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Mountain West · 2026

Nevada Wolf Pack

Head coach Jeff Choate · Mackay Stadium
2-41-2 in conference
TDC Rank
#106
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
-10.8
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-7.3
113th in FBS
Defense
-3.4
93rd in FBS
Schedule so far
-15.2
136th toughest
Projected
4.5-7.5
bowl-eligible 16%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

-10.8 now, -15.2 preseason · up 11 spots since preseason
-15-10-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8#106

Final record odds

4.5-7.5 expected · most likely 5-7 (35%)
2-1014%3-933%4-835%5-714%6-67-5

Team Leaders

National leaderboards →

Passing
Carter Jones
QB · SO · 134th in FBS
654yds
3 TD · 2 INT
Rushing
Dominic Kelley
RB · SO · 43rd in FBS
500yds
87 car · 4 TD
Receiving
Gary Givens III
WR · JR · 229th in FBS
260yds
15 rec · 1 TD
Tackles
EJ Smith
LB · SR · 3rd in FBS
72tkl
4.5 TFL
Sacks
EJ Smith
LB · SR · 149th in FBS
2.5sacks
0 hurries
Interceptions
Bryson Snelling
DB · JR · 109th in FBS
1INT
3 PD

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5vs111Western KentuckyW 49–14 ›+12.0—CBSSN
2Sep 12vsMontana State FCSL 7–20 ›-18.6—CW
3Sep 19@130Middle TennesseeL 20–27 ›-22.3—ESPN+
4Sep 26vs83Air ForceCONFL 33–36 ›-11.2—FS1
5—Bye
6Oct 10@137UTEPCONFW 30–13 ›-5.3—FS1
7Oct 17@69North Dakota StateCONFL 17–31 ›-9.9—CBSSN
8Oct 24vs122San José StateCONFNevada −9.1 · o/u 45.6—73%MW+
9Oct 31@16UCLAUCLA −30.3 · o/u 49.2—2%BTN
10Nov 6vs43New MexicoCONFNew Mexico −13.9 · o/u 48.8—18%CBSSN
11Nov 14@132Northern IllinoisCONFNevada −5.5 · o/u 48.6—64%MW+
12Nov 21vs118Hawai'iCONFNevada −7.5 · o/u 44.6—69%
13Nov 28@84UNLVCONFUNLV −10.1 · o/u 47.4—25%CBSSN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.068101st+0.11685th
Success rate39.9%103rd38.6%44th
Explosiveness1.30536th1.17237th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate40.4%100th39.1%45th
Rushing success rate47.9%35th41.6%62nd
Passing success rate32.0%132nd35.3%21st
Explosive run rate16.7%34th10.3%35th
Explosive pass rate8.5%101st8.2%36th
Line yards / carry3.3039th3.25108th
Opportunity rate44.8%12th43.8%127th
Stuff rate17.2%76th14.2%115th
Sack rate3.0%23rd6.4%45th
3rd-down conversion40.8%76th32.2%13th
Red-zone TD rate62.5%71st68.8%107th
Havoc rate11.9%41st12.3%104th
Box score · season totals
Points / game26.089th23.566th
Yards / game364.790th339.754th
Yards / play5.6181st4.7531st
Pass yards / game171.8122nd156.37th
Yards / pass att.6.20124th5.9717th
Completion %54.8%127th61.1%63rd
Rush yards / game192.836th183.3113th
Yards / carry5.3022nd4.2586th
3rd-down conv. %37.2%87th32.6%29th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.83124th0.50133rd
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.1732nd2.1757th
Penalty yards / game60.084th87.51st

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
8.4
83rd of 138
YAC per catch
5.8
47th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
15%
51st of 138
Shotgun
97%
51st of 138
No-huddle
74%
52nd of 138
QB pressured
10%
108th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
16%
35th of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
4.4
119th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws157 throws charted

54% comp8.4 avg. depth5.8 YAC/catch15% 20+ air yds6–7 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 11 throws (7%), 11 caught (100%), 27 yds, 2.5 per throw11100% · 27yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 9 throws (6%), 6 caught (67%), 51 yds, 5.7 per throw967% · 51yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 11 throws (7%), 7 caught (64%), 63 yds, 5.7 per throw1164% · 63yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 6 throws (4%), 2 caught (33%), 26 yds, 4.3 per throw633% · 26yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 1 throws (1%), 1 caught (100%), 28 yds, 28.0 per throw1100% · 28yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 2 caught (40%), 65 yds, 13.0 per throw540% · 65yLeft, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (3%), 1 caught (25%), 50 yds, 12.5 per throw425% · 50yMiddle, Behind air yards: 2 throws (1%), 2 caught (100%), 19 yds, 9.5 per throw2100% · 19yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 14 throws (9%), 6 caught (43%), 46 yds, 3.3 per throw1443% · 46yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 5 caught (71%), 48 yds, 6.9 per throw771% · 48yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 4 throws (3%), 3 caught (75%), 41 yds, 10.3 per throw475% · 41yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 6 throws (4%), 4 caught (67%), 76 yds, 12.7 per throw667% · 76yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: noneMiddle, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0yRight, Behind air yards: 18 throws (11%), 12 caught (67%), 85 yds, 4.7 per throw1867% · 85yRight, 0–4 air yards: 24 throws (15%), 15 caught (63%), 88 yds, 3.7 per throw2463% · 88yRight, 5–9 air yards: 11 throws (7%), 3 caught (27%), 26 yds, 2.4 per throw1127% · 26yRight, 10–14 air yards: 6 throws (4%), 2 caught (33%), 50 yds, 8.3 per throw633% · 50yRight, 15–19 air yards: 6 throws (4%), 2 caught (33%), 39 yds, 6.5 per throw633% · 39yRight, 20–29 air yards: 6 throws (4%), 4 caught (67%), 153 yds, 25.5 per throw667% · 153yRight, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (3%), 1 caught (25%), 34 yds, 8.5 per throw425% · 34y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on150 throws charted

60% comp7.4 avg. depth4.4 YAC/catch11% 20+ air yds8–1 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 12 throws (8%), 10 caught (83%), 79 yds, 6.6 per throw1283% · 79yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 12 throws (8%), 10 caught (83%), 51 yds, 4.3 per throw1283% · 51yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 13 throws (9%), 7 caught (54%), 61 yds, 4.7 per throw1354% · 61yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 7 throws (5%), 3 caught (43%), 56 yds, 8.0 per throw743% · 56yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 1 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 4 throws (3%), 2 caught (50%), 62 yds, 15.5 per throw450% · 62yLeft, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 38 yds, 19.0 per throw250% · 38yMiddle, Behind air yards: 3 throws (2%), 3 caught (100%), 5 yds, 1.7 per throw3100% · 5yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 2 caught (40%), 14 yds, 2.8 per throw540% · 14yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 8 throws (5%), 5 caught (63%), 43 yds, 5.4 per throw863% · 43yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 6 throws (4%), 4 caught (67%), 47 yds, 7.8 per throw667% · 47yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw30% · 0yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 3 caught (100%), 83 yds, 27.7 per throw3100% · 83yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (2%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw30% · 0yRight, Behind air yards: 13 throws (9%), 10 caught (77%), 40 yds, 3.1 per throw1377% · 40yRight, 0–4 air yards: 21 throws (14%), 14 caught (67%), 57 yds, 2.7 per throw2167% · 57yRight, 5–9 air yards: 18 throws (12%), 9 caught (50%), 96 yds, 5.3 per throw1850% · 96yRight, 10–14 air yards: 7 throws (5%), 4 caught (57%), 62 yds, 8.9 per throw757% · 62yRight, 15–19 air yards: 4 throws (3%), 3 caught (75%), 72 yds, 18.0 per throw475% · 72yRight, 20–29 air yards: 4 throws (3%), 1 caught (25%), 21 yds, 5.3 per throw425% · 21yRight, 30+ air yards: 1 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction202 carries

Left
25%
6.7 YPC · 51% succ.
Middle
57%
5.2 YPC · 52% succ.
Right
17%
7.8 YPC · 37% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced241 carries

Left
21%
5.7 YPC · 53% succ.
Middle
57%
4.6 YPC · 43% succ.
Right
22%
4.8 YPC · 55% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Jeff Choate

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
5Reeve SloneQBFR6' 0"200Rocklin, CA
6Carter JonesQBSO6' 3"197Lancaster, TX
10AJ BiancoQBSR6' 3"217Lahaina, HI
12Luke DuncanQBJR6' 6"210Orinda, CA
0Dominic KelleyRBSO6' 0"215Concord, CA
1Herschel TurnerRBJR5' 9"196Richmond, CA
2Janerious JacksonRBJR6' 1"220Atlanta, GA
4Carter JacksonRBFR5' 9"190Folsom, CA
24Bronwyn RiosRBFR5' 9"205Sparks, NV
25Ky WoodsRBSR5' 9"173League City, TX
26Mekai SmithRBFR6' 0"220San Francisco, CA
3Jaceon DossWRSR6' 0"170Compton, CA
5Donnie CheersWRJR6' 0"180Marion, AR
7Gary Givens IIIWRJR6' 1"200Tampa, FL
8Daijon CalimonWRSO6' 2"190Compton, CA
9Marshaun BrownWRJR6' 4"198Reno, NV
11Damien MorganWRSR5' 10"181Modesto, CA
13Isaiah WilliamsWRFR5' 11"175Folsom, CA
14Gerick RobinsonWRSR5' 7"178Las Vegas, NV
18Don HenryWRJR6' 1"190Houma, LA
19Mack KumpWRFR5' 9"183Phoenix, AZ
30Alex GrushWRFR6' 1"175Reno, NV
84Deven VigueWRFR6' 0"170Vancouver, WA
86Joe StimpsonWRFR5' 10"180Portland, OR
87Amari NashWRFR6' 0"175Reno, NV
88Perrion WilliamsWRFR6' 0"175East Palo Alto, CA
16DJ AsiasiTEFR6' 2"248Concord, CA
19Kola BabalolaTESR6' 2"215Modesto, CA
80Darren SchmittTEFR6' 4"230Vancouver, WA
81Trace EstesTESO6' 4"220Minden, NV
82Jayden O'RourkeTESR6' 9"262Tweed Heads, Australia
83Carter EckTESO6' 2"245Reno, NV
89Benjamin WheelerTEJR6' 2"224Susanville, CA
52Elias JusticeOLJR6' 3"315Sparks, NV
55Jack FosterOLSR6' 6"298Boise, ID
58Ethan LowellOLSO6' 3"282Modesto, CA
59Jacob NorcrossOLJR6' 2"300Las Vegas, NV
61Terrence JohnsonOLFR6' 4"300San Jose, CA
64Jackson RamseyOLFR6' 3"305Reno, NV
65Colton HoggeOLFR6' 4"280Lincoln, CA
66Henry SellardsOLSO6' 4"300Kalispell, MT
68Mataio AionoOLFR6' 3"280Sparks, NV
70Snoop Leota-AmaamaOLSR6' 4"331Kearns, UT
71Colin BanningOLFR6' 2"304Spring Creek, NV
72Ethan NewmanOLJR6' 3"300Navarre, FL
73Tyler MillerOLSO6' 2"302Reno, NV
75Jose Balver-MendozaOLSO6' 5"287Athens, GA
76Zach CochnauerOLSR6' 5"306Farmington, MN
10Logologo Va'aDLSR6' 3"329Santa Barbara, CA
90Jason Hemphill IIDLFR5' 11"300Cypress, TX
96Tanner VaughanDLSR6' 3"270Las Vegas, NV
98David Paine Jr.DLSO6' 1"273Forney, TX
99Jakobus SethDLSR6' 3"291Seattle, WA
91James GillespieDTSR6' 3"315Woodbridge, VA
97Jeremiah FoniDTJR6' 1"290San Leandro, CA
1Jeremy Naborne-OwensLBSR6' 2"220Corona, CA
2EJ SmithLBSR6' 0"243Downey, CA
11Poasa UtuLBJR6' 0"230Arlington, TX
14Jaxon CannidaLBFR6' 3"219McKinney, TX
19CJ MooringLBFR6' 0"215Houston, TX
20Cody WellsLBFR6' 2"210Scottsdale, AZ
30Jake SilvermanLBSO6' 0"215Torrance, CA
36Isaiah ReedLBFR6' 1"218Meridian, ID
42Colson KermodeLBFR6' 1"212Reno, NV
44Alosio MaluiaLBSO6' 1"220Las Vegas, NV
0Joshua ScottDBSR6' 2"185Antioch, CA
5Zion JonesDBSR6' 3"179Spanaway, WA
6Cooper WilsonDBJR6' 2"186Suquamish, WA
7Selman BridgesDBSO6' 4"181Temple, TX
8Larry Turner-GoodenDBSR5' 11"190Los Angeles, CA
12Bryson SnellingDBJR6' 2"190Chico, CA
13Tajean StallworthDBFR6' 0"164Stockton, CA
15Bishop TurnerDBJR5' 10"188Altadena, CA
16Brock WattenbargerDBSO5' 11"180Bakersfield, CA
17Zavien AbercrombieDBSO5' 9"166Arlington, TX
18Aiden WalkerDBSO5' 11"185Round Rock, TX
22Jaylen WebbDBJR6' 2"196Fort Worth, TX
25Joey Thomas IIIDBFR6' 1"170Seattle, WA
26Isaiah JordanDBFR6' 0"200Sacramento, CA
28Mykel FordDBFR5' 10"168Oklahoma City, OK
29Dorsey SandersDBSR6' 1"195Yuba City, CA
31Coy JonesDBFR5' 10"175Elko, NV
33Michael HuntDBFR6' 0"175Gainesville, VA
34Cutter VorheesDBFR6' 2"190San Marcos, CA
84Joe McFaddenPKSR5' 9"180Grapevine, TX
98Kyle NelsonPKFR5' 11"170Reno, NV
99Jacob FernandezPKFR6' 6"215Sydney, Australia
95Ewan BaulchPFR6' 3"215Melbourne, Australia
51Cian StackLSSO6' 0"240Reno, NV
3Kameron BrownEDGEFR6' 2"249Norco, CA
4Brandon AmaniampongEDGEJR6' 6"250Woodridge, IL
9Jack MacKinnonEDGEJR6' 4"239Sarasota, FL
32Dylan LaBarberaEDGESR6' 1"248Redding, CA
37Matt PerezEDGEFR6' 3"250Port Hueneme, CA
46Tanner GrayEDGEFR6' 2"240Wellington, CO
88Keegan PereaEDGEFR6' 1"255Denver, CO
92Myles WilliamsEDGESR6' 3"242Mission Hills, CA
93Craig StatlerEDGEFR6' 3"240Grass Valley, CA
94Sam Davidson IVEDGEFR6' 5"260Seattle, WA
95Chris KaluEDGESO6' 3"250Gilbert, AZ

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2021 (+4.5, #46) · worst: 2023 (-16.2, #132)
-100FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#121
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far2-41-2#106-10.8-7.3-3.4
20253-92-6#121-11.2-8.9-2.3
20243-100-7#111-8.1-4.3-3.7
20232-102-6#132-16.2-11.2-5.0
20222-100-8#123-12.0-5.3-6.7
20218-55-3#46+4.5+5.6-1.1
20207-26-2#54+1.6+0.4+1.2
20197-64-4#114-9.4-6.8-2.6
20188-55-3#83-2.4-1.5-0.8
20173-93-5#106-7.6-1.8-5.7
20165-73-5#109-9.2-6.4-2.9
20157-64-4#92-5.3-3.3-2.0
20147-64-4#71-1.1-0.4-0.8

Nevada's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Oct 21, 10:45 AM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →