort Pierce, FL
34Brenden ReeseLBSO6' 2"236Longview, TX
36Jaden ManningLBSO6' 1"235Mansfield, TX
40Kailer PettijohnLBFR6' 0"200McKinney, TX
45Kenton AllenLBSR6' 2"225Riverside, CA
1Keshawn DavilaCBSR6' 1"169Tampa, FL
5Chase CanadaCBSR5' 11"191Hahnville, LA
8Caden JenkinsCBSR6' 1"176Lewisville, TX
19Jaden AllenCBJR5' 10"171Aledo, TX
20Taylor StarlingCBSR5' 9"177Dallas, TX
24Peyton TaylorCBSR5' 11"167Aurora, CO
25Ja'Bree BickhamCBSO6' 4"186McKinney, TX
27Zach JohnsonCBSR5' 10"178Tampa, FL
32Anthony Benford IICBSR5' 11"194Denton, TX
35Kaeden SwannCBFR6' 3"167Garland, TX
0Brandon JonesSSO5' 9"183Houston, TX
2Taye SeymoreSSR5' 11"199Fort Walton Beach, FL
4CJ CoombesSSR6' 1"207Bellefonte, DE
9Cameren JenkinsSSR6' 1"202Lewisville, TX
13Graham GillespieSSR6' 1"196Cypress, TX
14Bryce GarzaSSO6' 2"200Wolfforth, TX
16BJ Allen Jr.SSR6' 0"199Aledo, TX
21Jason Cross Jr.SJR6' 1"183Pittsburgh, PA
22Julian Knox Sr.SJR6' 3"213Fort Worth, TX
31Aaden LittleSFR6' 1"183Dallas, TX
48Michael Taylor IIPKFR5' 8"182Houston, TX
90Dominic De FreitasPKSO6' 0"186Nappanee, IN
37Ian RatliffPSR5' 11"183Humble, TX
46Luke CrudgingtonPFR5' 11"176The Woodlands, TX
51Brodie ScogginsLSSO6' 2"218Coppell, TX
52Jacob PoffLSSO6' 0"184Orange, CA

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2025 (+8.5, #23) · worst: 2015 (-19.4, #128)
-20-100+10FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#23
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far4-22-0#53+4.4+8.5-4.2
202512-27-1#23+8.5+12.0-3.5
20246-73-5#89-3.8+4.0-7.9
20235-73-5#104-5.9+4.5-10.5
20227-76-2#74-1.5+2.7-4.3
20216-75-3#93-4.5-1.7-2.8
20204-63-4#117-11.3+2.5-13.8
20194-83-5#105-6.8-0.2-6.6
20189-45-3#65+1.0+1.8-0.8
20179-57-1#90-4.0+4.3-8.3
20165-83-5#114-10.7-5.7-5.0
20151-111-7#128-19.4-11.7-7.7
20144-82-6#104-8.6-4.1-4.5

North Texas's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Oct 21, 10:45 AM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →