2026 Season · Week 8

Player Props

Our projection for every player with a real role in this week's games: a recency-weighted average of this season's games (pulled toward last season early on), adjusted for what the opponent's defense has allowed and for our game-script numbers (implied team points from the spread and total). Set any line with − / + to see the chance of the over and how often the player has cleared it this season. Sportsbook prop lines aren't connected yet, so each row starts at a line near our projection.

150 of 693 players

Player	Game	TDC proj.	Line	Over	Under	Hit rate	Season avg
Jordan Dwyer WR	vs WVU	114	113.5	47%	53%	1/2	125.0
Umari Hatcher WR	@ UNC	109	108.5	47%	53%	4/6	130.7
Malachi Toney WR	vs PITT	105	104.5	46%	54%	4/6	126.3
KJ Duff WR	@ NU	91	90.5	47%	53%	4/6	123.5
Ed Small WR	vs WVU	89	88.5	47%	53%	3/6	82.3
Kari Ashley TE	vs WVU	86	85.5	47%	53%	3/6	65.3
Griffin Wilde WR	vs RUTG	86	85.5	47%	53%	2/6	80.3
Wyatt Young WR	vs COLO	86	85.5	46%	54%	3/6	93.5
Isaiah Sategna III WR	@ MSST	85	84.5	47%	53%	1/6	69.0
Easton Messer WR	vs RICE	84	83.5	46%	54%	3/6	90.0
Reed Harris WR	vs KSU	83	82.5	46%	54%	4/6	108.8
Cody Jackson WR	@ ARIZ	82	81.5	47%	53%	1/2	95.5
Joseph Williams WR	@ OKST	79	78.5	47%	53%	4/6	84.7
Eli Wood WR	@ TXST	79	78.5	47%	53%	4/6	78.7
Derrick Salley Jr. WR	@ ASU	79	78.5	47%	53%	1/3	82.7
Luke Dehnicke TE	vs RUTG	78	77.5	46%	54%	1/3	69.3
Junior Sherrill WR	@ UK	77	76.5	48%	52%	5/7	89.7
Danny Scudero WR	@ OKST	75	74.5	48%	52%	0/2	12.0
DeAree Rogers WR	vs HAW	75	74.5	47%	53%	3/6	70.3
Anthony Evans III WR	vs OU	74	73.5	47%	53%	4/6	102.3
Reginald Vick Jr WR	vs SDSU	74	73.5	47%	53%	3/5	73.4
Braden Pegan WR	vs HOU	74	73.5	47%	53%	3/6	70.3
Trent Mosley WR	@ WIS	73	72.5	47%	53%	3/4	91.5
Jordan Shipp WR	vs SYR	73	72.5	47%	53%	3/6	73.5
Trell Harris WR	@ MSST	72	71.5	47%	53%	0/2	52.0
Justin Stevenson WR	@ NAVY	72	71.5	47%	53%	2/6	75.5
Evan Stewart WR	@ ILL	72	71.5	47%	53%	4/5	70.4
TK Keyes WR	vs ULM	71	70.5	47%	53%	2/5	56.4
Collin Dixon WR	vs ORE	71	70.5	47%	53%	3/6	101.3
Rasean Jones WR	@ WSU	70	69.5	47%	53%	3/5	71.8
Charlie Becker WR	@ MICH	70	69.5	47%	53%	5/7	99.1
Nik McMillan WR	vs BAY	69	68.5	47%	53%	2/6	66.7
Bryant Wesco Jr. WR	vs VT	69	68.5	46%	54%	2/6	56.7
Legend Glasker WR	@ UCF	68	67.5	47%	53%	3/6	74.0
Beau Sparks WR	vs USU	68	67.5	45%	55%	1/5	60.2
Kenny Johnson WR	@ CIN	68	67.5	46%	54%	3/6	69.7
Yamir Knight WR	vs CAL	67	66.5	46%	54%	2/6	69.7
Riley Neer WR	vs EMU	67	66.5	47%	53%	2/7	62.9
Kainoa Carvalho WR	@ NIU	66	65.5	47%	53%	3/7	54.9
Yannick Smith WR	vs CAL	66	65.5	47%	53%	2/5	63.6
Kelby Valsin WR	vs RICE	65	64.5	48%	52%	5/6	100.2
Matt Coleman WR	@ BALL	65	64.5	47%	53%	3/7	67.6
Mike Matthews WR	@ SC	65	64.5	47%	53%	4/7	68.7
Jackson Harris WR	@ AUB	64	63.5	46%	54%	3/7	65.1
Corri Milliner WR	@ NAVY	63	62.5	47%	53%	4/5	65.0
Que'Sean Brown WR	@ CLEM	63	62.5	45%	55%	4/7	88.0
Gavin Freeman WR	@ KU	63	62.5	46%	54%	4/6	92.5
Chris Dawn Jr. WR	vs USU	63	62.5	47%	53%	1/6	58.0
Carson Clark WR	@ NEV	62	61.5	48%	52%	5/7	72.7
Nick Marsh WR	@ MICH	62	61.5	45%	55%	4/7	83.6
DeAndre Moore Jr. WR	@ OKST	62	61.5	47%	53%	2/5	62.4
Howard Kinchen WR	vs ULM	62	61.5	47%	53%	1/3	49.0
Kenny Darby WR	vs VAN	62	61.5	47%	53%	4/7	62.3
Wayne Harris WR	vs AKR	61	60.5	46%	54%	2/7	56.6
Rocky Beers TE	@ MSST	61	60.5	48%	52%	2/6	54.8
Ryan Wingo WR	vs MISS	60	59.5	47%	53%	2/6	57.5
Javon Robinson WR	@ TXST	60	59.5	47%	53%	2/5	42.4
Sam Pickett III WR	vs JMU	60	59.5	47%	53%	5/6	68.5
Keshaun Singleton WR	vs LSU	59	58.5	48%	52%	2/6	61.2
Jordan Allen WR	vs BC	59	58.5	46%	54%	4/6	72.0
Marcel Williams WR	@ KENT	59	58.5	47%	53%	2/7	47.4
Jeremiah McClellan WR	@ ILL	59	58.5	47%	53%	1/2	85.0
Omarion Miller WR	vs KSU	58	57.5	48%	52%	4/6	61.7
Chauncy Cobb WR	vs GAST	58	57.5	47%	53%	2/7	51.0
Hunter Summers WR	vs GAST	58	57.5	45%	55%	2/7	60.3
Cam Coleman WR	vs MISS	58	57.5	47%	53%	3/6	56.0
Caden High WR	vs NCSU	57	56.5	46%	54%	3/6	56.2
Ian Strong WR	@ SMU	57	56.5	48%	52%	3/6	66.0
Chas Nimrod WR	vs LSU	57	56.5	48%	52%	2/6	55.5
Chance Morrow WR	vs BGSU	57	56.5	45%	55%	3/7	63.0
Makai Jackson WR	@ KENN	57	56.5	47%	53%	5/6	85.8
Ryan Coleman-Williams WR	vs TA&M	57	56.5	46%	54%	3/6	69.2
Amare Thomas WR	@ UTAH	57	56.5	45%	55%	3/7	69.6
Onterrio Smith Jr. WR	@ BALL	56	55.5	47%	53%	2/7	44.9
Deuce Alexander WR	@ TEX	56	55.5	45%	55%	5/6	87.2
Chase Hendricks WR	@ SMU	56	55.5	47%	53%	3/7	59.3
Justin Bowick WR	vs COLO	56	55.5	44%	56%	4/6	78.2
Adjatay Dabbs WR	vs WMU	55	54.5	48%	52%	5/7	66.9
Trey'Dez Green TE	@ AUB	55	54.5	48%	52%	3/3	74.0
Keenan Jackson WR	@ STAN	55	54.5	46%	54%	4/6	66.7
Jeremy Scott WR	vs WVU	55	54.5	46%	54%	2/5	38.8
Dakorien Moore WR	@ ILL	55	54.5	47%	53%	2/6	57.8
Cooper Barkate WR	vs PITT	54	53.5	47%	53%	2/6	44.8
Mario Sanders WR	vs UL	54	53.5	47%	53%	6/6	82.0
Kam Perry WR	@ OKST	54	53.5	47%	53%	0/2	10.5
Jalen Mickens WR	vs ODU	53	52.5	46%	54%	4/6	79.3
T.J. Moore WR	vs VT	53	52.5	47%	53%	1/6	40.7
Jabari Smith WR	vs SAC	52	51.5	47%	53%	3/3	65.3
Jalen Cooper WR	vs CAL	52	51.5	45%	55%	2/6	49.8
Brayden Munroe WR	vs LIB	52	51.5	44%	56%	2/5	59.8
JJ Buchanan WR	vs IU	52	51.5	45%	55%	3/6	80.3
Chris Reed WR	vs NMSU	52	51.5	47%	53%	3/6	48.2
DJ Epps WR	@ TCU	51	50.5	43%	57%	4/7	79.4
Donovan Hamilton WR	vs SAC	51	50.5	47%	53%	3/6	45.5
TK King WR	@ SHSU	51	50.5	46%	54%	3/6	47.7
Corey Scott WR	@ APP	50	49.5	47%	53%	4/6	55.5
Devin Alves WR	@ NIU	50	49.5	45%	55%	3/6	50.5
Cataurus Hicks WR	@ MIA	50	49.5	45%	55%	6/7	71.4
Hudson Clement WR	vs ORE	49	48.5	48%	52%	4/6	67.3
Rodshaun Dorsey WR	@ ARST	49	48.5	48%	52%	2/6	55.5
Manny Choice WR	@ MSST	49	48.5	45%	55%	1/3	40.7
Vandrevius Jacobs WR	vs PITT	49	48.5	47%	53%	0/3	33.3
Dominique Henry WR	vs RICE	49	48.5	45%	55%	3/6	54.0
Jamari Johnson TE	@ ILL	49	48.5	45%	55%	2/4	56.0
Emmett Mosley V WR	vs MISS	48	47.5	48%	52%	2/6	48.7
Maleek Huggins WR	@ CMU	48	47.5	45%	55%	2/6	51.5
Tony Diaz WR	@ MINN	48	47.5	46%	54%	3/6	54.8
Jabari Lewis WR	@ CONN	48	47.5	45%	55%	2/5	54.8
Oran Singleton Jr. WR	vs ARMY	47	46.5	47%	53%	4/7	67.7
Winston Watkins WR	@ AUB	47	46.5	47%	53%	4/7	63.9
Shelton Sampson Jr. WR	@ USM	47	46.5	48%	52%	1/2	33.0
Harold Mack WR	@ OHIO	47	46.5	48%	52%	4/7	48.1
Trent Walker WR	@ UTAH	47	46.5	46%	54%	4/7	51.7
Jackson Williams WR	@ UNM	47	46.5	45%	55%	5/7	61.7
Tre Spivey WR	vs ISU	46	45.5	45%	55%	2/5	62.8
Zion Booker WR	vs LIB	46	45.5	47%	53%	2/3	53.7
Grady O'Neill WR	vs NMSU	46	45.5	47%	53%	2/6	43.3
Jordan Napier WR	@ CSU	46	45.5	47%	53%	1/5	21.0
Kayden Dixon-Wyatt WR	@ WIS	46	45.5	45%	55%	3/7	57.1
Isaiah Mizell WR	vs ISU	46	45.5	42%	58%	3/5	71.8
Zion Robinson WR	vs NCSU	46	45.5	47%	53%	2/4	38.8
Eli Finley TE	vs ODU	45	44.5	46%	54%	4/6	55.7
Nico Brown WR	vs NCSU	45	44.5	46%	54%	1/5	38.6
JV Gibson WR	vs TTU	45	44.5	48%	52%	5/5	68.4
Lotzeir Brooks WR	vs TA&M	45	44.5	46%	54%	4/7	59.3
Ja'Cory Thomas WR	@ UK	45	44.5	47%	53%	2/5	39.0
Hunter Tipton TE	vs ECU	45	44.5	40%	60%	2/7	54.3
Javon Brown WR	vs MASS	45	44.5	46%	54%	2/4	50.5
Jaron Tibbs WR	@ ASU	44	43.5	45%	55%	2/6	44.7
Terrance Carter Jr. TE	@ CIN	44	43.5	48%	52%	1/4	34.2
Langston Lewis WR	vs M-OH	44	43.5	46%	54%	2/7	30.9
DJ Miller WR	vs VAN	44	43.5	46%	54%	2/3	59.3
Nikko Boncore WR	@ TXST	44	43.5	46%	54%	1/3	32.7
Destyn Hill WR	vs UTSA	44	43.5	46%	54%	4/5	57.0
Miles Coleman WR	vs COLO	43	42.5	48%	52%	3/6	47.2
Cam Pickett WR	vs BAY	43	42.5	42%	58%	2/4	48.2
Javon Tracy WR	vs IOWA	43	42.5	46%	54%	4/6	62.5
Ardell Banks WR	vs AKR	43	42.5	47%	53%	2/5	41.2
Chris Barnes WR	vs COLO	43	42.5	47%	53%	2/4	43.0
Jelani Thurman TE	vs SYR	43	42.5	46%	54%	4/6	52.3
Ky Wilson WR	vs MASS	43	42.5	47%	53%	1/2	43.5
Mario Craver WR	@ ALA	43	42.5	44%	56%	1/6	40.2
TJ Lott WR	vs ULM	42	41.5	48%	52%	0/3	25.0
Gary Givens III WR	vs SJSU	42	41.5	48%	52%	4/5	52.0
Donovan Brown WR	@ CSU	42	41.5	48%	52%	1/3	25.0
La'Don Bryant WR	vs HAW	42	41.5	48%	52%	4/6	47.7
Kaden Saunders WR	vs UL	42	41.5	42%	58%	1/4	46.0
Nahzae Cox WR	vs BAY	42	41.5	48%	52%	3/5	41.6
Cole Keller TE	@ APP	42	41.5	46%	54%	2/7	46.4
Noah Bennee TE	vs HOU	42	41.5	44%	56%	1/5	41.2

Tested on every 2025 game, projecting each from only the games before it. Our projections missed by less than a plain season average, and the over/under chances were checked against how often players actually went over. Injuries and depth-chart changes aren't in the numbers, so check who's playing. For information and entertainment; bet responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).