Big 12 · 2026

Colorado Buffaloes

Head coach Deion Sanders · Folsom Field
2-40-3 in conference
TDC Rank
#56
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+3.5
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-1.2
78th in FBS
Defense
+4.7
34th in FBS
Schedule so far
+5.4
13th toughest
Projected
4.5-7.5
bowl-eligible 22%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

+3.5 now, +5.7 preseason · down 15 spots since preseason
0+5+10FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8#56

Final record odds

4.5-7.5 expected · most likely 4-8 (29%)
2-1017%3-929%4-828%5-716%6-65%7-58-4

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 3@67Georgia TechW 14–13 ›+6.6—ESPN
2Sep 12vsWeber State FCSW 52–21 ›-1.6—ESPN+
3Sep 19@26NorthwesternL 7–41 ›-11.3—FOX
4Sep 26@46BaylorCONFL 13–23 ›+0.4—ESPN2
5Oct 3vs12Texas TechCONFL 7–29 ›-6.5—Fox
6—Bye
7Oct 17vs8UtahCONFL 24–27 ›+15.5—ESPN
8Oct 24@39Oklahoma StateCONFOklahoma State −7.9 · o/u 55.1—30%FS1
9Oct 31vs37Kansas StateCONFKansas State −1.2 · o/u 51.4—47%TNT
10Nov 7@62Arizona StateCONFArizona State −2.8 · o/u 52.9—43%
11Nov 13vs30HoustonCONFHouston −4.0 · o/u 50.4—39%ESPN
12Nov 21@55CincinnatiCONFCincinnati −4.1 · o/u 50.2—39%
13Nov 28vs51UCFCONFColorado −1.8 · o/u 43.8—55%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.013117th-0.00131st
Success rate39.6%109th37.8%34th
Explosiveness1.22483rd1.18443rd
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate40.4%100th38.5%39th
Rushing success rate39.9%106th41.9%63rd
Passing success rate40.8%85th35.4%22nd
Explosive run rate13.7%78th12.8%63rd
Explosive pass rate9.4%89th12.2%116th
Line yards / carry3.1770th2.539th
Opportunity rate38.3%81st38.0%80th
Stuff rate14.8%39th26.8%6th
Sack rate5.0%71st6.2%49th
3rd-down conversion39.2%85th41.6%99th
Red-zone TD rate46.7%119th47.8%33rd
Havoc rate13.0%63rd19.4%4th
Box score · season totals
Points / game19.5123rd25.788th
Yards / game394.266th357.271st
Yards / play5.4093rd4.8844th
Pass yards / game253.845th226.894th
Yards / pass att.7.2084th6.6751st
Completion %60.8%91st56.9%30th
Rush yards / game140.395th130.354th
Yards / carry3.90101st3.5443rd
3rd-down conv. %36.1%102nd39.3%89th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)2.17135th1.1766th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.8365th2.3343rd
Penalty yards / game84.3136th60.054th

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
8.4
79th of 138
YAC per catch
6.4
24th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
12%
97th of 138
Shotgun
95%
71st of 138
No-huddle
88%
24th of 138
QB pressured
9%
112th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
19%
13th of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
4.9
90th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws200 throws charted

60% comp8.4 avg. depth6.4 YAC/catch12% 20+ air yds10–8 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 19 throws (10%), 15 caught (79%), 116 yds, 6.1 per throw1979% · 116yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 11 throws (6%), 6 caught (55%), 54 yds, 4.9 per throw1155% · 54yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 18 throws (9%), 8 caught (44%), 84 yds, 4.7 per throw1844% · 84yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 12 throws (6%), 9 caught (75%), 127 yds, 10.6 per throw1275% · 127yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 5 caught (71%), 95 yds, 13.6 per throw771% · 95yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 1 caught (14%), 20 yds, 2.9 per throw714% · 20yLeft, 30+ air yards: noneMiddle, Behind air yards: 9 throws (5%), 8 caught (89%), 25 yds, 2.8 per throw989% · 25yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 5 caught (63%), 27 yds, 3.4 per throw863% · 27yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 10 throws (5%), 6 caught (60%), 103 yds, 10.3 per throw1060% · 103yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 2 caught (67%), 27 yds, 9.0 per throw367% · 27yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 2 caught (50%), 43 yds, 10.8 per throw450% · 43yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 7 throws (4%), 4 caught (57%), 194 yds, 27.7 per throw757% · 194yRight, Behind air yards: 14 throws (7%), 14 caught (100%), 91 yds, 6.5 per throw14100% · 91yRight, 0–4 air yards: 20 throws (10%), 15 caught (75%), 152 yds, 7.6 per throw2075% · 152yRight, 5–9 air yards: 17 throws (9%), 13 caught (76%), 105 yds, 6.2 per throw1776% · 105yRight, 10–14 air yards: 15 throws (8%), 6 caught (40%), 81 yds, 5.4 per throw1540% · 81yRight, 15–19 air yards: 11 throws (6%), 6 caught (55%), 140 yds, 12.7 per throw1155% · 140yRight, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw30% · 0yRight, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (2%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw30% · 0y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on194 throws charted

56% comp9.2 avg. depth4.9 YAC/catch15% 20+ air yds12–4 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 13 throws (7%), 9 caught (69%), 24 yds, 1.8 per throw1369% · 24yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 14 throws (7%), 12 caught (86%), 99 yds, 7.1 per throw1486% · 99yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 14 throws (7%), 7 caught (50%), 62 yds, 4.4 per throw1450% · 62yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 12 throws (6%), 4 caught (33%), 69 yds, 5.8 per throw1233% · 69yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 3 caught (43%), 61 yds, 8.7 per throw743% · 61yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 1 caught (20%), 20 yds, 4.0 per throw520% · 20yLeft, 30+ air yards: 6 throws (3%), 2 caught (33%), 76 yds, 12.7 per throw633% · 76yMiddle, Behind air yards: 2 throws (1%), 2 caught (100%), 3 yds, 1.5 per throw2100% · 3yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 11 throws (6%), 4 caught (36%), 23 yds, 2.1 per throw1136% · 23yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 12 throws (6%), 9 caught (75%), 93 yds, 7.8 per throw1275% · 93yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 5 caught (63%), 76 yds, 9.5 per throw863% · 76yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 4 caught (100%), 80 yds, 20.0 per throw4100% · 80yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 2 caught (67%), 64 yds, 21.3 per throw367% · 64yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw40% · 0yRight, Behind air yards: 20 throws (10%), 16 caught (80%), 94 yds, 4.7 per throw2080% · 94yRight, 0–4 air yards: 18 throws (9%), 10 caught (56%), 64 yds, 3.6 per throw1856% · 64yRight, 5–9 air yards: 11 throws (6%), 6 caught (55%), 52 yds, 4.7 per throw1155% · 52yRight, 10–14 air yards: 11 throws (6%), 5 caught (45%), 60 yds, 5.5 per throw1145% · 60yRight, 15–19 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 6 caught (75%), 125 yds, 15.6 per throw875% · 125yRight, 20–29 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 3 caught (43%), 77 yds, 11.0 per throw743% · 77yRight, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 1 caught (25%), 70 yds, 17.5 per throw425% · 70y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction196 carries

Left
19%
4.4 YPC · 49% succ.
Middle
62%
4.8 YPC · 40% succ.
Right
19%
5.1 YPC · 49% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced201 carries

Left
24%
5.5 YPC · 53% succ.
Middle
57%
3.9 YPC · 37% succ.
Right
18%
4.2 YPC · 41% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Deion Sanders

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
7Dominiq PonderQBSR6' 5"200Opa Locka, FL
10Julian LewisQBSO6' 1"190Carrollton, GA
14Kaneal SweetwyneQBFR6' 3"195Lehi, UT
20DeKalon TaylorRBSR5' 9"165Longview, TX
23JaQuail SmithRBSO5' 11"170Orlando, FL
26Damian Henderson IIRBSR6' 2"205Los Alamitos, CA
27Bryce HicksRBJR5' 9"185Atlanta, GA
28Cam NetwonRBFR5' 9"185Prosper, TX
29Micah WelchRBJR5' 9"215Milledgeville, GA
34Titus BautistaRBJR5' 10"185Chicago, IL
37Leonardo ValleRBSO6' 1"210Richmond Hill, GA
47Cody JordanRBFR5' 9"185The Woodlands, TX
3DeAndre Moore Jr.WRSR6' 0"190Bellflower, CA
4Ernest CampbellWRJR5' 9"145Refugio, TX
5Hykeem WilliamsWRSR6' 2"220Fort Lauderdale, FL
6Quentin GibsonWRSO5' 9"155Fort Worth, TX
7Kam PerryWRSR5' 9"170Marietta, GA
13Kaleb MathisWRSR5' 9"165Arlington, TX
14Quanell Farrakhan Jr.WRSO6' 1"180Houston, TX
17Christian WardWRFR6' 3"205Carrollton, GA
18Danny ScuderoWRSR5' 9"175San Jose, CA
22Tagert BardinWRSR6' 0"160Durango, CO
32Alex WardWRFR6' 1"180Carrollton, GA
36Carson WestbrookWRJR5' 11"170Ellaville, GA
80Jacob SwainWRFR6' 1"185Melissa, TX
81Braedon BrennerWRFR5' 11"180Mesa, AZ
83Zayne DeSouzaTESO6' 6"260Loveland, CO
85Zach AtkinsTESR6' 4"240Olathe, KS
86Brady KopetzTESR6' 4"270Portland, OR
87Charlie WilliamsTESR6' 4"245Aspen, CO
88Corbin LaisureTESO6' 5"250Bluff City, TN
89Fisher ClementsTESR6' 7"265Hattiesburg, MS
51Chauncey GoodenOLSO6' 3"380Nashville, TN
52Andre Roye Jr.OLSR6' 6"295District Heights, MD
53Larry Johnson IIIOLSR6' 7"350Savannah, GA
54Taj WhiteOLSR6' 5"310Jersey City, NJ
55Bo HughleyOLSR6' 7"295Fairburn, GA
56Phillip HoustonOLSR6' 5"280McKinney, TX
57Leon BellOLSR6' 8"330Dickinson, TX
58Demetrius HunterOLSR6' 2"310Orange, TX
59Yahya AttiaOLJR6' 4"340London, England
61Aiden DeCorteOLSR6' 1"300Jackson, MI
62Sean KinneyOLJR6' 2"305Nazareth, PA
65Ben GulaOLFR6' 5"285Weston, FL
71Jayvon McFaddenOLSO6' 3"295Upper Marlboro, MD
72Xavier PayneOLFR6' 7"320Canandaigua, NY
73Jose SotoOLSR6' 3"310Tulare, CA
75Jayven RichardsonOLSR6' 6"315Gonzales, LA
78Hudson SteberOLSO6' 3"270Evergreen, CO
45Vili TaufatofuaDLSR6' 3"260Auckland, New Zealand
56Lamont Lester Jr.DLJR6' 2"230Ramsey, NJ
88Samu TaumanupepeDLSR6' 3"375Humble, TX
90Tyler MooreDLJR5' 10"290Locust Grove, GA
91Sedrick SmithDLSR6' 4"320Atlanta, GA
93Malachi BrownDLSR6' 5"300Milpitas, CA
94Josiah ManuDLFR6' 5"295Loveland, CO
97Santana HopperDLSR6' 2"265Shelby, NC
99Dylan ManuelDLJR6' 1"300Stockbridge, GA
27Domata Peko Jr.DESR6' 4"235Calabasas, CA
41Kylan SalterDESR6' 2"230Cedar Hill, TX
49Quency WigginsDESR6' 5"255Baton Rouge, LA
52Immanuel EzeoguDEJR6' 2"240Suffolk, VA
53Toby AneneDESR6' 4"260Saint Paul, MN
92Sam GadieDESR6' 3"235Trenton, NJ
95Yamil TalibDEJR6' 2"240Richardson, TX
96Balansama KamaraDESR6' 3"260Philadelphia, PA
17Liona LefauLBSR6' 1"230Kahuku, HI
35Tyler MartinezLBSR6' 1"220Albuquerque, NM
40Colby JohnsonLBFR6' 2"195Sammamish, WA
44Gideon LampronLBSR6' 0"220Lagrange, OH
44Gideon ESPN LampronLBSR6' 0"220Lagrange, OH
50Rodney Colton Jr.LBFR6' 1"225Newnan, GA
51Carson CrawfordLBFR6' 4"220Carthage, TX
54Bo LaPennaLBSR6' 1"235Commerce City, CO
55Gage GoldbergLBJR6' 0"210Boerne, TX
4Naeten MitchellDBSR5' 10"175Temple, TX
5RJ JohnsonDBSR6' 2"185Mcdonough, GA
6Boo CarterDBJR5' 11"200Chattanooga, TN
7Randon FontenetteDBSR6' 2"220Freeport, TX
8Emory FloydDBSR6' 1"195Powder Springs, GA
9Jaydan HardyDBJR5' 10"180Lewisville, TX
10Makari VickersDBSR6' 1"190Tallahassee, FL
13Jason Stokes Jr.DBJR6' 2"185Pflugerville, TX
15Jah Jah BoydDBJR5' 11"190Philadelphia, PA
18Paul OmodiaDBSR6' 2"200Richmond, TX
20Cree ThomasDBSO6' 1"190Phoenix, AZ
26Braylon EdwardsDBFR5' 11"180Duncanville, TX
28Ben FinnesethDBSR6' 2"205Durango, CO
30Justin EaglinDBSR6' 1"175Fayetteville, NC
32Myles WestonDBSR5' 11"175Port Charlotte, FL
33Kole MathisDBJR5' 8"140Arlington, TX
34Drew MolinariDBJR6' 1"195Salinas, CA
39Donavon StephensDBSO5' 10"170Alpharetta, GA
31Preston AshleyCBFR5' 11"185Brandon, MS
39Cadel AyalaPKSO6' 1"185Reno, NV
46Elliott ArnoldPKSO5' 10"165Chattanooga, TN
35Damon GreavesPSR6' 1"190Busselton, Australia
38Daniel GerlachPSR6' 0"160Boulder, CO
45Luke WhitingLSSR6' 4"225Holladay, UT
60Brady RadzLSSR6' 2"175Englewood, CO

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2016 (+8.2, #20) · worst: 2022 (-15.1, #128)
-100+10FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#86
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far2-40-3#56+3.5-1.2+4.7
20253-91-8#86-3.2-1.9-1.2
20249-47-2#33+6.2+4.4+1.7
20234-81-8#83-3.4+2.3-5.7
20221-111-8#128-15.1-8.5-6.6
20214-83-6#104-6.5-6.1-0.4
20204-23-1#77-1.3+0.3-1.6
20195-73-6#85-3.4-2.2-1.2
20185-72-7#86-2.7-2.3-0.4
20175-72-7#77-1.8-2.3+0.6
201610-48-1#20+8.2+0.6+7.5
20154-91-8#85-4.0-4.7+0.7
20142-100-9#90-5.2+1.1-6.2

Colorado's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Oct 21, 10:17 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →