#85

Justius Lowe

WRSenior6' 1", 200 lbsPortland, OR
San Diego State Aztecs3-4 · TDC #98
Snap share
17%
likely 9–22%
Receptions
3
1249th of 1994 in FBS
Rec. yards
62
930th of 1980 in FBS
Yards / catch
20.7
Rec. TD
1
345th of 824 in FBS
EPA / play
+0.29
9 plays

Efficiency & Role

EPA = expected points added per play. Compared with every FBS WR/TE who qualifies

EPA per play by situation

9 plays · +2.6 total EPA · not enough plays to rank yet
All plays+0.29
Passing+0.29
1st down+1.16
2nd down-0.57
3rd down-0.15
Standard downs+0.54
Passing downs-0.21
LoweWR/TE average

Share of team plays

How often the offense runs through this player. Pass = targets or dropbacks, rush = carries
All plays4%
Pass plays9%
Run plays0%
1st down4%
2nd down4%
3rd down4%
Standard downs4%
Passing downs4%
LoweWR/TE average

Advanced

Computed from every play, garbage time excluded. FBS rank among players with enough volume

ReceivingValueFBS rank
Targets7—
Target share8.7%—
Catch rate28.6%—
Success rate per target28.6%—
Yards per target6.6—
Explosive catches14.3%—
Deep-target rate42.9%—
3rd-down targets1—
Red-zone targets1—

Charting

Where Lowe's plays went: throw and catch spots, air yards and yards after the catch, read from the play-by-play

Targets
9
3 caught (33%)
Avg. depth of target
15.7
air yards per target
YAC per catch
2.7
8 yds after the catch
Air yards caught
54
of 62 yds on charted catches
Deep targets
33%
20+ air yards

Where he's targeted9 targets charted

33% comp15.7 avg. depth2.7 YAC/catch33% 20+ air yds1–0 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: noneLeft, 0–4 air yards: 1 targets (11%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per target10% · 0yLeft, 5–9 air yards: noneLeft, 10–14 air yards: 1 targets (11%), 1 caught (100%), 16 yds, 16.0 per target1100% · 16yLeft, 15–19 air yards: noneLeft, 20–29 air yards: noneLeft, 30+ air yards: 3 targets (33%), 1 caught (33%), 40 yds, 13.3 per target333% · 40yMiddle, Behind air yards: noneMiddle, 0–4 air yards: noneMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 1 targets (11%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per target10% · 0yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 1 targets (11%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per target10% · 0yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: noneMiddle, 20–29 air yards: noneMiddle, 30+ air yards: noneRight, Behind air yards: noneRight, 0–4 air yards: 1 targets (11%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per target10% · 0yRight, 5–9 air yards: 1 targets (11%), 1 caught (100%), 6 yds, 6.0 per target1100% · 6yRight, 10–14 air yards: noneRight, 15–19 air yards: noneRight, 20–29 air yards: noneRight, 30+ air yards: none
fewer more targets
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.
2025 charting · Oregon

2025 season. ESPN's play-by-play only has throw and catch spots for part of 2025 (3 of Lowe’s games here), so treat the maps as a sample.

Charted targets
4
3 caught (75%)
Avg. depth of target
3.2
air yards per target
YAC per catch
6.7
20 yds after the catch
Air yards caught
5
of 25 yds on charted catches
Deep targets
0%
20+ air yards

Where he's targeted4 targets charted

75% comp3.2 avg. depth6.7 YAC/catch0% 20+ air yds0–0 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: noneLeft, 0–4 air yards: 2 targets (50%), 2 caught (100%), 22 yds, 11.0 per target2100% · 22yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 1 targets (25%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per target10% · 0yLeft, 10–14 air yards: noneLeft, 15–19 air yards: noneLeft, 20–29 air yards: noneLeft, 30+ air yards: noneMiddle, Behind air yards: noneMiddle, 0–4 air yards: noneMiddle, 5–9 air yards: noneMiddle, 10–14 air yards: noneMiddle, 15–19 air yards: noneMiddle, 20–29 air yards: noneMiddle, 30+ air yards: noneRight, Behind air yards: noneRight, 0–4 air yards: 1 targets (25%), 1 caught (100%), 3 yds, 3.0 per target1100% · 3yRight, 5–9 air yards: noneRight, 10–14 air yards: noneRight, 15–19 air yards: noneRight, 20–29 air yards: noneRight, 30+ air yards: none
fewer more targets
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Career

4 seasons at 2 schools since 2014 · box-score totals, snap share estimated from play-by-play

SeasonTeamGSnapsRecRec ydsRec TDTgt share
2026 so farSan Diego State#98 · 3-4417%36218.7%
2025Oregon#5 · 13-2411%65606.2%
2024Oregon#6 · 13-1930%2120318.0%
2022 *Oregon#14 · 10-31—————

Past seasons are summed from ESPN box scores; success rates and snap shares come from the play-by-play. Justius Lowe's team rank is that season's final TDC rank. A dash means the stat wasn't recorded. * Defense rebuilt from the play-by-play (ESPN's box scores that season are missing it); about 10% below official totals.

Game Log

Justius Lowe's box score, game by game, from ESPN, with a 0–10 game score for each (hover it for how it works). Click a result for the full game

5.5 avg. game scoreBest: 7.1 vs Portland State (Week 1)0 of 2 games at 8.0+
Receiving
WkOpponentResultGame scoreRecYdsY/RTDLong
1Portland StateW 53–207.125628.0140
2@UCLAL 10–28—no stats recorded
3James MadisonL 13–26—no stats recorded
4@ToledoL 16–41—no stats recorded
5Texas StateW 31–29—no stats recorded
6@Oregon StateL 14–663.9166.006
7Fresno StateW 26–23—no stats recorded
2026 · 2 games5.536220.7140

2026 Season Stats

FBS rank among qualifying players

Receiving2026FBS rank
Receptions31249th / 1994
Yards62930th / 1980
Yards / catch20.7—
Touchdowns1345th / 824
Long40—

Snaps by Game

Estimated snaps from a model trained on real NFL snap counts. Ranges in brackets are where the real number lands 80% of the time: wide for a single game, tighter over the season. How it works

GameTeam playsEst. snapsPlays involvedSnap share
Wk 1 · Portland State62~19 (6–26)231%
Wk 2 · UCLA56~7 (2–11)113%
Wk 3 · James Madison77~18 (6–25)223%
Wk 6 · Oregon State48~27 (9–37)456%
Season42571 (40–93)917%

Position Room

16 WRs on the San Diego State roster, ordered by rec

#PlayerPosClassRecYdsTDTgt shareEPA/play
3Nathan AcevedoWRSR17181216%+0.33
2Jordan NapierWRJR13105112%+0.04
12Jaylon HawkinsWRFR12158215%+0.38
5Bert Emanuel Jr.WRSR811409%+0.43
14Donovan BrownWRSR775015%+0.16
17Jacob BostickWRSR692112%+0.00
18Daishaun DavisWRFR54506%+0.74
85Justius LoweWRSR36219%+0.29
16Will CianfriniWRSO1705%-1.49
82Carson DiehlWRFR1804%+0.06
10Parker ThreattWRSO—————
11De'yhare Overstreet-GloverWRSR—————
30Aldrich DoeWRJR—————
42Craig WalkerWRFR—————
84Derek StevensonWRFR—————
93Ayo Shotomide-KingWRJR—————

Stats, EPA and usage come from CollegeFootballData.com and refresh daily. FBS ranks only count players with enough volume for the stat to mean something. Qualifying for EPA takes 4+ plays per team game. San Diego State depth chart →