EPA = expected points added per play. Compared with every FBS WR/TE who qualifies
Computed from every play, garbage time excluded. FBS rank among players with enough volume
| Receiving | Value | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7 | — |
| Target share | 8.7% | — |
| Catch rate | 28.6% | — |
| Success rate per target | 28.6% | — |
| Yards per target | 6.6 | — |
| Explosive catches | 14.3% | — |
| Deep-target rate | 42.9% | — |
| 3rd-down targets | 1 | — |
| Red-zone targets | 1 | — |
Where Lowe's plays went: throw and catch spots, air yards and yards after the catch, read from the play-by-play
2025 season. ESPN's play-by-play only has throw and catch spots for part of 2025 (3 of Lowe’s games here), so treat the maps as a sample.
4 seasons at 2 schools since 2014 · box-score totals, snap share estimated from play-by-play
| Season | Team | G | Snaps | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Tgt share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 so far | San Diego State#98 · 3-4 | 4 | 17% | 3 | 62 | 1 | 8.7% |
| 2025 | Oregon#5 · 13-2 | 4 | 11% | 6 | 56 | 0 | 6.2% |
| 2024 | Oregon#6 · 13-1 | 9 | 30% | 21 | 203 | 1 | 8.0% |
| 2022 * | Oregon#14 · 10-3 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Past seasons are summed from ESPN box scores; success rates and snap shares come from the play-by-play. Justius Lowe's team rank is that season's final TDC rank. A dash means the stat wasn't recorded. * Defense rebuilt from the play-by-play (ESPN's box scores that season are missing it); about 10% below official totals.
Justius Lowe's box score, game by game, from ESPN, with a 0–10 game score for each (hover it for how it works). Click a result for the full game
| Receiving | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Game score | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Long |
| 1 | W 53–20 | 7.1 | 2 | 56 | 28.0 | 1 | 40 | |
| 2 | @ | L 10–28 | — | no stats recorded | ||||
| 3 | L 13–26 | — | no stats recorded | |||||
| 4 | @ | L 16–41 | — | no stats recorded | ||||
| 5 | W 31–29 | — | no stats recorded | |||||
| 6 | @ | L 14–66 | 3.9 | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | 0 | 6 |
| 7 | W 26–23 | — | no stats recorded | |||||
| 2026 · 2 games | 5.5 | 3 | 62 | 20.7 | 1 | 40 | ||
FBS rank among qualifying players
| Receiving | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 3 | 1249th / 1994 |
| Yards | 62 | 930th / 1980 |
| Yards / catch | 20.7 | — |
| Touchdowns | 1 | 345th / 824 |
| Long | 40 | — |
Estimated snaps from a model trained on real NFL snap counts. Ranges in brackets are where the real number lands 80% of the time: wide for a single game, tighter over the season. How it works
| Game | Team plays | Est. snaps | Plays involved | Snap share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 · Portland State | 62 | ~19 (6–26) | 2 | 31% |
| Wk 2 · UCLA | 56 | ~7 (2–11) | 1 | 13% |
| Wk 3 · James Madison | 77 | ~18 (6–25) | 2 | 23% |
| Wk 6 · Oregon State | 48 | ~27 (9–37) | 4 | 56% |
| Season | 425 | 71 (40–93) | 9 | 17% |
16 WRs on the San Diego State roster, ordered by rec
| # | Player | Pos | Class | Rec | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nathan Acevedo | WR | SR | 17 | 181 | 2 | 16% | +0.33 |
| 2 | Jordan Napier | WR | JR | 13 | 105 | 1 | 12% | +0.04 |
| 12 | Jaylon Hawkins | WR | FR | 12 | 158 | 2 | 15% | +0.38 |
| 5 | Bert Emanuel Jr. | WR | SR | 8 | 114 | 0 | 9% | +0.43 |
| 14 | Donovan Brown | WR | SR | 7 | 75 | 0 | 15% | +0.16 |
| 17 | Jacob Bostick | WR | SR | 6 | 92 | 1 | 12% | +0.00 |
| 18 | Daishaun Davis | WR | FR | 5 | 45 | 0 | 6% | +0.74 |
| 85 | Justius Lowe | WR | SR | 3 | 62 | 1 | 9% | +0.29 |
| 16 | Will Cianfrini | WR | SO | 1 | 7 | 0 | 5% | -1.49 |
| 82 | Carson Diehl | WR | FR | 1 | 8 | 0 | 4% | +0.06 |
| 10 | Parker Threatt | WR | SO | — | — | — | — | — |
| 11 | De'yhare Overstreet-Glover | WR | SR | — | — | — | — | — |
| 30 | Aldrich Doe | WR | JR | — | — | — | — | — |
| 42 | Craig Walker | WR | FR | — | — | — | — | — |
| 84 | Derek Stevenson | WR | FR | — | — | — | — | — |
| 93 | Ayo Shotomide-King | WR | JR | — | — | — | — | — |
Stats, EPA and usage come from CollegeFootballData.com and refresh daily. FBS ranks only count players with enough volume for the stat to mean something. Qualifying for EPA takes 4+ plays per team game. San Diego State depth chart →