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American · 2026

Rice Owls

Head coach Scott Abell · Rice Stadium
1-60-3 in conference
TDC Rank
#119
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
-15.1
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-9.9
123rd in FBS
Defense
-5.2
103rd in FBS
Schedule so far
-3.0
64th toughest
Projected
2.1-9.9
bowl-eligible <1%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

-15.1 now, -16.1 preseason · up 1 spot since preseason
-15-10-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8#119

Final record odds

2.1-9.9 expected · most likely 2-10 (40%)
28%1-1140%2-1024%3-97%4-85-7

Team Leaders

National leaderboards →

Passing
Jacurri Brown
QB · SR · 148th in FBS
478yds
3 TD · 2 INT
Rushing
Jacurri Brown
QB · SR · 15th in FBS
668yds
118 car · 6 TD
Receiving
Jordan Clark
WR · FR · 291st in FBS
223yds
18 rec · 0 TD
Tackles
AJ Brown
S · SR · 52nd in FBS
52tkl
3 TFL
Sacks
Chibby Nwajuaku
DL · SR · 201st in FBS
2sacks
0 hurries
Interceptions
Daveon Hook
S · SR · 110th in FBS
1INT
0 PD

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5vsHouston Christian FCSW 31–3 ›-4.0—ESPN+
2Sep 12@1Notre DameL 0–52 ›-2.0—NBC
3Sep 19vs81Western MichiganL 21–28 ›-14.1—ESPN+
4Sep 26@77Fresno StateL 24–38 ›-13.0—CW
5Oct 3vs75UTSACONFL 14–16 ›-7.3—ESPN+
6Oct 10@87East CarolinaCONFL 12–28 ›-17.4—ESPN+
7Oct 17vs91TulsaCONFL 17–38 ›-31.2—ESPN+
8Oct 24@100Florida AtlanticCONFFlorida Atlantic −9.4 · o/u 56.2—27%ESPNU
9—Bye
10Nov 7@53North TexasCONFNorth Texas −23.2 · o/u 61.6—6%
11Nov 14vs82TulaneCONFTulane −7.6 · o/u 39.7—31%
12Nov 19@101TempleCONFTemple −9.0 · o/u 51.9—27%ESPN
13Nov 28vs72ArmyCONFArmy −11.0 · o/u 51.2—23%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play-0.019123rd+0.12790th
Success rate39.4%110th40.9%65th
Explosiveness1.120122nd1.351118th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate40.4%100th41.7%74th
Rushing success rate43.8%79th43.8%83rd
Passing success rate29.9%135th39.1%52nd
Explosive run rate13.0%85th16.9%130th
Explosive pass rate6.9%128th8.5%41st
Line yards / carry3.1772nd3.0675th
Opportunity rate42.8%31st37.4%67th
Stuff rate16.7%69th18.7%54th
Sack rate10.3%133rd3.8%113th
3rd-down conversion33.8%120th42.7%104th
Red-zone TD rate50.0%109th57.7%64th
Havoc rate12.4%50th13.2%82nd
Box score · season totals
Points / game17.0131st29.0112th
Yards / game318.7124th372.488th
Yards / play4.94119th5.5089th
Pass yards / game79.7136th189.037th
Yards / pass att.5.90131st6.5846th
Completion %48.9%137th64.2%104th
Rush yards / game239.07th183.4114th
Yards / carry4.9041st4.88116th
3rd-down conv. %30.3%131st43.6%116th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.4387th0.57129th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.0080th1.43108th
Penalty yards / game45.325th35.3133rd

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
10.6
18th of 138
YAC per catch
4.3
121st of 138
Deep shots (20+)
19%
14th of 138
Shotgun
100%
2nd of 138
No-huddle
44%
86th of 138
QB pressured
17%
17th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
12%
103rd of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
5.1
78th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws91 throws charted

49% comp10.6 avg. depth4.3 YAC/catch19% 20+ air yds3–2 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 3 throws (3%), 2 caught (67%), 48 yds, 16.0 per throw367% · 48yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 8 throws (9%), 4 caught (50%), 21 yds, 2.6 per throw850% · 21yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 14 throws (15%), 7 caught (50%), 51 yds, 3.6 per throw1450% · 51yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 6 throws (7%), 3 caught (50%), 37 yds, 6.2 per throw650% · 37yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 3 throws (3%), 1 caught (33%), 22 yds, 7.3 per throw333% · 22yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (3%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw30% · 0yLeft, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (3%), 1 caught (33%), 40 yds, 13.3 per throw333% · 40yMiddle, Behind air yards: 3 throws (3%), 3 caught (100%), -7 yds, -2.3 per throw3100% · -7yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: noneMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 4 throws (4%), 2 caught (50%), 28 yds, 7.0 per throw450% · 28yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 5 throws (5%), 3 caught (60%), 35 yds, 7.0 per throw560% · 35yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 4 throws (4%), 4 caught (100%), 85 yds, 21.3 per throw4100% · 85yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 7 throws (8%), 1 caught (14%), 25 yds, 3.6 per throw714% · 25yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (2%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0yRight, Behind air yards: 2 throws (2%), 2 caught (100%), 1 yds, 0.5 per throw2100% · 1yRight, 0–4 air yards: 8 throws (9%), 6 caught (75%), 61 yds, 7.6 per throw875% · 61yRight, 5–9 air yards: 9 throws (10%), 3 caught (33%), 21 yds, 2.3 per throw933% · 21yRight, 10–14 air yards: 3 throws (3%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw30% · 0yRight, 15–19 air yards: 1 throws (1%), 1 caught (100%), 15 yds, 15.0 per throw1100% · 15yRight, 20–29 air yards: 1 throws (1%), 1 caught (100%), 38 yds, 38.0 per throw1100% · 38yRight, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (2%), 1 caught (50%), 30 yds, 15.0 per throw250% · 30y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on196 throws charted

64% comp8.9 avg. depth5.1 YAC/catch18% 20+ air yds13–2 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 16 throws (8%), 16 caught (100%), 75 yds, 4.7 per throw16100% · 75yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 17 throws (9%), 11 caught (65%), 79 yds, 4.6 per throw1765% · 79yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 18 throws (9%), 10 caught (56%), 83 yds, 4.6 per throw1856% · 83yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 13 throws (7%), 11 caught (85%), 145 yds, 11.2 per throw1385% · 145yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 2 caught (67%), 35 yds, 11.7 per throw367% · 35yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 10 throws (5%), 5 caught (50%), 167 yds, 16.7 per throw1050% · 167yLeft, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (2%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw30% · 0yMiddle, Behind air yards: 3 throws (2%), 3 caught (100%), 20 yds, 6.7 per throw3100% · 20yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 3 caught (60%), 22 yds, 4.4 per throw560% · 22yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 2 caught (33%), 13 yds, 2.2 per throw633% · 13yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 1 caught (33%), 19 yds, 6.3 per throw333% · 19yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 2 caught (67%), 34 yds, 11.3 per throw367% · 34yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 1 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 1 caught (25%), 34 yds, 8.5 per throw425% · 34yRight, Behind air yards: 16 throws (8%), 15 caught (94%), 86 yds, 5.4 per throw1694% · 86yRight, 0–4 air yards: 26 throws (13%), 21 caught (81%), 134 yds, 5.2 per throw2681% · 134yRight, 5–9 air yards: 18 throws (9%), 15 caught (83%), 173 yds, 9.6 per throw1883% · 173yRight, 10–14 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 3 caught (43%), 40 yds, 5.7 per throw743% · 40yRight, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 2 caught (29%), 39 yds, 5.6 per throw729% · 39yRight, 20–29 air yards: 10 throws (5%), 3 caught (30%), 75 yds, 7.5 per throw1030% · 75yRight, 30+ air yards: 7 throws (4%), 1 caught (14%), 39 yds, 5.6 per throw714% · 39y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction318 carries

Left
25%
6.9 YPC · 57% succ.
Middle
58%
4.5 YPC · 47% succ.
Right
16%
6.4 YPC · 39% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced241 carries

Left
20%
5.6 YPC · 53% succ.
Middle
58%
4.4 YPC · 34% succ.
Right
22%
9.2 YPC · 63% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Scott Abell

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
2Lucas ScheerhornQBSO6' 0"200Spring, TX
4Gael OchoaQBSO6' 1"197El Paso, TX
11Jacurri BrownQBSR6' 4"227Valdosta, GA
14Ayden WilhelmQBFR6' 1"188Lee's Summit, MO
15Patrick Crayton Jr.QBFR6' 0"201Lewisville, TX
10Quinton JacksonRBSR5' 9"175Fort Worth, TX
26Tyvonn ByarsRBSO5' 10"217Montgomery, TX
27Dionne SimsRBFR5' 10"160Humble, TX
28D'Andre Hardeman Jr.RBSO5' 8"197Houston, TX
30Carson MorganRBJR6' 0"215Bentonville, AR
33Justin PowellRBFR6' 0"210Lyons, GA
0Payton MatthewsWRSO5' 11"185San Antonio, TX
5Davis LaneWRSR6' 1"201Lynchburg, VA
6Ben GriceWRSO5' 11"194Atlanta, GA
7Barry Jackson Jr.WRJR5' 11"198Ellenwood, GA
8Colin LeaheyWRFR6' 0"192Magnolia, TX
13Max MoseyWRSR6' 0"200Harrisburg, PA
17Jake RendaWRSR6' 5"225Princeton, NJ
18Owen CarterWRSO6' 2"215Cypress, TX
19Jordan ClarkWRFR5' 10"187Manor, TX
21Sawyer RiceWRFR6' 1"198Duncan, OK
22Michael SiffordWRFR5' 11"164Newton, NC
23Chris BruceWRJR6' 3"201Buda, TX
24Larry DeBose IVWRSO5' 9"168Conroe, TX
29Jai Jacobs-FordWRFR5' 11"170Blytheville, AR
81Braylen WalkerWRSR5' 10"181Sulphur, LA
83Jackson RanucciWRSO5' 11"185Houston, TX
88Keenan Arcega-WhitesideWRFR6' 3"209Spartanburg, SC
89Preston JacksonWRFR5' 11"175Forney, TX
25Rhys PhillipsTESO6' 2"234Katy, TX
41Preston HealyTEFR6' 2"236Frisco, TX
82Colten ColeTEFR6' 3"242Sulphur, OK
84Will SwartzTEFR6' 2"255Huffman, TX
86James FalkTEJR6' 6"250Springfield, PA
87Jackson DeAtleyTEFR6' 1"258Lake Jackson, TX
50Patrick ValentOLJR6' 2"330Warren, OH
53Luke MillerOLSO6' 3"304Round Rock, TX
56Nate BledsoeOLJR6' 2"315Collierville, TN
57Leyonte ChandlerOLFR6' 3"265Euless, TX
58Peyton FarmerOLJR6' 6"300Fresno, TX
59Colter AlberdingOLFR6' 2"315Allen, TX
60Leo BluhmOLSR6' 4"315Saint Peter, MN
62Cullen WittOLSO6' 2"291Houston, TX
67Luke NeedhamOLJR6' 3"320Germantown, TN
68Scott BeckerOLSR6' 2"309Briarcliff Manor, NY
70Bennett EivensOLFR6' 4"275Austin, TX
71Cole PrincipeOLSO6' 3"310Brea, CA
73Justin MichaelisOLFR6' 3"321Park City, UT
74Clay MitchellOLFR6' 2"308Sinton, TX
76Marcus Page Jr.OLFR6' 6"307Forney, TX
77Ian BothwellOLFR6' 3"325Fort Worth, TX
78Erben BirkhoffOLFR6' 3"321Katy, TX
2Jo ChavezDLJR6' 0"194Folsom, CA
8Joseph MutomboDLJR6' 3"271Fort Worth, TX
11Christopher Clark-JolivetDLJR6' 1"295Houston, TX
15Matthew AribisalaDLSR6' 2"308Cedar Hill, TX
16Chibby NwajuakuDLSR6' 2"246Cypress, TX
21JD SingletaryDLFR6' 0"221Middletown, OH
25Caden VerMaasDLFR5' 11"190Omaha, NE
43Ian HarrellDLFR6' 0"315Huntsville, AL
57Aquantis ClemmonsDLJR5' 10"286Atlanta, GA
88Tyler LavallierDLFR6' 1"295Royal, TX
91DD OliverDLFR6' 3"280Bossier City, LA
92Luca AkirtavaDLFR6' 1"267Frisco, TX
93Quincy TchikouDLFR6' 3"253Cypress, TX
94Braden BaysDLFR6' 1"269Boerne, TX
95Brock ReddicDLSO6' 4"320White Oak, TX
96Dillan BottsDLSR6' 1"286Houston, TX
97Chris KnaulsDLFR6' 2"272Frisco, TX
98Robert RooksDLFR6' 1"291Petaluma, CA
13Tariq MayLBSR6' 2"244Baltimore, MD
14Beau BartonLBJR6' 2"205Van, TX
33Stone CombsLBSR6' 1"227Park City, UT
34Kaleb BlantonLBSO6' 1"226Manvel, TX
40Jayden CupittLBFR6' 0"224Mansfield, TX
42DeReyon JenkinsLBFR6' 4"224Slidell, LA
44Cooper KingLBJR5' 10"211Houston, TX
54Austin HarnetiauxLBSR6' 2"228Seattle, WA
56Seth ClarkeLBFR6' 0"215Jackson, NJ
1Zach CodyCBSO5' 11"172Coppell, TX
4Tariq WatsonCBSR5' 10"181Gretna, LA
5Jerrick HarperCBSR6' 0"191Silsbee, TX
10Kyren CondollCBSO6' 1"186Fontana, CA
12Jamir BenjaminCBSO5' 10"185Lansing, MI
24Jordan MitchellCBFR5' 10"165Missouri City, TX
35Elijah BrownCBFR5' 10"165Baytown, TX
0Daveon HookSSR6' 1"190Cibolo, TX
3Koa AkuiSSR5' 10"193Hilo, HI
6Dylan StephensSSO6' 0"185Dallas, TX
7AJ BrownSSR6' 0"188Marietta, GA
18Ahran OgborSSO5' 10"205Spring, TX
20Bailey FletcherSSO5' 11"190San Antonio, TX
27Michael Amey IIISFR6' 0"195Missouri City, TX
32Seth BrownSFR6' 0"180Valdosta, GA
36Austin LeeSFR5' 11"165Missouri City, TX
28Enock GotaPKSR6' 0"209Houston, TX
49Tommy BauchieroPKFR5' 11"197Brentwood, TN
29Charlie DurkinPSR6' 0"190Akron, OH
51Phoenix DerichsweilerLSFR6' 2"216Dallas, TX
52Morrow EvansLSSO6' 1"227Houston, TX

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2014 (-0.6, #66) · worst: 2018 (-18.0, #128)
-20-15-10-50FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#126
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far1-60-3#119-15.1-9.9-5.2
20255-82-6#126-11.8-9.0-2.8
20244-83-5#104-6.3-5.2-1.1
20236-74-4#86-3.80.0-3.8
20225-83-5#116-9.3-4.6-4.7
20214-83-5#113-10.1-6.2-3.9
20202-32-3#79-1.7-6.6+4.8
20193-93-5#116-10.4-9.4-1.0
20182-111-7#128-18.0-10.2-7.8
20171-111-7#124-16.5-9.6-6.9
20163-92-6#120-12.7-4.5-8.2
20155-73-5#106-10.3-4.3-6.0
20148-55-3#66-0.6-0.4-0.2

Rice's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Oct 22, 10:45 AM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →