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Big 12 · 2026

Houston Cougars

Head coach Willie Fritz · TDECU Stadium
6-13-1 in conference
TDC Rank
#30
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+11.4
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+7.1
21st in FBS
Defense
+4.3
36th in FBS
Schedule so far
+1.1
33rd toughest
Projected
9.0-3.0
bowl-eligible >99%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

+11.4 now, +0.3 preseason · up 30 spots since preseason
0+5+10FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8#30

Final record odds

9.0-3.0 expected · most likely 9-3 (38%)
6-67%7-523%8-438%9-327%10-211-1

Team Leaders

National leaderboards →

Passing
Conner Weigman
QB · 16th in FBS
1770yds
20 TD · 2 INT
Rushing
Makhi Hughes
RB · SR · 53rd in FBS
465yds
98 car · 3 TD
Receiving
Amare Thomas
WR · SR · 37th in FBS
487yds
36 rec · 6 TD
Tackles
Kentrell Webb
DB · 148th in FBS
43tkl
0 TFL
Sacks
Javion White
DB · 150th in FBS
2.5sacks
0 hurries
Interceptions
Will James
DB · SR · 28th in FBS
2INT
6 PD

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5vs57Oregon StateW 33–20 ›+12.7—ESPNEWS
2Sep 12vsSouthern FCSW 77–6 ›-3.0—ESPN+
3Sep 18@12Texas TechCONFL 26–28 ›+21.0—FOX
4Sep 26@93Georgia SouthernW 42–28 ›+10.8—ESPNU
5Oct 3vs51UCFCONFW 27–17 ›+11.7—ESPN2
6Oct 10@37Kansas StateCONFW 35–16 ›+31.3—Fox
7Oct 17vs39Oklahoma StateCONFW 35–32 ›+6.9—Fox
8Oct 24@8UtahCONFUtah −14.8 · o/u 59.4—16%ESPN
9—Bye
10Nov 7vs55CincinnatiCONFHouston −11.3 · o/u 58.9—78%
11Nov 13@56ColoradoCONFHouston −4.0 · o/u 50.4—61%ESPN
12Nov 21@70West VirginiaCONFHouston −7.7 · o/u 69.8—70%
13Nov 28vs46BaylorCONFHouston −8.5 · o/u 52.9—72%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.3338th+0.12387th
Success rate53.4%2nd41.9%79th
Explosiveness1.112126th1.306102nd
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate53.5%3rd42.8%89th
Rushing success rate50.4%16th43.1%75th
Passing success rate57.4%2nd42.7%95th
Explosive run rate12.8%91st12.5%61st
Explosive pass rate12.2%44th11.3%99th
Line yards / carry3.4623rd2.9558th
Opportunity rate40.8%55th33.3%32nd
Stuff rate12.8%23rd16.7%84th
Sack rate3.0%23rd4.3%105th
3rd-down conversion62.2%1st37.8%55th
Red-zone TD rate64.7%60th70.6%117th
Havoc rate9.5%16th18.4%9th
Box score · season totals
Points / game39.312th21.045th
Yards / game485.110th347.660th
Yards / play6.7412th5.6697th
Pass yards / game264.936th265.0128th
Yards / pass att.9.0018th7.83110th
Completion %68.0%22nd61.6%68th
Rush yards / game220.316th82.66th
Yards / carry5.3022nd3.2126th
3rd-down conv. %61.4%1st36.0%56th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)0.7126th1.4337th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.0016th1.8682nd
Penalty yards / game58.481st54.073rd

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
8.6
70th of 138
YAC per catch
6.3
28th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
10%
125th of 138
Shotgun
90%
113th of 138
No-huddle
80%
43rd of 138
QB pressured
8%
126th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
15%
51st of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
5.9
27th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws199 throws charted

68% comp8.6 avg. depth6.3 YAC/catch10% 20+ air yds22–2 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 7 throws (4%), 6 caught (86%), 31 yds, 4.4 per throw786% · 31yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 22 throws (11%), 18 caught (82%), 128 yds, 5.8 per throw2282% · 128yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 14 throws (7%), 10 caught (71%), 161 yds, 11.5 per throw1471% · 161yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 2 caught (50%), 27 yds, 6.8 per throw450% · 27yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 12 throws (6%), 4 caught (33%), 67 yds, 5.6 per throw1233% · 67yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 2 caught (40%), 51 yds, 10.2 per throw540% · 51yLeft, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 3 caught (75%), 132 yds, 33.0 per throw475% · 132yMiddle, Behind air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 4 yds, 2.0 per throw250% · 4yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 15 throws (8%), 12 caught (80%), 94 yds, 6.3 per throw1580% · 94yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 16 throws (8%), 10 caught (63%), 125 yds, 7.8 per throw1663% · 125yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 5 caught (100%), 91 yds, 18.2 per throw5100% · 91yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 5 caught (71%), 100 yds, 14.3 per throw771% · 100yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 1 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 1 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yRight, Behind air yards: 11 throws (6%), 10 caught (91%), 137 yds, 12.5 per throw1191% · 137yRight, 0–4 air yards: 20 throws (10%), 18 caught (90%), 175 yds, 8.8 per throw2090% · 175yRight, 5–9 air yards: 25 throws (13%), 16 caught (64%), 181 yds, 7.2 per throw2564% · 181yRight, 10–14 air yards: 11 throws (6%), 7 caught (64%), 87 yds, 7.9 per throw1164% · 87yRight, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 3 caught (43%), 66 yds, 9.4 per throw743% · 66yRight, 20–29 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 3 caught (50%), 87 yds, 14.5 per throw650% · 87yRight, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 2 caught (50%), 82 yds, 20.5 per throw450% · 82y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on229 throws charted

62% comp9.2 avg. depth5.9 YAC/catch15% 20+ air yds12–6 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 12 throws (5%), 12 caught (100%), 91 yds, 7.6 per throw12100% · 91yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 24 throws (10%), 20 caught (83%), 149 yds, 6.2 per throw2483% · 149yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 25 throws (11%), 17 caught (68%), 158 yds, 6.3 per throw2568% · 158yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 10 throws (4%), 3 caught (30%), 60 yds, 6.0 per throw1030% · 60yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 1 caught (17%), 20 yds, 3.3 per throw617% · 20yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 1 caught (25%), 27 yds, 6.8 per throw425% · 27yLeft, 30+ air yards: 6 throws (3%), 4 caught (67%), 244 yds, 40.7 per throw667% · 244yMiddle, Behind air yards: 6 throws (3%), 5 caught (83%), 25 yds, 4.2 per throw683% · 25yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 21 throws (9%), 14 caught (67%), 148 yds, 7.0 per throw2167% · 148yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 17 throws (7%), 8 caught (47%), 84 yds, 4.9 per throw1747% · 84yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 8 throws (3%), 7 caught (88%), 100 yds, 12.5 per throw888% · 100yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 1 caught (25%), 22 yds, 5.5 per throw425% · 22yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 6 throws (3%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw60% · 0yRight, Behind air yards: 12 throws (5%), 10 caught (83%), 36 yds, 3.0 per throw1283% · 36yRight, 0–4 air yards: 20 throws (9%), 14 caught (70%), 97 yds, 4.8 per throw2070% · 97yRight, 5–9 air yards: 17 throws (7%), 10 caught (59%), 98 yds, 5.8 per throw1759% · 98yRight, 10–14 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 6 caught (86%), 158 yds, 22.6 per throw786% · 158yRight, 15–19 air yards: 8 throws (3%), 5 caught (63%), 98 yds, 12.3 per throw863% · 98yRight, 20–29 air yards: 11 throws (5%), 5 caught (45%), 127 yds, 11.5 per throw1145% · 127yRight, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (1%), 1 caught (33%), 35 yds, 11.7 per throw333% · 35y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction274 carries

Left
20%
5.6 YPC · 46% succ.
Middle
63%
5.8 YPC · 50% succ.
Right
18%
6.0 YPC · 54% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced162 carries

Left
18%
5.2 YPC · 34% succ.
Middle
62%
3.9 YPC · 33% succ.
Right
20%
4.7 YPC · 42% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Willie Fritz

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
5Keisean HendersonQBFR6' 5"195Houston, TX
13Canon ToonQBFR6' 3"195Houston, TX
15Jake SockQBSR6' 2"190Pearland, TX
17Luke CarneyQBSO6' 2"205Mesquite, TX
18Ryan SmithQBFR6' 0"180The Woodlands, TX
6Re'Shaun Sanford IIRBJR5' 9"190Harker Heights, TX
16JayShon RidgleRBJR6' 0"197Athens, AL
21Makhi HughesRBSR6' 0"210Birmingham, AL
23John HebertRBFR5' 11"180Houston, TX
25DJ ButlerRBJR6' 0"190Mobile, AL
37Zane SmithRBSO5' 9"235Fulshear, TX
0Amare ThomasWRSR6' 0"205Birmingham, AL
3Harvey Broussard IIIWRSR6' 3"185Saint Martinville, LA
8Tyson TurnerWRJR6' 2"215Bryan, TX
10Jaquise MartinWRSO5' 10"180Bryan, TX
12Stephon JohnsonWRSR6' 2"190Houston, TX
14Muizz TounkaraWRSO6' 3"210League City, TX
22Dorian BarnesWRFR5' 8"155Houston, TX
27Braeden RobinsonWRFR6' 0"180Houston, TX
46Jeffrey Strozier Jr.WRSR5' 6"160Kansas City, MO
81Jeremiah BushnellWRFR6' 1"195Iowa, LA
82Jack NewhouseWRFR6' 4"230Austin, TX
83Keavon RobertsWRFR6' 5"185Port Arthur, TX
84Samuel PadgittWRSR6' 2"195San Antonio, TX
9Patrick OvermyerTESR6' 5"240Kingwood, TX
19Kaleb ThomasTEJR6' 4"250Houston, TX
85Traville Frederick Jr.TEJR6' 3"240Jeanerette, LA
86Wyatt HerbelTESO6' 3"220Cypress, TX
87Luke McGaryTESR6' 4"250Plano, TX
88Jacory ThurmanTESO6' 4"240Houston, TX
89Jaivion MartinTEFR6' 4"250Pflugerville, TX
52Anthony BoswellOLJR6' 2"301Indianapolis, IN
53Ronnell McLainOLJR6' 4"325Desoto, TX
54Rhett GrayOLFR6' 8"310Weatherford, TX
55Demetris Dean IIOLSO6' 4"300Jasper, TX
56Shadre HurstOLSR6' 2"304Cartersville, GA
62Ricardo CordovaOLJR6' 0"270Pasadena, TX
66McKenzie AgnelloOLSR6' 4"314Copperas Cove, TX
67Hingano HautauOLSR6' 6"325San Jose, CA
68Sean TerrellOLSO6' 5"295Spring, TX
70Larry CrawfordOLSR6' 5"300Monroe, GA
71Noah AbebeOLFR6' 4"300Friendswood, TX
72RJ LeeOLSO6' 8"335Houston, TX
73Drew TerrillOLSR6' 6"300Lebanon, IN
77Troy PlessOLFR6' 5"320Killeen, TX
79Alvin EboseleOLSR6' 6"312Coppell, TX
9Ashton PorterDLSR6' 3"280Cypress, TX
18Khalil LaufauDLSR6' 3"290Salt Lake City, UT
45Chance BryantDLSO6' 2"255Fulshear, TX
47DK MaysDLSO6' 4"250Baton Rouge, LA
50Ejiro EgodogbareDLSR6' 3"310Milton, MA
51Hunter JonesDLSR6' 2"280Houston, TX
55Isaiah BroughtonDLFR6' 4"340Houston, TX
88Xavier FlemingDLFR6' 1"305Lewisville, TX
90De'Marion ThomasDLSR6' 2"340Tulsa, OK
92Travis BuhakeDLSO6' 2"290Arlington, TX
94Carmello BrooksDLSO6' 3"275Katy, TX
96Eythan ThompsonDLSO6' 3"330Waco, TX
98Myles ParkerDLSR6' 1"325Snellville, GA
99Quindario LeeDLSR6' 5"295Mc Kenzie, AL
4Brandon Mack IILBSR6' 4"255Montgomery, AL
10Latreveon McCutchinLBSR6' 3"245Austin, TX
12Sione FotuLBSR6' 0"230Salt Lake City, UT
17Christian BrathwaiteLBJR6' 2"220Cypress, TX
19Miller MaloneLBJR6' 2"220Mont Belvieu, TX
25Carmycah GlassLBSR6' 4"230Monroe, LA
30Richmond UgochukwuLBSO6' 2"220Richardson, TX
31Tristan JacksonLBSO6' 0"215Fort Walton Beach, FL
34Bryson CastileLBFR6' 2"210Arlington, TX
35Tyler CovarLBFR6' 2"225Magnolia, TX
36Liam RileyLBFR6' 1"215Weatherford, TX
43Sheldon RiceLBSO6' 3"250Fulshear, TX
48Grayson BoekerLBSO6' 3"220The Woodlands, TX
53Tanner CovarLBFR6' 2"195Magnolia, TX
2Jalen MayoDBSR6' 2"190Hampton, VA
3JD RhymDBSR6' 2"190Valdosta, GA
5Will JamesDBSR6' 0"185Grand Bay, AL
6Jordan AllenDBSR5' 11"200Lafayette, LA
13C.J. DouglasDBSR5' 11"200Leeds, AL
14Paris Melvin Jr.DBFR5' 11"185Cypress, TX
20James Henderson IIIDBFR6' 1"175Houston, TX
21Myles RowserDBSR6' 1"195Detroit, MI
22Zaylen CormierDBSO5' 11"190Houston, TX
24Keany ParksDBSR6' 1"180Kenosha, WI
26Jamaal ShawDBSR6' 1"200Orange, TX
27Mudassir AbdullahDBFR6' 0"175West Columbia, TX
29Javen HolmesDBFR6' 2"205Baton Rouge, LA
32Isaac RichardsonDBFR6' 1"200Houston, TX
33Johnsley BarbasDBJR5' 11"190Atlanta, GA
38Johnathan Joseph Jr.DBFR5' 10"190Houston, TX
41Thompson BennettDBFR6' 1"190Austin, TX
42Austin AndersonDBJR6' 3"185Rosenberg, TX
44Rodney Thomas IIDBFR6' 1"180Humble, TX
49Jonathan DimasPKJR5' 10"185Houston, TX
94Evan NoelPKSO6' 1"165Bay St. Louis, MS
62Jack RaneyPSR6' 3"210San Jose, CA
91Liam DoughertyPJR6' 2"205Geelong, Australia
47Anthony SaragusaLSJR6' 2"265Houston, TX
64Jack Carson-WentzLSSR6' 2"210Canton, GA
69Weston EdwardsLSJR6' 2"215Valdosta, GA

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2015 (+10.0, #17) · worst: 2024 (-4.5, #93)
-50+5+10FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#52
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far6-13-1#30+11.4+7.1+4.3
202510-36-3#52+2.9+1.9+1.0
20244-83-6#93-4.5-8.4+3.9
20234-82-7#87-3.8-1.0-2.8
20228-55-3#54+3.1+6.1-3.0
202112-28-0#22+7.5+4.1+3.4
20203-53-3#65+0.1+1.9-1.8
20194-82-6#70-1.2+3.0-4.2
20188-55-3#60+1.2+9.0-7.7
20177-55-3#52+2.7-1.7+4.3
20169-45-3#27+6.7+3.4+3.4
201513-17-1#17+10.0+6.2+3.7
20148-55-3#54+1.7-0.7+2.4

Houston's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Oct 22, 3:47 AM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →