Pac-12 · 2026

Colorado State Rams

Head coach Jim Mora · Canvas Stadium
2-40-2 in conference
TDC Rank
#116
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
-13.8
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-0.6
73rd in FBS
Defense
-13.1
135th in FBS
Schedule so far
-4.1
72nd toughest
Projected
4.1-7.9
bowl-eligible 9%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

-13.8 now, -13.5 preseason · down 11 spots since preseason
-15-10-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8#116

Final record odds

4.1-7.9 expected · most likely 4-8 (38%)
2-1026%3-938%4-824%5-78%6-67-5

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5vs123WyomingW 35–13 ›+1.9—USA Net
2Sep 12vsSouthern Utah FCSW 58–24 ›+2.5—CBSSN
3Sep 19vs14BYUL 23–41 ›-4.7—CBS
4Sep 26@75UTSAL 45–59 ›-11.8—ESPNU
5Oct 3vs57Oregon StateCONFL 26–56 ›-26.4—USA Net
6—Bye
7Oct 15@61Texas StateCONFL 27–66 ›-22.9—CBSSN
8Oct 24vs98San Diego StateCONFSan Diego State −1.2 · o/u 65.1—47%CW
9Oct 31@94Utah StateCONFUtah State −10.2 · o/u 58.7—25%USA Net
10Nov 7vs36Boise StateCONFBoise State −18.7 · o/u 70.3—11%USA Net
11Nov 14@95Washington StateCONFWashington State −10.2 · o/u 61.6—25%CBSSN
12Nov 21@77Fresno StateCONFFresno State −14.8 · o/u 63.7—16%CW
13Nov 28vsTBD FCSCONFColorado State −19.9 · o/u 66.5—88%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.28219th+0.355138th
Success rate45.4%50th55.2%138th
Explosiveness1.4772nd1.24271st
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate45.3%52nd56.8%138th
Rushing success rate45.5%55th56.8%138th
Passing success rate45.1%49th56.8%138th
Explosive run rate11.0%113th20.5%136th
Explosive pass rate10.6%64th15.6%137th
Line yards / carry2.92104th3.77137th
Opportunity rate37.9%86th47.0%137th
Stuff rate18.6%90th11.9%133rd
Sack rate1.6%8th3.0%122nd
3rd-down conversion44.3%43rd51.9%137th
Red-zone TD rate81.2%4th90.9%137th
Havoc rate12.2%47th11.4%122nd
Box score · season totals
Points / game35.728th43.2138th
Yards / game445.334th530.3138th
Yards / play6.5024th7.99138th
Pass yards / game274.726th256.0124th
Yards / pass att.7.3078th10.67138th
Completion %63.0%76th70.8%135th
Rush yards / game170.753rd274.3138th
Yards / carry5.7010th6.66138th
3rd-down conv. %43.7%42nd48.4%134th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)0.6722nd2.008th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)0.505th1.17121st
Penalty yards / game42.318th51.391st

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
6.7
133rd of 138
YAC per catch
6.8
12th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
11%
111th of 138
Shotgun
95%
72nd of 138
No-huddle
83%
40th of 138
QB pressured
12%
80th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
16%
36th of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
8.7
1st of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws218 throws charted

63% comp6.7 avg. depth6.8 YAC/catch11% 20+ air yds16–4 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 26 throws (12%), 22 caught (85%), 162 yds, 6.2 per throw2685% · 162yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 10 throws (5%), 5 caught (50%), 24 yds, 2.4 per throw1050% · 24yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 15 throws (7%), 10 caught (67%), 75 yds, 5.0 per throw1567% · 75yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 5 caught (83%), 106 yds, 17.7 per throw683% · 106yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 1 caught (25%), 17 yds, 4.3 per throw425% · 17yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 5 caught (71%), 152 yds, 21.7 per throw771% · 152yLeft, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (2%), 1 caught (20%), 37 yds, 7.4 per throw520% · 37yMiddle, Behind air yards: 4 throws (2%), 4 caught (100%), 84 yds, 21.0 per throw4100% · 84yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 7 caught (78%), 37 yds, 4.1 per throw978% · 37yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 23 throws (11%), 13 caught (57%), 125 yds, 5.4 per throw2357% · 125yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 1 caught (17%), 11 yds, 1.8 per throw617% · 11yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 2 caught (40%), 47 yds, 9.4 per throw540% · 47yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 3 caught (75%), 188 yds, 47.0 per throw475% · 188yRight, Behind air yards: 40 throws (18%), 35 caught (88%), 174 yds, 4.3 per throw4088% · 174yRight, 0–4 air yards: 15 throws (7%), 8 caught (53%), 63 yds, 4.2 per throw1553% · 63yRight, 5–9 air yards: 22 throws (10%), 9 caught (41%), 82 yds, 3.7 per throw2241% · 82yRight, 10–14 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 1 caught (20%), 15 yds, 3.0 per throw520% · 15yRight, 15–19 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 4 caught (100%), 73 yds, 18.3 per throw4100% · 73yRight, 20–29 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 2 caught (50%), 70 yds, 17.5 per throw450% · 70yRight, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 2 caught (100%), 87 yds, 43.5 per throw2100% · 87y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on130 throws charted

70% comp6.8 avg. depth8.7 YAC/catch11% 20+ air yds10–7 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 17 throws (13%), 14 caught (82%), 163 yds, 9.6 per throw1782% · 163yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 14 throws (11%), 12 caught (86%), 103 yds, 7.4 per throw1486% · 103yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 8 throws (6%), 6 caught (75%), 64 yds, 8.0 per throw875% · 64yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 4 throws (3%), 3 caught (75%), 50 yds, 12.5 per throw475% · 50yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 4 throws (3%), 2 caught (50%), 41 yds, 10.3 per throw450% · 41yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 6 throws (5%), 1 caught (17%), 27 yds, 4.5 per throw617% · 27yLeft, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (2%), 2 caught (67%), 113 yds, 37.7 per throw367% · 113yMiddle, Behind air yards: 3 throws (2%), 3 caught (100%), 26 yds, 8.7 per throw3100% · 26yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 4 throws (3%), 2 caught (50%), 32 yds, 8.0 per throw450% · 32yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 2 caught (67%), 28 yds, 9.3 per throw367% · 28yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 8 throws (6%), 3 caught (38%), 59 yds, 7.4 per throw838% · 59yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 2 caught (67%), 97 yds, 32.3 per throw367% · 97yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 1 throws (1%), 1 caught (100%), 29 yds, 29.0 per throw1100% · 29yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 1 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yRight, Behind air yards: 14 throws (11%), 13 caught (93%), 100 yds, 7.1 per throw1493% · 100yRight, 0–4 air yards: 16 throws (12%), 14 caught (88%), 136 yds, 8.5 per throw1688% · 136yRight, 5–9 air yards: 13 throws (10%), 10 caught (77%), 99 yds, 7.6 per throw1377% · 99yRight, 10–14 air yards: 2 throws (2%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0yRight, 15–19 air yards: 2 throws (2%), 2 caught (100%), 35 yds, 17.5 per throw2100% · 35yRight, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 2 caught (67%), 72 yds, 24.0 per throw367% · 72yRight, 30+ air yards: 1 throws (1%), 1 caught (100%), 40 yds, 40.0 per throw1100% · 40y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction168 carries

Left
32%
6.3 YPC · 42% succ.
Middle
36%
4.2 YPC · 41% succ.
Right
32%
8.1 YPC · 52% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced225 carries

Left
22%
7.2 YPC · 55% succ.
Middle
56%
7.8 YPC · 49% succ.
Right
22%
6.7 YPC · 56% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Jim Mora

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
2K'saan FarrarQBSO6' 3"215Newport News, VA
3Darius CurryQBJR5' 10"165Long Beach, CA
8Hauss HejnyQBSO6' 0"206Aledo, TX
13Tommy PoholskyQBSR6' 1"210Evergreen, CO
16Darnell KellyQBFRBarnesville, GA
19Carter EmanuelQBFROrlando, FL
1Mel BrownRBSR5' 9"180Stone Mountain, GA
7Malichi GreavesRBSO5' 9"190Queens, NY
11Durell RobinsonRBSR6' 0"207Seat Pleasant, MD
22Cedric RossRBFRLubbock, TX
23Damian Moore Jr.RBFROrlando, FL
24Jayden FoxRBFR5' 9"170Englewood, CO
34Amare GomezRBSO5' 9"180San Diego, CA
44Oliver LundbergRBJR5' 10"200Gothenburg, Sweden
4Lavon BrownWRSR6' 0"195Chatsworth, CA
6Jackson HarperWRSR6' 2"200Simsbury, CT
9Jordan MosleyWRSR6' 0"195Mobile, AL
10Tommy MaherWRJR5' 10"170Redondo Beach, CA
15Terrence Smith Jr.WRSO5' 11"170Aiken, SC
20Jaivyn MooreWRJRPeoria, IL
25Eli RichWRFRBoise, ID
28Hudson CocchiaraWRFRAlpharetta, GA
29Brandon Brown Jr.WRKilleen, TX
81Troy FosterWRFRLos Alamitos, CA
82Daven AmosWRSOPittsburg, CA
83Yasser JacksonWRFROakland, CA
84Stephon DailyWRJR6' 3"180Phoenix, AZ
87Antoine Martin Jr.WRSO5' 11"170Houston, TX
17Brock CampTESO6' 5"250Columbia, MO
18Pearce Spurlin IIITEJR6' 7"230Santa Rosa Beach, FL
26Ryan McConnellTESR6' 1"225Erie, CO
30Dominic ToyTEJR6' 6"225Chester, PA
85Grant HouserTESO6' 6"230Wapakoneta, OH
88Nader ChirchiTESR6' 7"265Alexandria, VA
52Kentez AllenOLSO6' 2"295Mcdonough, GA
54Quinton HarrisOLSR6' 8"315Arlington, TX
61Diego RodriguezOLJR6' 5"290Hillside, NJ
62Packs AhoveloOLFRWaimanalo, HI
63John HolthausOLJR6' 7"285Portola Valley, CA
65Phillip OconOLJR6' 3"300South Pasadena, CA
68Jeremiah CostillaOLJRTracy, CA
70Berlin LillardOLJR6' 4"365Oakland, CA
71Zach SmithOLJR6' 8"300Highlands Ranch, CO
73Braden HalesOLJR6' 5"305Olathe, KS
74Payton StewartOLJR6' 6"308Kelso, WA
75Sione NetaneOLSO6' 3"350San Mateo, CA
76Toriyan JohnsonOLSR6' 8"330Dorchester, MA
78Uluaki TatafuOLFRWaimanalo, HI
10Brandon KelleyDLSR6' 6"235Pottstown, PA
52Cleto CholDLSR6' 6"270Lynn, MA
55Desman ManuelDLFRDallas, TX
58Peyton GarrettDLJR6' 2"230Parker, CO
71Ismael El BouomraniDLSOFort Myers, FL
77Jack MoranDLJR6' 6"255Arvada, CO
90Keegan ShankDLJR6' 4"255Scottsdale, AZ
93Robby HarrisonDLSR6' 4"320Greenwood, SC
94Alton Tarber IVDLSR6' 4"330Pompano Beach, FL
95Gabe JonesDLJR6' 4"290Dallas, TX
96Tyrone FittenDLFRHogansville, GA
97Amare BellDLFRPhoenix, AZ
99TaVeon RobinsonDLJROlathe, KS
2Oumar DiomandeLBSR6' 1"230Bronx, NY
11Khamani PottsLBSRRochester, MI
16Ace BrownLBFRYoungstown, OH
19Nykobi BrownLBSO6' 3"250Valdosta, GA
23Jaseim MitchellLBSR6' 1"225Colorado Springs, CO
27Jaylen KingLBFRClayton, NC
28Marc PrettoLBSR6' 2"225Montclair, NJ
34Trey DennisonLBFREdmonds, WA
35Jaden HernandezLBFRCarson, CA
36Dakota RichLBFRLittleton, CO
45Caleb OtlewskiLBSR6' 4"235Melissa, TX
50Josh AyersLBSR6' 2"205Castle Rock, CO
56Kenyon AgursLBSR6' 4"240Inglewood, CA
0Caleb PresleyCBJR6' 0"177Seattle, WA
5D'Angelo Hagans Jr.CBSO6' 0"195Las Vegas, NV
6Elijah BrownCBJR6' 2"185Los Angeles, CA
7Jordan LessardCBSRMontreal, Canada
17CJ BlockerCBSR6' 0"180Houston, TX
20Jayden CortellCBSR5' 11"180San Diego, CA
22Makih JohnsonCBSO6' 2"185Tarpon Springs, FL
26Thomas Cook Jr.CBFRFort Worth, TX
30Kallen MartinezCBFRTampa, FL
32Justin LewisCBFRFontana, CA
33Ty StaplesCBColumbus, OH
1D'Mon BrinsonSSR5' 10"180Miami, FL
3Dagan MyersSJR5' 10"185Morrison, CO
4Dylan PhelpsSSR6' 3"190Las Vegas, NV
12Jace BellahSSR5' 11"190Pueblo, CO
13Elijah Mc-CantosSSR6' 0"190Little Haiti, FL
15Tre'Shawn MooreSJR6' 1"190Baxley, GA
18AJ NolandSJR6' 1"185Tualatin, OR
25Jermaine Santana-DiazSFRMissouri City, TX
44Atticus TillmanSFRArvada, CO
36Casey CarrPKSO6' 1"190San Jose, CA
40Kali NgumaPKJR5' 10"186Mission, TX
39Nathan SutcliffePJR6' 6"245Buninyong, Australia
99Cavan CraigPJR5' 11"190Charleston, SC
42Declan McKernanLSFRBoulder, CO
56Walker HimebauchLSSR6' 1"225Monument, CO

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2014 (+3.5, #46) · worst: 2022 (-13.0, #125)
-15-10-50+5FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#123
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far2-40-2#116-13.8-0.6-13.1
20252-101-7#123-11.3-6.5-4.8
20248-56-1#98-5.1-3.8-1.3
20235-73-5#111-8.5-3.7-4.8
20223-93-5#125-13.0-11.6-1.4
20213-92-6#100-5.7-2.7-3.0
20201-31-3#102-6.9-1.5-5.4
20194-83-5#107-7.3-0.7-6.6
20183-92-6#116-12.1-4.9-7.2
20177-65-3#64+0.1+3.5-3.4
20167-65-3#57+1.1+3.9-2.7
20157-65-3#82-2.9-0.6-2.3
201410-36-2#46+3.5+3.0+0.5

Colorado State's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Oct 21, 10:45 AM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →