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Mountain West · 2026

New Mexico Lobos

Head coach Jason Eck · University Stadium (NM)
5-12-0 in conference
TDC Rank
#43
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+6.9
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+3.0
52nd in FBS
Defense
+3.9
39th in FBS
Schedule so far
-14.5
132nd toughest
Projected
10.1-1.9
bowl-eligible >99%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

+6.9 now, -3.0 preseason · up 31 spots since preseason
-50+5+10FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8#43

Final record odds

10.1-1.9 expected · most likely 10-2 (39%)
7-58-418%9-339%10-237%11-1

Team Leaders

National leaderboards →

Passing
Toa Fa'avae
QB · SO · 131st in FBS
695yds
4 TD · 3 INT
Rushing
Scottre Humphrey
RB · SR · 78th in FBS
422yds
85 car · 8 TD
Receiving
Bailen George
WR · FR · 267th in FBS
240yds
12 rec · 3 TD
Tackles
Mercury Swaim
LB · 372nd in FBS
32tkl
4 TFL
Sacks
Darren Agu
DE · SR · 41st in FBS
4sacks
4 hurries
Interceptions
Tavian Combs
S · SR · 3rd in FBS
4INT
0 PD

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5vs120Central MichiganW 38–7 ›+7.1—FS1
2Sep 12vsMercyhurst FCSW 70–7 ›-3.2—MW+
3Sep 19@23OklahomaL 6–14 ›+9.1—ESPNEWS
4Sep 26@117New Mexico StateW 42–18 ›+13.5—CBSSN
5Oct 3vs137UTEPCONFW 61–7 ›+4.7—MW+
6—Bye
7Oct 17@118Hawai'iCONFW 21–10 ›+0.3—FS1
8Oct 24vs69North Dakota StateCONFNew Mexico −10.4 · o/u 47.2—76%CW
9Oct 31@122San José StateCONFNew Mexico −19.2 · o/u 48.5—90%MW+
10Nov 6@106NevadaCONFNew Mexico −13.9 · o/u 48.8—82%CBSSN
11Nov 14vs84UNLVCONFNew Mexico −15.1 · o/u 50.3—84%CW
12Nov 21@123WyomingCONFNew Mexico −19.4 · o/u 46.1—90%FS1
13Nov 28vs83Air ForceCONFNew Mexico −15.1 · o/u 51.9—84%CW

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.18258th-0.1821st
Success rate43.1%72nd31.5%1st
Explosiveness1.29538th1.318107th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate42.7%79th31.9%1st
Rushing success rate44.3%72nd31.0%6th
Passing success rate40.0%92nd32.7%7th
Explosive run rate16.2%41st6.9%6th
Explosive pass rate14.3%23rd7.4%23rd
Line yards / carry3.2355th2.274th
Opportunity rate37.8%88th31.0%13th
Stuff rate11.9%10th25.9%11th
Sack rate10.9%135th7.5%23rd
3rd-down conversion43.3%54th36.1%46th
Red-zone TD rate73.7%22nd16.7%1st
Havoc rate12.9%59th21.7%1st
Box score · season totals
Points / game39.710th10.51st
Yards / game378.080th262.76th
Yards / play5.6871st4.2711th
Pass yards / game163.5127th170.718th
Yards / pass att.8.7025th6.2131st
Completion %57.5%117th56.4%20th
Rush yards / game214.520th92.015th
Yards / carry4.7049th2.9816th
3rd-down conv. %41.6%63rd30.8%17th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)0.6722nd3.501st
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.50107th3.177th
Penalty yards / game61.589th70.718th

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
11.6
10th of 138
YAC per catch
4.8
109th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
18%
20th of 138
Shotgun
94%
84th of 138
No-huddle
31%
97th of 138
QB pressured
17%
25th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
19%
15th of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
5.2
73rd of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws107 throws charted

58% comp11.6 avg. depth4.8 YAC/catch18% 20+ air yds8–3 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 4 throws (4%), 3 caught (75%), 1 yds, 0.3 per throw475% · 1yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 9 throws (8%), 6 caught (67%), 36 yds, 4.0 per throw967% · 36yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 11 throws (10%), 7 caught (64%), 50 yds, 4.5 per throw1164% · 50yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 7 throws (7%), 5 caught (71%), 64 yds, 9.1 per throw771% · 64yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 4 throws (4%), 2 caught (50%), 73 yds, 18.3 per throw450% · 73yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 6 throws (6%), 3 caught (50%), 127 yds, 21.2 per throw650% · 127yLeft, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (4%), 1 caught (25%), 38 yds, 9.5 per throw425% · 38yMiddle, Behind air yards: noneMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 3 throws (3%), 2 caught (67%), 17 yds, 5.7 per throw367% · 17yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 7 throws (7%), 5 caught (71%), 33 yds, 4.7 per throw771% · 33yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 3 throws (3%), 2 caught (67%), 38 yds, 12.7 per throw367% · 38yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 2 throws (2%), 1 caught (50%), 22 yds, 11.0 per throw250% · 22yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 1 throws (1%), 1 caught (100%), 40 yds, 40.0 per throw1100% · 40yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (3%), 1 caught (33%), 37 yds, 12.3 per throw333% · 37yRight, Behind air yards: 5 throws (5%), 4 caught (80%), 15 yds, 3.0 per throw580% · 15yRight, 0–4 air yards: 8 throws (7%), 5 caught (63%), 32 yds, 4.0 per throw863% · 32yRight, 5–9 air yards: 11 throws (10%), 4 caught (36%), 34 yds, 3.1 per throw1136% · 34yRight, 10–14 air yards: 9 throws (8%), 6 caught (67%), 125 yds, 13.9 per throw967% · 125yRight, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (5%), 2 caught (40%), 38 yds, 7.6 per throw540% · 38yRight, 20–29 air yards: 1 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yRight, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (4%), 2 caught (50%), 71 yds, 17.8 per throw450% · 71y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on151 throws charted

56% comp8.9 avg. depth5.2 YAC/catch13% 20+ air yds6–13 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 13 throws (9%), 12 caught (92%), 75 yds, 5.8 per throw1392% · 75yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 15 throws (10%), 10 caught (67%), 42 yds, 2.8 per throw1567% · 42yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 18 throws (12%), 7 caught (39%), 53 yds, 2.9 per throw1839% · 53yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 4 caught (80%), 55 yds, 11.0 per throw580% · 55yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 1 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0yLeft, 30+ air yards: 1 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yMiddle, Behind air yards: noneMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 10 throws (7%), 9 caught (90%), 88 yds, 8.8 per throw1090% · 88yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 12 throws (8%), 8 caught (67%), 152 yds, 12.7 per throw1267% · 152yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 1 throws (1%), 1 caught (100%), 19 yds, 19.0 per throw1100% · 19yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 1 throws (1%), 1 caught (100%), 29 yds, 29.0 per throw1100% · 29yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (3%), 2 caught (40%), 100 yds, 20.0 per throw540% · 100yRight, Behind air yards: 10 throws (7%), 9 caught (90%), 15 yds, 1.5 per throw1090% · 15yRight, 0–4 air yards: 14 throws (9%), 12 caught (86%), 96 yds, 6.9 per throw1486% · 96yRight, 5–9 air yards: 20 throws (13%), 9 caught (45%), 160 yds, 8.0 per throw2045% · 160yRight, 10–14 air yards: 9 throws (6%), 6 caught (67%), 79 yds, 8.8 per throw967% · 79yRight, 15–19 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 2 caught (67%), 39 yds, 13.0 per throw367% · 39yRight, 20–29 air yards: 4 throws (3%), 1 caught (25%), 22 yds, 5.5 per throw425% · 22yRight, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (3%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw50% · 0y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction249 carries

Left
32%
6.6 YPC · 54% succ.
Middle
46%
4.3 YPC · 45% succ.
Right
22%
5.0 YPC · 44% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced158 carries

Left
27%
5.0 YPC · 42% succ.
Middle
47%
3.0 YPC · 30% succ.
Right
26%
4.0 YPC · 41% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Jason Eck

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
2Jack LayneQBSR6' 2"209Lake Oswego, OR
3Gabriel MotschenbacherQBJR6' 0"195Lake Oswego, OR
10Luke MogaQBJR6' 1"208Phoenix, AZ
12James LaubsteinQBSR6' 3"209Bethany, CT
13Toa Fa'avaeQBSO6' 0"188Concord, CA
15Cade MitchellQBFR6' 1"220Beaverton, OR
8Deshaun BuchananRBSR5' 9"188Chandler, AZ
20Darrion BowersRBSO5' 8"200Arlington, TX
21Kiefer SibleyRBJR5' 9"179Waco, TX
22Scottre HumphreyRBSR5' 10"215Seattle, WA
23Cameron MathewsRBSO5' 7"187Houston, TX
1Shawn MillerWRSR6' 0"205Chandler, AZ
5Troy OmeireWRSR6' 5"226Houston, TX
6Zhaiel SmithWRSO5' 11"188Portland, OR
9Kader DiopWRSR5' 10"178Minneapolis, MN
11Massiah MingoWRFR5' 9"170Las Vegas, NV
14DJ DarlingWRFR5' 11"175Missouri City, TX
16Jacob MaldonadoWRFR5' 10"170Rio Rancho, NM
25Dorian PattersonWRFR6' 3"192Crete, IL
26KJ CherryWRJR6' 2"185Fontana, CA
81Bailen GeorgeWRFR6' 0"160Missouri City, TX
82JT JeterWRSO6' 0"178Cedar City, UT
83Mikey BeckWRSO6' 1"160Farmington, NM
4Joey OlsenTEJR6' 5"246Lake Oswego, OR
80Max LeeperTEFR6' 7"228Claremont, CA
84Trey MooreTEFR6' 5"210Ventura, CA
85Simon MapaTESR6' 3"255San Mateo, CA
86Aldin BilalbegovicTESO6' 4"225Red Deer, Canada
88Cade KeithTEJR6' 5"245Las Vegas, NV
51Malik AlianeOLSR6' 2"320Rouen, France
54JoJo MatautiaOLSO5' 10"305Sammamish, WA
55Elvin HarrisOLSR6' 6"315Hollywood, FL
57Jonny ShivelyOLSO6' 3"290Gilbert, AZ
59Kaden RobnettOLSR6' 2"302Graham, WA
60Jubilee Siitia-TasiOLSO6' 2"302Spanaway, WA
62Sebastian DawkinsOLFR6' 1"290Spring, TX
65Brody LittonOLFR6' 4"285Beloit, KS
66Markus FetchoOLSO6' 5"308Spokane, WA
68Tyler LawrenceOLSR6' 5"306Puyallup, WA
69Jerbralon StewartOLFR6' 2"260Desoto, TX
71Danzel NewellOLFR6' 5"265Chicago, IL
72Matheu AldermanOLFR6' 5"285Albuquerque, NM
75Ty'aun GatesOLFR6' 5"295Peoria, AZ
76Braden ChickOLFR6' 2"285Queen Creek, AZ
77Tevin ShawOLSR6' 5"320Houston, TX
79Cole MillwardOLSR6' 5"297West Haven, UT
10Darren AguDESR6' 6"252London, England
19Elijah BrodyDEJR6' 1"240Albuquerque, NM
22Jalen CharlesDEJR6' 3"245Manvel, TX
32Trent RockerDEJR6' 5"215Booneville, MS
45Brett KarhuDESR6' 1"226Frisco, TX
47Marcus StevensDEJR6' 2"238Albuquerque, NM
48John SierraDEJR6' 2"237Las Cruces, NM
91Brayden EllisDEJR6' 3"230Union City, CA
99Jack BurzynskiDESO6' 4"225Barrington, IL
15Xavier SlaytonDTSR6' 2"255Chicago, IL
46Jake DeVosDTSO6' 2"255Vale, OR
88AJ RobinsonDTSR6' 2"275Chicago, IL
90Devin PalmerDTFR6' 1"255Allen, TX
92Brian BookerDTSR6' 3"330Mansfield, TX
93Deven DyerDTSR6' 1"290Albuquerque, NM
94Jalen McIverDTJR6' 3"278Tuscaloosa, AL
98Nick BarberDTFR6' 3"280San Antonio, TX
6Jaxton EckLBSR6' 1"228Brookings, SD
11C.J. JohnsonLBJR6' 2"215Houston, TX
18Clay MartineauLBJR6' 3"228Oregon City, OR
26Thomas PettusLBSO6' 1"212Albuquerque, NM
33Hayes BaumLBFR5' 11"222Albuquerque, NM
34Broden SchmidtLBFR6' 2"227Tucson, AZ
38Jayden FlakerLBSR6' 2"222Scarborough, ME
41Eli CroninLBFR6' 0"216Chandler, AZ
50Ricklan Holmes IILBFR5' 11"227Oklahoma City, OK
4Jayden SheridanCBSR5' 11"182Palmdale, CA
5Frankie Edwards IIICBJR5' 10"178Moreno Valley, CA
8Ormanie ArnoldCBSR5' 8"178Long Beach, CA
9Eric McClainCBJR5' 11"183Lombard, IL
14Melaki GutierrezCBJR6' 0"165Hernandez, NM
24Joshua BarnesCBJR5' 9"185Los Angeles, CA
25Bear LevellsCBSR5' 11"186Hemet, CA
27Brannon HamptonCBFR6' 1"166Tustin, CA
0Austin BrawleySSR5' 10"180Massillon, OH
3CJ McBeanSSO6' 1"195Long Beach, CA
7Tavian CombsSSR6' 2"198Amarillo, TX
12Drew SpeechSSR6' 2"204Hollister, CA
13Chris Gant Jr.SJR5' 9"192Spring, TX
16Marco Beltran Jr.SFR5' 10"190The Woodlands, TX
17Will HicksSJR6' 0"198New Orleans, LA
20Kevin LongstreetSSR5' 8"185Inglewood, CA
21Josh MensahSFR6' 0"187Fontana, CA
28Deriece BrownSSO6' 1"200Buckeye, AZ
29Xavier Rivera-RogersSFR6' 2"190Chandler, AZ
30Keshawn MonroeSSO5' 8"175Houston, TX
39Jaron LilesSFR6' 1"200Mesa, AZ
31Grant GlasgowPKSR6' 1"192Lawrence, KS
41Nick RomeroPKSO5' 8"172Pembroke Pines, FL
95Konner OlsonPKSR5' 10"208Gilbert, AZ
19Michael KernPJR6' 4"195Fort Lauderdale, FL
35Charles SteinkampPSR6' 5"208Los Alamos, NM
50Lincoln EpsteinLSJR5' 9"215St. Charles, IL
53Caden BeckLSSO5' 9"195Allen, TX

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2025 (-1.1, #74) · worst: 2022 (-14.5, #127)
-15-10-50FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#74
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far5-12-0#43+6.9+3.0+3.9
20259-46-2#74-1.1+0.1-1.2
20245-73-4#121-10.2+3.5-13.6
20234-82-6#122-10.9-3.7-7.2
20222-100-8#127-14.5-12.9-1.6
20213-91-7#121-13.3-11.6-1.7
20202-52-5#106-7.7-2.5-5.2
20192-100-8#122-13.8-5.6-8.2
20183-91-7#109-10.1-3.5-6.6
20173-91-7#108-8.6-5.9-2.7
20169-46-2#80-2.6+2.7-5.3
20157-65-3#96-5.8-3.5-2.3
20144-82-6#110-9.1-0.6-8.5

New Mexico's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Oct 21, 10:45 AM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →