SEC · 2026

Missouri Tigers

Head coach Eliah Drinkwitz · Memorial Stadium
5-22-2 in conference
TDC Rank
#21
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+13.6
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+4.5
41st in FBS
Defense
+9.1
15th in FBS
Schedule so far
+3.1
21st toughest
Projected
7.5-4.5
bowl-eligible 98%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

+13.6 now, +10.2 preseason · up 8 spots since preseason
0+5+10+15FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8#21

Final record odds

7.5-4.5 expected · most likely 8-4 (34%)
5-714%6-632%7-534%8-416%9-310-2

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 3vsArkansas-Pine Bluff FCSW 54–14 ›-7.2—SEC Network
2Sep 11@38KansasW 38–21 ›+28.7—FOX
3Sep 19vs108TroyW 27–17 ›-4.9—SECN+
4Sep 26@44Mississippi StateCONFL 24–31 ›+3.7—SEC Network
5Oct 3vs17FloridaCONFW 45–17 ›+37.2—ABC
6Oct 10vs29Texas A&MCONFW 27–6 ›+29.1—ABC
7Oct 17@11Ole MissCONFL 3–31 ›-1.1—SEC Network
8—Bye
9Oct 31@65ArkansasCONFMissouri −7.7 · o/u 48.0—70%SEC Network
10Nov 7vs9TexasCONFTexas −4.1 · o/u 44.4—39%
11Nov 14@5GeorgiaCONFGeorgia −14.2 · o/u 52.1—17%
12Nov 21vs32KentuckyCONFMissouri −6.3 · o/u 49.1—66%
13Nov 28vs23OklahomaCONFMissouri −4.0 · o/u 41.9—61%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.17460th+0.01136th
Success rate41.2%91st35.1%17th
Explosiveness1.31233rd1.386125th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate41.1%95th35.2%18th
Rushing success rate35.9%133rd35.0%20th
Passing success rate46.2%37th35.4%22nd
Explosive run rate12.6%95th11.3%45th
Explosive pass rate15.3%16th7.6%26th
Line yards / carry2.86113th2.7327th
Opportunity rate33.0%128th35.6%50th
Stuff rate19.9%103rd22.0%24th
Sack rate2.4%15th5.8%59th
3rd-down conversion44.3%43rd38.3%60th
Red-zone TD rate45.8%124th46.7%23rd
Havoc rate15.0%111th18.0%10th
Box score · season totals
Points / game31.160th19.637th
Yards / game429.640th330.444th
Yards / play6.1548th4.7430th
Pass yards / game268.330th226.693rd
Yards / pass att.8.3037th6.6449th
Completion %62.7%77th56.5%22nd
Rush yards / game161.362nd103.925th
Yards / carry4.4071st3.1521st
3rd-down conv. %41.0%69th35.9%54th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)0.5714th1.2957th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.1428th2.5725th
Penalty yards / game63.191st69.921st

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
10.7
16th of 138
YAC per catch
5.0
97th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
16%
48th of 138
Shotgun
95%
76th of 138
No-huddle
87%
27th of 138
QB pressured
8%
122nd of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
17%
28th of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
5.5
51st of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws218 throws charted

62% comp10.7 avg. depth5.0 YAC/catch16% 20+ air yds14–2 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 9 throws (4%), 9 caught (100%), 27 yds, 3.0 per throw9100% · 27yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 20 throws (9%), 16 caught (80%), 114 yds, 5.7 per throw2080% · 114yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 23 throws (11%), 14 caught (61%), 192 yds, 8.3 per throw2361% · 192yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 23 throws (11%), 11 caught (48%), 148 yds, 6.4 per throw2348% · 148yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 7 caught (78%), 144 yds, 16.0 per throw978% · 144yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 4 caught (80%), 90 yds, 18.0 per throw580% · 90yLeft, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw30% · 0yMiddle, Behind air yards: 7 throws (3%), 6 caught (86%), 51 yds, 7.3 per throw786% · 51yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 4 caught (100%), 47 yds, 11.8 per throw4100% · 47yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 13 throws (6%), 7 caught (54%), 71 yds, 5.5 per throw1354% · 71yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 18 throws (8%), 11 caught (61%), 209 yds, 11.6 per throw1861% · 209yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 4 caught (80%), 102 yds, 20.4 per throw580% · 102yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 2 caught (40%), 64 yds, 12.8 per throw540% · 64yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 9 throws (4%), 1 caught (11%), 47 yds, 5.2 per throw911% · 47yRight, Behind air yards: 11 throws (5%), 8 caught (73%), 31 yds, 2.8 per throw1173% · 31yRight, 0–4 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 6 caught (67%), 44 yds, 4.9 per throw967% · 44yRight, 5–9 air yards: 14 throws (6%), 14 caught (100%), 128 yds, 9.1 per throw14100% · 128yRight, 10–14 air yards: 12 throws (6%), 3 caught (25%), 38 yds, 3.2 per throw1225% · 38yRight, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 5 caught (71%), 109 yds, 15.6 per throw771% · 109yRight, 20–29 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 2 caught (40%), 50 yds, 10.0 per throw540% · 50yRight, 30+ air yards: 7 throws (3%), 2 caught (29%), 65 yds, 9.3 per throw729% · 65y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on231 throws charted

56% comp8.9 avg. depth5.5 YAC/catch16% 20+ air yds13–6 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 20 throws (9%), 18 caught (90%), 136 yds, 6.8 per throw2090% · 136yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 12 throws (5%), 7 caught (58%), 52 yds, 4.3 per throw1258% · 52yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 12 throws (5%), 5 caught (42%), 46 yds, 3.8 per throw1242% · 46yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 1 caught (25%), 10 yds, 2.5 per throw425% · 10yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 8 throws (3%), 5 caught (63%), 96 yds, 12.0 per throw863% · 96yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 10 throws (4%), 4 caught (40%), 109 yds, 10.9 per throw1040% · 109yLeft, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw30% · 0yMiddle, Behind air yards: 4 throws (2%), 3 caught (75%), 12 yds, 3.0 per throw475% · 12yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 13 throws (6%), 8 caught (62%), 79 yds, 6.1 per throw1362% · 79yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 19 throws (8%), 13 caught (68%), 125 yds, 6.6 per throw1968% · 125yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 20 throws (9%), 11 caught (55%), 217 yds, 10.8 per throw2055% · 217yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 8 throws (3%), 5 caught (63%), 99 yds, 12.4 per throw863% · 99yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 1 caught (14%), 32 yds, 4.6 per throw714% · 32yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 32 yds, 16.0 per throw250% · 32yRight, Behind air yards: 21 throws (9%), 14 caught (67%), 65 yds, 3.1 per throw2167% · 65yRight, 0–4 air yards: 20 throws (9%), 13 caught (65%), 81 yds, 4.0 per throw2065% · 81yRight, 5–9 air yards: 15 throws (6%), 12 caught (80%), 87 yds, 5.8 per throw1580% · 87yRight, 10–14 air yards: 13 throws (6%), 6 caught (46%), 92 yds, 7.1 per throw1346% · 92yRight, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 2 caught (29%), 38 yds, 5.4 per throw729% · 38yRight, 20–29 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 3 caught (43%), 102 yds, 14.6 per throw743% · 102yRight, 30+ air yards: 6 throws (3%), 1 caught (17%), 43 yds, 7.2 per throw617% · 43y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction237 carries

Left
17%
2.6 YPC · 23% succ.
Middle
62%
6.0 YPC · 41% succ.
Right
22%
3.6 YPC · 35% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced206 carries

Left
17%
6.1 YPC · 53% succ.
Middle
64%
4.5 YPC · 43% succ.
Right
20%
2.9 YPC · 32% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Eliah Drinkwitz

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
7Gavin SidwarQBFR6' 3"195Wyndmoor, PA
10Nick EversQBSR6' 3"195Flower Mound, TX
13Austin SimmonsQBSR6' 4"220Miami, FL
14Brett BrownQBSR6' 1"185Brentwood, TN
20Jamal RobertsRBSR6' 0"216St. Louis, MO
21Malae FonotiRBJR5' 10"209Laie, HI
24Xai'Shaun EdwardsRBJR5' 9"198League City, TX
26Brady HultmanRBSR5' 11"201St. Charles, MO
28Preston HatfieldRBFR5' 9"170Lee's Summit, MO
29Ahmad HardyRBJR5' 10"210Oma, MS
31Anthony FavrowRBSR5' 8"198San Clemente, CA
0Naeshaun MontgomeryWRSO6' 1"190Central Falls, RI
1Donovan OlugbodeWRSO6' 2"210Chicago, IL
2Caleb Goodie Sr.WRSR6' 1"183Breaux Bridge, LA
3DaMarion FowlkesWRSO5' 9"188Montgomery Village, MD
11Jabari BradyWRFR6' 1"212North Lauderdale, FL
12Devyon Hill-LomaxWRFR6' 3"193Edwardsville, IL
17Kenric Lanier IIWRSR6' 1"205Decatur, GA
19Cayden LeeWRSR5' 11"180Kennesaw, GA
33DJ McBride IIWRFR6' 3"190Lakeland, FL
80Jayden BoltonWRSR6' 2"190Frisco, TX
81Noah FlaskampWRSR6' 1"200Collierville, TN
82Karsten FieneWRFR6' 2"195Lee's Summit, MO
18Isaac JensenTEFR6' 6"240Omaha, NE
84Adam MolitorTEJR6' 6"230Minneapolis, MN
86Jordon HarrisTESR6' 4"268Pine Bluff, AR
87Brett NorfleetTESR6' 6"255O' Fallon, MO
88Gavin HoffmanTEJR6' 5"245Leawood, KS
89Jude JamesTEJR6' 2"235St. Charles, MO
52Zack OwensOLSR6' 6"330Mcdonough, GA
54Josh AtkinsOLSR6' 3"315Arlington, TX
55Will KemnaOLSO6' 4"290Eldon, MO
56Dominick GiudiceOLSR6' 3"305Freehold, NJ
58Khalief Canty Jr.OLFR6' 4"311Detroit, MI
63Chace MissouriOLJR6' 0"304Mcdonough, GA
64Joe SchranzOLSO6' 4"283Kearney, MO
66Logan ReichertOLSR6' 6"335Kansas City, MO
69Braylon EllisonOLFR6' 4"300Boonville, MO
70Cayden GreenOLSR6' 5"324Lee's Summit, MO
71Ryan JostesOLJR6' 6"317Washington, MO
72Colin SorensenOLJR6' 3"292Niceville, FL
74Whit HaferOLJR6' 6"310Joplin, MO
75Jack LangeOLSO6' 8"318Eureka, MO
77Curtis PeaglerOLSR6' 4"335Demopolis, AL
78DJ JonesOLFR6' 6"315Bradenton, FL
3Marquis GracialDTSR6' 4"315St. Louis, MO
8Donta SimpsonDTSO6' 4"300Hollywood, FL
57Mark HensleyDTSR6' 3"290Washington, MO
92Jason DowellDTSO6' 2"295Cahokia, IL
93Jocques FelixDTFR6' 3"275St. Louis, MO
95Jalen MarshallDTSR6' 4"335Overland Park, KS
98Tajh OvertonDTFR6' 3"284Owasso, OK
99Jadon FrickDTJR6' 0"270Orlando, FL
5Nicholas RodriguezLBJR6' 0"225Miami, FL
6Jeremiah BeasleyLBJR6' 0"235Detroit, MI
9Dante McClellanLBSO6' 1"227Canton, OH
17Brian HuffLBJR6' 2"226Jonesboro, AR
25Jason KingLBSO6' 0"225St. Louis, MO
33JJ BushLBFR6' 1"222Mobile, AL
38Keenan HarrisLBFR6' 0"224St. Louis, MO
46Jackson DailyLBJR6' 1"235Alma, AR
53Tommy ReeseLBSR6' 0"222Newport Beach, CA
35Ahmod BillinsDBFR6' 1"165Abbeville, AL
1Chris Graves Jr.CBSR6' 0"187Fort Myers, FL
2Sione LauleaCBSR6' 4"200Mountain View, CA
20Cameron KeysCBJR5' 11"181Panama City, FL
21Jahlil FlorenceCBSR6' 1"192San Diego, CA
24Nick DeLoach Jr.CBSR6' 0"190Cahokia, IL
26Jaxson GatesCBFR6' 0"185Fontana, CA
31Nasir PogueCBSR6' 2"202Montgomery, AL
36Trashundon NealCBFR6' 2"180Liberty, MO
4Trajen GrecoSJR6' 0"196Buford, GA
7Kensley Louidor-FaustinSJR5' 11"190Naples, FL
14CJ Bass IIISSO6' 2"205St. Louis, MO
15Santana BannerSSR6' 3"215Flint, MI
18JaDon BlairSSO6' 5"213Winston-Salem, NC
22Elijah DotsonSSO6' 1"190Detroit, MI
28Jayden McGregorySFR6' 2"198West Des Moines, IA
30Carter StewartSFR6' 1"185Pearland, TX
32Brody JonesSFR6' 3"190Fayetteville, AR
34Jackson HancockSJR6' 0"200Canton, GA
39Maddux HermestroffSSO6' 0"182Mundelein, IL
41Graham FaustSFR6' 3"175St. Louis, MO
19Blake CraigPKSR5' 11"200Kansas City, MO
40Brunno ReusPKSO6' 0"206Sarasota, FL
48Oliver RobbinsPKJR5' 10"181Palm Beach Gardens, FL
34Mark ShenoudaPSR6' 2"202Mount Juliet, TN
43John ButcherPSR6' 1"213San Diego, CA
36Sean GrossLSSO6' 0"219St. Louis, MO
38Henry CrosbyLSSO6' 2"190Memphis, TN
49Brett Le BlancLSSR6' 3"215Elkhorn, WI
10Daeden HopkinsEDGESO6' 6"250Hermann, MO
11Langden KitchenEDGESR6' 6"265Huntsville, MO
12Malik BryantEDGESR6' 2"240Orlando, FL
13Jaden JonesEDGESR6' 5"260Montgomery, AL
19Darris SmithEDGESR6' 5"265Baxley, GA
29Kamauryn MorganEDGESO6' 4"250Dallas, TX
52Demarcus JohnsonEDGEJR6' 6"270Roseland, LA
96Aidan DubbertEDGESR6' 3"240Columbia, MO
97CJ MayEDGESO6' 3"245Highland Home, AL

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2023 (+11.6, #14) · worst: 2021 (-2.8, #85)
-50+5+10FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#28
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far5-22-2#21+13.6+4.5+9.1
20258-54-4#28+7.4+1.4+6.0
202410-35-3#28+7.2+1.3+5.9
202311-26-2#14+11.6+5.0+6.5
20226-73-5#64+1.3-1.3+2.6
20216-73-5#85-2.8+2.8-5.7
20205-55-5#83-2.4-0.9-1.5
20196-63-5#41+3.6-1.1+4.7
20188-54-4#15+10.1+7.7+2.4
20177-64-4#55+2.0+7.2-5.2
20164-82-6#81-2.6-0.8-1.8
20155-71-7#71-0.2-9.7+9.5
201411-37-1#23+9.6+1.9+7.7

Missouri's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Oct 21, 10:17 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →