#7
Ball State · 2026

CJ Nelson

WRSenior5' 11", 184 lbsNorth Richland Hills, TX
Ball State Cardinals2-5 · TDC #133
Snap share
31%
2 of 6 started · likely 18–41%
Receptions
11
520th of 1994 in FBS
Rec. yards
83
765th of 1980 in FBS
Yards / catch
7.5
Rec. TD
0
EPA / play
+0.23
17 plays

Efficiency & Role

EPA = expected points added per play. Compared with every FBS WR/TE who qualifies

EPA per play by situation

17 plays · +3.8 total EPA · not enough plays to rank yet
All plays+0.23
Passing+0.18
Rushing+0.88
1st down-0.06
2nd down-0.02
3rd down+1.23
Standard downs+0.18
Passing downs+0.58
NelsonWR/TE average

Share of team plays

How often the offense runs through this player. Pass = targets or dropbacks, rush = carries
All plays5%
Pass plays9%
Run plays1%
1st down6%
2nd down5%
3rd down2%
Standard downs7%
Passing downs2%
NelsonWR/TE average

Advanced

Computed from every play, garbage time excluded. FBS rank among players with enough volume

ReceivingValueFBS rank
Targets14—
Target share10.3%—
Catch rate71.4%—
Success rate per target64.3%—
Yards per target6.3—
Explosive catches7.1%—
Deep-target rate21.4%—
3rd-down targets1—
Red-zone targets1—

Charting

Where Nelson's plays went: throw and catch spots, air yards and yards after the catch, read from the play-by-play

Targets
16
11 caught (69%)
Avg. depth of target
9.4
air yards per target
YAC per catch
1.3
14 yds after the catch
Air yards caught
69
of 83 yds on charted catches
Deep targets
19%
20+ air yards

Where he's targeted16 targets charted

69% comp9.4 avg. depth1.3 YAC/catch19% 20+ air yds0–0 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: noneLeft, 0–4 air yards: 2 targets (13%), 2 caught (100%), 13 yds, 6.5 per target2100% · 13yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 3 targets (19%), 3 caught (100%), 17 yds, 5.7 per target3100% · 17yLeft, 10–14 air yards: noneLeft, 15–19 air yards: noneLeft, 20–29 air yards: 1 targets (6%), 1 caught (100%), 23 yds, 23.0 per target1100% · 23yLeft, 30+ air yards: 1 targets (6%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per target10% · 0yMiddle, Behind air yards: noneMiddle, 0–4 air yards: noneMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 1 targets (6%), 1 caught (100%), 10 yds, 10.0 per target1100% · 10yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 2 targets (13%), 1 caught (50%), 15 yds, 7.5 per target250% · 15yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: noneMiddle, 20–29 air yards: noneMiddle, 30+ air yards: noneRight, Behind air yards: 2 targets (13%), 2 caught (100%), -3 yds, -1.5 per target2100% · -3yRight, 0–4 air yards: 1 targets (6%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per target10% · 0yRight, 5–9 air yards: 2 targets (13%), 1 caught (50%), 8 yds, 4.0 per target250% · 8yRight, 10–14 air yards: noneRight, 15–19 air yards: noneRight, 20–29 air yards: 1 targets (6%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per target10% · 0yRight, 30+ air yards: none
fewer more targets
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Career

3 seasons at 2 schools since 2014 · box-score totals, snap share estimated from play-by-play

SeasonTeamGSnapsRecRec ydsRec TDTgt share
2026 so farBall State#133 · 2-5631%1183010.3%
2023Houston#87 · 4-81—————
2022 *Houston#54 · 8-541%2705.3%

Past seasons are summed from ESPN box scores; success rates and snap shares come from the play-by-play. CJ Nelson's team rank is that season's final TDC rank. A dash means the stat wasn't recorded. * Defense rebuilt from the play-by-play (ESPN's box scores that season are missing it); about 10% below official totals.

Game Log

CJ Nelson's box score, game by game, from ESPN, with a 0–10 game score for each (hover it for how it works). Click a result for the full game

5.1 avg. game scoreBest: 6.9 at Bowling Green (Week 7)0 of 4 games at 8.0+
Receiving
WkOpponentResultGame scoreRecYdsY/RTDLong
1@Ohio StateL 3–564.2188.008
2Stony BrookW 41–173.9166.006
3@LibertyL 15–51—no stats recorded
4@Kent StateL 13–26—no stats recorded
5ToledoL 24–39—no stats recorded
6@NorthwesternL 14–455.43103.3010
7@Bowling GreenW 32–316.96599.8023
2026 · 4 games5.111837.5023

2026 Season Stats

FBS rank among qualifying players

Rushing2026FBS rank
Carries1—
Yards101037th / 1453
Yards / carry10—
Touchdowns0—
Long10—
Receiving2026FBS rank
Receptions11520th / 1994
Yards83765th / 1980
Yards / catch7.5—
Touchdowns0—
Long23—

Snaps by Game

Estimated snaps from a model trained on real NFL snap counts. Ranges in brackets are where the real number lands 80% of the time: wide for a single game, tighter over the season. How it works

GameStartTeam playsEst. snapsPlays involvedPenaltiesSnap share
Wk 1 · Ohio State—60~23 (7–31)3·38%
Wk 2 · Stony Brook—68~7 (2–11)1110%
Wk 4 · Kent State✓ WR54~8 (2–13)1·15%
Wk 5 · Toledo—61··1—
Wk 6 · Northwestern—78~44 (29–54)5156%
Wk 7 · Bowling Green✓ WR66~55 (36–66)7·83%
Season2 GS443137 (78–180)17331%

Position Room

12 WRs on the Ball State roster, ordered by rec

#PlayerPosClassRecYdsTDTgt shareEPA/play
1Donovan HamiltonWRJR22273116%+0.78
10Jamarion McDougleWRSR21201117%+0.11
5Jabari SmithWRSR19196216%+0.81
11Isaiah ThackerWRSR15152016%+0.25
7CJ NelsonWRSR118309%+0.23
14Elisha DurhamWRSO46805%+0.53
83Eli HohltWRSR33016%+0.46
15Tayshon BardoWRFR11302%+0.62
DJ YoungWR12102%+1.12
8Corey Thompson Jr.WRSR———8%-0.65
80Derion TalbertWRSO—————
85Ace CooperWRFR———0%+0.46

Stats, EPA and usage come from CollegeFootballData.com and refresh daily. FBS ranks only count players with enough volume for the stat to mean something. Qualifying for EPA takes 4+ plays per team game. Ball State depth chart →